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ASEAN Speaks

Latest episodes

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Sep 13, 2021 • 21min

SEA Ltd - Southeast Asia’s Digital Champion

Could ECB’s recent recall of its pandemic monetary support pressure the US Fed to signal tapering by Sep? MKE’s portfolio strategist presents his case for improving sell-side sentiment for ASEAN equity markets and his convictions why downside will be limited even in the event of taper tantrums. MKE has just initiated coverage on Singapore-based SEA Ltd with a buy call.
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Sep 7, 2021 • 23min

Will ASEAN Cyclicals Sustain their Momentum

US non farm payrolls missed consensus expectations by a long shot stoking stagflation fears. Will Malaysia's maiden pre-budget meeting boost investor confidence in how the country manages its finances. MKE's Malaysia banks analyst Desmond gives the lowdown on Malaysia banks and his positioning strategy. With China's slowdown, MKE's FX head Saktiandi discusses about the risk of RMB devaluation.
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Aug 30, 2021 • 27min

Fed Signals Early Tapering

Winson Phoon shares on what the bond futures market imply about risks following the Fed’s signal that tapering could occur as early as late 2021. Malaysia has announced its new cabinet lineup; will this announcement improve overall market sentiment for FBMKLCI? Semiconductor industry has been facing pressure because of supply chain bottlenecks. Is now the time to take profit on ASEAN chip testers and contract manufacturers?
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Aug 24, 2021 • 19min

Malaysia’s 9th Prime Minister Takes Office

Malaysia has appointed Datuk Seri Ismail Sabri as its 9th Prime Minister. Will the change bring about the much needed political stability? As the Fed heads into its Kansas City annual conference on Thursday, markets will be watching for clues what the Fed will do about tackling higher inflation. MKE makes the case for 4 risk factors that will delay the pace of ASEAN’s economic recovery. Thailand will face its first twin deficit since 2013. MKE’s Thai strategists assess the economy and their portfolio strategy.
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Aug 16, 2021 • 27min

Investing through Market Cycles

Chua Hak Bin argues that ASEAN’s economic outlook will continue to diverge at the country level, well into 2022. MKE launch model portfolio baskets to help clients invest through market cycles. What is priced into FX and credit markets as markets weigh in on the timing of US Fed tapering? Finally, MKE is long CPO sector despite near-term headwinds.
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Aug 9, 2021 • 21min

Special Edition: Market Themes that Matter

Indonesia ESG push does not get enough credit from markets. MKE Research downgrades Vietnam as the country loses it grip on containing the Delta variant. Is the anomaly between 10y UST and inflation trends expected to last and what is MKE’s call on USD and ASEAN FX? Anand Pathmakanthan shares his top picks for ASEAN and Thilan Wikramasinghe discusses MAS’ latest move to uplift dividends for Singapore Banks.
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Jul 19, 2021 • 22min

Interest Rate Cycle & Property Sector

Despite the Fed’s assurance that higher prices are merely transitory, the uncertainty of its duration leads to higher volatility in the market. Maybank downgrades the Thai property sector; ASEAN Speaks panelists dissect the drivers and explain how property developers are resorting to technology to sustain sales. Stay tuned for these highlights and more.
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Jul 12, 2021 • 24min

Malaysia's EMCO Disrupts Labour Supply

US 10 year treasury yields continue to compress; Maybank's fixed income team addresses the factors that are driving compression. With political headwinds rising in Malaysia and EMCO impacting labour supply, which industries are least vulnerable? Thailand's hospitality sandbox kicks off in Phuket but reopening plans hang in the balance following the discovery of COVID-19 cases from inbound tourists. 
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Jul 5, 2021 • 23min

Malaysia Announces New RM150b Economic Package as EMCO Kicks In

Amidst a strong US jobs market, low US treasury yields and VIX, ASEAN equity markets’ performance was relatively weak last week, especially Malaysia. Maybank’s strategists focus on the Delta variant’s impact on the timeline to recovery and where smart money is flowing.
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Jun 28, 2021 • 25min

G7 Landmark Agreement on Corporate Tax Reform & the Impact on ASEAN

G7 landmark accord on corporate tax reform aims to end the race to the bottom since the 1980s in which countries have slashed corporate tax rates and provided generous exemptions to attract MNCs. How will ASEAN stay competitive? Maria Lapiz, MKE's Thai Head of Research shares with us the ESG investment landscape in Thailand and her top picks within this category. The Philippines equity market continues to fall further into deep value territory. MKE Phil research desk shares on 8 of their favourite undervalued gems.  

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