Retirement Starts Today

If 2020 has taught us anything it is that the future is not always certain. This has brought about feelings of insecurity and anxiety in some people. That’s why this week, I share an article from Harvard Business Review which describes how people can use micro-planning and biomimicry to combat feelings of uncertainty brought on by this post-pandemic world.  After the retirement headlines, I’ll answer two listener questions. John asks about maxing out his HSA after 50 and Val is trying to decide between a pension and a lump sum payment. Don’t miss out on the latest episode of Retirement Starts Today; press play now! Outline of This Episode [1:22] How to plan your life when the future is foggy [3:19] The six steps to learn from biomimicry [7:35] How much can a person contribute to an HSA when they are over 50? [9:28] Should Val take a lump sum or an annuity? Micro-planning can help you take command of your life again Did Covid-19 toss your 5-year plan out the window? Many of us have had our future plans shaken up due to the effects of the pandemic. The lack of control that the long-term insecurity creates can bring about feelings of unease.  One way to take back control of your life is by harnessing the power of adaptability through micro-planning. Micro-planning is a way to take a larger plan and break it down into yearly, quarterly, monthly, weekly, and daily check-in practices. Biomimicry is the inspiration behind micro-planning In tumultuous times, micro-planning is more manageable than big-picture planning, and it offers the sense of power and stability that we need. The idea behind micro-planning is based on biomimicry, a practice that learns from and mimics the strategies found in nature to solve human challenges. Biomimicry uses nature as a model to imitate or use as inspiration for designs or processes with the goal of solving human problems.  Six steps you can follow to feel more in control of your future Prolonged stress can cause us to function at less than optimal levels, so it is important to mitigate stress when we can. These six elements of micro-planning can help us manage this stress, function at higher levels, and give us a sense that we are taking back control of our lives.  Set a purpose - Identify the common thread that connects the different roles you have had. What do they have in common? Think about the most fulfilling career experiences you’ve had to date and notice their commonalities.  Plan your year - Make a plan for the year that aligns with your purpose and identifies between one to three focus areas of desired growth. Keep the list of focus areas short in order to promote a better chance of success. Plan by quarters - At the beginning of each quarter, reassess your successes and failures and set goals for the next quarter. Be careful to choose no more than five to keep the list manageable. You may want to shift your plan at this stage based on your reflections on the previous quarter.  Break the quarters into months - Each month break your goals for the quarter down into specific projects, and then break the projects down into even more specific and manageable phases. Create weekly lists - At the start of the week, create a weekly to-do list, making sure to plan time for movement, sleep, time outside, hydration, and healthy food. Doing this makes sure that you are physically and mentally caring for yourself in support of your intellectual goals.  Make use of your days - Use a journal to track your energy on a daily basis. Doing this gives you powerful information as to how to optimize your workflow and helps make annual planning more mindful. Make sure to note daily what you are grateful for, as well. Journaling in this way gives you an immense sense of control, which has been proven to shrink the amount of time it takes to get tasks done. What have you been doing to help you feel more in control during the pandemic? Try implementing these steps to take command of your future. Make sure to press play to hear the details of how you can use micro-planning to improve your life. Resources & People Mentioned Harvard Business Review article  Kiplinger’s article on HSAs Connect with Benjamin Brandt Get the Retire-Ready Toolkit: http://retirementstartstodayradio.com/ Follow Ben on Twitter: https://twitter.com/retiremeasap Subscribe to the newsletter: https://retirementstartstodayradio.com/newsletter Subscribe to Retirement Starts Today on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, TuneIn, Podbean, Player FM, iHeart, or Spotify

Are you signed up for the My Social Security account from the Social Security Administration? In this episode, we’ll review a Kitces.com article written by Jeffrey Levine about this important resource. We’ll review the history of My Social Security, how to sign up for it, how its benefit calculations account for inflation, and how Americans can interpret its information in order to understand their social security benefits. Don’t miss this excellent opportunity to review a very important topic. Press play to listen. Outline of This Episode [2:28] How to access your My Social Security account [5:22] What can you do with your My Social Security account? [10:04] A question about my podcast host [11:28] Rusty needs to create about $50,000 of income each year - how should he do it? Background information on My Social Security From 1990 to 2011, the Social Security Administration mailed paper copies of Social Security statements to most American workers. These statements summarized their personalized retirement and disability benefits. However, budget cuts in 2011 paused these mailings, and now workers under age 60 no longer receive mailed statements at all. The only workers to receive Social Security statements by mail are those who were both 60 or older in 2017 and had not yet registered for an online SSA account.  How to access your My Social Security account The primary way Americans can access their annual Social Security statements is online via their My Social Security account. To set up a My Social Security account users will be required to provide some basic information on an online form. This information includes first and last name as shown on their Social Security card, Social Security number, date of birth, home address, and email address.  After filling out the form, individuals will be required to complete an identity verification process. They can either verify their identity using their smartphone to photo-capture their state-issued ID card, or they can type in their information into the online form. The second method of verification uses financial information such as credit card information, Social Security benefit amount information, a Form W-2 Wage and Tax Statement, or a Schedule SE from their most recent Form 1040. What can you do with your My Social Security account? Once you have set up your My Social Security account and can see your Social Security statements you should do a few things.  Verify your reported work history. Review the current estimates of your anticipated Social Security benefits. Explore how the benefits align with your retirement income needs. In the Social Security statements, there are three pages of important information, but most people are concerned with the information on pages two and three. Page two has a summary of your estimated retirement, disability, family survivors, and Medicare benefits. Page three of the statement lists earnings on file for each year from the time an individual began working. Listen in to hear why you should carefully check the income information from the past years.  Get your My Social Security account set up to begin your retirement planning Have you set up your My Social Security account yet? This is a great first step to get you on your way to creating your retirement plan. Make sure to listen to the listener questions segment to hear ways to create income in retirement.  Resources & People Mentioned Kitces article My Social Security Connect with Benjamin Brandt Get the Retire-Ready Toolkit: http://retirementstartstodayradio.com/ Follow Ben on Twitter: https://twitter.com/retiremeasap Subscribe to the newsletter: https://retirementstartstodayradio.com/newsletter Subscribe to Retirement Starts Today on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, TuneIn, Podbean, Player FM, iHeart, or Spotify

Despite the economic downturn, 2020 turned out to be a fantastic year for charitable giving. In this episode, we’ll look at how people chose to give and you’ll learn about the efficiency of giving through donor-advised funds (DAFs).  In the listener questions segment, you’ll learn how to survive a bear market in retirement. We’ll investigate the length of the average bear market and see how you can prepare for the worst in your retirement years.  Outline of This Episode [1:42] 2020 was a banner year for giving [4:48] Planning ahead can help alleviate a hefty tax bill [10:49] What is the average length of recovery from a bear market? [17:04] Look into Guyten’s Guardrails Shwab and Fidelity both showed an increase in giving You would think that with the economic downturn of the last year that people would tighten their bootstraps and cease giving to charities, but it turned out that the opposite was true. The two largest brokerage firms, Schwab and Fidelity, recorded increases in charitable donations.  Donations were made in response to the Covid pandemic and the social justice protests that marked the year. The biggest recipients of these charitable gifts were organizations that provide food and other necessities Donor-advised funds are an important vehicle for charitable giving Fidelity Charitable and Schwab Charitable both use donor-advised funds as a vehicle for charitable giving. Donor-advised funds (DAFs) have become popular since they are simple and make for an easy way to give strategically. These charitable investment accounts allow a donor to make a charitable contribution, receive a tax deduction, and then distribute the money over time. Have you thought of changing the way that you make charitable contributions? What are the benefits of using DAFs? DAFs have become more popular in recent years due to changes in tax laws. The new standard deduction for charitable giving increased to $24,800 for a married couple. By creating a DAF, donors can contribute a lump sum every few years and then administer the funds to the charities they choose over time. Many advisors recommend donor-advised funds as a receptacle for their clients to strategically deduct charitable contributions. Listen in to hear a real-world example of how a DAF can be used.  Planning ahead can create a tax deduction We must all pay our taxes, but we never want to overpay -- no one wants to leave the taxman a tip. If you are charitably minded, a donor-advised fund is an excellent way to implement a multi-year tax strategy and take advantage of the standard deduction. Think about how lump sum giving every few years could change your tax situation. It pays to plan your taxes ahead in retirement. Resources & People Mentioned Investment News article on charitable giving Guyton’s Rules for Withdrawal Rates Guyton’s Guardrails are discussed in - Episode 181, Episode 153, Episode 149, Episode 93 Connect with Benjamin Brandt Get the Retire-Ready Toolkit: http://retirementstartstodayradio.com/ Follow Ben on Twitter: https://twitter.com/retiremeasap Subscribe to the newsletter: https://retirementstartstodayradio.com/newsletter Subscribe to Retirement Starts Today on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, TuneIn, Podbean, Player FM, iHeart, or Spotify

If you’ve been working from home over the past year you may wonder why you feel even more exhausted than normal. This could be due to Zoom Fatigue. In this episode, we’ll explore an article from CNBC that references a Stanford study about this phenomenon. In the listener questions segment, I’ll answer questions about RMDs and Roth conversions. Let’s get to the bottom of your exhaustion--press play now.  Outline of This Episode [1:22] Zoom fatigue affects people on a psychological level [3:26] Solutions for Zoom fatigue [6:17] Future tax rates and RMDs [10:44] How to pay for Roth conversions? Why are we so exhausted after video conferencing? Over the past year, many of us have been using Zoom and other video conferencing applications to replace in-person meetings. The constant video conferencing has led to increased fatigue at the end of the day and a researcher with Stanford University wondered why. Jeremy Bailenson researched this issue and recently published a paper about how video conferencing affects people on a psychological level.  4 reasons for Zoom fatigue Jeremy concluded that there are four different contributors to Zoom Fatigue: The extended level of eye contact is unnatural. The screen causes us to look at each other for an extended period of time. In a face-to-face meeting, we wouldn’t be behaving in such a way. Non-verbal signals during video conferences require more effort than in-person meetings. During in-person meetings, our nonverbal cues happen quite naturally and without any effort. However, we have to exaggerate our non-verbal communication in a video chat which requires more thought and increases our cognitive load Watching yourself in the little box on the screen for prolonged periods is unnatural and causes self-critique.  Being forced to sit still in one place for long is exhausting. Since we are on camera we have little room to move around naturally.  Ways to battle Zoom fatigue To alleviate these issues, Bailenson has the following tips: Hide self-view.  Shrink the participant’s video window to make other people a bit smaller.  Spend some time adjusting your setup ahead of an important meeting.  Turn off your camera and take a five-minute audio-only break during a long meeting. Set cultural norms in your workplace that it’s OK to turn off the camera sometimes. Zoom fatigue is a new version of burnout that is important to mitigate. You want to retire when you are ready rather than because you are feeling burnt out due to video conferencing. Try using these tips to help you combat the exhaustion you feel after video conferencing.  Resources & People Mentioned CNBC article - Zoom Fatigue and How to Fix It A 15 question scale for evaluating Zoom fatigue You can participate in the study on Zoom Fatigue Connect with Benjamin Brandt Get the Retire-Ready Toolkit: http://retirementstartstodayradio.com/ Follow Ben on Twitter: https://twitter.com/retiremeasap Subscribe to the newsletter: https://retirementstartstodayradio.com/newsletter Subscribe to Retirement Starts Today on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, TuneIn, Podbean, Player FM, iHeart, or Spotify

You have fraud protection on your bank accounts and your credit cards, but what about your retirement accounts? Today we’ll explore an article from the Wall Street Journal outlining a case of cyber fraud in a 401K account. We’ll also discuss ways for people to safeguard their savings.  In the listener questions segment, I’ll answer a question about buying an RV in retirement and we’ll wrap up this episode with a question from Hal about whether to make Roth conversions or pay off the mortgage. Press play to get started on this episode of Retirement Starts Today.  Outline of This Episode [1:22] Retirement accounts are not offered the same protections as 401K accounts [3:04] Steps you can take to protect yourself from cyber fraud [6:20] John asks whether to get a loan for his RV or use his retirement account [12:36] Hal asks, Roth conversions or pay off the mortgage? Retirement accounts are not offered the same protections as 401K accounts Our retirement headline this week is titled Retirement Planning Gives Bigger Role to Theft Prevention as Risks Lurk Online. This article warns us against cyber fraud of retirement accounts. The laws regarding retirement income were enacted well before the internet, so they don’t address who should be responsible for this type of crime. We often have more money saved in our retirement accounts than in our checking accounts, so this kind of theft can be life-changing.  Retirement account cyberfraud is increasing  Retirement account cyber fraud used to be typically perpetrated by members of one’s own family, but in the past few years, strangers have played a bigger role in committing these types of crimes.  The article highlights one particular case where the account owners were shocked to discover that ⅔ of their retirement savings had been transferred to an unknown account. The couple then had to postpone their retirement indefinitely.  5 steps you can take to protect yourself from cyberfraud If you don’t want to have this happen to you there are steps you can take to protect yourself from cyber fraud.  Have an online account. Even if you prefer paper statements, set up online access since unclaimed online accounts are easier for impersonators to set up and control. Check in regularly. Check your 401K account along with your email and street addresses monthly. You can also sign up for text alerts that notify you of changes or transactions. Make sure to use multifactor authentication which verifies your identity by sending codes to multiple devices. Practice good internet hygiene. Avoid public wi-fi and never click on emails or texts that seek personal information including passwords. Make sure to install software updates regularly. Create good passwords. Choose a unique password and keep them confidential. If you use a third-party service to help you remember your financial passwords understand that could be grounds for denying reimbursement of any stolen funds.  Evaluate the logistics of how you withdraw money from your retirement accounts. Check with your custodian to see what the protocol is for moving money between accounts.  Thieves always want to be ahead of us and the regulators so we have to stay on our toes. Listen in to hear the tips on how you can protect your hard-earned money and retire comfortably. You’ll also hear the answers to 2 relevant listener questions.  Resources & People Mentioned Retirement Planning Gives Bigger Role to Theft Prevention as Risks Lurk Online Retirement Answer Man episode 263 Connect with Benjamin Brandt Get the Retire-Ready Toolkit: http://retirementstartstodayradio.com/ Follow Ben on Twitter: https://twitter.com/retiremeasap Subscribe to the newsletter: https://retirementstartstodayradio.com/newsletter Subscribe to Retirement Starts Today on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, TuneIn, Podbean, Player FM, iHeart, or Spotify

If you have listened to the news at all lately, you probably know what our Retirement Headlines segment will cover. The American Rescue Plan is all any financial news is talking about these days, so in today’s episode, we’ll explore what you need to know about this recent piece of legislation.  Then in the Listener Questions segment, I answer the question: should having a pension change the way we invest the rest of our portfolio? Press play to find out.  Outline of This Episode [1:22] Eligibility has been expanded in this new round of stimulus checks [5:36] What does this mean for you? [9:22] What wasn’t included in the American Rescue Plan? [12:10] How to invest if you are in line to receive a pension? Eligibility for stimulus checks has changed The American Rescue Plan is all over the news lately, but the article that I am referencing is written by Jeffrey Levine from Kitces.com titled The American Rescue Plan Act Of 2021: Tax Credits, Stimulus Checks, And More That Advisors Need To Know!  The most talked-about part of this tax legislation is, of course, the $1400 stimulus checks which will be soon sent to eligible Americans to provide economic relief from the ongoing pandemic. Not only are the checks more generous, but there are also key eligibility changes from the previous rounds of stimulus checks. Eligibility in this cycle has been expanded from including only children under the age of 17 to include all dependents in the household. However, just because you got a stimulus check last time does not mean you will receive one this time. The income limitations of this package mean that there is a narrower margin of income eligibility. While the beginning of the phaseout starts at the same level of income, $75,000 for individuals and $150,000 for married couples, it phases out much more quickly. The cap for individuals is $80,000 and couples is $160,000. What does this mean for you? If your income is close to that income cap and went down this year then you’ll want to file your taxes as soon as you can. However, if you are one of the lucky few whose income rose in 2020 compared to 2019 and are near or above the phaseout range then hold off on filing your income taxes until after you receive your stimulus payment.  What else is in the stimulus package? The stimulus checks weren’t the only thing included in this $1.9 trillion bill. Another significant change included is a significant increase in the child tax credit. This credit has been increased from $2000 to $3000 and $3600 for children under the age of 6. It is important to note that not everyone with children age 17 and under will qualify to receive the enhanced 2021 child tax credit amount since the phase-out ranges will be at significantly lower income amounts than the standard child tax credit. Listen in to find out what else was included and what wasn’t included in the American Rescue Plan and stick around to hear the listener question. Resources & People Mentioned The American Rescue Plan Act Of 2021 from Kitces.com Connect with Benjamin Brandt Get the Retire-Ready Toolkit: http://retirementstartstodayradio.com/ Follow Ben on Twitter: https://twitter.com/retiremeasap Subscribe to the newsletter: https://retirementstartstodayradio.com/newsletter Subscribe to Retirement Starts Today on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, TuneIn, Podbean, Player FM, iHeart, or Spotify

Enrolling in Medicare can be extremely stressful and confusing. There are so many choices to make, there are different rules to follow, and timelines to be met. Additionally, there is so much information out there that it merely adds to the confusion.  On this episode of Retirement Starts Today, I share with you an article written by Joanne Giardini-Russel from Advisor Perspectives entitled, 5 Tips to De-Stress the Entry into Medicare. If you are starting to dive into the Medicare enrollment process you won’t want to miss these 5 tips.  Make sure to stick around for the listener questions segment to hear a question about enrolling in Medicare as an expat as well as whether you should be doing Roth conversions if your income will decrease. You’ll also learn why it has taken me a year to get around to answering some listener questions! Outline of This Episode [1:32] 5 Tips to lessen the stress of the entry into Medicare [6:14] As an expat would it make sense to buy plans G or N now or wait? [9:43] Should you do Roth conversions now if you will have a decrease in income? [14:33] Why I haven’t been answering some listener questions 5 tips to ease the Medicare enrollment process If you are approaching age 65 you may have noticed all the literature surrounding Medicare that has come in your mail. Rather than help you answer the questions you have about Medicare, they often add to the confusion. The whole process can be overwhelming, but these 5 tips can help you understand what to do to enroll.  Don’t automatically enroll in Medicare at age 65 unless you need or want to. Understand that there are situations where you want to enroll and where you don’t want to enroll in Medicare at 65. This is one of the keys to understanding Medicare. If you do want to enroll in Medicare at age 65 you’ll need to understand all the hoops to jump through. If you are drawing your Social Security benefits before age 65 then you will be automatically enrolled in Medicare parts A and B. Don’t overwhelm yourself with too much information. You can find thousands of Medicare webinars, workshops, and seminars with a simple web search, but overwhelming yourself with too much information isn’t beneficial. You may even fall prey to businesses that are looking only to serve themselves. A good place to start your Medicare research is with the official Medicare and You Handbook directly from Medicare. Understand the 2 paths to Medicare. You’ll want to decide whether to go with a Medigap plan or a Medicare Advantage plan. Learn the differences between the two and think about which one best fits your budget and lifestyle.  Use technology to take advantage of everything that you can access from the comfort of your home.  Secure a good Medicare guide. Contact several different agencies and agents before turning 65. Prepare a list of questions for them and make sure to check their Google reviews. When selecting an agent you’ll want to make sure to choose one who will stick with you over time and provide follow-up support.  Key takeaways about signing up for Medicare Try not to get overwhelmed by the Medicare enrollment process. Begin your research before you turn 65, and spend time finding a good agent or agency who will be there to support you over the long haul. Educate yourself with available government resources so that you can make informed decisions. Check out the Boomer Benefits YouTube channel in April to see me on a 3-part series with Danielle Roberts. Make sure that you are subscribed to the Every Day is Saturday newsletter to receive a direct link when it comes out. Resources & People Mentioned 5 Tips to Destress the Entry into Medicare Medicare and You Handbook Medigap informational video Medicare Advantage informational video Connect with Benjamin Brandt Get the Retire-Ready Toolkit:  http://retirementstartstodayradio.com/ Follow Ben on Twitter:  https://twitter.com/retiremeasap Subscribe to the newsletter: https://retirementstartstodayradio.com/newsletter Subscribe to Retirement Starts Today on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, TuneIn, Podbean, Player FM, iHeart, or Spotify

How long have you been saving for retirement? Are you hesitant to break into your retirement funds and start living it up once you retire?  This week I share two Retirement Headlines articles. The first is called Right-Sizing Retirement and it comes from the Financial Planning Association. In this article, the authors pose an important question: why save for retirement if you're not going to spend it? We’ll also check out another article from Wharton Magazine entitled The Economics of Living to 100. Is your retirement plan ready for you to live until 100? Listen to this episode to understand how you can best combat the uncertainty that retirement brings. Outline of This Episode [1:42] Right-sizing retirement [6:28] Combat uncertainty with contingency planning [7:22] What if you live until 100? [11:50] There is a need for longevity income [13:39] What is your plan B? Why are Americans underspending in their first 10 years of retirement? David Blanchett and Warren Cormier recently wrote an article for the Financial Planning Association in which they explore the first 10 years of retirement. What they discovered from the RAND Health and Retirement Study is that early retirees tend to underspend. The authors wanted to find the underlying reasons for why we are seeing this trend in America. This research explores the retirement consumption gap and considers both the wealth available to fund retirement and spending before and after retirement. There are 2 types of retirees Retirees can be broken down into 2 main categories: those who have saved enough to cover their levels of pre-retirement spending and those who did not. Interestingly, both of these types of retirees tend to underspend in early retirement but for different reasons. Only 18 percent of households in America have enough wealth to cover their pre-retirement spending during retirement. This tells us that most households will not be able to maintain their pre-retirement lifestyle in retirement because they don’t have enough money.  You may think that only those that don’t have enough saved cut their spending in retirement, however, the data shows that most households that have saved more than enough to fund their lifestyles in retirement also decrease their spending in early retirement. Why don't well-funded households spend more in retirement? Many well-funded households could increase consumption but don’t. So, why does this group of retirees spend less during early retirement? Potential reasons include the desire to leave a legacy, uncertain medical expenses, or an uncertain life expectancy. There also could be psychological or other reasons not easily discerned from survey data. Uncertainty leads to spending less The main reason for this lack of spending in the first 10 years of retirement is uncertainty. Does the uncertainty that retirement brings give you pause to live out your retirement fully?  One way to combat this unpredictability is with contingency planning. If you’re listening to a retirement podcast then you probably have a retirement plan, but do you have a plan B? What will you do if life throws a wrench in your plans? Listen in to hear what you can do to combat the uncertainty that retirement brings. Resources & People Mentioned Right-Sizing Retirement article The Economics of Living to 100 Connect with Benjamin Brandt Get the Retire-Ready Toolkit: http://retirementstartstodayradio.com/ Follow Ben on Twitter: https://twitter.com/retiremeasap Subscribe to the newsletter: https://retirementstartstodayradio.com/newsletter Subscribe to Retirement Starts Today on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, TuneIn, Podbean, Player FM, iHeart, or Spotify

Have you heard of the Monte Carlo retirement projection analysis? It is being used more and more by advisors and even popular retirement planning websites. Today, in the Retirement Headlines segment, I offer some insight on an article from Kitces.com that argues that using the Monte Carlo projection, a 50%probability of success rate is good enough. Then in the listener questions segment, I answer the question: what should you do if you plan on never retiring? Don’t miss out on my 5 step plan for those that plan on never retiring.  Outline of This Episode [1:32] A 50% probability of success is actually a viable Monte Carlo retirement projection [7:34] Your retirement plan doesn’t have to be carved in stone [11:11] What should you do if you plan on never retiring? [16:00] Steps to follow if you don’t plan to retire What is the Monte Carlo analysis? The Monte Carlo analysis is increasingly becoming the most common method of conducting retirement projections for clients. I use it in my own practice and many online retirement calculators such as Vanguard and Fidelity use it too. This risk management technique was actually developed by an atomic nuclear scientist in 1940 to analyze the impact of risks of a project and had nothing to do with retirement.  Would you be comfortable with a probability of success under 70% for your retirement? You may hear financial advisors discussing a client’s probability of success to describe their retirement portfolio. Reflecting on your grades in school, you probably aren’t comfortable with anything less than 70% since anything below that would be a failing grade. However, in his article, Derek Tharp argues that a probability of under 70% is still realistic for clients who are willing to make some spending adjustments. Your retirement plan doesn’t have to be carved in stone Your retirement isn’t static, it’s a constantly changing dynamic picture that should use a dynamic strategy that fits your unique situation and shifting goals. If you are willing to make the needed adjustments on your path to retirement, then when you hear the news that you have a 50% (or even lower) probability of success, don’t panic, you may actually be in better shape than you may realize as long as adjustments are made. The drawbacks of retirement models The Monte Carlo simulation is a useful planning tool but it has its drawbacks. Like many retirement tools, it doesn’t do a great job of modeling human behavior in retirement. If the markets start dropping most people adjust their spending habits accordingly. Guyton’s Guardrails are a better tool for predicting how people might behave as the markets rise and fall. You can learn more about Guyton’s Guardrails in episodes 153, 149, and 93. Stick around until the end of this episode to hear my 5 step plan for those that never plan to retire. Resources & People Mentioned Why 50% Probability Of Success Is Actually A Viable Monte Carlo Retirement Projection Vanguard Retirement Tools Fidelity Retirement Tools Derek Tharp - Conscious Capital Guyton’s Guardrails are discussed in - Episode 153, Episode 149, Episode 93 Guyton’s Rules for Withdrawal Rates Connect with Benjamin Brandt Get the Retire-Ready Toolkit: http://retirementstartstodayradio.com/ Follow Ben on Twitter: https://twitter.com/retiremeasap Subscribe to the newsletter: https://retirementstartstodayradio.com/newsletter Subscribe to Retirement Starts Today on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, TuneIn, Podbean, Player FM, iHeart, or Spotify

Have you wondered why the markets had such an amazing year in 2020 when the economy was a mess and everyone was stuck at home? You aren’t the only one. That’s why in this episode, we’ll look at a New York Times article that examines this question.  We’ll also answer some listener questions directly from our newsletter readers. Dave asks about dividend investing in retirement and Brian asks about how to pivot away from target-date funds after retiring.  Outline of This Episode [1:22] How data can help us understand the stock market’s response to Covid 19 [7:50] Is it better to reinvest dividends from stock funds and interest from bond funds in retirement? [10:30] Should you maintain your assets in a target-date fund after retirement? Covid brought about even bigger differences between the haves and have nots Recently the New York Times investigated Why Markets Boomed in a Year of Human Misery. This article analyzed the income, spending, and savings levels from March through November of 2020 and during that same time period in 2019. The comparison between these two vastly different years illustrates how policy, markets, and the economy intersect. Ultimately, the article reveals a sharp distinction between the haves and have-nots during the pandemic. Incomes actually increased in 2020 It may be hard to believe, but the study that the article referenced shows that salaries and wages only fell 0.5% during the nine months of the Covid pandemic. This is due to the fact that the millions of people no longer working were disproportionately in lower-paying service jobs while higher-salary jobs were largely unaffected.  Due to the CARES Act, most households received $1200 stimulus checks. That coupled with an expansion in unemployment insurance programs prevented an income collapse. It turned out that Americans’ cumulative after-tax personal income was actually $1.03 trillion higher from March to November of 2020 than in 2019, an increase of more than 8%.  Americans spent less in 2020 than in 2019 While Americans were earning more in 2020 than in 2019 they ended up spending less. Spending on services like restaurants and travel fell by $575 billion, or nearly 8%. Instead, that money went to spending on durable and non-durable goods. Overall, American spending decreased by $535 billion.  Savings have reached record levels Since Americans were earning more and spending less that meant that savings rates increased dramatically. From March through November 2020, personal savings was $1.56 trillion higher than it was in 2019 -- a rise of 173%! Before the pandemic savings rates were at 7% and spiked to 33.7% in April. This was its highest level on record, dating all the way back to 1959.  These findings are quite unexpected during this time of worldwide crisis. If there is a lesson to be learned here it’s that when the world expects the stock market to zig more often than not it will zag. Remember that the next time the world throws us an economic curveball.  Tune in to find out the answers to our listener questions! Resources & People Mentioned New York Times article Connect with Benjamin Brandt Get the Retire-Ready Toolkit: http://retirementstartstodayradio.com/ Follow Ben on Twitter: https://twitter.com/retiremeasap Subscribe to the newsletter: https://retirementstartstodayradio.com/newsletter Subscribe to Retirement Starts Today on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, TuneIn, Podbean, Player FM, iHeart, or Spotify