Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg
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Mar 12, 2018 • 32min

Steady as She [the Fed] Goes, Peters Says

Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, thinks the housing sector will be resilient to Fed rate hikes. Greg Peters, PGIM Managing Director & Senior Investment Officer, says to look at the broader set of data and trends in the jobs numbers. Chad Bown, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, says we're all waiting to see how the steel and aluminum tariffs will play out. Dakin Campbell, Bloomberg Finance Americas Reporter, reviews Goldman Sachs's decision to appoint David Solomon as sole president. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 12, 2018 • 40min

Jobs Number is an Excellent Number, Goolsbee Says

Robin Niblett, Chatham House Director, is concerned that President Trump is stepping forward to meet with Kim Jong-un too early. Michelle Meyer, Bank of America Merill Lynch Head of U.S. Economics, indicates the housing recovery is ongoing. Randall Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth School Professor & former member of the U.S. Federal Reserve Board of Governors, says it's rare to have this kind of synchronized global growth. Bill Gross, Janus Henderson Investors Fund Manager, says trade tariffs are a potential negative and drag on the economy. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School Professor & former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, says 90% of what happens in the economy has nothing to do with Washington. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 8, 2018 • 29min

Intl. Women's Day with Abby Joseph Cohen

Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director & Senior Investment Strategist, is our featured guest on this International Women's Day. She discusses her outlook for GDP growth, central banks, equities, bonds, the dollar, and of course, the zeitgeist: trade.  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 8, 2018 • 26min

Tariffs May Crowd Out Investment, Coronado Says

Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives President & Founder, does not think we can sustain 3% GDP growth. Peter Chatwell, Mizuho International Head of European Rates Strategy and Geoffrey Yu, UBS Private Banking Head of the U.K. Investment Office, review the European Central Bank forward guidance out today. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Research Director of Policy Research, says Republicans want to run on the economic benefits of the tax cut but the tariffs could eat into these benefits. Cynthia Koons, Bloomberg Healthcare Reporter, reports on the Cigna and Express Scripts merger. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 7, 2018 • 34min

Mnuchin a Moderating Force But Lacks Cohn's Gravitas, says Valliere

Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Global Strategist, believes that Secretary Mnuchin will now act as a moderating force in the Trump Administration, though he lacks the gravitas of Cohn. Steve Englander Rafiki Capital Management Head Of Research And Strategy, highlights the difference between a tariff and a quota, and argues that President Trump will soon want the latter. Scott Mushkin, Wolfe Research Managing Director & Senior Research Analyst, predicts that Amazon will have 20% of the share of the consumables market, sucking a lot of share from traditional supermarkets. Michael O'Hanlon, Brookings Senior Fellow: Foreign Policy, believes the Department of Defense could save 5-10% of their budget.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 6, 2018 • 31min

The Headlines Matter on the Margin, Kantor Says

Peter Pae, Bloomberg's Seoul Bureau Chief, recaps the headlines that North Korea is open to denuclearize. Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Group Managing Director & Senior Portfolio Manager, says the bond market suggests there will be more real growth. Kim Wallace, Eurasia Managing Director of United States, notes to say that the process now in Washington is unique, is an understatement. Stephen Schork, Schork Report Editor, says the demand structure for natural gas has totally changed.  Brian Kelly, The Points Guy CEO & Founder, offers his wisdom on how to get inexpensive flights using airline miles. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 5, 2018 • 35min

We Are in a Reactive Phase, Alden Says

Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor, says the results of the Italian election indicates a heavy anti-Europe sentiment. Deborah Lehr, Paulson Institute Senior Fellow, says the World Trade Organization has failed at keeping up with the modern world of trade. Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Global Head of FX Strategy, says the biggest risk to the U.S. dollar would be a sudden loss of confidence from overseas investors.Ted Alden, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, says we live in a very different world than 1961, the world Trump has nostalgia for.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 2, 2018 • 33min

Surveillance Special: Trump's Trade Tariffs

The news flow beckoned a bonus episode! Today, Ed Hyman, Evercore ISI Vice Chairman, says once you go down the tariffs road, it gets complicated. Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University Professor says trade is not about winners and losers, it's win-win. Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman Senior Vice President of New York & Head of Currency, says a trade war is not easy to win and it is not desirable. Kerry Brown, Chatham House Associate Fellow in the Asia-Pacific Programme & Professor of Chinese Studies, thinks China was expecting this. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 1, 2018 • 28min

The World is Awash with Capital, Ailman Says

Katie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies Founder & Managing Partner, says in the corrective phase, they saw sentiment go from extremely bullish to bearish in a matter of days.  Chris Ailman, California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS) CIO, reports that last year their total return was 14%. Jonathan Miller, Miller Samuel President & CEO, says a significant amount of retail outlets are running into trouble. George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures Founder & Chairman, says China and Russia are two constrained military powers trying to pass on the world stage as if they were much more powerful.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Feb 28, 2018 • 30min

No Signs of Late Cycle Behavior, Eisman Says

Steve Eisman, Eisman Group Neuberger Bergman Senior Portfolio Manager, says the student loan problem is a U.S. government problem. Jerome Schneider, PIMCO Head Of Short-Term Portfolio Management and Funding, says they are no longer of the opinion that front-end rates are undervalued. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says on one level, Xi Jinping's decision to end presidential term limits was not surprising. Mike Mayo, Senior Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities Head of U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research, says J.P. Morgan's Investor Day yesterday was the most confident he's ever seen the bank. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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