Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg
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Mar 13, 2017 • 47min

Trump Must Offset Higher Spending, MacGuineas Says

Maya MacGuineas, the president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, says there's room for debate on where to spend federal dollars. Prior to that, Carl Weinberg, the chief economist at High Frequency Economics, says he's skeptical that GDP growth will be as high as the Trump administration has promised. Doug Holtz-Eakin, the president of the American Action Forum, discusses the Congressional Budget Office's review of the proposed American Health Care Act. Finally, Greg Valliere, the chief global strategist at Horizon Investments, says Medicaid cuts are a non-starter.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 10, 2017 • 52min

Current Job Growth Unlikely to Continue, Gross Says

Janus Capital's Bill Gross says it's a stretch to think that job growth will continue. Prior to that, Michael Cannon, the Cato Institute's director of health policy studies, says the country needs a full repeal of the Affordable Care Act. Willem Buiter, Citigroup's chief economist, says there's a risk of the rise of fascism in Europe. Finally, Alan Krueger, an economics professor at Princeton University, says the U.S. corporate tax system is awful.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 9, 2017 • 45min

Trump Has Woken Up Animal Spirits, Dimon Says

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says consumer and small-business confidence have skyrocketed under Trump's growth agenda. Prior to that, former ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet says that productivity in the U.S and E.U. isn't rising fast enough. Nathan Sheets, the U.S. Treasury Department's former undersecretary for international affairs, says a key question is how committed America is to a free trading order across the globe. Finally, Steve Wieting, Citi Private Bank's global chief strategist, says he trusts polls less and relies more on politics in investing.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 8, 2017 • 48min

Wilbur Ross Says He Hasn't Taken a Position on Border Tax

U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross says he's still studying a border adjustment tax and hasn't yet taken a position on it. Prior to that, Kate Moore, BlackRock's chief equity strategist, says low volatility doesn't indicate complacency -- instead, it suggests paralysis and confusion. Finally, Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Nicolaus' chief economist, says it's clear underemployment is significant when looking at wages.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 7, 2017 • 37min

House of Lords Shouldn't Set Brexit Conditions Now, King Says

Mervyn King, former governor of the Bank of England, discusses the role that the House of Lords plays in the Brexit process. Catherine Mann, the OECD's chief economist, says a U.S. border tax won't achieve its aims. Finally, Howard Dean, a former Democratic presidential candidate, says Trump's health-care proposal is "pretty bad."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 6, 2017 • 44min

Forecasts for Productivity Growth Are Uncertain, Blanchard Says

Olivier Blanchard, the former IMF chief economist, says forecasts for productivity growth are uncertain. Prior to that, Edward Alden, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, says the right economic nationalist conversations to be having are those that surround corporate tax reform. Torsten Slok, the chief economist at Deutsche Bank Securities, says we've plucked the lowest-hanging fruit when it comes to the growth outlook for the U.S. Finally, Marc Chandler, the head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman, says the market's expectation of a March rate hike doesn't change the odds of three rate increases this year.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 3, 2017 • 45min

Fed Isn't Committed Enough to Price Stability, Goodfriend Says

Marvin Goodfriend, an economics professor at Carnegie Mellon University, says that if the Federal Reserve were really committed to price stability, retirees would be in a much better situation today. Brian Wieser, an analyst at Pivotal Research, says Snap has created a successful product but the bigger question is whether Snap can increase revenue. David Kirkpatrick, CEO and founder of Techonomy Media, says Snap isn't like Twitter because it's got a real business. Finally, USB Securities' Julian Emanuel says enthusiasm isn't as high as it was in 1999 or 2000, suggesting valuations may still move higher.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 2, 2017 • 43min

Blinder Expects Up to Four Fed Rate Hikes This Year

Alan Blinder, former vice-chairman of the board of governors of the Federal Reserve, expects three to four rate hikes this year. Prior to that, Bill Lee, Citigroup's head of North American economics, says sentiment data aren't good predictors of real data or the economy. Jim Millstein, former chief restructuring officer at the U.S. Treasury, says the confirmation process has become uncivil and we have to change it if we want to get qualified candidates into public service. Finally, Mike Mayo, a former CLSA banking analyst, discusses the future of sell-side research and banking regulation.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 1, 2017 • 39min

Democrats Are in the Wilderness, Valliere Says

Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, says Democrats are in the wilderness when it comes to responding to President Trump, whose change in tone will yield positive dividends. Prior to that, John Silvia, Wells Fargo's chief economist, says it will be a struggle to get 3- to 4-percent GDP growth on a sustained basis. Admiral James Stavridis, the dean of Tufts University's Fletcher School, says promises are pouring in from NATO but the U.S. hasn't yet seen money from NATO allies. Finally, Steve Rattner, chairman of Willett Advisors, says that replacing Obamacare will result in a smaller health-care system that costs the government less.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Feb 28, 2017 • 49min

U.S. Economy Is Pretty Solid at 2.5% Growth, Hyman Says

Ed Hyman, chairman of Evercore ISI, says the U.S. economy will expand by 2.5 percent this year and we'll know the economy is at full employment once wages start to rise. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO's head of public policy, says tax policy is the No. 1 question from clients. Martin Hegarty, the head of BlackRock's inflation-linked bond portfolios, says core inflation is on a path to 2.7 percent at the end of 2018. Finally, Max Baucus, the former U.S. Ambassador to China and former senator from Montana, says we have to work together to make sure the tax code is efficient and that people get adequate healthcare.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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