Making Sense

Bruce Kasman, Chief Economist at J.P. Morgan, offers insights into the potential impact of a second Trump presidency. He discusses how U.S. trade policies and tariffs could affect inflation and growth both domestically and globally. The conversation highlights market reactions and challenges such as currency fluctuations. Kasman also analyzes the implications for U.S.-China trade relations, recent tariff effects on global commodities, and the economic shockwaves that emerging markets may face. It's a deep dive into the future of the global economy.

In this episode, we hear from Deepak Maharaj, Head of Equities and Cross Asset QIS Structuring at J.P. Morgan. Deepak discusses the rapid development of Equities QIS strategies - from the technology enhancements to the use of LLMs in product development - and where this space is likely to evolve in future. Deepak is in discussion with Eloise Goulder, Head of the Data Assets & Alpha Group at J.P. Morgan.   Shownotes: To learn more about the Data Assets & Alpha Group: https://www.jpmorgan.com/markets/market-data-intelligence   Related podcasts: Extending the trend, with JP Morgan’s Lead CTA Structurer Time Traveler: A Look Back in Time with Fredrik Giertz – Part 1 Time Traveler: A Look Back in Time with Fredrik Giertz – Part 2   This episode was recorded on October 7, 2024. The views expressed in this podcast may not necessarily reflect the views of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co and its affiliates (together “J.P. Morgan”), they are not the product of J.P. Morgan’s Research Department and do not constitute a recommendation, advice, or an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument.  This podcast is intended for institutional and professional investors only and is not intended for retail investor use, it is provided for information purposes only. Referenced products and services in this podcast may not be suitable for you and may not be available in all jurisdictions.  J.P. Morgan may make markets and trade as principal in securities and other asset classes and financial products that may have been discussed.  For additional disclaimers and regulatory disclosures, please visit: www.jpmorgan.com/disclosures/salesandtradingdisclaimer. For the avoidance of doubt, opinions expressed by any external speakers are the personal views of those speakers and do not represent the views of J.P. Morgan.

In this insightful discussion, Eddie Wen, Global Head of Digital Markets at J.P. Morgan, and Chi Nzelu, Global Head of FICC eTrading at J.P. Morgan, delve into the transformation of hedging market risk in the age of electronic trading. They explore the shift from traditional to network-centric trading models, emphasizing enhanced liquidity and the role of data analytics. The conversation touches on the evolving strategies market makers and buy-side participants use, highlighting the move towards multi-strategy approaches and the future impact of AI on risk management.

Dive into the world of early-stage hedge fund investing with Kumar Panja, EMEA Head of Capital Advisory Group and Sam Diedrich, Managing Director and Head of Absolute Return at Partners Capital Investment Group. Uncover strategies for emerging managers, the power of SMAs, and the art of probabilistic thinking. Perfect for aspiring managers and savvy investors seeking a competitive edge. This episode was recorded on July 16, 2024. The views expressed in this podcast may not necessarily reflect the views of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co and its affiliates (together “J.P. Morgan”), they are not the product of J.P. Morgan’s Research Department and do not constitute a recommendation, advice, or an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument.  This podcast is intended for institutional and professional investors only and is not intended for retail investor use, it is provided for information purposes only. Referenced products and services in this podcast may not be suitable for you and may not be available in all jurisdictions.  J.P. Morgan may make markets and trade as principal in securities and other asset classes and financial products that may have been discussed.  For additional disclaimers and regulatory disclosures, please visit: www.jpmorgan.com/disclosures/salesandtradingdisclaimer. For the avoidance of doubt, opinions expressed by any external speakers are the personal views of those speakers and do not represent the views of J.P. Morgan. To find out more about our services, please contact markets.marketing@jpmorgan.com

The October jobs report reveals only 12,000 new non-farm jobs, stirring discussions about the impact of hurricanes and strikes on the economy. Analysts emphasize declining payroll growth and suggest a stabilizing labor market. The steady 4.1% unemployment rate raises concerns over permanent job losses and hints at a possible rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Upcoming elections and their influence on monetary policy add to the economic uncertainty and market volatility.

Matt Legg, Global Head of Delta One & ETF Sales at J.P. Morgan, and Julie Abbett, Head of US ETF Sales for Equities and Credit, dive into the evolving world of bond ETFs. They discuss how these financial instruments are enhancing liquidity and price discovery, especially during market volatility. The duo highlights the surge in bond ETF popularity and the impact on trading dynamics across the U.S. and Europe. They also touch on actively managed ETFs and the critical need for increased market transparency in this fast-paced trading landscape.

What’s behind the ETF market’s dramatic growth and what are the trends to watch? Join Bram Kaplan, head of Americas Equity Derivatives Strategy, to find out. Bram sits down with Tom Salopek from Cross Asset Strategy to explore the surge in ETF popularity, the move from active to passive funds and the impact of the economy on investor flows. Plus, could there be a replay of 2018’s “Volmageddon”? Find out more in the ETF market guide from J.P. Morgan Research. This episode was recorded on October 10, 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its affiliates and/or subsidiaries (collectively, J.P. Morgan) normally make a market and trade as principal in securities, other financial products and other asset classes that may be discussed in this communication. This communication has been prepared based upon information from sources believed to be reliable, but J.P. Morgan does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to J.P. Morgan and/or its affiliates and an analyst's involvement with any company (or security, other financial product or other asset class) that may be the subject of this communication. Any opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This communication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. J.P. Morgan Research does not provide individually tailored investment advice. Any opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned or related to the information herein. Periodic updates may be provided on companies, issuers or industries based on specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. However, J.P. Morgan may be restricted from updating information contained in this communication for regulatory or other reasons. This communication may not be redistributed or retransmitted, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of J.P. Morgan. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohibited. Receipt and review of this information constitutes your agreement not to redistribute or retransmit the contents and information contained in this communication without first obtaining express permission from an authorized officer of J.P. Morgan. Copyright 2024, JPMorganChase & Co. All rights reserved.

Get insights from the J.P. Morgan Tech Stars Conference in London. Join Katharina Ochs from the EMEA Equity Capital Markets team as she chats with Aloke Gupte, Co-Head of International Equity Capital Markets, and Matt Gehl, Co-Head of EMEA Technology Investment Banking. They explore the tech industry's outlook into 2025, focusing on rising US interest in European companies, the state of the tech IPO market, and the recovery of private capital deals. This episode was recored on October 17, 2024. This material was prepared by certain personnel of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates and subsidiaries worldwide and not the firm’s research department. It is for informational purposes only, is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase, sale or tender of any financial instrument and does not constitute a commitment, undertaking, offer or solicitation by any JPMorgan Chase entity to extend or arrange credit or to provide any other products or services to any person or entity.  © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Company. All rights reserved. 

In part 2 of our T+1 deep dive, we explore the initiatives driving the much-anticipated move to T+1 settlement in the U.K., the E.U., and parts of Asia. The discussion addresses the current timeline for this transition, as well as the legislative and operational hurdles that need to be overcome to make T+1 a reality in these regions. Tune in for a lively conversation as we assess T+1 settlement in these markets. Joining us are Emma Johnson, Executive Director on J.P. Morgan’s EMEA Custody Product team; Sahil Shah, Executive Director on J.P. Morgan’s APAC Custody Product team; and Jack Parker, Executive Director on J.P. Morgan’s U.S. Custody Product team. And if you haven’t already, be sure to listen to part 1 of this episode which covers T+1 in the U.S. and neighboring markets. Listen to Part 1 here: https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/podcast-hub/market-matters/t-plus-one-deep-dive-lessons-learned-from-us-rollout This episode was recorded on October 1, 2024.  This podcast is intended for institutional clients only. The views expressed in this podcast may not necessarily reflect the views of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co, and its affiliates, together J.P. Morgan, and do not constitute research or recommendation advice or an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. Referenced products and services in this podcast may not be suitable for you, and may not be available in all jurisdictions. J.P. Morgan may make markets and trade as principal in securities and other asset classes and financial products that may have been discussed. For additional disclaimers and regulatory disclosures, please visit www.jpmorgan.com/disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Company. All rights reserved.

In part 1 of our T+1 deep dive, we unpack the move to T+1 settlement in the U.S. and neighboring markets. Our discussion covers why the U.S. transitioned to T+1 settlement in May 2024 and examines the factors behind its largely successful implementation. Along the way, the industry has learned valuable lessons that can be leveraged by other markets considering accelerated settlement. Joining us are Jack Parker, Executive Director on J.P. Morgan’s U.S. Custody Product team; Emma Johnson, Executive Director on J.P. Morgan’s EMEA Custody Product team; and Sahil Shah, Executive Director on J.P. Morgan’s APAC Custody Product team. Tune in for a wide-ranging conversation on the U.S. experience, and don’t miss part 2 of this episode, which focuses on T+1 settlement in the E.U., the U.K., and APAC. This episode was recorded on October 1, 2024. This podcast is intended for institutional clients only. The views expressed in this podcast may not necessarily reflect the views of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co, and its affiliates, together J.P. Morgan, and do not constitute research or recommendation advice or an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. Referenced products and services in this podcast may not be suitable for you, and may not be available in all jurisdictions. J.P. Morgan may make markets and trade as principal in securities and other asset classes and financial products that may have been discussed. For additional disclaimers and regulatory disclosures, please visit www.jpmorgan.com/disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Company. All rights reserved.