Scotiabank Market Points

Scotiabank Global Banking and Markets
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May 14, 2020 • 20min

Currency outlook: Expectations for the Canadian dollar

Equity markets stormed back despite very frightening economic numbers. How has the Canadian dollar behaved alongside this market optimism? And with continued fiscal and monetary stimulus, fears of inflation have re-emerged. Meanwhile, incoming Bank of Canada governor, Tiff Macklem, has not ruled out negative interest rates. In this episode of Market Points, Shaun Osborne, Managing Director and Chief Currency Strategist at Scotiabank, shares his expectations for the Canadian dollar and explains why inflationary fears may be overblown.
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May 8, 2020 • 21min

Emerging markets: Latin America in a global context

The global economy has slowly started to reopen. As the world attempts an apprehensive return to normal, if there is such a thing, how well positioned are Latin American countries for recovery? And what does a strong Latin America mean for Canada? In this episode of Market Points, Brett House, Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist at Scotiabank, discusses Latam in a global context and explains why international relations are more important than ever.
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Apr 28, 2020 • 14min

Emerging markets: Opportunities and threats

China appears to be at the beginning of a recovery while the world’s largest economy, the United States, is still reeling from the effects of COVID-19. Emerging market economies around the globe rely heavily on the health of these two giants for trade and investment. But which countries are exposed to greater risk due to additional domestic weakness? Which nations could recover ahead of us all? In this episode of Market Points, Bertha Arroyo, Associate Director, FX Trader at Scotiabank, shares an update on the opportunities and threats facing the emerging market economies in Asia and Latin America.
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Apr 17, 2020 • 18min

Stimulus measures: Impact on the economic road ahead

The Q1 numbers on the Canadian economy are in, and the hit we’ve taken has been massive. On April 15th, the Bank of Canada announced a new round of stimulus measures designed to minimize the damage caused by the COVID-19 crisis. By taking a page out of the Fed playbook, the Bank of Canada is reluctant to talk forecasting, citing uncertainty surrounding the situation we find ourselves in. But if we don’t understand how deep the hole might be, is there a downside to these unprecedented fiscal and monetary measures? In this episode of Market Points, Derek Holt, Vice President and Head, Capital Markets Economics at Scotiabank, shares his thoughts on the rough economic road ahead.
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Apr 9, 2020 • 20min

Battle plan: A look at COVID-19 fiscal and monetary policy initiatives

If the COVID-19 pandemic is an economic war, fiscal and monetary policy form critical components in the battle plan. A country’s success certainly depends on the size of their war chest, but more importantly, its their willingness to use it. Their speed of deployment, and their ability to coordinate efforts across various levels of government, that will ultimately determine the effectiveness of any policy. But as countries concentrate their efforts on mitigating domestic damage, cracks begin to form in international relationships. The EU has three of its largest economies – Italy, Spain and France – among the hardest hit regions across the globe. In this episode of Market Points, Juan Manuel Herrera, Currency Strategist at Scotiabank, shares his thoughts on government and central bank policy effectiveness, and winning the fight for our lives and livelihoods.
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Apr 1, 2020 • 21min

Unprecedented uncertainty: What does this mean for the Canadian dollar?

In what has been one of the strangest quarters in modern history, COVID-19 has brought record volatility and unprecedented uncertainty in the financial markets. Economies around the globe have slammed on the brakes, travel and hospitality industries have virtually disappeared, and oil prices have plummeted. But what does this mean for the Canadian dollar? In this first episode of Market Points, we hear from Shaun Osborne, Managing Director and Chief Currency Strategist at Scotiabank.

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