Less Noise, More Signal

Pascal
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Oct 10, 2024 • 50min

The Macro Investor: "no one ever wins from war - except my portfolio“

In this episode, Spencer Hakimian from Tulu Capital and Pascal Hügli discusse the current geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, and their implications for global markets. He shares insights on investment strategies in uncertain times, the macroeconomic landscape in the US, and the roles of gold and Bitcoin as safe-haven assets. The conversation also touches on the economic situations in Japan and China, and how current easing cycles differ from past experiences.Timestamps:00:00 Introduction to Spencer Hakimian and Tulu Capital01:57 Israel vs Iran: Geopolitical Tensions and Market Reactions08:05 Investment Strategies Amidst Global Uncertainty13:42 Current Macro Economic Landscape in the US19:20 The Role of Gold and Bitcoin in Today's Economy27:31 How to trade Japan and China40:31 Comparing Current Easing Cycles to Past ExperiencesFollow Spencer Hakimian:Twitter - https://x.com/SpencerHakimianFollow me:Twitter - https://x.com/pahuegNostr - npub1qhx7lnggpv64f0wt5xyjj7h90qh5ewu35pspr66sj8alc4gvcfjqqn04l8Thank you for subscribing to our channel! We’re excited to have you with us!#macrohedgefund #geopoliticaltensions #investmentstrategies #gold #Bitcoin #US #economy #Japan #China #easingcycles #macro #war #israel #iran #investing
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Oct 3, 2024 • 44min

The Bitcoin Contrarian: "Central Banks Are Not the Ultimate Evil"

In this conversation, Ansel Lindner discusses his contrarian views on central banks, money printing, and the current economic landscape. He argues that we are in a deflationary scenario rather than an inflationary one, challenging the common belief that Bitcoin serves solely as a hedge against inflation. Lindner explains the role of central banks and how they are manipulating the market - but not the way people usually think. Timestamps00:00 Introduction and Background01:45 Contrarian Views on Bitcoin and Money Printing06:34 The Role of Central Banks11:27 Bitcoin as a Hedge in Different Scenarios16:17 Bitcoin's Performance During Crises20:31 The Future of Credit and Bitcoin22:27 The Role of Large Capital Pools26:32 BlackRock's Perspective on Bitcoin28:26 Central Banks and Market Manipulation35:11 The Dilemma of Central Banking39:45 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsFollow Ansel Lindner:Twitter - https://x.com/AnselLindnerFollow me:Twitter - https://x.com/pahuegNostr - npub1qhx7lnggpv64f0wt5xyjj7h90qh5ewu35pspr66sj8alc4gvcfjqqn04l8Thank you for subscribing to our channel! We’re excited to have you with us!#Deflation #Inflation #CreditBubble #MoneyPrinting #Europe #FinancialCrisis #BankingCrisis #Liquidity #EverydayPerson #Retailers #LargePoolOfCapital #RiskOff #BlackRock #MoralHazard #HighSignalMessage #CentralBanks #QE #Signalovernoise
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Sep 20, 2024 • 57min

The On-Chain Analyst James Check: "Trying to predict the price? You’re Doing It All Wrong!"

James Check, alias Checkmate, and Pascal Hügli dive into why understanding whether you're a trader, investor, or saver is crucial—and how knowing which "bucket" you fall into can shape your investment strategy. They break down the power of enhanced DCA and explain why following the "Sell and buy back later" crowd is a fool's errand. Plus, they reveal how Bitcoin investors can identify absolute bear market bottoms and local tops during bull runs using on-chain metrics!Timestamps:00:00 Intro02:58 Understanding Market Signals and Human Behavior05:48 The Investor vs. Trader Mindset09:01 Bitcoin as the World's Best Long-Term Conviction Asset12:13 On-Chain Analysis: A New Perspective15:00 Investing Frameworks for Bitcoin17:53 The Power of Enhanced DCA21:13 Market Cycles: Predicting Tops and Bottoms24:00 The Future of Bitcoin Market DynamicsFollow James:Twitter - https://x.com/_Checkmatey_Follow me:Twitter - https://x.com/pahuegNostr - npub1qhx7lnggpv64f0wt5xyjj7h90qh5ewu35pspr66sj8alc4gvcfjqqn04l8#Bitcoin #investing #marketanalysis #onchaindata #tradingpsychology #longterminvestment #marketcycles #dollarcostaveraging #humanbehavior #cryptocurrency
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Sep 12, 2024 • 58min

The Institutional Investor: "I Remain Bullish on Bitcoin Despite an Upcoming Recession"

In this conversation, Pascal Huegli interviews Andre Dragosch, a seasoned expert in finance and crypto They discuss Andre's early experiences with Bitcoin, the current economic landscape, recession indicators, and the future of Bitcoin amidst the current macroeconomic conditions. The conversation delves into the implications of monetary policy, the significance of the Bitcoin halving, and the potential catalysts for Bitcoin's future price movement.Chapters:00:00 Intro 01:11 André's Early Days in Bitcoin14:45 Understanding the Current Economic Landscape29:51 Recession Indicators and Their Implications45:00 Bitcoin's Future: Catalysts and PredictionsFollow André Dragosch:Twitter - https://x.com/Andre_DragoschFollow me:Twitter - https://x.com/pahuegNostr - npub1qhx7lnggpv64f0wt5xyjj7h90qh5ewu35pspr66sj8alc4gvcfjqqn04l8Watch the episodes on Youtube: #Bitcoin, #recession, #economicindicators, #cryptocurrency, #investment, #macroeconomics,  #cryptomarket, #monetarypolicy

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