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The Macro Trading Floor

Latest episodes

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Jun 7, 2024 • 38min

Risk Management Principles

Alf and Brent discuss ECB and Bank of Canada cuts, bond market moves, managing risk in carry trades, using options for risk management, analyzing gold as an asset, exploring gold in a portfolio, launch of Spectra School, and platform features.
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5 snips
May 31, 2024 • 29min

Don't Make This Mistake

Peter Farac, an experienced money manager specializing in rates and vol markets, joins Alf to discuss the US business cycle, market positioning, and trading strategies. They delve into fiscal and monetary policies, central bank rate decisions, trading strategies, and navigating macro trading views amidst market uncertainties.
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10 snips
May 24, 2024 • 37min

How Macro Traders Navigate Uncertainties

Macro traders Alf and Brent discuss market complacency, bond market surprises, Chinese impact on macro, odds of a Trump win, and implications. They delve into the challenges of hiring in finance, mastering market trends, election impact on assets, and the importance of risk management strategies.
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4 snips
May 17, 2024 • 36min

How To Trade Macro Now?

Discussion on the soft patch in the US, CPI numbers, trading strategies in low-volatility markets, China's upcoming moves. Insights on US CPI, market focus shifts, mastering trading rules, market crowding analysis, Chinese stock performance, government intervention, and AI creativity in trading discussions.
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May 10, 2024 • 38min

Early Signs of Weakness

Discussion of early signs of weakness in global markets, including rate cuts by various central banks. Exploration of trading strategies amidst volatile events and breaking long-term correlations. Analysis of structural USD strength and implications for market regime switches.
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May 3, 2024 • 37min

A New Fed Put?

Exploring potential soft patch in nominal growth, impact of rate hikes and Fed policy on private sector, stagflation concept. Repercussions of volatility shock on carry traders in Dollar JPY. Market fluctuations in assets, trading ideas, and recommendations for the week.
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17 snips
Apr 26, 2024 • 38min

A Contrarian Macro Thesis

Contrarian macro thesis challenges reflation narrative, discusses potential Chinese devaluation. Insights on stop losses in trading, debt service ratios, and contrarian trading strategies.
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Apr 19, 2024 • 37min

What if Hikes are Stimulative?!

Exploring the implications of potential Fed rate hikes, the idea of hikes being stimulative, and the global obsession with 2% inflation targets. Includes discussions on market positioning, trade recommendations, and the humorous origins of mozzarella production.
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8 snips
Apr 12, 2024 • 38min

Yes, But What Will Break Markets?

This podcast discusses the brewing market tensions amid potential Fed cuts, focusing on commodities, bond markets, and the US Dollar. Topics include MMT effects on fiscal policies, market dynamics post rate hikes, tax-related flows on stock markets, short-term oil price forecast, Dollar vs. Rand trade idea, and insights on central banking trends.
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4 snips
Apr 5, 2024 • 36min

The Next Big Trade?

Exploration of market volatility and reflation trade trends, including commodities rallying. Discussion on potential next big trade amidst weakening US Dollar. Insights on contrarian trading and yield curve steepeners, with humorous cultural misunderstanding anecdote.

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