Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg
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May 15, 2019 • 29min

Surveillance: Possible Outcomes of Trade Talks With Spence

Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley Chief Economist & Global Head of Economics, thinks trade tensions were the cause of China's slowdown. David Kostin, Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, expects modest earnings growth in 2019. Emma Ross-Thomas, Bloomberg Brexit Editor, brings us a Brexit update. Mike Spence, NYU Professor, says it's confusing what the U.S. and China really want. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 14, 2019 • 28min

Surveillance: Trade Should Be Enhanced, Mann Says

Catherine Mann, Citigroup Global Chief Economist, says closing the door to trade doesn't enhance an economy. Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, analyzes the trade dispute's impact on the renminbi. Mark Lehmann, JMP Securities President, says China has more to lose than the U.S. and Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO & Chief Research Officer, discusses actions taken by retailers to alleviate the impact of tariffs. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 13, 2019 • 27min

Surveillance: Tariffs Are Attacks On Importers, Roach Says

Michael Purves, Weeden Chief Global Strategist, says credit spreads have yet to back up. Stephen Roach, Yale Professor, Former Morgan Stanley Asia Chairman and Author of "Unbalanced: The Codependency of America and China", says tariffs are attacks on importers and the U.S. is the importer. Keyu Jin, London School of Economics & Political Science Professor, thinks U.S. tariffs have caused a surge of nationalism in China. Ted Alden, CFR Senior Fellow, Author of "Failure to Adjust: How Americans Got Left Behind in the Global Economy", says Trump's complaints about China are legitimate but his tactics aren't. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 10, 2019 • 29min

Surveillance: China Will Retaliate If No Deal Today, Woo Says

Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, says the burden of tariffs will fall on U.S. consumers. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy Media CEO & Founder, says Uber will have to rise prices soon. Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, says the Fed is keeping a close eye on inflation. Devin McDermott, Morgan Stanley Executive Director and Head of North American Exploration & Production and Integrated Oil Research, sees nice opportunities for synergies at Anadarko. David Woo, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of Global Rates & FX Strategy, thinks different markets priced in different probabilities of a U.S.-China deal. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 9, 2019 • 26min

Surveillance: Being Against China Is Popular, Treyz Says

Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Global Head of Economic Research, thinks it's unlikely that China or the U.S. will back off. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Managing Partner & Director of Economic Policy Research, says being against China is "extraordinarily popular" in the U.S. Steve Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities Chief Economist & Managing Director, says trade deals never solve trade deficit problems. Haran Segram, NYU Stern Professor, says it's not advisable to compare Uber with Amazon or Facebook for its valuation.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 8, 2019 • 29min

Tariffs Are A Job Killer, PIIE's Lovely Says

Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute Senior Fellow & Syracuse University Professor, says U.S. businesses are negatively impacted by the tariffs imposed on China. David Rosenberg, Gluskin Sheff Chief Economist & Strategist, says there's way too much risk in the market. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Interest-Rates Strategy, doesn't foresee a recession in the data. Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg Iran Reporter, says the U.S. and Europe are on different sides when negotiating with Iran. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 7, 2019 • 30min

Surveillance: Nobody Wins A Trade War, Adm. Stavridis Says

Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Adviser, says the full package of sanctions on China would be in nobody's interest. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy and Operations, expects onward tariffs and confrontation after a U.S.-China deal. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, sees chances of a recession in 2020. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, Carlyle Group Advisor & Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO, says when studying European history, he learned nobody wins a trade war. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 6, 2019 • 26min

Surveillance: Equity Markets Still Pretty Good, Patel Says

Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity Chief Market Strategist, thinks it's impossible to make an investment decision off of a tweet. Elaine Kamarck, Brookings Center For Effective Public Management Director, discusses Trump's negotiating tactics with China. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says the outlook for equity markets is still pretty positive. And Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, analyzes Amazon's challenges. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 3, 2019 • 47min

Surveillance: Capitalism Works, Langone Says

Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, offers insights on output gap measurements. Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University Economics Professor, says professionalism is key in the Fed. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, thinks it's a relief that Stephen Moore's nomination was pulled. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock’s Systematic Fixed Income Team Senior Portfolio Manager, says today's jobs data continues a sequence of strong reports. Ken Langone, Author of "I Love Capitalism" & Home Depot Co-Founder, says capitalism can be brutal but it works. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 2, 2019 • 27min

Surveillance: A Long Way To Full Employment, Blanchflower Says

Steven Englander, Standard Chartered Bank Global Head of FX, says the Fed's inflation forecast record isn't brilliant. Jerome Schneider, PIMCO Head of Short-Term Portfolio Management, expects the next Fed move to be higher in rates. Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth Professor & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, says there's still quite a long way to full employment. Sarah House, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Economist, expects a slowdown in the labor market. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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