Wall Street Unplugged - What's Really Moving These Markets

Welcome back to Wall Street Unplugged. Today, everyone is talking about the 10-year Treasury yield—namely, how it just broke 3% for the first time in years. Here’s the truth: this isn’t a big deal—no matter what the media say. This number is still well below historical norms… However, it does present us with a buying opportunity… which I’ll tell you about in today’s show. But before I get to that, I welcome as my guest this week Danielle DiMartino Booth. Danielle is a former adviser at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and editor of the Money Strong newsletter. Today, she breaks down the impact higher yields will have on individual investors… the fundamental landscape of today’s housing market… and why millennials will be a huge drag on the economy much quicker than most economists are forecasting. I also give you a play-by-play of how I find my best stock ideas. This simple strategy will help you invest in the best stocks before Wall Street finds out about them… and before they’re mentioned in the media.

Ignore the crazy headlines… In this episode, we talk about how to use the media’s “agenda” to pocket huge gains in stocks. Most headlines are exaggerated. They include phrases like “market crash” and “trade wars.” It doesn’t matter. The market is flat this year and America is not in a trade war with any nation… The media exaggerates these headlines to get page views. That’s how they make money. Yet these headlines (including tweets from our president) can temporarily influence stocks, causing disconnects between a company’s fundamentals and stock price. Smart investors can use these disconnects to invest in some of the world’s greatest companies – like Amazon or Facebook – at incredible discounts. Also in this episode, we breakdown the best banking stock to own right now (it’s not JP Morgan)… and why one major airline will see its stock price rise much higher from here.     SHOWNOTES: 0:42 - Long time listener Joe thanks me for my insight on the oil market and asked if he should invest in small or large caps. 5:22 - When you should jump into the oil market... and who is carrying the market. 13:23 - Listener Derrick: Since when is there a maintenance fee on your Curzio Research Advisory Lifetime membership? 13:58 - How the Lifetime membership subscription works. 24:15 - Listener Dave: How much attention should investors give to employee engagements and potential unionization attempts? 35:03 - Ten-year listener Doug asks whether he should keep his money in a current stock pick I recommended a while back. 40:35 - I’ll be launching a product that’s new to the industry… It will include a weekly new pick. 41:20 Be sure to like our . I’m posting live videos and will soon be posting live interviews.

Welcome back to Wall Street Unplugged. My guest this week is Corby Marshall, CEO of Hilltop Cybersecurity. (Full disclosure: I’m an early investor in this company.) Corby joins me from the RSA cybersecurity conference to discuss what we should all be thinking about it when it comes to protecting our data. You’ll also be fascinated to hear what led him to into this space... Later, we’ll talk about how important it is to look beyond the headlines when it comes to evaluating a stock. Read the story no one else is telling—because news stories aren’t often digging into the fundamentals. I also take a few moments to vent about the media’s obsession with the Mark Zuckerberg Facebook hearings and the James Comey publicity book tour.      0:33 –  Why did we make such a big deal about the Mark Zuckerberg hearings on CNBC? 4:20 - Can we trust the biggest companies in a space to regulate their own industry? 6:35 - I watched James Comey’s latest PR blitz for his book trashing the President. 9:18 - Democrats need to stop lingering on this Russia collusion nonsense. 10:33 - Netflix reported good numbers, but of course, someone always goes on TV and says they’re worried about the company’s expenses… I’m not. 14:24 - So excited that we are into earnings season. 16:25 - Seeing a lot of potential in cybersecurity, so I’m also excited to be chatting with Corby Marshall, CEO of Hilltop cybersecurity. 19:20 - Corby’s background and why he got into cybersecurity. 21:42 - What are the latest trends in cybersecurity he’s seeing at the RSA conference? 24:02 - How vulnerable are normal people online? 27:04 - The formation of Hilltop and how it strives to be better than the competition. 30:35 - What scares Corby the most. 33:19 - How important is it to have a great team. 37:18 - Hilltop’s involvement in the cryptocurrency space and protecting its customers. 40:45 - Connecting with Corby at 45:24 - Cancel newsletters where their editors aren’t allowed to buy stocks. 46:55 - It’s not whether or not a stock is expensive, it’s about its growth potential. 48:45 - Find the story that no one else is talking about. 50:44 - For example, how I looked at the defense sector during sequester talks back in 2012. 52:34 - Another example, big pharma and the patent cliff that people were worried about.

Welcome back to Frankly Speaking. I can’t stress this enough: I care about and what happens to your portfolio.   The reason you listen to me, subscribe to the newsletters, and read our research is so you can focus on your life and take advantage of our “stock brains” here at Curzio Research. On this episode, we talk about what it means to have a stock brain. And we touch on other programs offering financial advice. If you follow other podcasts and tv personalities that give stock recs, make sure they care about what happens to you. There are plenty of people who give out financial advice... but many don’t think about how those calls will impact real people like you.   SHOWNOTES: 0:57 – Listener Shawn asks all of you in the Curzio Research community to keep the Humble Broncos hockey team in your thoughts and prayers following the tragic bus crash in Canada. 4:19 - Listener feedback from Chris regarding my recent commentary on hedge funds and what can happen to your money in poor-performing funds. 6:55 - I notice that the hedge fund managers that go on TV have had declining performance. 13:09 - Listener question from John: Should we be listening to and following the folks on CNBC’s FastMoney? 15:20 - You have to follow the people that actually care about you and your money. 23:08 - Listener question from Chris: I think I have a stock brain. Is that normal? 27:35 - I take you through my stock brain when I read a headline, listen to a conference call, or analyze a company. 30:45 - Check out Thursday’s on why I don’t believe stocks will crash. 34:54 - Make sure you like our for more live videos we’re producing.

Welcome back to Wall Street Unplugged. This week, my guest is Mike Alkin, editor of Moneyflow Trader and host of the . Even though Mike writes his newsletter for Curzio Research, he and I often have differing views on the markets. (Mike is bearish and I’m more of a bull.) Even so, we generally find common ground. I have a lot of respect for his knowledge and opinions. Today, Mike reviews how he analyzes stock news and what helps him decide whether a company is going to have success in the future. Then in my educational segment [50:15], I talk market risk factors. The media is hyping three main risks right now: rising inflation, rising interest rates, and a potential trade war. All of these things have investors running for the hills. But the truth is, they’re not the negative market forces the headlines are making them out to be. Listen to find out why... SHOWNOTES: 0:33 –  I share my broken water heater horror story 9:20 - Michael Alkin, editor of Moneyflow Trader and host of the , is my guest this week 12:56 - Mike talks about how much fun he’s having doing the new podcast 14:27 - Mike and I debate our views on the market; Michael is bearish and I am more bullish 20:17 - What Mike observed about the market at the 2009 bottom 23:10 - Impact on stocks now that the Federal Reserve is backing off its quantitative easing programs 27:02 - Stocks are dropping for companies even after positive earnings 32:30 - Concerns Mike is seeing within the consumer staples sector 36:59 - Some of Mike’s stock picks 45:33 - There are always pockets of stocks that buck market trends 50:57 - My thesis on the markets and the three major risks I’m seeing 52:49 - Why China blinked during trade talks 59:56 - Rising inflation is not that detrimental to the market because it’s not unexpected 1:00:22 - Why the the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates and what that means for the markets and economy 1:03:46 - What does this all mean? 1:07:16 - If you look carefully, you can find plenty of stocks that are undervalued and have potential for growth 1:10:38 - Still not convinced that there are opportunities in the market? Look at all of the mergers and acquisitions taking place

Welcome back to Frankly Speaking. There are a lot of myths surrounding hedge funds, particularly how much yield they create vs. how much it costs you to invest in them. Today I debunk some of those myths, and remind you of the risks vs. rewards of hedge funds. Remember, the better they do, the more risk they take with your money. I also discuss some big changes coming to Curzio Research. We’re getting ready to unveil some exciting new products… and share some special offers with our subscribers. On today’s episode, I also stress the importance of ignoring the market noise. Brexit... tariffs... it doesn’t matter. You can always ride these waves with proper portfolio management. SHOWNOTES: 0:51 – Listener question from Max: Are we seeing a fundamental shift in the hedge fund industry? 4:26 - Hedge fund pricing 9:10 - Hedge funds are encouraged to take more risk with your money. 19:09 - Listener questions from Kurt: Is Briefing.com a substitute for those who can’t afford Capital IQ? Will Curzio Research bundle products? 27:20 - Listener feedback from Jack: I stopped out of one of our Curzio stocks. Should I keep it on the radar for a future position?   30:24 - Ignoring market noise 31:25 - Portfolio management 35:43 - Listener question from Bruce: If returns on REITs are so high, why isn’t everyone flocking to them? What’s the catch?

I’m so excited to bring on analyst Barry Cohen to talk all things cryptocurrency and blockchain. Barry explains how these technologies work, how you can secure cryptocurrencies safely and easily, how the regulatory landscape is going to change, and more. All of this comes ahead of the cryptocurrency newsletter we’re launching in May. Make sure you subscribe to our free email list now to be the first to know about this product when it’s launched. I get a little heated over negative news about Amazon and complaints that it’s ruined businesses across the country—especially when the complaint comes from a company that did its own share of putting others out of business: Walmart. Meanwhile, other folks are complaining that Amazon has an unfair advantage due to its relationship with the United States Postal Service. Today, I explain why the USPS needs Amazon, despite arguments that the postal service is getting the losing end of the deal. I know some of you might be panicking about the scary trade wars talk and how it’s impacted the market. I’ll tell you why we won’t have a trade war... and why tariffs on goods coming into the United States are actually a good thing.   While stocks have declined on those fears, there a few great investing opportunities I’ll tell you about today... Stocks Mentioned Amazon Walmart T-Mobile Whole Foods Goldman Sachs Microsoft Apple Facebook Under Armour Tesla SHOWNOTES 0:33 – I’m so annoyed when I see someone who has the same opinion as the president rail against him because of partisan politics.   1:25 - Lina Khan of the . 6:45 - Trump’s tweets against Amazon are a complete joke; Amazon is saving USPS. 10:07 - Walmart has no business complaining about Amazon. 14:24 - Don’t worry about tariffs pushing the markets down; we're not getting into a trade war. 16:52 - Excited for our guest today, Barry Cohen. 19:30 - Correlation between the cryptomarket and Wall Street. 22:38 - Will cryptocurrencies always move in the same direction? 27:26 - Why Barry is excited about cryptocurrencies. 30:51 - Why regulation is needed for cryptocurrencies. 36:00 - How does someone go about buying cryptocurrencies? 38:44 - and . 42:13 - The different types of cryptocurrency exchanges. 45:33 - How ICOs (Initial Coin Offerings) work. 50:02 - What subscribers can expect from the crypto newsletter we’re getting ready to launch in May. 58:06 - Mike Alkin product (reopening to new subscribers soon). 1:00:48 - Education segment: The markets are getting hit hard because of exaggerated concerns over the supposed trade war. 1:06:58 - Opportunities in the market right now. 1:17:40 - Thank you again for all of your love and support for my daughter. 1:18:15 - New videos on the .

Description This week, I want to take some to stress how important it is to take certain things into consideration when making changes to your portfolio. Specifically, I recap how to think about market moves when corporate earnings are announced. And I’ll tell you how I strategically position my portfolio among long and short-term stocks. We’ll also take a long look at Tesla’s woes... and how to trade on news for this company and other momentum stocks. Lastly, we’ll talk about how to measure the current value of a stock... when everyone else is focused on market moves. Stocks Mentioned Walmart UnderArmour Nike AT&T Time Warner Google Facebook DirectTV Verizon Sprint Tesla Apple Amazon Netflix Visa Goldman Sachs Morgan Stanley SHOWNOTES 0:51 – Listener feedback  from Mike: A sweet and supportive note from a fellow dad concerning the health of my daughter 3:01 - Listener question from Alberto: What percentage of my portfolio is long term vs. short-term stock holdings? 13:48 - 14:22 - Listener question: Thoughts on Tesla after its downward move and the recent recall? 26:12 - Netflix momentum concerns over debt 27:39 - Response to question from bearish listener Mel: Here are my positive thoughts on the markets 39:49 - Reminder about podcast schedule change

Andrew Horowitz of and host of podcast (the second best investing podcast) breaks down the technicals of the market action we’ve been seeing lately... and what that means for your portfolio. If you’ve been wondering how to navigate this volatile market, Andrew will help you keep your sanity. He advises us about the right time to panic, versus the right time to take advantage of everyone else’s panic. Andrew also reviews some recent positions he’s taken on--individual names and what impact the administration and Federal Reserve could have on the markets in the near-term. I also want to thank you all for the love and good wishes you’ve been sending to me and my family as we battle a few health issues. Your support has been overwhelming... and it feels like the Curzios are turning a positive corner. I also take a moment to recap what’s been going on in this crazy March Madness tournament this year. We’ve seen a lot of upsets and some big surprises as we head into the Final Four. And stay tuned till the end… I’ll announce some schedule changes for the release of Wall Street Unplugged and Frankly Speaking. These changes should provide you with a more consistent listening experience moving forward. Stocks Mentioned AMZN NFLX TSLA FB M X CRSP CS SHOWNOTES 0:33 – My family and some health issues we’re battling. 3:10 - How insurance companies handle medical coverage and the costs. Jeff Bezos and Jamie Dimon are looking to disrupt this industry. 6:10 - Why I do what I do––to help you take care of your finances so you can take care of yourself and your family. 7:07 - Mike Alkin and his family’s health issues, which makes him want to help you with your money as well. 9:01 - If you have knowledge/experience with Crohn’s disease, I’d appreciate any insight and wisdom your willing to share. Please email me at .   10:02 - Excited to bring on Andrew Horowitz, , host of podcast, to discuss the technical shifts we’ve been seeing in the market. 12:05 - Andrew’s last appearance on the podcast. 12:49 - What is Andrew seeing in the markets as a technical analyst.   14:14 - The announced tariffs and what impact they could actually have on the U.S. 15:03 - How rising interest risks could affect stocks and company earnings. 16:45 - The Federal government could target certain companies. For example, Trump’s   17:33 - A look at the technical levels of stocks and how to trade on them right now. 22:48 - Stock leaders are getting hurt. 26:06 - Historical data on the S&P 500 and how that compares to where market levels are today 29:09 - Is the market volatility we’re seeing right now normal? 30:24 - How high-frequency trading algorithms are impacting market action. 33:00 - Andrew tells us about , the advisor-crafted, technology-enhanced investing platform. 34:44 - Some of the investing strategies Andrew is currently pursuing in this market environment. 36:36 - Individual names Andrew likes or is shorting: 36:57 - Shorting strategy on Macy’s 37:22 - Opportunities in U.S. Steel 38:20 - CRISPR has some upside potential 38:35 - Kara Therapeutics has some interesting products in the pipeline 38:58 - Credit Suisse’s potential amid the concerns for European banks 41:40 - Don’t be a hero... it’s going to take a lot to spook people from this market. 45:09 - March Madness recap 47:46 - Podcast schedule changes WSU will now come out Thursday mornings Frankly Speaking will now come out Monday mornings

In this edition of Frankly Speaking, I take on some lingering concerns for both Amazon and Facebook. Despite some short term pressures, I think the upside potential for both is strong. Then, I’ll reveal my favorite dividend-paying stocks… and give you a word of warning: Even if you think you’re diversified, you may be holding the same stock across the board... Stocks Mentioned: AMZN FB MCD WMT AAPL XOM INTC GE