The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

RATE AND REVIEW this podcast on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ Sacrificed on the Altar of Political Correctness I want to spend the rest of this podcast talking about politics; in particular, what's going on with Brett Kavanaugh and his fading chances of sitting on the Supreme Court.  It appears that he may be sacrificed on the altar of political correctness. I also blame the Republicans for allowing this to happen - to have fallen into this trap; not just with Kavanaugh. No Sense of Proportion This has been slowly building, the camel's nose under the tent, and once the Democrats play this card - and this is not the racist card this is the rape card, the violence against women card. there's a zero tolerance now.  You can't even create the appearance that one is somehow tolerant of any kind of sexual abuse against women. There is no sense of proportion. Allegation About a 35-Year Old Event There was an allegation that became more significant 2 days ago when a previously unnamed woman who claimed that BrettKavanaugh assaulted her when they were in high school.  Now, of course, Kavanaugh is 53 years old now, so this is over 35 years ago. There Was a Lot of Alcohol at This Party Kavanaugh denied the initial allegation. Initially, the identity of the woman was unknown, as was the nature of the "sexual assault".  So Kavanaugh denied it. Now we actually have a name: Christine Blasey Ford, 51, a professor of Psychology, a registered Democrat. She has come forward now with the details of the encounter and the lack of details, because much of it she does not recall. After all, it happened 35 years ago, and according to the accuser, there was a lot of alcohol at this party.  She says that Kavanaugh was drunk, so she was probably drunk herself. I don't know if she has admitted to being drunk - there was alcohol at the party and the boys were drinking it.  It stands to reason that she probably had some alcohol herself.Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

RATE AND REVIEW this podcast on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ Making the Rich Pay Julia Salazar, another Democratic Socialist defeated Martin Dilan in the NY Senate primary.  The only reference to taxes on her website was to "make the rich pay their fair share".  That's it.  Nothing about what specifically she wants to raise, by how much she wants to raise it and how much money is going to come it.  This is going to be provided, that is going to be provided, and the people vote for her! This is how dumb the electorate has become. Shift to Democratic Socialism This is what I have been warning about on this podcast.  This shift in the political spectrum. The Democrats are moving to the left.  Democratic incumbents are going to be replaced by Socialists or will have to openly embrace Socialism themselves in order to maintain their seats. This is very dangerous, because when it does hit the fan, and it should hit the fan before the next elections a Democrat is going to be the next President, and the Democrats are going to control Congress. It's not going to be the Democratic party of Bill Clinton or even Barack Obama. It will be the Democratic party of Bernie Sanders. Sovereign Debt Crisis and Dollar Crisis We're going back to the anniversary of the Financial Crisis and the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and the next crisis, which will be a sovereign debt crisis and a dollar crisis.  It's going to be much much worse.  Bailouts are not going to work; stimulus is not going to work. Injecting Stimulus Directly into the Rears of the Democratic Voters But they're not going to try the same type of stimulus. They're not going to talk about injecting monetary heroin into the banking system to create a wealth effect. They're going to inject the stimulus right into the rear ends of the Democratic voters. They're going to want to give the money directly to the people, whether it is through some kind of basic income program or government make-work or forgiving student loans.  Whatever they do, it will be about showering money that the Fed creates out of thin air and putting it directly in the pockets of the voters. That is just pure unadulterated inflation.  Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

CHECK OUT Buying Bitcoin is Like Buying Air https://youtu.be/XmMQAuO62gI Another Round of Tax Cuts Now the Republicans are talking about another round of tax cuts. Just in time for the November election. Whether or not these tax cuts actually get passed is anyone's guess, but it will be an issue on the campaign trail, either because they delivered the tax cut or because the only thing standing in the way of a tax cut is the Democrats. Remember the individual tax cuts were passed the last time are temporary - they phase out. The corporate rates do not phase out. Of course, all tax cuts are temporary because any Congress can raise taxes any time it wants, so it's just semantics. Temporary Tax Cuts Were a Lie The reason they had to make the individual tax cuts temporary was so that they can pretend that the increase in the budget deficits was not going to be as high as everybody knew that it was. The presumption was that Congress would vote to extend them.  Here we are, not even a year has gone by and the Republicans already want to come back and make them permanent, which shows that the temporary tax cuts were a lie. Government Revenues up 1% - Government Spending Up 7% The August budget deficit was $211 billion - nearly double the deficit that we had in the same month last year. In the first 8 months of the year, the deficit is $895 billion. This is a trillion dollar deficit during a supposedly booming economy. If we can't generate surpluses in a booming economy, imagine the enormity of the deficits when the economy is not booming,. Imagine how bad the deficits will be when the economy is actually in a recession. In this most recent year, the deficit is $222 billion higher than the previous year and government spending is up 7%, yet revenues only rose 1%. So it is not closing the gap, not by a long shot. Too Big to Bail The U.S. government is too big to bail - not too big to fail - too big to bail. Of course the government technically does not need a bailout; it just prints more money. Of course, that's the problem. They will print money that nobody wants and the currency is going to collapse. Saying Yes to Socialism Says No to Prosperity Recently on the Bill Maher show Jim Carrey said, "Socialism is great, so why don't the Democrats just embrace it?  Say yes to Socialism, already. Now they can come out and openly declare that they are Socialists now because everybody likes it.  When you say yes to Socialism, you're saying no to some very important things, like individual liberty, freedom, prosperity. Voters don't know that.  They just think Socialism is a bunch of free stuff, and they get more free stuff under Socialism than under Capitalism. People want stuff.Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

CHECK OUT Buying Bitcoin is Like Buying Air https://youtu.be/XmMQAuO62gI GM Hit New Low for the Year If you want to look at some of the signals you're getting from the markets, look at the automobile stocks: General Motors and Ford, which are basically the only 2 automobile companies we have left. (Chrysler is now owned by Fiat.) They both hit 52-week lows today and they're both in bear markets. General Motors closed at $33.91 - a new low for the year.  The stock was as high as $46.76 in June. The stock is down almost 30% in the last couple of months. It's a bear market. Ford at a Six-Year Low The story at Ford is even worse. Ford was up at around $12 a couple of months ago.  It is down to $9.27. If you look at its high - it was at $16 in September of 2014.  Ford is down to where it was the summer of 2012 - 6 years ago. It's at a 6-year low.  If we go any lower we'll be at an . 8-year low. Two Auto Companies Solidly in Bear Market So you've got our 2 automobile companies solidly in bear market territory, making new lows. These are vital parts of the economy. There are many industries that feed off these companies, the aftermarket industries.  These are the good jobs, the high paying jobs that Trump promised to bring back.  Remember he was really campaigning in Detroit and other places where they make cars. These companies are hitting multi-year lows. Tariffs Aren't Helping Auto Industry So the tariffs aren't working. The tax cuts aren't working. The auto companies are going down.  Remember, stocks are forward looking, so the stocks are basically saying that there is a big slowdown coming in the automobile sector. Profits are not going to be there. Tax cuts are not going to be very valuable if there aren't any profits. Industry Slowdown in Home Building Also look at what is happening with the home building companies. All these stocks getting killed - some down over 5% today alone. They are pretty much all in bear market territory. So now the homebuilders are also saying, "The industry is going to slow down." Autos and Housing Are Not Booming Those are 2 very important sectors of the economy: housing and autos. If they are on the verge of recession.  If the stocks in those sectors are forecasting recession, how is it possible that the U.S. economy is experiencing a "historic boom"? "It's booming like it's never boomed before!" Yet autos and housing are not only not part of the boom, they're actually having a bust. Riddle me that, Batman. How is it that the economy is so strong when these two key sectors are so weak? Interest Rates and Inflation Why are these sectors so weak?  Well one reason, of course, is rising interest rates.  Everybody believes that interest rates are going to keep rising which means more nails in the coffin of the auto sector and the housing sector. And of course, both housing and autos are being hit by inflation because of raw material costs.  It's more expensive to build cars - it's even more expensive to build homes. Tariffs Attacking Our Vendors and Bankers The tariffs are getting higher.  Trump was out today saying he is going to put another $240 billion of tariffs on Chinese products in addition to the $200 billion we already have queued up and yesterday he was talking about going after Japan and we're the ones who have the most to lose by picking all these fights with all the countries that are supplying us the goods we need and loaning us all the money we need.  We're basically attacking our vendors and our bankers and somehow think this is a good strategy. Big Leading Indicators Say Something is Wrong So you can't have a recession in autos and housing simultaneously and somehow the rest of the U.S. economy is impervious.Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Another Bear Market Before the Election The odds are that we are going to have another bear market and we're going to have another recession and the odds are that both are going to start before the next election. What are the odds that Trump can be re-elected if we are in a recession and in a bear market? The only thing that Trump's got going for himself is to talk about how great the economy is, and how high the stock market is. You take that out and what does he have left? Trump Claims Most Accomplishments Than any other President in History I was listening to a press conference with the President today, and one of the false claims he made is that he said, "I've accomplished more in the first two years of office than any President in history." Now, I don't know where he is getting this; what exactly has he accomplished as compared to other Presidents' accomplishments.  I'll agree, most modern Presidents, to the extent that they accomplish, they accomplish larger government. We Started with Perfect Government - Small! We started from a perfect place. We started with limited government, and most of what Presidents have accomplished was to accomplish more government by allowing more legislation to be passed, making government bigger and restricting individual liberty. From that perspective, I like a President who accomplishes nothing.  We started with maximum liberty and minimal government.  What I want to accomplish is maintaining minimal government. Shrink Government and Enable Private Sector to be Great Again When Donald Trump talked about "Making America Great Again", if he actually wanted to do it, restoring our greatness means shrinking government and enabling the private sector to be great again by removing all the burdens that have been placed on it.  Has Trump actually done more, good or bad, than any other President?  I doubt it. Who Saved Social Security? But one of the things that Trump claimed credit for, is that he said he "saved Social Security and Medicare". He said the Democrats wanted to ruin it or get rid of it, and I saved it.  What Democrat wants to get rid of Social Security?Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

RATE AND REVIEW this podcast https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ What About Employers' Day? Labor Day is coming up on Monday it it annoys me that we just have a Labor Day and we don't have an Entrepreneur Day.  We don't have a day to celebrate the employer. Why is that? The entrepreneurs are the unsung heroes of the American economy. I'm not saying that the workers don't make a contribution, but the assumption, when you talk about workers is that the boss doesn't work.  If you look at small businesses, in general, the owner of the business works harder that anybody else. They're usually the first one there and the last one to leave. Employers Don't All Get the Luxury of a Paycheck When someone owns a business, they don't have the luxury of collecting a paycheck.  They get paid only if there is a profit. They get paid only after all the workers get paid, the landlord gets a check, and if they borrowed money they have to pay interest to the creditor, they have to buy all the equipment, they have to pay all the bills.  Sometimes businesses lose money for years while the owner works 18-hour days.  So that's who we should be celebrating, but we don't do that. Politicians Know Where the Votes Are Why is that? Why do politicians try to get the votes of the employees? That's where all the votes are. Most people are employees. Few people have the know-how to run a business. Try to make a business run, try to organize all the pieces and get it to work, that's a very difficult thing to do, and that's why most people don't even try. Everybody gets a day off with pay, which is great for the worker, but the money to pay everybody not to work comes from the boss. Thank Your Boss But want to wish everybody a happy Labor Day, especially all you employers out there.  If you have a boss, thank him or her. Express thanks for all the hard work it takes to make sure your paycheck doesn't bounce.  Anybody can sign the back of a paycheck.  It is much harder to sign the front of a paycheck and to make sure that there is money in the bank so that those paychecks don't bounce.Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

RATE AND REVIEW this podcast on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ Fed Responsible for Most Recent Move Up I think what's really responsible for this most recent move up is the Fed comments.  Now maybe Trump can take credit for those, maybe President Trump was able to get Jerome Powell's mind right after all, when it comes to rate hikes, although, if you look at the coverage from Jackson Hole, most people think that Powell stood strong and was resisting the calls from Trump to go easy on rate hikes and he was standing by the Fed's commitment to raising rates.  But that was not really what was said. Not just by Powell, but by other Fed officials who were there who were giving interviews from Jackson Hole. 2% Today Is Not the Same Thing as 2% in the 1990's To me it was clear, and I mentioned this on my previous podcast about the Fed being willing to let the inflation genie out of the bottle, that the Fed is basically back-tracking on rate hikes that the markets may have anticipated for 2019, by talking about how interest rates are closer to normal now.  That 2% today is not the same thing as 2% in the 1990's, not wanting to invert the yield curve, waiting for the whites of inflation's eyes before they actually come out blasting by doing everything that it takes. Pound of Cure Beats an Ounce of Prevention I think that the Fed has basically said we are going to sit back, we're not going to be pre-emptive on inflation fighting, we don't think inflation is going to break out, but if we're wrong, then we'll do whatever it takes. Basically the Fed's new attitude is, "Why take an ounce of prevention when you can always use a pound of cure?" Because when it comes to inflation, that ounce of prevention, given how frail the economy actually is and what a big bubble we have, that ounce of prevention could be lethal so let's just forget about that.  Somehow we're going to be able to slam the economy with a pound of cure, we're going to be able to get aggressive on fighting inflation if for some reason it ends up being much worse than we thought.  Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

RATE AND REVIEW this podcast on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ Dovish Speech Given by Jerome Powell The catalyst for the rise in gold and the decline in the dollar, I believe, was the dovish speech given by Jerome Powell today in Jackson Hole. Whether or not the speech is perceived as dovishly as I believe it is, I think we're going to have to see if we are going to get some follow through in the dollar and in the gold market next week. It is critical to see how the markets follow through to today's actions. If I'm right, we could see a big move up in the price of gold next week and a big move down in the dollar. Hedge Funds Are Net Short Gold Remember we've got a lot of people who are short gold now for the first time since 2001, the hedge funds were net short gold and I think they could get caught in a losing trade and have to scramble to buy back the gold that they sold. Also, lots of people are now loaded up long the dollar, short the emerging market currencies.  But the impetus for this trade, the momentum, had to do with the bullish posture of the Fed and the anticipation that the Fed will continue to raise interest rates and shrink its balance sheet. Second-Guessing Assumptions But if what Jerome Powell said today causes traders to second guess those assumptions and maybe dial back their expectations for rate hikes - maybe not necessarily the 2 rate hikes that everybody believes are coming in the balance of 2018 - but potentially the idea that there may be no rate hikes at all coming in 2019, that 2018 may be the end of it. In fact, maybe, we won't even get the December rate hike.  I think to the extent the traders start to re-price the odds of future rate hikes this could be a big move in the dollar, a big move in gold and again, we have got to see what happens, because maybe this was a one day event… maybe traders are not going to read into Powells comments what I think he meant. But, given the reaction that we had today, I think there is a reasonable chance that that is exactly the way the markets are going to take it. We have so many people on the wrong side of this trade right now that it's a perfect time for the market to swing the other way.  Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

RATE AND REVIEW this podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ Trump Suffers Huge Double Blow Yesterday, two key people - one the President's former campaign manager Paul Manafort was convicted of multiple counts of serious financial crimes, and later that day, Michael Cohen, the President's personal attorney, copped a plea to multiple financial crimes. So you have two key figures in Trump's campaign who are not criminals. Violation of Campaign Finance Laws Now, obviously, the President has not admitted to a crime, he has not been convicted of a crime, but still - guilt by association. The most problematic, at least thus far, is the fact that one of the crimes that Micheal Cohen pled guilty to had to do with violation of campaign finance laws. He made two large payments ($100,000+) to two women, one was a porn star and one was an ex-Playboy playmate. Both of these women claimed that they had had affairs with Donald Trump. In order to buy their silence, to pay them off, Donald Trump funneled some money, through Michael Cohen, to these two women. Trump's Original Story Doesn't Make Sense Of course, Donald Trump claims that he knew nothing about it - that Michael Cohen just decided on his own to make these payments and Donald Trump didn't even know about it. That was his original story until he changed his story and said he found out about it later. Although, they even have a tape recording of Donald Trump and Michael Cohen discussing how to make the payments before they were made. Guilt By Association Of course, Trump's version of the story doesn't make sense. But now Michael Cohen, as part of his plea, said that the payments that he made were made at the direction of the President. Donald Trump asked him to make the payments, he made the payments, and he has now pled guilty to the crime of making those payments. So if it was criminal for Michael Cohen to pay off these women the way he did, well then obviously the President conspired to commit that crime.  Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

RATE AND REVIEW this podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ Strong Dollar Policy? There used to be a lot of talk about the so-called Strong Dollar Policy. We had the Strong Dollar Policy when Bill Clinton was President, George Bush; I guess when Barack Obama was President, as well.  I've talked about it, I've written about it in Crash Proof, How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse; I talked about it like it was the Loch Ness monster.  Everybody knows about it, everybody's heard about it but no one has actually seen it. We Like the Strong Dollar. A Strong Dollar is Good for America We didn't actually have an official policy that constituted the strong dollar policy.  It was simply talking about the strong dollar being in the national interest, and that was just the mantra that was repeated often by the Secretary of the Treasury or by the President. "We like the strong dollar. A strong dollar is good for America… and that pretty much constituted the policy. The Trend Was Your Friend But nonetheless, having the belief that there was some kind of hidden strong dollar policy helped to create confidence in the dollar, even in periods of time when the dollar was declining. Perhaps it would have declined even more had it not been for the belief that there was some kind of strong dollar policy. And of course, when the dollar was rising, the "strong dollar policy" really helped add fuel to the increase because after all, you were riding the policy.  So the dollar was going up and that was what the U.S. government wanted, so it was all good. The trend was your friend. Donald Trump's Weak Dollar Policy Well, it should be obvious that Donald Trump has a weak dollar policy, whether he wants to name it or not, that's the policy. Of course, the weak dollar policy will not involve actually doing anything, just as the strong dollar policy didn't involve doing anything, but I think the rhetoric will have the same impact in that when the dollar finally starts to fall, it will fall even faster when people think it's a deliberate policy.Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy