The Compound and Friends

Adam Parker, Founder and CEO of Trivariate Research and former chief strategist at Morgan Stanley, joins the discussion focused on market dynamics and the unpredictable nature of election outcomes. They dive into the reliability of polling versus betting markets, revealing the implications for political bias. Parker addresses the current stock market's valuations, the tension between value and growth investing, and the potential economic impacts of immigration policies. The conversation also touches on consumer sentiment and its influence on market perceptions.

Robin Wigglesworth, a Financial Times columnist and author of 'Trillions,' dives into the legacy of index investing, paying tribute to pioneer Mac McQuown. He shares insights on the evolution of index funds and the impact of key figures like Jack Bogle. The discussion highlights the recent Fed rate cuts and the S&P 500's rise to 6,000, alongside market resilience amid speculation around cryptocurrencies and tech IPOs. Wigglesworth also explores Elon Musk's complicated acquisition of Twitter, emphasizing the need for cautious investing in turbulent times.

Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies and expert in technical analysis, joins the conversation to discuss the market's reaction to elections and the surge in financial stocks. She shares insights on the importance of technical analysis and why caution is warranted in the current climate. The discussion also covers Bitcoin's role as a potential reserve currency and the contrasting performance of small-cap stocks versus the S&P 500. With a blend of market trends and personal insights, Stockton offers valuable perspectives for investors navigating these dynamic times.

Join Callie Cox, Chief Strategist at Ritholtz Wealth, and Ben Carlson, an investment analyst, as they dissect the post-election market dynamics. They explore the noticeable impacts of Republican gains on stocks and the rise of small-cap stocks. Topics include Bitcoin's potential evolution as a reserve asset and the economic implications of tariffs and immigration policies. The conversation also highlights market reactions to political events and the psychological factors influencing investor behavior, providing listeners with valuable insights into navigating current financial waters.

Jack Raines, associate editor at Sherwood and former editor of Exec Sum, dives into the complexities of betting on the upcoming election and the impact of prediction markets. He discusses the stark contrast between investor confidence and public sentiment regarding the economy. The conversation also touches on social media biases and their influence on trading trends, as well as MicroStrategy’s ambitious Bitcoin strategy. Humor lightens the mood as they share experiences of living expenses in New York City, providing a blend of serious insights and entertaining anecdotes.

Nick Colas and Jessica Rabe, co-founders of DataTrek Research, bring their market expertise to the table alongside Callie Cox, Chief Market Strategist at Red Holt's Wealth Management. They delve into the surprising rise of Treasury yields amidst Federal Reserve cuts, exploring labor market trends and wage dynamics. The trio discusses how political betting might shape financial markets ahead of the 2024 elections. Additionally, they analyze the effects of volatility on investment strategies and the significance of tech valuations, offering a comprehensive view of current economic landscapes.

Jason Zweig, a seasoned financial journalist and author of 'Your Money and Your Brain,' joins to discuss his insights on investing and the timeless wisdom of Benjamin Graham. He contemplates how Graham would perceive today's market dynamics, dives into the complexities of buffered ETFs, and shares highlights from his last conversation with Charlie Munger. The discussion also touches on the significance of humility in financial journalism, generational investing mistakes, and the importance of establishing personal investment rules.

Robert Armstrong, a US financial commentator for the Financial Times and author of the Unhedged newsletter, joins the discussion on Pfizer's recent turbulence. They dive into the impact of activist hedge fund Starboard Value's billion-dollar investment and what it means for the pharmaceutical giant. The conversation explores Pfizer's pandemic triumph, current financial challenges, and strategic shifts in leadership amidst declining vaccine demand. Armstrong sheds light on the chaotic dynamics of Wall Street and the potential risks ahead for Pfizer.

Warren Pies and Fernando Vidal, co-founders of 3Fourteen Research, dive into the intricacies of investment strategies and asset allocation. They discuss the ideal conditions for gold amid shifting market valuations and share insights on the recovery of the S&P 500 post-bear market. The duo explores the dynamics of large-cap stocks and the impact of technology and AI on market trends, while also unveiling their innovative ETF strategies that recently gained substantial assets. Their engaging perspectives illuminate the complexities of today's financial landscape.

Bill Sweet, CFO of Ritholtz Wealth Management and principal at RWM Tax, dives into the potential fallout from upcoming tax cuts expiring in 2025. He discusses how individual tax cuts from the 2017 reform are temporary and the implications of potential tax increases for American households. Sweet also highlights the challenges of navigating the SALT cap's effects on high-income earners in blue states. Additionally, he reflects on the current bull market, especially the impressive recovery of tech stocks, and emphasizes key year-end tax strategies for investors.