Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg
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Jan 17, 2017 • 35min

Davos Special: Rubenstein Says Nationalism Affects Big Banks

JPM International Chairman Jacob Frenkel said we are close to being out of the financial crisis. Richard Edelman, Edelman President & CEO, said trust has imploded in institutions and media has become part of the elite. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder, said there is a lot of angst in the global middle class. Qualcomm Chairman Paul Jacobs said 5G will be driven by the end markets and will move beyond just phones and into drones and robots. Skybridge Co-Managing Partner Anthony Scaramucci said President-Elect Trump wants to equalize and create symmetry in trading relationships.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 13, 2017 • 44min

Surveillance: Revenue Isn't Bank of America Story, Leon Says

Ken Leon, Center for Financial Research and Analysis' head of equity research for banks, says millennials are more comfortable with online banking and that will hurt consumer banking headcount. Prior to that, UBS' Geoffrey Yu says he sees a stronger post-Brexit pound. Meghnad Desai, Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum chairman, says Donald Trump arrived with the economy in good shape, but with plenty of reserve power to grow. Finally, Bob Sinche, a global strategist at Amherst Pierpont, says markets are reacting to stronger global momentum and responding to reality instead of expectations about what comes next.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 12, 2017 • 28min

Surveillance: U.S. Bank Stocks May Rise Another 50%, Mayo Says

Mike Mayo, an analyst at CLSA Ltd., says the stocks will surge as he expects at least 4 percent revenue growth for U.S. banks during the next four years. Prior to that, Stephen King, HSBC's senior economic adviser, discusses the effect Donald Trump will have on the World Economic Forum. Jonathan Loynes, an economist at Capital Economics, says he has factored in a boost to U.S. economy's GDP growth this year due to fiscal stimulus from tax cuts. Finally, Ed Hyman, chairman at Evercore ISI, says if the economy picks up, productivity will pick up as well.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 11, 2017 • 39min

Surveillance: Trump's Tweet Policy Is Dangerous, Gartman Says

Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says central bank powers are being diminished by the modern world. Prior to that, Rob Carnell, ING's chief international economist, says he expects tougher trade policy from Trump than previously thought. Franziska Ohnsorge, the World Bank's lead economist, says investment growth in emerging markets dropped to 3.4 percent in 2015 from 10 percent in 2010.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 10, 2017 • 31min

Surveillance: Pound Must Have Upside From Lows, Barth Says

Marvin Barth, Barclays' head of FX strategy, says currency intervention just doesn't work. Paul Mortimer-Lee, BNP Paribas' chief economist, says higher bond yields reflect good news. Charles Dumas, TSL Research's chief economist, says the Chinese currency won't slide much more. Finally, Brian Wieser, an analyst at Pivotal Research, says the future of Yahoo depends on tax structure.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 9, 2017 • 52min

Surveillance: Short UK and French Government Bonds, Gallo Says

Algebris Investments' Alberto Gallo says the FX market may panic again once Britain triggers Article 50. Prior to that, Baroness Helena Kennedy, a Labour Party member of the House of Lords, says British Prime Minister Theresa May will have to try to compromise when it comes to Brexit. Edward Glaeser, an economics professor at Harvard University, says when we start thinking that infrastructure is a solution to all of our problems, we get bridges to nowhere. Finally, Roger Bootle, founder of Capital Economics, says he'd be surprised if U.K. confidence falls back in 2017.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 6, 2017 • 56min

Surveillance: Trump Resembles Mussolini's Policies, Gross Says

Janus Capital's Bill Gross says Donald Trump's targeting of companies reminds him of policies associated with Benito Mussolini. Prior to that, Boston Mayor Marty Walsh discusses GE's move to Boston and the city's innovation culture. Then, Alicia Munnell, the director of retirement research at Boston College, discusses the state of retirement today. Finally, Jim Glassman, JPMorgan's senior economist, says hope of tax reform is bringing back enthusiasm in equity markets.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 5, 2017 • 51min

Surveillance: Risk That Fed Could Go Faster, Kiesel Says

PIMCO's Mark Kiesel says the main risk to the U.S. is a pickup in inflation. Prior to that, Jason Trennert, Strategas Research Partners' chairman, says the Fed is content to let inflation run a little hot. Stewart Warther, BNP Paribas' derivatives strategist, says there is less informational advantage in recent years. John Kernan, a consumer research analyst at Cowen & Co., says things are going to get ugly in retail. Finally, Drew Matus, UBS' deputy chief U.S. economist, says he is anticipating an unchanged unemployment rate on jobs day.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 4, 2017 • 12min

Surveillance: Bremmer, Summers, and The Fate of Pax Americana

Eurasia Group President Ian Bremmer and Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers join Tom Keene and David Gura on Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss populist policy cycles, the new truculent nationalism, and the future of American leadership.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 4, 2017 • 45min

Surveillance: Q4 Productivity to be Disappointing, Feroli Says

Michael Feroli, JPMorgan's chief U.S. economist, says trade wars remain the biggest downside risk in the next year or two. Prior to that, Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity's chief market strategist, says the post-Donald Trump rally has brought too much optimism to the market. Then, Evan Medeiros, Eurasia's managing director for Asia, says Asian policymakers and business leaders wonder if Trump will be as committed and involved in Asia as President Obama. Finally, Dartmouth's Danny Blanchflower says the U.S. is \u0010nine million jobs away from full employment.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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