The Bitcoin Layer

The Bitcoin Layer
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Jul 18, 2024 • 21min

Interest Rates Update: Get Ready To ReFi, Bitcoin Valuation

In this episode, Nik brings us a timely update on the path of interest rates in the United States, including a look at Treasury yields and the yield curve, an exploration into the "Trump trade" of a yield curve steepener, the latest with Fed cut expectations, and some bitcoin valuation analysis. Make sure you get your mortgage refinance applications ready, as rates are coming down. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys.Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://unchained.com/tbl?utm_campaig... and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: / thebitcoinlayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Block Height 852781 #thebitcoinlayer Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #InterestRates #TreasuryYields #YieldCurve #TrumpTrade #FedCutExpectations #BitcoinValuation #MortgageRefinance #GlobalEconomy #GlobalMacroUpdate #FedRateCuts #FederalReserve #TreasuryYields #StockMarket #BitcoinVolatility #CPIInflation #FallingRents #EconomicUpdate #MarketInsights #RateCuts #Inflation #StockStrength #MacroEconomics #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #SeptemberRateCuts #MarketVolatility #Bloomberg #Macroeconomic #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Learn #Teach #Teacher #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macro Chapters: 00:00:00 - Global Coordination of Central Bank Policies 00:03:41 - Bitcoin Financial Services Unchained 00:07:25 - The Market's Prediction of Rate Cuts 00:10:54 - The Importance of Listening to Treasury Yields 00:14:11 - The Lag of Policy Rates 00:17:43 - Rate cuts and easing policy debates 00:21:06 - The Stock Market Rally and its Impact on Bitcoin 00:24:43 - The FED and Cutting Rates 00:28:02 - The Relationship Between Treasury Yield and FundingSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
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Jul 18, 2024 • 21min

Interest Rates Update: Get Ready To ReFi, Bitcoin Valuation

In this episode, Nik brings us a timely update on the path of interest rates in the United States, including a look at Treasury yields and the yield curve, an exploration into the "Trump trade" of a yield curve steepener, the latest with Fed cut expectations, and some bitcoin valuation analysis. Make sure you get your mortgage refinance applications ready, as rates are coming down. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys.Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://unchained.com/tbl?utm_campaig... and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: / thebitcoinlayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Block Height 852781 #thebitcoinlayer Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #InterestRates #TreasuryYields #YieldCurve #TrumpTrade #FedCutExpectations #BitcoinValuation #MortgageRefinance #GlobalEconomy #GlobalMacroUpdate #FedRateCuts #FederalReserve #TreasuryYields #StockMarket #BitcoinVolatility #CPIInflation #FallingRents #EconomicUpdate #MarketInsights #RateCuts #Inflation #StockStrength #MacroEconomics #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #SeptemberRateCuts #MarketVolatility #Bloomberg #Macroeconomic #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Learn #Teach #Teacher #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macro Chapters: 00:00:00 - The Impact of Declining Interest Rates on Markets 00:02:23 - The Dominant Risk: Unemployment 00:04:43 - Bull Market for Treasuries 00:07:08 - Predicting Lower Treasury Rates 00:09:31 - Locking in a Lifetime Offer 00:11:37 - The Trump Steepening Trade 00:14:03 - Potential Interest Rate Cuts Before Christmas 00:16:24 - The Relationship between Sofer Usage and the Market 00:18:32 - Repo Markets and Bitcoin ValuationSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
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Jul 16, 2024 • 19min

Bitcoin Update: Trump & Vance Establish Pro-Bitcoin Presidential Ticket

In this video, Joe discusses bitcoin's 2.5% pop following Saturday's assassination attempt and tragedy, and the 11% gain in the days since. Trump has been an outwardly pro-bitcoin candidate, stressing the importance of bitcoin self-custody and mining as a way to bolster U.S. energy independence. He walks through all of the positive statements Trump has made about BTC on the campaign trail. He also discusses JD Vance, the Senator that Trump has chosen for VP, and his pro-bitcoin policies enacted while in office, as well as his own personal bitcoin holdings. We indicate that while we should be skeptical of politicians, JD has put his money where his mouth is. Joe concludes by highlighting that the strong performance of bitcoin following Saturday's events is a preview of the environment for bitcoin's price if we get another 4-year Trump term come November. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys.Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://unchained.com/tbl?utm_campaig... and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: / thebitcoinlayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Block Height 852492 #thebitcoinlayer Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #JoeConsorti #Bitcoin #BTC #BitcoinNews #BitcoinPrice #BitcoinUpdate #BitcoinMining #BitcoinSelfCustody #President #Pennsylvania #Trump #Trump2024 #JDVance #ProBitcoin #BitcoinPolitics #USPolitics #BitcoinGains #BitcoinMarket #BitcoinInvestment #BitcoinPerformance #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Learn #Teach #Teacher #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macroSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
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Jul 12, 2024 • 32min

Fed To CUT RATES In September

In this episode, Nik delivers a global macro update focused on the Fed cutting rates in September. He explains why the Fed is now officially locked in on rate cuts, offers insights on the signal we gain from Treasury yields, touches on the strength in stocks and the volatility in bitcoin, and finishes with a recap of the latest CPI inflation release and the power of falling rents. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys.Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://unchained.com/tbl?utm_campaig... and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: / thebitcoinlayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Block Height 851877 #thebitcoinlayer Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #GlobalEconomy #GlobalMacroUpdate #FedRateCuts #FederalReserve #TreasuryYields #StockMarket #BitcoinVolatility #CPIInflation #FallingRents #EconomicUpdate #MarketInsights #RateCuts #Inflation #StockStrength #MacroEconomics #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #SeptemberRateCuts #MarketVolatility #Bloomberg #Macroeconomic #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Learn #Teach #Teacher #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macroSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
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Jul 11, 2024 • 53min

Property Rights, Capitalism, and Bitcoin with Saifedean Ammous

In this episode, Nik is joined by author Saifedean Ammous for a masterclass on economics. Saifedean teaches us about the importance of property rights in a capitalistic system and why anti-capitalist rhetoric can be so dangerous. He also explains the role of bitcoin, allowing people to properly save instead of consume. Limited government, taxes, and privately-funded infrastructure are also discussed. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys.Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit https://unchained.com/tbl?utm_campaign=the-bitcoin-layer&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=podcast-description and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Block Height 851747 #TheBitcoinLayer Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #JoeConsorti #Economics #SaifedeanAmmous #PropertyRights #Capitalism #AntiCapitalism #Bitcoin #Savings #LimitedGovernment #Taxes #Infrastructure #EconomicMasterclass #FinancialEducation #CapitalisticSystem #PrivatelyFunded #NikPodcast #EconomicDiscussion #BitcoinSavings #GovernmentPolicy #MarketEconomics #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #RiverBitcoin #FreeMarket #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macroSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
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Jul 10, 2024 • 19min

Bitcoin Update: $500-Million ETF Inflows, Market Absorbs Mt. Gox BTC, $50K Level Defended

In this video, Joe walks through how bitcoin's 4-week 25% correction may be coming to a close. Despite Mt. Gox now redistributing 94,500 BTC, and the German government selling $21 billion in BTC over the weekend, bitcoin managed to spring off of the low-$50,000 level. Factors that have been headwinds for BTC over the last month are no longer hurting its market price, and after a 7.5% weekly drop, the 4th largest since FTX collapsed, bitcoin may have just set a local bottom for the remainder of the bull market. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: / thebitcoinlayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Block Height 851476 #thebitcoinlayer Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #JoeConsorti #BitcoinBull #BitcoinBear #Correction #BitcoinCorrection #MtGox #BTCRecovery #BitcoinPrice #BTCUSD #MarketAnalysis #InvestmentInsights #FinancialTrends #MarketPerformance #EconomicAnalysis #MovingAverages #InvestorConfidence #CapitalFlows #LiquidityProxy #LongTermPerspective #InvestmentStrategy #MarketNews #FinancialInsights #InvestmentTrends #MarketAnalysis #FinancialMarkets #EconomicTrends #MarketUpdates #InvestmentTools #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Learn #Teach #Teacher #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macroSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
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Jul 4, 2024 • 19min

Global Macro Update: ISM Shocks, Recession Watch & Bitcoin's Critical Level

In this episode, Nik delivers a global macroeconomic update after the all-important ISM manufacturing and services surveys, and a close technical look at bitcoin, stocks, and Treasury yields. We remain on recession watch after a scary ISM services contraction and multi-year high in unemployment claims. Stay to the end of the episode for Nik's crucial bitcoin technical area to watch. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: / thebitcoinlayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Block Height 850585 #thebitcoinlayer Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #GlobalEconomy #MacroeconomicUpdate #ISMReport #ManufacturingSurvey #ServicesSurvey #BitcoinAnalysis #StockMarket #TreasuryYields #RecessionWatch #UnemploymentClaims #TechnicalAnalysis #EconomicUpdate #FinancialNews #MarketTrends #NikTalksFinance #InvestmentInsights #EconomicIndicators #BitcoinTechnicalAnalysis #FinancialMarkets #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentStrategies #MarketWatch #EconomicTrends #BitcoinWatch #FinancialUpdate #InvestmentAnalysis #BitcoinInvestment #Bloomberg #Macroeconomic #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Learn #Teach #Teacher #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macroSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
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Jul 2, 2024 • 13min

Bitcoin Update: ETF-Buyers, BTC Dominance, Stocks Correlation

In this episode, Joe walks through four important bitcoin charts before the long 4th of July weekend gets underway. He looks at ETF buyers re-entering the market after a 3-week slump, forecasting that bitcoin may be slated to break its consolidation. He suggests that BTC will likely resume its bull run due to the S&P 500 correlation with BTC dropping rapidly. He takes a look at BTC dominance relative to crypto to make the assertion that, judging by past cycles, the bulk of bitcoin's bull run is still on its way. Finally, he concludes with a look at performance of the S&P 500 in the second half of the year to determine how bitcoin will do. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: https://x.com/TheBitcoinLayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at https://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Block Height 850429 #thebitcoinlayer Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #JoeConsorti #BitcoinCharts #ETFBuyers #BullRun #BTCConsolidation #SP500 #BitcoinDominance #MarketForecast #BitcoinPerformance #MarketTrends #4thOfJuly #MarketUpdate #BitcoinBullRun #Macro #BitcoinAnalysis #BitcoinSupport #BitcoinPrice #MarketAnalysis #InvestmentStrategies #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #BitcoinUpdates #MarketTrends #DigitalAssets #EconomicInsights #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Learn #Teach #Teacher #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macroSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
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Jul 1, 2024 • 26min

Commercial Real Estate Update: Property Is DOWN 30%, Equity Is GONE

In this episode, Nik is joined by Peak Vortex Capital co-founder Shash Aryal to discuss the commercial real estate market. As a distressed CRE investor, Shash brings an on-the-ground knowledge of the latest economics in office buildings, multifamily residential, and data centers and presents an informative chart pack with the most important CRE numbers. He explains why equity for many projects has been wiped out, details the apartment bubble in the Sunbelt, cites AI compute and data center projects to explain why "power is gold," and breaks down why modest rate cuts do nothing to help property holders and builders. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Block Height 850278 #TheBitcoinLayer Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #JoeConsorti #CommercialRealEstate #CRE #OfficeBuildings #MultifamilyResidential #DataCenters #RealEstateInvestment #ApartmentBubble #SunbeltRealEstate #AICompute #DataCenterProjects #EconomicTrends #PowerIsGold #InterestRates #PropertyInvestment #RealEstateMarket #RealEstate #HousingMarket #TexasRealEstate #FloridaRealEstate #MarketTrends #HomePrices #RealEstateCrisis #MelodyWright #PropertyInvestment #HomeBuying #RealEstateUpdate #MarketAnalysis #HousingCrisis #RealEstateTrends #AirbnbInvestments #InterestRates #FreddieMac #NewConstruction #ResidentialRealEstate #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #RiverBitcoin #FreeMarket #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macroSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
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Jun 28, 2024 • 37min

Housing Market Update: Price Declines & Inventory Woes with Melody Wright

In this episode, Nik is joined by housing analyst Melody Wright to discuss the US residential real estate market. In a sweeping analysis of why the housing market is heading for a very troublesome 2025, Melody details the inventory issues in Texas and Florida due to pocket listings, private equity, and other forms of distressed borrowing arrangements. She also explains what Americans should do in their search for a home, especially in new construction. Also discussed are millennials' investments in Airbnb properties, trends in rents, the Fed's interest rate path, and Freddie Mac's home equity underwriting program. Follow Melody's Writings: https://m3melody.substack.com/ The Bitcoin Layer is brought to you by River. Visit http://River.com/TBL and earn up to $100 in bonus Bitcoin when you buy. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Block Height 849824 #TheBitcoinLayer Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #JoeConsorti #RealEstate #HousingMarket #TexasRealEstate #FloridaRealEstate #MarketTrends #HomePrices #2025Forecast #RealEstateCrisis #MelodyWright #PropertyInvestment #HomeBuying #RealEstateUpdate #MarketAnalysis #HousingCrisis #RealEstateTrends #AirbnbInvestments #InterestRates #FreddieMac #NewConstruction #ResidentialRealEstate #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #RiverBitcoin #FreeMarket #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macroSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

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