Doug Casey's Take

Follow us at https://www.crisisinvesting.com Analyzing 'The Fate of Empires' By Sir John Glubb: Insights and Relevance Today Download the Essay here: https://people.uncw.edu/kozloffm/glubb.pdf In this episode, Doug and Matt discuss Sir John Glubb's seminal 1976 essay 'The Fate of Empires and the Search for Survival.' Instead of focusing on current events, they delve into the big picture, examining historical cycles of empires and their modern implications. They explore the essay’s breakdown of the life stages of empires—pioneers, conquests, commerce, affluence, intellect, decadence, and decline and collapse—illustrate with examples from various historical empires like Assyria, Persia, Greece, Rome, and the Arab Empire. They also discuss how these observations resonate with current issues in the United States, including the welfare state, influx of foreigners, internal political divisions, and the rising influence of intellectualism and materialism. This episode offers a comprehensive understanding of historical patterns and their relevance to contemporary societal trends. 00:00 Introduction and Overview 00:19 The Fate of Empires: An Introduction 03:12 Stages of Empire: From Pioneers to Decline 05:24 Historical Examples of Empires 13:40 The Age of Commerce and Its Impact 20:27 The Age of Intellect and Its Consequences 25:34 Modern Reflections on Empire 29:37 The Role of Education and Intellectualism 30:36 Historical Civil Wars and Internal Conflicts 31:24 The Influx of Foreigners in Great Empires 37:06 The Roman Mob and Free Distributions 47:38 Decadence and Moral Corruption 53:20 Summary and Final Thoughts

join us at https://www.crisisInvesting.com Doug Casey and Matt Smith discuss global conflicts, economic bifurcation, jury nullification, and recent events including the UnitedHealth CEO assassination and Roger Ver's arrest. Key Timestamps: 0:00 - Discussion of accelerating news cycles and global conflicts 2:45 - Analysis of Syria's regional fragmentation 4:45 - Signs pointing to World War III 8:00 - Discussion of global military presence and private armies 13:00 - Trump's threats to BRICS and economic bifurcation concerns 16:00 - Impact of market bifurcation on commodities trading 23:00 - UnitedHealth CEO assassination and vigilante justice 29:00 - Jury nullification history and current state 34:00 - Update on Ancap Radio 35:30 - Impact of prohibition vs potential CBDC effects on organized crime 39:00 - Discussion of presidential term limits 41:00 - Roger Ver's arrest and cryptocurrency advocacy 47:00 - Comments on Uruguayan elections and regional trade

Join us as we catch up with EB Tucker in Montevideo, Uruguay. From his recent travels and passion for red clay tennis to his insightful views on the global markets and economy. EB discusses the changes post-election, gold prices, and the future economic landscape. He also delves into his philosophy on money and life, sharing stories from his book 'Not for Sale'. Tune in for an engaging conversation on investments, geopolitics, and personal growth. 00:00 Introduction and Setting the Scene 00:18 Tennis and Travel Tales 01:13 Market Opinions and Gold Prices 02:02 Reflections on Political Outcomes 02:56 Economic Insights and Predictions 05:53 Personal Growth and Career Reflections 10:26 Art, Culture, and Unique Experiences 13:37 Geopolitical Concerns and AI Race 18:49 Future of Energy and Technology 22:48 Bitcoin and New Asset Classes 24:04 Designing the Ideal Portfolio for Aunt Lucy 24:36 Understanding Your Financial Capabilities 25:11 Industries with the Wind at Their Back 25:19 The Fed's Role in Your Financial Success 26:14 The Jaguar Advertisement and Pronouns 28:36 Sweet Greens and the Food Craze 29:43 The Decline of Casual Dining 30:47 Minimalist Lifestyle and Travel 34:15 The Paradox of Money and Happiness 42:06 Argentina's Political and Economic Landscape Why Gold? Why Now?: The War Against Your Wealth and How to Win It https://a.co/d/6Q2s3sm Not For Sale: How To Survive and Thrive In a World That Wants to Control You https://a.co/d/9wYH4Cb The Tucker Letter  https://thetuckerletter.substack.com/

General Michael Flynn joins us for a discussion on what the Trump administration might do to get control of the administrative state and stop the escalating war with Russia.  Flynn speaks candidly about the necessity of bold, unconventional actions to reform the U.S. government, highlights the incompetency at the highest levels of leadership. He also explores Trump's mandate for peace, the importance of accountability, and outlines the critical reforms needed within various government agencies.  Flynn emphasizes the urgency of these actions as the U.S. navigates precarious international relations and internal political challenges. 00:00 Introduction and Historical Context 01:27 Current Political Climate and Leadership 02:53 International Tensions and Potential Conflicts 04:39 Trump's Potential Actions and Responsibilities 10:26 Government Reforms and Accountability 14:57 Challenges in Government Culture and Efficiency 24:25 The Need for Demonstrated Actions 26:30 Trump's Potential Actions and Bureaucratic Challenges 27:44 Reforming the Defense Intelligence Agency 30:39 The Problem with Multiple Intelligence Agencies 32:50 The Need for Extraordinary Reform 36:27 The Importance of Competent Leadership 42:07 Avoiding Future Conflicts and Civil War 44:51 Closing Remarks and Final Thoughts

Join us at https://www.crisisInvesting.com In this episode, Doug and Matt provide their insights on the recent election results, highlighting the defeat of Que mala and the renewed optimism with Trump's presidency. They reflect on Trump's appointments and initial policies, expressing cautious optimism about the future. The discussion shifts to Argentina's economic challenges under Melei's administration, with comparison to Uruguay. Key topics include Trump's proposed educational reforms, potential economic impacts of U.S. fiscal policies, and the implications of U.S. debt. Doug shares his views on Social Security, Medicare, and the challenges in deporting illegal immigrants, while also addressing viewers' pushbacks on previous episodes. The episode closes with discussions on potential future economic scenarios and the need for radical changes in U.S. policy. 00:00 Introduction and Election Reflections 01:43 Comparing Elections: US vs Argentina 04:12 Economic Challenges in Argentina 08:30 Trump's Policy Videos 22:03 Debating US Political Landscape 33:54 The Ingrained Socialism in America 35:29 The Value of Individualism 37:02 Challenges of Deportation and Repatriation 41:31 The Role of Government and Bureaucracy 42:29 Economic Policies and Global Impact 44:34 Interest Rates and National Debt 49:52 The Case for Defaulting on National Debt 55:44 Potential Economic Collapse Scenarios 58:20 Concluding Thoughts and Future Outlook

Join our email list to get Special reports and updates:  https://www.crisisinvesting.com Connect with us on Telegram:  https://t.me/dougcasey In this episode of Doug Casey's Take, Doug Casey, Michael Yon, and Matt Smith come together in Buenos Aires to discuss the recent U.S. election, the global implications of rising tensions, and potential shifts in the geopolitical landscape.  We dive into the meaning of Trump’s victory, the risks and rewards on the horizon, and the continued divide within America’s red and blue factions. We discuss the necessity of staying vigilant and embracing personal responsibility in a time of shifting powers and mounting challenges. Expect honest, unfiltered perspectives as they tackle everything from foreign policy to the psychology behind America's choices. Chapters: 00:00 – Introduction: Buenos Aires Gathering 01:00 – Reflections on the Election Outcome 02:00 – Surprises from the Election Results 03:00 – Euphoria vs. Reality: Political Optimism 05:00 – Challenges Ahead: The Inauguration Period 07:00 – Potential for Increased Civil Unrest 10:00 – The Border Crisis: Trump’s Plans 14:00 – Immigration, the Economy, and Global Influence 17:00 – Cultural Shifts and Drug Policies 21:00 – Social Deterioration and Government Overreach 26:00 – Historical Context: Past U.S. Domestic Terrorism 31:00 – The Ku Klux Klan and Societal Divisions 34:00 – Trump and Foreign Policy Risks 38:00 – Middle East Tensions and Zionism 43:00 – Fascism, NGOs, and Corporate Power 47:00 – Economic Realities: U.S. Debt Crisis 50:00 – The Case for Government Reduction 53:00 – Closing Thoughts: A Divided America 55:00 – Personal Responsibility vs. Government Dependence 59:00 – Final Reflections and Future Predictions Join our email list to get Special reports and updates:  https://www.crisisinvesting.com Connect with us on Telegram:  https://t.me/dougcasey

join us at https://www.crisisInvesting.com In this episode, Doug Casey and Matt Smith reflect on Doug's recent travels to Southeast Asia, his observations of cultural and infrastructural contrasts, and his insights on the state of Western civilization. They discuss historical events noted in Encyclopedia Britannica, touching on figures like Sean Connery, and the secularization of traditional holidays. Doug shares his thoughts on global opportunities, including in places like Sri Lanka, and critiques the current U.S. financial system and political climate. They also analyze recent ominous financial trends, highlighting potential risks for the future. Tune in for Doug's unique perspectives on history, culture, global markets, and speculative opportunities worldwide! **Timestamps:** 00:00 - Introduction and Doug’s return from Asia 01:00 - Encyclopedia Britannica and today's historical events 03:00 - Halloween, secularization, and cultural shifts 05:00 - Doug’s experience almost meeting Sean Connery 06:30 - Historical reflections: Lyndon B. Johnson, Harry Houdini, and Mussolini 08:00 - Doug’s reflections on Southeast Asia: Malaysia and Thailand 10:00 - Qatar and Emirates: Observations on airline quality 12:00 - Comparing infrastructure and service quality in Asia vs. the U.S. 15:00 - Discussing Sri Lanka's economy and opportunities 17:30 - Reflections on speculative opportunities in Sri Lanka 19:30 - Arthur C. Clarke’s connection to Sri Lanka 22:00 - Discussion on bond markets and the current U.S. financial climate 24:00 - Banking sector risks and bond yield trends 26:30 - The cost of elder care in Southeast Asia vs. the U.S. 30:00 - Social Security, Medicare, and U.S. budget challenges 32:00 - Reflections on upcoming U.S. elections and economic trajectory 34:30 - "Civil War" movie review and implications for U.S. stability 37:00 - Living through crisis: Ukraine and Sri Lanka analogies 38:30 - Tribute to Gonzalo Lira

  In the third episode of this series, Doug Casey, Michael Yon, and host Matt Smith explore current events and global dynamics with "3 observations and 1 prediction" from the past week. This session offers Doug's reflections from Buenos Aires, Michael's international insights, and discussions on critical topics like the U.S. election, media manipulation, and political influence. --- [00:00:00] Introduction and Episode Setup   Matt kicks off with Doug Casey and Michael Yon, noting the format: three observations and one prediction. Doug shares his first observation from Buenos Aires, reflecting on his travels and the upcoming U.S. election. [00:01:00] Doug's Thoughts on Elon Musk's Election Influence   Doug discusses Elon Musk’s offer of monetary incentives tied to voting intentions, hinting at potential legal issues and raising questions about the importance of elections in a coercive system. Doug argues that the government’s reach should be limited. [00:04:00] Michael’s Personal Anecdotes on Election Bribery   Michael recalls personal memories involving bribery in voting, comparing it to similar tactics in Thailand, where candidates offer incentives like whiskey and shoes to voters. He also speculates on Elon Musk’s potential political aspirations. [00:07:00] Doug on a Constitutional Convention Possibility   The discussion shifts to the idea of rewriting the U.S. Constitution. Doug reflects on potential public support for a leader with a military background, given the volatile times ahead. [00:11:00] Michael’s Barber Encounter in Okinawa   Michael shares a unique story about a barber in Okinawa who is preparing for a food shortage. This reveals a cultural inclination towards preparedness and tracking global issues. [00:17:00] Doug’s Observation on Media Bias and Subscriptions   Doug shares his analysis of media bias at The Washington Post and its impact on subscription numbers. He discusses Bezos’s political silence, hinting that media influences elections more than endorsement choices. [00:21:00] Discussion on U.S. Presidential Candidates   Michael and Doug discuss the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, expressing skepticism about her qualifications. They analyze the media’s role in shaping public perception. [00:25:00] Michael's Skepticism of Media Manipulation in Combat Photography   Michael, with extensive experience in combat zones, discusses inconsistencies in a recent photograph of Trump, revealing insight into potential manipulation in media. [00:34:00] Michael’s Analysis on a North Korean Defector’s Fraudulence   Michael recalls a 60 Minutes interview with a North Korean defector, which he quickly deemed fraudulent. His expertise in identifying inconsistencies led to public validation of his suspicions years later. [00:37:00] Doug on Election Polls and the "Installation" of Candidates   Doug critiques election polls, suggesting they are unreliable and politically motivated. He predicts Kamala Harris could be “installed” due to media manipulation, despite Trump's popularity in certain regions. [00:42:00] Puerto Rico's Statehood Movement   Doug discusses the Democrats' strategic interest in making Puerto Rico a state, which would shift political representation in favor of the Democrats. [00:46:00] Michael on Philippines Statehood Aspirations   Michael shares insights into the Philippines' history and the notion of becoming a U.S. state. He compares the unique culture and perspectives found there with the ongoing challenges in regions like Mindanao. [00:52:00] Closing Thoughts on Election and Predictions   As the episode winds down, the team reflects on the uncertain future of the U.S. elections. They share varied perspectives on how quickly (or slowly) the election results may be resolved, ending with Michael’s perspective on immigration at the U.S. border and closing remarks from Doug on his rapport with Michael and Matt. --- Join us each week for Doug Casey, Michael Yon, and Matt Smith’s sharp takes on current events, global issues, and political power moves. Be sure to subscribe, like, and share to stay informed!

Join us at https://www.crisisinvesting.com  and https://michaelyon.substack.com/   In this episode, Doug Casey and Michael Yon discuss their major observations this week. Doug kicks off by questioning FEMA's effectiveness, calling it a wasteful agency that fails to provide real emergency relief, while Michael highlights the troubling development of new FEMA camps in North Carolina. The conversation shifts to the increasing uncertainty experienced by global travelers, with both agreeing that even seasoned expatriates struggle to find safe havens in today's world. They delve into the weaponization of drug legalization, especially in places like Thailand and the U.S., warning about its economic and social impact. Doug also critiques the decline of American universities, pointing out how elite institutions have embraced woke ideologies while hoarding massive endowments. On the geopolitical front, Michael discusses the prolonged nature of the Ukraine war and warns that Israel may face existential threats if its conflict with Hamas and Hezbollah escalates. Doug concludes by predicting a significant rise in long-term interest rates, driven by inflation and escalating U.S. debt, which could spell trouble for the economy. Chapters: [00:00:00] Introduction: Matt introduces Doug Casey and Michael Yon, who will discuss three key observations and a prediction. [00:01:00] Doug on FEMA: Doug Casey shares his skepticism about FEMA's role and effectiveness, recounting his experiences post-Hurricane Katrina and calling FEMA a "giant scam." He critiques its ineffectiveness and focus on equity and climate response, stating that the agency should be abolished. [00:08:00] Michael Yon on FEMA Camps: Michael talks about new FEMA camps in North Carolina and compares them to military forward operating bases. He highlights how corporations might benefit from land loss in mineral-rich areas post-disaster. [00:14:00] Uncertainty on Where to Move: Michael and Doug discuss how even the most experienced travelers are unsure of where to settle amidst geopolitical instability. They mention Central America, including El Salvador, but caution against relocating to these areas long-term. [00:22:00] Drug Legalization and Weaponization: Doug and Michael explore the rapid increase in pot shops in Thailand and the U.S. They discuss the broader implications of drug legalization, especially as a weapon of psychological and economic warfare, with Michael mentioning the Chinese involvement in U.S. drug distribution. [00:34:00] Doug on Woke Universities: Doug discusses the impact of left-leaning ideologies in universities, particularly Harvard and other elite institutions. He predicts a decline in enrollment and philanthropic support for these woke institutions in the near future. [00:39:00] Michael on Ukraine and Israel Conflicts: Michael predicts that the Ukraine conflict will last longer and grow bigger, comparing it to the Israeli war with Hamas. He suggests that Israel's survival is at risk as the conflict grows, especially if the U.S. is distracted by internal issues. [00:45:00] Doug’s Prediction on Rising Interest Rates: Doug makes a bold prediction about rising interest rates, explaining how inflation and U.S. debt will drive long-term rates higher, leading to potential economic troubles.

Thailand: Expat Life, Property Investment, and Cultural Insights Ben Hart's Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@UCO6aDpt9xRwgueZvwIsBpWg  Join Doug Casey in this conversation with  Michael Yon, a former war correspondent, and Ben Hart, an American lawyer-turned-Thai citizen about Thailand.  We cover topics like purchasing property, investing in in thailand and understanding the legal and political landscape. We also address the impact of recent changes such as cannabis legalization on tourism and commercial real estate. Ideal for anyone considering moving, investing, or retiring in Thailand, this episode provides valuable insights and practical advice for navigating life as an expatriate. 00:00 Welcome to Thailand 00:17 Meet Michael YoThain and Ben Hart 01:36 Living in Thailand: Pros and Cons 07:34 Visa and Residency Options 08:58 Buying Property in Thailand 14:09 Cultural and Spiritual Aspects of Land Ownership 17:03 Challenges of Retiring Early in Thailand 22:54 Business Opportunities and Legalization of Cannabis 26:42 Falling in Love with Thailand 27:41 Advice for Young Expats 28:55 Demographic Shifts and Common Mistakes 29:45 Understanding Thai Politics and Law 34:54 Police and Legal System in Thailand 39:13 Impact of Cannabis Legalization 43:22 Final Thoughts and Reflections