The Numbers

Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier
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Aug 23, 2024 • 60min

Summer is ending, polling season begins

It's poll-a-palooza on The Numbers this week, as we tackle five federal polls, two B.C. polls and new numbers out of Saskatchewan, New Brunswick and Alberta. Also, there's a snap byelection call in Ontario that took us by surprise.We compare caucus sizes in response to a listener question, and then Philippe has a Quiz on historical premiers.To join the Discord page for The Numbers, get early access to episodes every Thursday, an extended mailbag segment and bonus episodes every second week, you can become a member of our Patreon site here.You can also watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Aug 9, 2024 • 1h 3min

Byelection Draft Day!

Excitement brews as listeners explore upcoming byelections in Elmwood–Transcona and LaSalle–Émard–Verdun with a fun draft twist! Current polling reveals the Conservatives leading while the NDP struggles. Speculation on Pablo Rodriguez as PLQ leader heats up. Delve into Saskatchewan's political rivalry and anticipate electoral dynamics in New Brunswick. What makes an ideal Canadian VP candidate? A mix of humor and insightful analysis promises to keep listeners engaged throughout this lively discussion!
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Jul 26, 2024 • 57min

Trudeau's next byelection test

A byelection call looms in LaSalle–Émard–Verdun in a contest that could prove a stiff test for the Liberals, as the NDP and Bloc target what has been a safe Liberal seat in Montreal. Plus, another call could come in the Winnipeg riding of Elmwood–Transcona, where the Conservatives will put the NDP on the defensive.(Note: the Liberals announced their candidate for Elmwood–Transcona shortly after we recorded.)We also chat about the announcements from Seamus O'Regan and Francis Drouin that they won't be running for re-election and answer listener questions from the mailbag — and provide a Margin of Error 101 refresher course. Then, Philippe tests Éric with a Quiz.To join the Discord page for The Numbers, get early access to episodes every Thursday, an extended mailbag segment and bonus episodes every second week, you can become a member of our Patreon site here. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Jul 19, 2024 • 59min

Don't you know who I am?

The podcast discusses the recognition levels of Canadian political figures, recent federal numbers, and provincial polling in BC and Ontario. They analyze voter perception and the importance of name recognition in shaping public opinion. Speculations on upcoming by-elections, historical polling data, and a quiz on past federal election leaders are also featured.
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Jul 12, 2024 • 42min

Summer mailbag!

As we wait to return from our break, we're back this week with an extended mailbag episode to answer your questions, including:Is it better to have an election in the summer or the winter?Are the Liberals still the "natural governing party"?Which past party leader who lost an election might have had a better shot at a different time?Plus answers to questions on projection models, polling methods and more!This episode was recorded on July 3. We'll be back with a regular episode next week!Support the podcast on Patreon and get bonus episodes every two weeks, extended mailbag segments every week, ask us questions for the mailbag and join our Discord! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Jun 28, 2024 • 52min

A turning point in Toronto–St. Paul's

The podcast covers the surprising Conservative win in the Toronto St. Paul's by-election, implications for Justin Trudeau, and Naheed Nenshi's victory in the Alberta NDP leadership race. It also discusses premier approval ratings and political strategies, along with reflections on future episodes.
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Jun 14, 2024 • 49min

Don't call it a comeback yet, Liberals

The podcast discusses polling data, election predictions, and potential outcomes for the upcoming US presidential election. They delve into Ontario's early election speculation, a female politician's resignation in Alberta, and Naheed Nenshi's leadership. The hosts also cover the Toronto St. Paul's by-election, strategizing in elections, and challenge each other in a political trivia quiz.
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May 31, 2024 • 55min

Snap elections, byelections and Trudeau's leadership

This podcast discusses federal polls tightening, Baie Verte-Green Bay byelection, snap election speculations in Ontario, and their ties to Trudeau's leadership. Also covers B.C. numbers and a Quiz on electoral landslides.
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May 17, 2024 • 1h 1min

Strong, stable, national Conservative 20-point lead

This week, we discuss another poll that shows a 20-point lead for the Conservatives, as well as some new numbers on how various religious communities are voting. We then delve into some provincial polling out of British Columbia and Quebec, and check-in on the Alberta NDP leadership race. In the mailbag, we chat about merger talks in B.C. and we close with a birthday-themed Quiz.To join the Discord page for The Numbers, get early access to episodes every Thursday, an extended mailbag segment and bonus episodes every second week, you can become a member of our Patreon site here. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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May 3, 2024 • 58min

Conservatives put up some big numbers

On this episode of The Numbers, we discuss some BIG numbers that Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives are putting up in both national polls and first-quarter fundraising. What does this mean for Justin Trudeau? Plus, we chat about an odd poll out of British Columbia ahead of that province's fall election.In our mailbag, we answer a question on Poilievre and the PPC vote, and Philippe takes no pity on a hobbled Éric in this week's edition of The Quiz.To join the Discord page for The Numbers, get early access to episodes every Thursday, an extended mailbag segment and bonus episodes every second week, you can become a member of our Patreon site here. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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