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Global Macro Update

Latest episodes

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Mar 14, 2025 • 34min

Inflation Is Over

Inflation is dropping quickly, but you wouldn’t know it from the headlines. Danielle DiMartino Booth explains why, highlighting layoffs and other underreported recession signals. As she’s said before, “There is no greater drag on inflation than job loss.”
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Mar 12, 2025 • 31min

More Geopolitical Chess with George Friedman

George is back! Over half a million people caught my last interview with George shortly after the US and Russia began settlement discussions about Ukraine. Today he responds to the animated comments that followed, explaining why Russia cannot wage war in Europe, NATO's diminishing relevance, and how the flurry of activity at the White House compares to Roosevelt's first hundred days in office.
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Mar 7, 2025 • 27min

Deflationary Tariffs?

Former Wall Street trader Jared Dillian is here to talk deflationary tariffs, troubling signs from the housing market, the rising risk of a recession, and why he’s “super bullish on bonds.”
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Feb 28, 2025 • 40min

It’s Bird Flu Season

In the US, 10% of commercial egg-laying hens have died from the bird flu in the last eight weeks. Egg prices are set to soar another 41% this year. Are we in for another pandemic? Cumberland Advisors co-founder David Kotok discusses the economic domino effects of pandemics across history.
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Feb 21, 2025 • 34min

Ending a Catastrophe for Ukraine and Russia

If you feel like the world order is being rearranged, you’re right. George Friedman explains the geopolitical machinations behind Ukraine settlement talks and President Trump’s plan to “redesign the world.”
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Feb 13, 2025 • 42min

The Years of Plenty

Jacob Shapiro, Director of Research at Bespoke Group, returns to discuss the bright investment landscape ahead. He emphasizes the importance of tuning out distracting media noise to seize opportunities in the coming years. Key topics include the complexities of U.S.-China trade relations, America's manufacturing dependencies in critical sectors, and the geopolitical ramifications of the Ukraine conflict. Shapiro also highlights potential growth spots in emerging markets and the need for innovative thinking to navigate global economic challenges.
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Feb 7, 2025 • 54min

The China Problem

The US has a China problem. Our biggest geopolitical rival has a massive trade surplus, and it’s working to usurp America’s position as the global hegemon. What effect will the new Trump tariffs have on this ongoing rivalry? As our guest today, China specialist Lyric Hughes Hale says, “Communism always ends in tears.”
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Jan 31, 2025 • 43min

The Opium War in Reverse

China has weaponized fentanyl against the US. Today we’re speaking with Canadian journalist Sam Cooper about how China and Canada drive the opioid trade, money laundering in Vancouver, Mexican cartels, and corruption at the highest levels of government. They’re all in on it…
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Dec 23, 2024 • 30min

The Global Race for the Arctic

US-Canada relations are strained. Many believe Canada isn’t doing enough to choke off illegal immigration or to protect North America’s security interests in the Artic, which Russia and China aim to dominate. We’re covering this and more with Canadian journalist Jonathan Roth.
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Dec 20, 2024 • 41min

Is the Big Market Shift of 2025 Already Here?

The stock market dipped 3% on Wednesday, and I know many investors are getting nervous. Hearing from a technical analyst like Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies, is particularly important now, when the leading macro analysts all seem to have wildly different outlooks. Note: We recorded this interview on Dec. 12.

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