The Brainy Business | Understanding the Psychology of Why People Buy | Behavioral Economics

Melina Palmer
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Apr 12, 2019 • 31min

43. A Guide for You to Create a Brainy Brand

Branding is one of my all time favorite topics. If you are new to the show (in which case, welcome) you may not know that I have an extensive background in this area. I obtained my undergraduate degree in marketing before working at an advertising agency, then started a credit union marketing consultancy and then ran a marketing department at a financial institution for 6 years. While there, I led a brand refresh that nearly tripled awareness in less than two years. This background in branding and marketing has led to the way I implement behavioral economics for my clients and here on the podcast. Recently, I have received a lot of questions about branding – what matters, what is included, and how behavioral economics ties into that…and that's what we'll dig into today. CLICK HERE FOR YOUR FREE DOWNLOAD! Show Notes [04:55] A brand is "a type of product made by a particular company under a particular name" or the way ranchers mark their cattle. [05:31] You put your stamp on something to show it is yours (and many people wear those same brands with pride to show they are part of the herd). [05:52] People pay more for brand name items and they even get more value out of them because of expectations and conditioning. [06:56] Marketing and branding are not the same thing. Marketing is all the one-off stuff you do to get your name out there – radio ads, website work, flyers, brochures, and sponsorships. Marketing is reactive. It isn't building something bigger. [07:49] When you create a brand, you have a strategic center everything can relate back to – a touchstone for your company. Any opportunity or new request can be brought back to this foundation to see if it is in alignment. [08:53] Marketing research has long struggled to be considered true research in the same way the sciences are. [09:07] A brainy brand knows what it is trying to achieve and builds quantitative and qualitative research projects to test, learn and grow. [11:19] Examples from Jonah Berger's amazing book Contagious. Such as people wanting Mars bars after hearing about the Mars Rover and being more likely to choose Sprite after writing with a green pen. [13:13] The concept of priming was used when shoppers were shown pictures of dogs that helped prime them to choose Puma shoes. [13:23] Think about the messaging that's coming right before your advertisement. It's important to think about the context of your ads. Priming is really relevant. Make sure that you are associating your brand properly with the right things. [15:47] When creating the brainy brand it was important to me to choose things that were fun but intelligent to draw people in. It's my responsibility to make sure that the messaging is consistent. [16:27] It's important to be strategic and thoughtful about what it is that you are doing for your company. [17:35] There is cookie dough next to the milk, because simple associations win the day. The product is placed where it is more likely to trigger the buyer's brain. [19:01] Availability is the weight our brains place on one thing based on how easy the item comes to mind. [20:02] A brainy brand knows that everything matters. This is why I truly believe behavioral economics is the future of marketing and branding. [20:18] When you understand how the brain works and all the bazaar ways it makes decisions, it unlocks a powerful space where you can see what a certain word choice or ad placement could do that another would not. [21:12] Brands have personalities just like people…and for good reason. Known personalities create expectation in our brains. [22:18] When you expect someone to act one way and they act completely differently…like their personality has been surgically replaced with that of their opposite…it is unnerving. [22:52] There is always another competitor, a new medium to look into, a new product entering the market. [23:36] A truly brainy brand, one that is laying the foundation of their messaging and who knows who they are and how they would respond…who has a brand personality so well known that it is like a real person…they can react properly to change – and create some of it themselves. [25:32] Method acting is a lot like business branding because they both require a lot of preparation and understanding of things that may never be brought up. [26:39] The best brands – brainy brands – know everything about who their brand is as if it were a person. [27:17] When brands have great personalities, it ties into the associations people have about them. [28:54] Brainy brands need to have everyone on board, rowing the boat in the right direction. [30:03] Behavioral economics and other studies of the brain look into why people do the things they do, and how to use that insight to predict what they might do in the future. I'm so excited to be a part of it. Thanks for listening. Don't forget to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Android. If you like what you heard, please leave a review on iTunes and share what you liked about the show. Links and Resources: Episode 19. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Herding Predictably Irrational How Brands Grow Unconventional Wisdom Contagious: Why Things Catch On How to Make Your Content Go Viral Dogs on the Street, Pumas on Your Feet: How Cues in the Environment Influence Product Evaluation and Choice Episode 18. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Priming Episode 15: Behavioral Economics Foundations: Availability Episode 22. The Power of Habit 15 Actors Who Went to Seriously Extreme Measures for a Role HR and Marketing: A Natural Partnership Delivering Happiness
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Apr 5, 2019 • 43min

42. Apple Card: A Behavioral Economics Analysis

We are digging into Apple's recent announcements today, with a heavy focus on Apple Card. When Apple made its announcements and Apple Card was included…I knew I needed to create an episode on this topic. Apple made a series of star-studded announcements about their new offerings, which included the announcement of Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+ and, of course, Apple Card. An interesting aspect of these announcements is that they didn't talk about anything that is available yet, and didn't include any pricing information. In this behavioral economics podcast, I'll tell you why this was their true genius. It's different from previous announcements, but they are also taking a huge turn by switching from products to services. As we dig in, I'll explain where Apple did some really smart things and took a strategic approach to these announcements and their shift in offerings. Plus, tips for you to take away and apply in your own business. Disclosure: Specific details were accurate at time of recording. Policies are subject to change. Find the most current details at Apple.com. CLICK HERE FOR YOUR FREE DOWNLOAD! Show Notes [03:02] When Apple made its announcement, I knew I needed to talk about the Apple Card. In last week's Facebook Live I also let talk of the Apple Card run the discussion a bit. I did tie it back to the topic of loss of version and anchoring and adjustment, though. [04:21] Last week, Apple made a series of star-studded announcements about their new offerings, which included the announcement of Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+ and, of course, Apple Card. [04:43] People think it's weird that Apple didn't talk about anything available and didn't disclose any pricing. In reality, this is the true genius behind the announcement. [05:09] It's justified for Apple to make a shift, because they are changing their offerings from products to services. [05:30] People aren't logical. People say they think and will do one thing…but their subconscious will often think different (Apple ad throwback alert!). [06:15] When we look at the announcement from a behavioral economics point of view, we'll see a lot of smart things that your business can use or learn. [07:03] In the episode I will talk about building anticipation and expectations, the delayed pricing strategy, subscription models, framing, herding, how familiarity breeds liking, and the value of celebrities. [07:20] BUILDING ANTICIPATION AND EXPECTATIONS While it has generated a lot of complaints from our logical brains, I would argue one of the smartest things Apple has done is announced all the greatness of the services before they are actually available. [10:39] We thrive on the excitement of anticipation. [11:23] BUT having anticipation creates loss aversion and perceived ownership, which also means you are much more likely to feel the need to experience the treat at the end or to at least test it out and see how it meets or exceeds your expectations. [11:51] Being top of mind is key in influencing buying behavior. [13:06] Far too many organizations wait to announce a launch until it is actually launching. In reality, people need time to get really excited about things. [13:41] High expectations are okay (as long as the actual release isn't a total fail), because studies show that the brain gets what it expects. [14:44] Building expectations of greatness means people will expect this thing to be good – and we expect it to be really REALLY good if they went out of their normal strategy to announce it before it was ready. [15:12] THE DELAYED PRICING STRATEGY The truth about pricing is price never about the price. Everything that comes before the price matters much more. [15:36] Creating value is about framing and anticipation…which Apple is taking time to let ruminate before the pricing is announced. [16:27] HERDING This also allows for herding behavior to be triggered earlier than it would otherwise as people start talking about the products. [18:30] HOW FAMILIARITY BREEDS LIKING Speaking of herding behavior…our brains don't just herd behind others…we also do a sort of self-herding, and "get in line behind ourselves." [20:46] THE VALUE OF CELEBRITY Our brains love celebrities and we associate all their qualities with the brand of Apple directly now. [21:44] HABITS AND SUBSCRIPTIONS Apple is jumping on the subscription train. [24:57] Apple Arcade is an aggregator of games: all you can play, across all your Apple devices, with NO ads and a commitment to privacy. [25:21] FRAMING People have said what they want. Apple is framing their new offerings with the things that people have said they want. [25:38] Apple Card is a framing story more than anything. [25:57] A lot of the functions and features being touted in Apple Card already exist. [26:12] Apple asked a better question to uncover what people care about, and then (here's the kicker) they found a way to frame the product and message so it is within those parameters. [28:12] Why haven't other banking institutions offered "no fees ever"? They are too close to the situation. [29:48] The rates on Apple Card (13.24% - 24.24%) are reasonable for a rewards card. [30:47] There is no fee for late payments, but late payments accrue additional interest. [32:31] Apple was able to look at a product with fresh eyes and shape their offering in a way that gives people what they want. [33:57] Look at framing your products to be most appealing – and then look at how you are framing the message of communicating that across the organization and to customers. [34:34] INCENTIVES Another thing Apple Card is doing really, really well is their cash back offering. [36:07] The most important thing they have done from a behavioral economics sense is bringing the reward as close to the trigger as possible. [36:29] Instant payouts mean lots and lots of positive associations with the card. [37:36] If you give benefits of any kind back to your customers, how can you make it real, tangible, and as close to the behavior you want repeated as possible? [40:23] Framing matters – how the product is framed and the message around that product. Thanks for listening. Don't forget to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Android. If you like what you heard, please leave a review on iTunes and share what you liked about the show. Links and Resources: Episode 35. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Nudges and Choice Architecture Episode 36. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The N in NUDGES – iNcentives Episode 37. Behavioral Economics Foundations: the U in NUDGES – Understanding Mapping Episode 38. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The D in NUDGES – Defaults Episode 39. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The E in NUDGES – Expect Error Episode 40. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The G in NUDGES – Giving Feedback Episode 41. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The S in NUDGES – Structuring Complex Choices Episode 9. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Loss Aversion Episode 11. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Anchoring and Adjustment Shopping, Dopamine, and Anticipation Sapolsky on Dopamine: Not About Pleasure, But Its Anticipation Steve Jobs Introducing The iPhone At MacWorld 2007 Apple's 'Show Time' Event Was Really Weird – Here's Why Introducing Apple News+ Everything you love about News. Plus. Introducing Apple TV+ Episode 2. The Top 5 Wording Mistakes Businesses Make Episode 20. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Defaults Episode 21. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Habits How Brands Grow: What Marketers Don't Know Episode 15: Behavioral Economics Foundations: Availability Dogs on the Street, Pumas on Your Feet: How Cues in the Environment Influence Product Evaluation and Choice Episode 18. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Priming Episode 5. The Truth About Pricing Episode 8. What is Value? Episode 19. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Herding Episode 14. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Scarcity Predictably Irrational Episode 32. The Overwhelmed Brain and Its Impact on Decision Making 'Subscription Fatigue': Nearly Half of U.S. Consumers Frustrated by Streaming Explosion, Study Finds Apple Arcade Episode 16. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Framing Apple Card Episode 4. Questions or Answers How Payday Loans Work
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Mar 29, 2019 • 32min

41. Structuring Complex Choices: The "S" in NUDGES

This is the end of our series on nudges and choice architecture – we started with an introduction to the concept in episode 35 and have worked our way through all the aspects of the NUDGES acronym: incentives, understanding mapping, defaults, giving feedback, expecting error and now wrapping it up with structuring complex choices. Be sure and download your free worksheets on all of the aspects of nudges by becoming a subscriber. In this behavioral economics podcast, I talk about structuring complex choices. I also revisit mapping and the five steps to understanding mapping, because it is the foundation of complex choices. This episode is also our final application of the air conditioning example. I also dig into several other examples to illustrate this concept and how it all ties into ways to make your business better. Show Notes [02:41] Mapping is the foundation for complex choices. Thaler and Sunstein describe a mapping as "the relation between choice and welfare" and use a simple example of choosing a flavor of ice cream. [03:16] Some tasks like choosing an ice cream flavor are easy. Others are more difficult. The path from the choice to the outcome is called a mapping. [04:25] The task of the choice architect (that's you) is to set up a system that helps make the map as clear and easy to use as possible. [04:37] The five steps I created and identified in understanding mapping were: 1) encourage thoughtful review and open-mindedness, 2) break it down, 3) make it relatable, 4) help them get there and 5) call to action. [05:12] When you get into a more complex choice, there is a need for filtering and removing options. [07:12] The compensatory strategy works for easier choices or choices with less options, but not with more complex choices. Instead, you need what is called elimination by aspects. [07:32] By choosing a few aspects that matter, you use those to narrow the field. [08:47] When you eliminate everything over a certain arbitrary line, you could miss something that is just outside the parameters. This is the risk we take with elimination by aspects and the constant battle of complex choices. [09:25] The internet has given us tons of resources to help simplify our complex choices. [09:57] A presort can help us when looking at a menu. This way we can eliminate the options that we don't care about. [11:20] When people are presented with too many options they don't buy. We get overwhelmed with too many choices. [14:16] We only see a lot of choices as a benefit when they are properly handled such as going to a toast restaurant with all of the spreads and toppings categorized. [14:52] Cold Stone Creamery uses a form of anchoring and adjustment to help with their complex choice options. [15:41] Showing how aspects can come together can help people make a more complex choice. It can help them eliminate things they know they don't want when they are properly categorized. When looking at your own business, it is important to recognize if you have an inherently complex choice or if you are needlessly creating a complex choice. [15:50] The final air conditioning example. Complex choices can be made unnecessarily complex. Our AC choice became more complex because we needed to upgrade the heater. [18:34] It's important to present the options in a way that doesn't talk you or your customer out of business. [19:06] Don't be afraid of silence with complex choices, because people need time to process. [19:25] Using behavioral economics in business is much more than messaging, branding, sales, or any single aspect. To incorporate it properly, it's important to know all of the concepts and how they work together. [21:40] A paint color example where using swatches makes the color choice much easier than names or numbers. [23:50] A fun exercise where I give names of companies and how their methods could be applied to your business. [24:03] This technique will help you shake things up and get out of your comfort zone. [25:09] An example using The Knotted Wood. [25:48] Try to look at the cursory decision and ask if you are trying to solve the problem in the right way. [26:00] Companies that do a great job structuring complex choices. [30:17] Remember to think about ways you can reduce complexity as well as how you might add complexity to your business. [30:41] Seven episodes felt like a TON to put into a series, so thank you for those of you who have tuned in for the whole thing - and for letting me know how much you enjoyed it. [31:08] All businesses are based on choice. It's your job to structure those choices in the best way possible, using a map so the customers know what is in their best interest, aligning the incentives to set up a default – and give feedback along the way for all those errors you expect people to make. Thanks for listening. Don't forget to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Android. If you like what you heard, please leave a review on iTunes and share what you liked about the show. Links and Resources: Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness Choice Architecture Episode 35. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Nudges and Choice Architecture Episode 36. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The N in NUDGES – iNcentives Episode 37. Behavioral Economics Foundations: the U in NUDGES – Understanding Mapping Episode 38. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The D in NUDGES – Defaults Episode 39. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The E in NUDGES – Expect Error Episode 40. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The G in NUDGES – Giving Feedback Elimination by Aspects: A Theory of Choice Episode 32. The Overwhelmed Brain and Its Impact on Decision Making Episode 12. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Relativity Episode 11. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Anchoring and Adjustment Episode 4. Questions or Answers The Knotted Wood Coca-Cola Freestyle
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Mar 22, 2019 • 39min

40. Give Feedback: The "G" in NUDGES

We are getting close to wrapping up our series on NUDGES today – and if you have been following along each week you know we went a little out of order and did the E in nudges last week – expecting error, and are now coming back to G for giving feedback. This combines with incentives, understanding mapping and defaults (which we have covered already starting off the series in episode with an introduction to nudges in episode 35. Next week will wrap it all up with structuring complex choices…and then we will move on to our next topic (and it is one I am really excited about – you are going to love episode 42 to be sure). In this behavioral economics podcast, I talk about the importance of feedback, and why it lets us know if we are doing a good or a bad job. I give several real life examples involving cars, banking, our continued HVAC example, and some fun gadgets that help us conserve energy or be better weekend painters. I talk about the importance of visual cues and incorporating all of the senses and how the concepts in this series can be used to improve your business. Show Notes [03:19] Last week I talked about errors people make on things like getting their oil changed or replacing the filter on the refrigerator. The light that comes on to alert you it is time to take care of this task, is essentially the feedback mechanism or the little nudge. [03:51] Choose your feedback wisely, when there is too much people start to ignore the alerts. [04:48] This is where understanding mapping is really important. When you understand the best outcome for the chooser you can properly structure the choice architecture. [06:24] There are a combination of concepts at play along with the nudges and choice architecture, including optimism bias, and time discounting. [09:33] A speed sign with flashing lights is feedback from an expected error. Something that has been created based on the way the brain actually makes decisions to help make the roads a little safer. [11:27] Remember, vision takes place in the brain. Our brains take in all those pieces of data and put them together with alerts and tasks based on rules of thumb. [13:03] The HVAC company could have a system that would notify customers when it's time to schedule their maintenance. And, because it has smart technology, it could be created to do the work for them. [15:57] The nudge the company could put in place (which is using a combination of feedback and loss aversion) is to strategically create their sales process to encourage the person to make their decision that day. [17:34] Like the wedding dress store, the HVAC company could give discounts if the customer purchases on the same day of the sales call. [19:48] Simple things can make a big difference. Examples are our phone cameras clicking, and website links changing color. [22:29] I think it is important to note here that a lack of a negative does not necessarily lead to a positive feeling. [24:07] Feedback allows people to know they are doing a good job – or where they are going astray. [26:12] Wouldn't it have been nice if you had a little feedback during the process? This is exactly why the geniuses at Glidden created a ceiling paint that goes on pink and dries white. [28:22] Color coding is really helpful for our visual brains. The episode on color theory is coming soon – I promise, but know that our subconscious picks up on the colors and knows what it should be striving for (green is good, red is bad). An example on helping people use less energy. [28:46] How can your business incorporate the senses – color, pressure, scent, or sound to provide feedback to your customers to nudge them into better behavior? [29:16] Feedback can also be useful when things take a while and there are a lot of steps happening behind the scenes. Domino's Pizza Tracker gives helpful feedback. [31:01] Feedback is appreciated and can help your customers to quell an anxiety they may not be able to articulate beforehand. [31:45] Timers without a tracker make people wonder if they did something wrong. [32:12] If someone is stressing about all that stuff, they are not paying attention or retaining anything from your advertisement, so you should provide that little bit of feedback. [33:19] Using feedback with credit cards. Is there a way to provide feedback and a nudge for those who would have issues without inconveniencing those who do not need the nudge? [34:43] The point of feedback is to get as close to the action as possible. [37:24] Using money in a jar as feedback of progress and an incentive to keep moving forward. Also using loss aversion by losing that money if you miss a day. [37:33] You can use this trick for any goal. How could you use a tactic like this with your employees or customers? [38:29] Take a look at your company, customers, and the products or services you offer for opportunities to provide feedback. Thanks for listening. Don't forget to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Android. If you like what you heard, please leave a review on iTunes and share what you liked about the show. Links and Resources: Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness Choice Architecture Episode 35. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Nudges and Choice Architecture Episode 36. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The N in NUDGES – iNcentives Episode 37. Behavioral Economics Foundations: the U in NUDGES – Understanding Mapping Episode 38. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The D in NUDGES – Defaults Episode 39. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The E in NUDGES – Expect Error Episode 34. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Optimism Bias Episode 15: Behavioral Economics Foundations: Availability Measuring the LSD Effect: 36 Percent Improvement Episode 24. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Sense of Sight Episode 9. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Loss Aversion Episode 25. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The Sense of Smell Glidden® Pink to White Ceiling Paint Nissan ECO-Pedal THE ENERGY ORB: Visualize Electricity Consumption! Episode 26. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The Sense of Taste Episode 27. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The Sense of Hearing and Sound Episode 28. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The Sense of Touch Domino's Track Your Order stickK
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Mar 15, 2019 • 40min

39. Expect Error: The "E" in NUDGES

This behavioral economics podcast is another foundations episode where we discuss the E in NUDGES: expect error. I think this might be my favorite of all the types of nudges. This is really the reason we need nudges at all – and why choice architecture even exists. Choice architecture takes a lot of time, effort and strategy to do well and having a background in nudging is essential to helping your customers and employees make good choices. If we humans did not make errors, we would not need help in making decisions. We would be able to evaluate all the possible options and make an informed decision every time. Because we don't and can't…we need choice architecture. And it is all built on expecting those errors to properly build in nudges. In this episode, I talk about different types of errors with real life examples and how to apply this information to your life and business. CLICK HERE FOR YOUR FREE DOWNLOAD! Show Notes [05:02] If humans didn't make errors, then we wouldn't need help making decisions. [05:16] We need choice architecture, because we don't evaluate all of the possible options and make the most informed decision every time. [05:36] When it comes to errors – we can expect humans to err on nearly anything. No matter how brilliant someone is, they will still make errors throughout their lives. [06:01] Quote from Nudge: "Beethoven wrote his ninth symphony while he was deaf, yet he would frequently misplace his house keys. How can people be simultaneously so smart and so dumb?" This is what makes us human. [06:42] Errors come in many fashions – as I said it can be as simple as forgetting your keys or leaving the card in the ATM. These are actually part of a subcategory of error called postcompletion error. [06:57] Postcompletion errors occur whenever we have a task to do, and once it is partially done, we mentally check it off the to do list. [08:41] The list of potential errors is truly endless. [08:59] The dinging noise your car makes when you don't have your seat belt on is a nudge, because manufacturers expect you to make an error at some point. [09:24] Check engine and filter lights are also nudges. [10:31] Try to incorporate all of the senses when creating a nudge. [10:52] Any time something is not consistent enough to become a habit (check out episodes 21 and 22 if you need a refresher) it is a prime candidate for error. [11:15] Consistency is key in business. [11:35] A good example of this is taking medicine every day at a consistent time. [13:06] Subscription models are really useful when an error is expected. They help the customer do what they are supposed to do, and it gives the business a built in reason to follow up and stay top-of-mind. [13:33] In the case of an air conditioning unit…it is important to have the ducts cleaned on a regular maintenance schedule. [14:16] I would recommend regular check ins with their customers – on more than just maintenance tips. That way, you can check in more than just once every three years (which is longer than you want to go if you want to remain top of mind). [15:24] People want heat when it is cold and AC when it is hot (this is availability bias – episode 15). [15:33] Send an annual check in or reminder in the fall and spring. The AC company could also create some type of certification program to prove that the unit has received recommended maintenance. This could help when selling a home and realtors could also be partners. [16:42] You get all this benefit from a little strategic foresight and understanding of when people will make errors, so you can step in and be the solution. [16:56] In any company, there are bound to be tons of places where people will make errors – both employees and customers. Dig deeper and look for more opportunities to solve errors before they happen. [18:28] Staff at the Ritz-Carlton have the ability to make things right for customers without having to ask for permission. [20:06] When you are trying to anticipate errors to nudge, you should be looking all over the company – not just at customers, but employee processes as well. [21:39] Busy or overwhelmed brain, which we talked about in episode 32. This is where postcompletion error comes in. [22:21] Our conscious brain can only focus on so much and the subconscious is making the vast majority of our decisions using rules of thumb (as you know – this is the basis for behavioral economics). When we get busy, we become overwhelmed and have more errors than usual. [22:34] Things that aren't habits are easily forgotten, but habits also get forgotten. Try to be present in the moment or nudge your team or employees to remember. [23:19] Too many nudges can become one more thing to not pay attention to. Try to get into the mindset of your customer or staff. [24:10] Things like auto-pay and subscriptions can be helpful nudges. [24:51] Stop trying to change the behavioral errors and force people into a system that doesn't work. Instead look at what you can be adding into the process to make it easier. [26:15] Changing the nozzles for different drugs and anesthesia helped reduce common errors. Checklists in hospitals are also good reminders. [27:06] A busy brain and commonly repeated tasks are a breeding ground for errors. [28:37] Any time you say someone "should" be able to do this or "they know better" or if you have multitasking staffers…they are prime candidates for nudges. [29:09] Products to solve a problem. Customers are willing to pay for a solution to a problem that helps them avoid making an error. [32:59] Gmail has come up with some clever nudges such as asking if you have an attachment if you write the word "attachment" in the text of your message and there is nothing attached, and putting ignored emails back at the top of the inbox. [33:32] The next category involves understanding a hot state and a cold state. When someone is in a cold state, it is easy to say they will do something (or not do something) but then when they are in their hot state…it is a lot harder to stick to the commitment. [34:10] Find things that can be done in a cold state to prevent behaviors from happening in a hot state. [35:32] Programs like Save More Tomorrow have been used to increase the amount someone will pay into to their retirement using a precommitment. [36:30] Staying top-of-mind and why consistency is key in business. [37:13] It's important to stay consistent with your business and have regular touch points with your potential customers. Put your customers in a drip campaign and send out your newsletter on a regular basis so it becomes part of their routine. [38:12] Remember, people make mistakes and it is your company's job to find a way to make it easier for them to use your product or service. You cannot expect your customer to do that for you. [38:54] Follow your customers to see how they interact with the product provided. [39:59] Pourable laundry soap spouts are a result of observational research. [40:31] Look at your company or product for errors that take place and ways to place a nudge as a reminder. Thanks for listening. Don't forget to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Android. If you like what you heard, please leave a review on iTunes and share what you liked about the show. Links and Resources: Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness Choice & Architecture The Chicago School of Professional Psychology Behavioral Economics Postgraduate Degree Programs Episode 21. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Habits Episode 22. The Power of Habit Episode 34. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Optimism Bias Episode 23. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Reciprocity Episode 15: Behavioral Economics Foundations: Availability The Ritz-Carlton Leadership Center Episode 4. Questions or Answers Episode 32. The Overwhelmed Brain and Its Impact on Decision Making Silpat Macaron Baking Mat Clocky Episode 34. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Optimism Bias Be on time with the Procrastinator's Clock Save More Tomorrow™: Using Behavioral Economics to Increase Employee Saving Episode 3. Do Lead Magnets Work and Do You Need One? RecurPost
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Mar 8, 2019 • 38min

38. Defaults: The "D" in NUDGES

This week marks the halfway point in our episodes on the types of NUDGES. We have already covered incentives and understanding mapping. Today, is all about defaults within choice architecture. When you think about choice and defaults, you may think it only applies when there is a preselected option on a list, but this is not the case. In every choice there is always a default. In many cases, the default is to do nothing…and that is still a choice, which is important for many choice architects to remember. I won't be talking too much about what a default is, but I will talk about how what I'm calling "implied defaults" can be incredibly helpful when they are used strategically. I'll also talk about how customers appreciate them and how they can benefit the company using them. In this behavioral economics podcast, I also go over how defaults can apply to the air conditioning example I have been using and how this concept can be applied to your company or service and how it can even help you save money. CLICK HERE FOR YOUR FREE DOWNLOAD Show Notes [03:03] In every choice there is always a default. In many cases, the default is to do nothing…and that is still a choice, which is important for many choice architects to remember. [03:32] When you are constructing a choice for someone, it is important to remember what their default is and how status quo bias will influence the default. [04:19] Air conditioning example. The default is to do nothing. [05:09] The company should make it easier for their customer to overcome this default hurdle. [07:34] The unit size we need is based on things that are already known…but they choose not to mention any numbers at all until you are deep into the process. [07:43] This is a mistake because first, there is no anchor. When there isn't an anchor the anchor is zero. This is a terrible place to start. [08:12] Sticker shock is created when people actually hear the cost. [09:24] When thinking about defaults in choices, it is important to realize that each complete choice can be broken down into a bunch of mini choices, and each one has its own default. [09:58] When the choice is presented, it can be properly worded to help nudge to a different default than nothing. [10:50] The default when quoting pricing for AC could and should be for the monthly payment of a loan instead of the bulk cost. [12:05] I give an example of where I move the default option in the offer from "not getting air conditioning" (the true default) to getting AC on a 24 month loan (the implied default). This is the power of framing. [13:09] How does a company choose and understand what they should use as their default? [13:28] Understanding incentives and how they impact the business is very important when choosing a default. [16:55] Carrie Clarke of Next Level Coaching does a great job framing with, "The ROI on coaching is 700% and you will reach your goals 9 times faster than trying to do it alone." [18:28] Printing receipts is an example where defaults can cost a business money. [19:52] The city of Tulsa, Oklahoma reportedly switched all their printers to default to double-sided printing, which they estimated saved them more than $41,000 a year in unnecessary expense. [20:39] Our default as humans is often to eat food in front of us and mindless eating can be a problem. If the default plate is smaller, you will put less on the plate and often realize you are full earlier. [21:51] Not defaulting to adding straws and napkins to orders can reduce waste. [22:24] An Amazon subscription example, which used a default. [26:01] Think about your business. Do you have a product or service that people buy regularly? [26:38] An opt in versus opt out can have a huge impact on choice. [28:05] Where do you have opt ins versus opt outs in your business? Are there any features people have to opt in for that would actually be best for them and increase your profitability? [30:13] Think about what your customers want and what will benefit them and what's going to benefit the business before you set up that default. [31:03] GAP insurance is usually an add on which is a hard sell. The advice I would give is to bundle it with the initial quote and clients can opt out if they want. [33:46] Defaults are a powerful and very simple nudge to apply. When used responsibly, defaults are great and often appreciated by customers. [36:27] Implied defaults can be incredibly helpful when they are used strategically. Customers appreciate them and they can benefit the company using them. Thanks for listening. Don't forget to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Android. If you like what you heard, please leave a review on iTunes and share what you liked about the show. Links and Resources: Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness Episode 36. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The N in NUDGES – iNcentives Episode 37. Behavioral Economics Foundations: the U in NUDGES – Understanding Mapping Episode 35. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Nudges and Choice Architecture Episode 20. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Defaults Episode 16. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Framing Episode 11. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Anchoring and Adjustment Only 39% of Americans Have Enough Savings to Cover a $1,000 Emergency Episode 19. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Herding Next Level Coaching Consulting Episode 18. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Priming Seattle Becomes First U.s. City to Ban Plastic Utensils and Straws License Fees Raise $1.4m for Parks Episode 9. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Loss Aversion
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Mar 1, 2019 • 48min

37. Understanding Mapping: The "U" in NUDGES

Last week, I kicked off the different types of nudges and how they apply to choice architecture with incentives. The word NUDGES is an acronym for the categories of nudging, and we are breaking those down episode by episode over six weeks to showcase different aspects of choice architecture and nudging. Now that we tackled incentives last week, we will jump into understanding mapping – both what in the world that means...and how to use it to your best advantage in your business. In this behavioral economics podcast, I share how nudges and my 5 Steps for Mapping can be used in your business to encourage the buying process. CLICK HERE FOR YOUR FREE DOWNLOAD! Show Notes [02:56] Thaler and Sunstein describe a mapping as "the relation between choice and welfare" and use a simple example of choosing a flavor of ice cream in one of their papers on choice architecture. [03:30] At its core, the path from the choice and its outcome is called a mapping. [03:50] For ice cream, you have some mapping in your brain that let you know which flavors you would enjoy the most. [04:20] It's more difficult to see the mapping with more complex choices. [04:49] Their paper uses the options of surgery, radiation, or watchful waiting with a cancer diagnosis. Comparing the options weighs a longer life against negative side effects. [05:45] In spite of this, most patients decide which course to choose at the very first meeting when they are given the diagnosis. The option they choose also depends strongly on the type of doctor they see. [06:44] My five steps for a choice architect to make the mapping as clear as possible: 1) encourage thoughtful review and open-mindedness, 2) break it down, 3) make it relatable, 4) help them get there, and 5) call to action. [07:25] With big decisions it's important to understand your biases. [08:21] It's important for doctors as the choice architects to understand the way they are framing the options. [09:29] Our brains put more weight on the default or what we hear about first. [10:02] The best choice architect should know that a person shouldn't make a decision when they are highly emotional. [11:06] Breaking it down. If you want to make a map, it's important understand all of the options available. [12:41] That way you can anticipate the questions a potential customer (or patient or client) will have, the things they need to know, and guide them to the right recommendation. [13:11] Make it relatable using simple rules of thumb. [13:56] Use the customer's language and an example that they can relate back to. [15:16] Find the thing that customers care the most about. [15:50] The way you build your choice architecture is to think about how your customers will determine what to buy. What is the primary reason they are buying? [16:06] What do your customers need to know or hear, and what rule of thumb will make the choice simple and easy to make? [16:51] Once you know what your customers need, they still may require a little sample to get there. Incorporating the senses can help them make a decision. [17:44] Your call-to-action is the final step - it is important because it helps the chooser realize it is an appropriate time to stop analyzing and consider making a choice. [18:41] It's also important to prime all throughout the interaction. [19:15] To encourage thoughtful review, an air conditioning company should know that the customer has other options. [20:11] Frame the cost in a relatable way. [21:49] Relating their mindset to the right point is your "taste test" when they can't have a physical sample. [22:23] Ask for the sale...and then stop and wait. [23:52] If you use a script, understand the intent behind the script and know the content by heart in order to have a true conversation. [24:12] Price is never about price. It's about all of the things leading up to the price. [25:42] Here are some basic mapping examples (because the final installment of the series – the "S" in nudges – is for structuring complex choices). [26:29] Using a menu to break options down into manageable chunks. Well worded descriptions help you evaluate if the item is something that you would like. [28:10] One well chosen word can make your brain want to read the description. [30:00] Our subconscious brain can take in a lot of information and glosses over a lot of things. [31:03] These menu descriptions include some taste words as well as relativity, anchoring and adjustment, and framing. [31:55] A nail salon example. [33:47] Adding more may seem like a benefit, but when it doesn't have a useful map so the chooser can compare, adding more options can cause a lot more harm than good. [34:47] When creating a product website, consider what you present from the mind of the customer (think back to the menu example). [36:30] With a service website keep in mind the concept of incentives. [38:00] How our brain sees miles per gallon wrong, and why gallons per mile is better (yes, they are different). [39:54] How can you put numbers out there that are easier for people to understand and see the value? [40:05] Thaler and Sunstein recommend a system called "RECAP" which stands for Record, Evaluate, Compare Alternative Prices. [41:24] What if movies did not have trailers or descriptions? Trailers help you map the available movies and decide what you want to see. [42:45] Commercials take advantage of mirror neurons in the customer's brain by showing someone else using the product, tasting it, picking it out from a menu or off a shelf. [44:54] The visual is best for the subconscious. [45:09] Any type of company – whether you sell physical products or a service – can use a guarantee of some kind. [45:58] Simple Tip You Can Use Immediately: use a call out or title like "Most popular" or "top choice" or "best value" – know, of course, that you are responsible in your business to ensure that it true. [46:45] Remember, the intent of a nudge is to help people make the best decision, but they must maintain free choice. Thanks for listening. Don't forget to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Android. If you like what you heard, please leave a review on iTunes and share what you liked about the show. Links and Resources: Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness Episode 35. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Nudges and Choice Architecture Episode 36. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The N in NUDGES – iNcentives Choice Architecture Episode 32. The Overwhelmed Brain and Its Impact on Decision Making Episode 19. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Herding Episode 9. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Loss Aversion Episode 16. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Framing Episode 24. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Sense of Sight Episode 25. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The Sense of Smell Episode 26. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The Sense of Taste Episode 27. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The Sense of Hearing and Sound Episode 28. Behavioral Economics Foundations: The Sense of Touch Episode 18. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Priming Nikki Rausch of Sales Maven Episode 5. The Truth About Pricing Ruth's Chris Dinner Menu Episode 12. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Relativity Episode 11. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Anchoring and Adjustment Episode 2. The Top 5 Wording Mistakes Businesses Make Nudges Episode 31. Mirror Neurons 1995 Breyer's Ice Cream Commercial
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Feb 22, 2019 • 47min

36. Incentives - The "N" In NUDGES

The word NUDGES is an acronym for the categories of nudging, and we are breaking those down episode by episode over the next six weeks to showcase different aspects of choice architecture and nudging. Today, we are starting with the N of nudges…which is for innnnnnncentives. This episode will explain what iNcentives mean when it comes to nudges, I will reference some excerpts from Nudge by Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein, as well as some of their research papers. The goal of this behavioral economics podcast will be to help you think about how to offer incentives and nudge your clients to look at things differently while using nudges in your business. CLICK HERE FOR YOUR FREE DOWNLOAD! Show Notes [03:21] You are a choice architect if you present options to people and indirectly influence their choices – this is everything from where you place food in the line in the cafeteria to an opt in form on a website to doctors presenting treatment options. [04:23] A nudge is something that helps someone make a choice. This is everything from the order things are on a list of choices to the wording used to them, and yes, incentives. [04:51] Supply and demand fluctuate in predictable ways and are like two opposing forces in an intricate dance. [05:12] Proper incentives can help to encourage sales when you understand how they work. [05:14] The tricky thing about incentives is that they are never one sided and our lazy brains don't tend to think about all the proper aspects of the choice presented. [05:51] Good choice architects understand how to structure the nudges and architecture to do what is best for their business. [06:02] Ask these questions to figure out what all the incentives are and how they work together: Who uses? Who chooses? Who pays? Who profits? [07:17] I am going to use the example of air conditioning as a constant throughout the series. [08:36] My husband and I bought a house that didn't have air conditioning installed. The builder gave us the option of adding air conditioning whenever we wanted. We decided to test out a Seattle summer and see if it was really needed. [09:08] After one super hot summer, we decided to get the air conditioning. [09:19] We had someone come to the house and do the evaluation for air conditioning. I learned the standard formula based on the square footage of the house, the number of vents, etc. [09:52] You think the choice is, "Do you want air conditioning or not?" Yes or no. Of course…it's not really that simple, which is why this air conditioning example will be featured throughout the series. [10:28] For the air conditioning example, the person who uses is me/my husband. [10:57] Who chooses is my husband and I, but the choice is much more complex than meets the eye... [11:31] When cooling our home, we actually have many options such as using fans, staying in hotels, or filling our bathtubs with ice. There are also multiple companies to choose from once we decide we want air conditioning. [12:16] Who pays is my husband and I (note, payment is not always monetary). [12:45] The company that sells the air conditioning units (and their employee making the sale) are the ones who profit (as well as their manufacturers). There are different levels of profit. [13:57] I know there is markup on the items and I am paying for the convenience of not having to invent and build air conditioning. [14:42] What happens when there are conflicting incentives? [15:57] After we agreed to purchase the air conditioning, we were asked if we wanted a wifi enabled unit. [16:31] Wifi enabled allows you to adjust the temperature using your phone. [17:42] When finding this out my main question was, "Why would anyone NOT want this?" [17:55] It's also the same price as the unit without wifi. This got me thinking about what I would advise this company if they were a client of mine. [18:07] Why is it the same cost to the consumer? And why wasn't that choice communicated better? Where was the nudge? [19:32] Do I want my choice made by a guy who was influenced by his commission? (NO) [19:44] This happens all the time because of conflicting incentives. [19:53] The advice I would give this company is to align the incentives to find the win-win-win scenario. [21:13] If it was necessary to increase the price for the wifi enabled model, it should be the default option (the price you start with) and then let the person take away wifi if they don't want it. This is your choice architecture. [21:37] Now the question becomes, "Do you want the wifi enabled unit or not?" versus "Do you want AC or not?" This simple nudge and shift in the architecture completely changes the question in the mind of the consumer (for a way that is favorable for the business). [22:18] Sometimes as a company, you need to take a step back to understand what is worth paying for. [24:18] Salience, or saying something is salient, is the way an item "stands out" from other items. [24:44] The consequences of a choice are salient means that the chooser is aware of the consequences of each choice. [25:06] It's important to always ask and try to understand if the person making the choice is aware of all the incentives, consequences, and dynamics of that choice. [27:08] How can you make the choice and its repercussions more salient for the chooser? [30:07] It's an easier choice to make when things are broken down in a way that your brain can understand. [30:30] Being in sales is being a full-time choice architect. [30:41] Understanding all the incentives involved and how they interact with each other can help ensure the choice that is best for everyone gets nudged. [31:12] An example of incentives and salience when buying a car. [33:43] The way a choice feels can impact the choice a human makes. [34:43] Think about what you want to bring your customers attention to. Examples for gyms, soda, television and more. [40:28] Surge pricing and energy usage. This may teach people to use less energy, but it's not as salient as it could be. [42:58] US Healthcare example. The way the information is presented affects the choice, and it may be too complex for anyone to choose correctly (stay tuned for this to come up again in our episode on structuring complex choices - the S in nudges). [46:42] Think about your own business and what you are selling to your customers – whether it is a product or a service. What do they need to know and have salient to make a good choice? Thanks for listening. Don't forget to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Android. If you like what you heard, please leave a review on iTunes and share what you liked about the show. Links and Resources: Episode 35. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Nudges and Choice Architecture Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness Choice Architecture Episode 9. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Loss Aversion Episode 14. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Scarcity What is Capitalism? Episode 12. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Relativity Episode 11. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Anchoring and Adjustment Episode 5. The Truth About Pricing Episode 17. Unlocking the Power of Numbers Episode 32. The Overwhelmed Brain and Its Impact on Decision Making Episode 8. What is Value? Episode 16. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Framing The Brainy Business on Facebook
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Feb 15, 2019 • 36min

35. NUDGES & Choice Architecture: Introducing Nobel-Winning Concepts

Nudges and choice architecture are complex and advanced topics. During my master's program, I had an entire course on choice architecture, so I'm going to break down this foundational topic into a series. Today's behavioral economics podcast is an introduction to nudges and choice architecture. In each episode, I'll share the concept and then give real life examples to illustrate that concept.You're a choice architect whether you realize it or not, and honestly whether you want to be or not. So, it is best to understand the concepts. Don't you owe it to the people you are presenting choices to? Wouldn't you want someone in your same position to help you to make the best possible choice? This series is going to help you so much in your life and business both when you are making choices and when you are constructing them for others. CLICK HERE FOR YOUR FREE DOWNLOAD! Show Notes [03:29] In its most core definition, a nudge is a gentle touch or tap. [04:37] An example of nudges in a school cafeteria where rearranging the food items impacted their consumption by 25%. A prominent position can increase consumption by 25% and a less prominent position can decrease consumption by 25%. [06:55] An excerpt from Nudge which outlines the dilemma of where how to structure the food in the cafeteria: 1. Arrange the food to make the students best off, all things considered. 2. Choose the food order at random. 3. Try to arrange the food to get the kids to pick the same foods they would choose on their own. 4. Maximize the sales of the items from the suppliers that are willing to offer the largest bribes. 5. Maximize profits, period. [07:50] Option 1 has obvious appeal, yet it does seem a bit intrusive. [08:25] Option 2, arranging the food at random, could be considered fair-minded and principled. [08:55] Option 3 might seem to be an honorable attempt to avoid intrusion (but the test shows why this is flawed). [09:44] Option 4 might appeal to a corrupt person in the job (not us). [10:02] Option 5 has some appeal, especially if we think the best cafeteria is the one that makes the most money. [10:22] What would you choose? How would you choose? This, is the burden of the choice architect. Many of you are already choice architects and you might not even realize it. [11:15] There are many parallels between choice architecture and more traditional forms of architecture. A crucial parallel is that there is no such thing as a "neutral" design. [12:33] Small and apparently insignificant details can have major impacts on people's behavior. A good rule of thumb (as you have heard me say many, many times before) is to assume that "everything matters" [13:16] A choice architect must choose a particular arrangement of the food options for lunch (or whatever choice they are facilitating) and by doing so we can influence what people eat. We can nudge. [13:39] "A nudge is any aspect of the choice architecture that alters people's behavior in a predictable way without forbidding options or significantly changing their economic incentives." [14:15] Some of the key takeaways from the paraphrased explanation are: 1. Everything matters 2. There are no neutral options 3. You cannot avoid being a choice architect – any format is influencing the choices, so it is best to be informed 4. Nudges can help simplify complex choices and help illogical humans make good choices 5. Nudges are not mandates – they need to be easily avoidable to still count as a nudge. [15:02] Choice architecture and nudges are very closely tied – but they are not the same thing. [15:12] A choice architect is someone who indirectly influences the choices of other people. The choice architecture is the mechanism you use to facilitate the choices. [15:26] A nudge is something you would use to influence the decision. [16:21] An example of the concepts using an HR department: You want to structure choices on a form to help encourage employees to contribute to their retirement account. [18:21] The first item on the list will have the most weight on the brain. It's best to put the recommendation first (a nudge). [19:28] Different wording has different results. Consider saying something like: "Experts recommend contributing 15% of your salary to a 401k, how much would you like to allocate?" (and how it differs from other verbiage) [19:49] This example includes framing, priming, and anchoring and adjustment. [23:39] For your options, you can include several positive options (which start with the word "yes") and then one "no" option at the bottom. These nudgy options remind the user of the expert recommendations. You can also prime them to contribute at a later time. [24:21] Options on online sign-up forms. [26:56] When used subtly, nudges are very effective. [29:25] Choice architecture is used in all sorts of decisions – from retirement plans to choosing a flight for your next trip. [29:49] Proper choice architecture and nudges can increase profitability on menus, help people to save more for retirement, decrease infection rates and deaths at hospitals, increase organ donations, get more money for public parks, help people to use less energy, and more. [30:20] In this series, I will be outlining choice architecture and the different types of nudges. I will introduce the topic and then give you practical examples. [31:24] There are six categories of NUDGES: iNcentives, Understand mappings, Defaults, Give feedback, Expect error, and Structure complex choices. [33:46] Can nudges be used outside of choice architecture or can you have choice architecture without a nudge? Not really...for example, even if you don't put effort into creating a nudge, there is always a default. So, it is best to be informed and think strategically. Thanks for listening. Don't forget to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Android. If you like what you heard, please leave a review on iTunes and share what you liked about the show. Links and Resources: Episode 33. Inside the Texas A&M Human Behavior Lab From Cashews to Nudges: The Evolution of Behavioral Economics Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness Choice Architecture Episode 20. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Defaults Episode 16. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Framing Episode 18. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Priming Episode 11. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Anchoring and Adjustment Episode 9. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Loss Aversion Episode 32. The Overwhelmed Brain and Its Impact on Decision Making The Most Ridiculous Loss Aversion Example
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Feb 8, 2019 • 42min

34. Optimism Bias: The Good And The Bad Of Those Rose-Colored Glasses

Today's behavioral economics foundations episode is all about the optimism bias. I hope you've got your rose colored glasses, because here we go! This is one of those topics that has a name that makes it seem like you MIGHT know what it is…but you potentially don't know for sure…and you probably don't realize how much it impacts you and your customers every day. So, what is optimism bias? Essentially, this is our tendency to overweight the likelihood good things will happen to us, and underestimate the likelihood bad things will happen to us. This episode explores why we think this way and how understanding optimism bias can be used to improve our businesses. CLICK HERE FOR YOUR FREE DOWNLOAD! Show Notes [05:25] OPTIMISM BIAS - This is one of those topics that has a name that makes it seem like you MIGHT know what it is…but you potentially don't know for sure…and you probably don't realize how much it impacts you and your customers every day. [05:31] This is our tendency to overweight the likelihood good things will happen to us, and underestimate the likelihood bad things will happen to us. [06:34] It is important to note that optimism bias is not the same as being an optimist. And, if you consider yourself to be a pessimist or a realist…it doesn't mean that you are not impacted by the optimism bias. It just might impact you a little bit differently. [07:08] Marriage is a great example of optimism bias. In spite divorce statistics, no one thinks that they are going to get divorced when they get married. [07:57] According to the CDC, 1 in every 4 deaths is due to heart disease, claiming 610,000 lives each year. Do you think the statistic will affect you? Your spouse? Parents? Close friends? Probably not. [08:36] We also think our children are uniquely talented and skilled – that they will grow up to change the world and do amazing things. [09:30] Tali Sharot said, "We are optimistic about ourselves. We are optimistic about our kids. We are optimistic about our families…but we are not so optimistic about the guy sitting next to us. And we are somewhat pessimistic about the fate of families in general and the fate of our country." [10:08] Optimism bias means that deep down, ingrained in our DNA, we believe that we have a unique ability to do better and be better than everyone else. [10:40] Think about yourself and how you rank compared to the rest of the population in your ability to get along with others. Attractiveness? Honesty? Driving ability? Most people will rank themselves in the top quarter of the population on abilities and characteristics. (Even though that is impossible.) [13:16] Optimism bias is believing that you are uniquely going to do better than the odds. [14:01] What my social media followers said they were most interested in concerning optimism bias. [14:51] The first question is the over/under. At least 80% of us are impacted by optimism bias (but I say it hits everyone at least once in their lives). [15:36] For all the entrepreneurs listening – we are likely to be the serious optimism biasers of the world. We believe we can launch or create something no one ever has. [16:00] The "low expectations" theory - debunked. Turns out people with high expectations are happier than those with low expectations. [16:32] When someone with high expectations succeeds, they tie that back to their own abilities and traits. [16:55] When people with high expectations fail a test they think that they'll do better next time. [17:05] People with low expectations think if they fail it's because of something they are lacking. [17:26] Optimism and success are not just related – success is built on optimism. [18:06] People who use optimism and the optimism bias, who have high expectations, are happier. [18:23] However, optimism bias can cause people to make bad decisions and take bigger risk than they should. [19:21] Another way the optimism bias shows up in business is when we estimate how long something will take. [21:06] Why do we make to-do list with so many tasks that we'll never get through them? It's because our brains are anticipating the rewards after, and we are uniquely capable of getting those things done. [22:10] BIG TAKEAWAY: Let optimism bias guide your goals and dreams. Whatever those big goals are, fill them up with as much optimism bias as you can muster, because confidence will get you there. [23:22] Set corporate goals with optimism bias, but set realistic tasks for your staff. [26:16] My interview with Karla Starr, author of Can You Learn To Be Lucky? [27:28] When people treat you well you develop a stronger sense of self. (Examples from Sarah Palin and Brad Pitt.) [29:37] If you live as a confident person and think things will go well for you, (often) they will. [31:42] Formative years can instill how you believe about yourself. [33:09] Use optimism bias to your advantage to help you be lucky in life and business. [36:26] Join my Facebook live chat with Karla on February 13th - and ask your questions live! [41:16] Businesses will fall on either the light or dark side of this bias - and they need to market/message completely differently. Consider which side your business is on: light or dark? Make sure optimism bias works for you instead of against you. Thanks for listening. Don't forget to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Android. If you like what you heard, please leave a review on iTunes and share what you liked about the show. Links and Resources: Episode 33. Behavioral Economics Foundations: Human Behavior Lab Super Bowl Commercials 2019: A Behavioral Economics Review Nicole Bandes.Virtual A Team on Instagram Virtual A TeamExploring the Causes of Comparative Optimism The Optimism Bias Episode 30. Booms and Busts Heart Disease Facts When Harry Met Sally... | "The Wagon Wheel Coffee Table" Emotional reactions to achievement outcomes: Is it really best to expect the worst? Episode 13. Adjusting Your Mindset Episode 22. The Power of Habit Understanding the Optimism Bias Next Level Coach Can You Learn to Be Lucky?: Why Some People Seem to Win More Often Than Others Karla Starr The Brainy Biz Facebook Live Events

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