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RealClearPolitics Podcast

Latest episodes

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Oct 29, 2024 • 45min

Previewing Kamala Harris' Address from the Ellipse, New National and Swing-State Polls, and More Reactions to Donald Trump’s Rally at Madison Square Garden

Andrew, Tom, and Carl preview tonight’s address by Kamala Harris from the Ellipse in Washington DC and look at the reaction to Donald Trump’s Sunday rally at Madison Square Garden. They also discuss new national and swing-state polls and whether polls have gotten more accurate since 2020. Plus, they talk about Washington Post owner Jeff Bezos’ letter justifying the decision to not endorse a presidential candidate, and the uproar at CNN over an on-air argument between Republican commentator Ryan Girdusky and pro-Palestinian journalist Mehdi Hassan. Then lastly, Andrew talks to senior elections analyst Sean Trende about early voting in Nevada and whether it tells us anything about the final tally in the Silver State.
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Oct 28, 2024 • 45min

The Madison Square Garden Trump Rally, Trump’s New Lead in the RCP Average of National Head-to-Head Polls, and a Preview of Kamala's Address on the Ellipse

Andrew, Tom, Carl, and White House correspondent Phil Wegmann discuss Sunday’s Madison Square Garden Trump rally and the media's reaction. And, they also discuss Trump’s new lead in the RCP average of national head-to-head polls and whether it's possible for Trump to win the popular vote and lose in the electoral college. Then, they talk about Kamala Harris’ closing arguments and preview Tuesday’s address on the Ellipse and Michelle Obama’s pitch to undecided men. Then finally, Andrew Walworth talks to Charles McElwee, editor of RealClear Pennsylvania, about where the presidential race stands in the Keystone state and what to watch for with eight days left until November 5th.
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Oct 25, 2024 • 45min

Trump Ties Harris in Head to Head RCP Average, Clinton Calls Trump a Fascist, and The Washington Post Refuses to Endorse Either Candidate

Andrew, Tom, and Carl discuss the RCP Average of Polls which now shows Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in a tie and what that may mean as we near the final week of the campaign. They also take a look at last night’s town hall with J.D. Vance on News Nation and whether the Democrats' closing argument accusing Trump of fascism will move undecided voters in the critical swing states. Plus, The Washington Post decides not to endorse a presidential candidate and Charlie Stone talks to James Carville about the Harris campaign strategy and whether her advisers are taking his advice.
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Oct 24, 2024 • 45min

Kamala Harris’ Appearance at a CNN Town Hall, New Swing State Polls, and the Debate Among Third-Party Candidates

Andrew, Tom, and Carl review Kamala Harris’ appearance last night at a CNN town hall and discuss new swing state polls including two showing a tightening Senate race in Pennsylvania. They also discuss last night’s television debate among third-party candidates in Los Angeles and a New York Times story on how an NIH researcher suppressed publication of her own study of puberty blocking drugs in children because she feared its conclusions would be “weaponized” by transgender critics. Next, Carl talks to Outkick columnist Mary Katharine Hamm about the state of the election and which issues are driving voters to the polls. Then finally, Andrew talks to Bulwark contributor A.B. Stoddard about Donald Trump’s closing arguments and whether American men are ready to vote for a female President.
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Oct 23, 2024 • 45min

Looking Forward to Tonight’s CNN Town Hall, Brand New Polls, and Are Democrats Worried that the Momentum is Turning Against Kamala Harris?

Andrew, Tom, and Carl discuss new polls and whether Democrats are worried that the momentum may be turning against Harris in the final days of the presidential race. They also talk about Harris’ appearance on NBC News last night and look forward to tonight’s CNN Town Hall. Plus, a discussion of Jeffrey Goldberg’s piece in the Atlantic on Donald Trump’s alleged disdain for the military. Next, Andrew Walworth talks to Mike Leon about tonight’s televised debate featuring third-party presidential candidates including Jill Stein (Green Party), Chase Oliver (Libertarian Party), and Randall Terry (Constitution Party.) And winding it up, Carl Cannon talks to RealClear Investigations writer Mark Hemingway about how well-financed progressive foundations are providing support for financially distressed local news organizations, and whether that will further erode public confidence in the media.
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Oct 22, 2024 • 45min

Both Candidates Path to Victory in the Electoral College, New Georgia Polls that Show Trump with a Slight Lead, and the Decision by CBS to NOT Release the Transcript of the 60 Minutes Interview with Kamala Harris

Andrew, Tom, and Carl discuss new polling out of Georgia that shows Trump with a slight lead in the battleground state and the path to victory in the electoral college for both candidates. They also talk about the decision by CBS to not release the transcript of the 60 Minutes interview with Kamala Harris and the new opinion research on Arab American voters. Next, Tom Bevan talks to senior elections analyst Sean Trende about Liz Cheney, the gender gap, and both parties’ ground game. Then finally, Carl Cannon talks to RealClear Investigations writer James Varney about new EPA programs funneling huge grants to untested nonprofits.
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Oct 21, 2024 • 45min

Both Presidential Candidates' Policy Positions are Aimed at Appealing to Narrow Constituencies, New Polls that Show Harris with a One-Point Lead, and Donald Trump Serves Customers at McDonalds

Andrew, Carl and RCP White House correspondent Phil Wegmann discuss new polls that show Harris with a one-point lead in the RCP head-to-head average of polls and how both candidates are crafting policy positions aimed at appealing to narrow constituencies in the final run-up to Election Day. They also talk about this weekend’s appearance by Donald Trump at a McDonalds in Bucks County, Pennsylvania and Elon Musk’s strategy to give one million dollars daily to a random swing state resident who signs his petition supporting First and Second Amendment rights. Next, Carl talks to Emily Jashinsky, host of the Undercurrents video podcast, about Kamala Harris’ outreach efforts to men and Donald Trump’s comments on Arnold Palmer’s anatomy. Then finally, Andrew talks to Henry Olsen, host of the Beyond the Polls podcast, about early voting and whether it tells us anything about what to expect in November.
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Oct 18, 2024 • 45min

The Al Smith Dinner, the State of Both Parties’ Get-Out-the-Vote Efforts, and a Plan for the British Labour Party to Send Volunteers to Work on the Harris Campaign

Andrew, Tom, and Carl discuss last night’s Al Smith Dinner in New York where comedian Jim Gaffigan and Donald Trump made in-person remarks and Kamala Harris addressed the audience through a pre-taped video featuring SNL alum Molly Shannon. They also talk about the state of both parties’ Get-Out-the-Vote efforts and a plan for the British Labour Party to send 100 volunteers to work on the Harris campaign in critical swing states. Next, Tom talks to RCP Senior Elections Analyst Sean Trende about the presidential campaign and which party is ahead in the race to control the House and Senate. And lastly, Carl talks to Peter Berkowitz of the Hoover Institution about disinformation and next steps for the US in the Middle East.
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Oct 17, 2024 • 45min

Kamala Harris' Appearance with Bret Baier on Fox News, New Polls, and Donald Trump’s Appearance on Univision

Andrew, Tom, and Carl discuss reactions to last nights’ appearance on Fox News of Kamala Harris in an interview conducted by Bret Baier. They also talk about some new polls and Donald Trump’s appearance yesterday on Univision before an audience of undecided Hispanic voters. Then, Andrew talks to Mike Leon, host of the podcast "Can We Please Talk?", about Trump and Hispanic voters in swing states and in Florida. And finally, Carl talks to RCP national political correspondent Susan Crabtree about her reporting on the Secret Service and the FBI response to what a local sheriff called a “third assassination attempt” on Donald Trump during a weekend rally in California.
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Oct 16, 2024 • 45min

Trump’s Embrace of Tariffs, New Polls Showing a Mixed Picture, and Leaks Causing Strife in the Harris Campaign

Andrew, Tom, and Carl discuss new polls and RCP betting averages that provide a mixed picture of the presidential race. They also talk about leaks concerning strife within the Harris campaign and whether the partisan gender gap will be decisive in the 2024 election. Plus, they chat about last night’s Texas Senate debate between incumbent Ted Cruz and challenger Colin Allred, and Trump’s embrace of tariffs. Then finally, as both Trump and Harris increase the tempo of their media appearances, Tom talks to RCP White House correspondent Phil Wegmann about the candidates’ contrasting interview styles.

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