This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner break down the state and historical significance of 2022's market downturn 12:27 How VCs will handle capital commitments from LPs, underwriting startups in the new reality 24:14 Bull run mistakes, why VCs don't underwrite lower valuations, handling distributions 33:52 Gurley's take on WeCrashed & Super Pumped TV series, how sophisticated investors got "gaslit" by the market, influx of capital creating consumer-surplus businesses 47:54 Brad predicts the market for next year, Bill gives post-Benchmark plans Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

0:00 Bestie Guestie Elon Musk joins via Zoom at the All-In Summit! 0:43 Benchmarking Twitter's bot problem, thoughts on slights from the Biden Administration 13:26 Breaking down Tesla's 6+ businesses, comparing them to a traditional car company 21:42 Concerns around the Twitter deal, crypto payments on Twitter 30:19 Building vs. acquiring, early Tesla stories 39:52 SpaceX's grand vision and business model, nuclear fusion vs. solar 56:37 Moving from CA to TX, fixing California, macroeconomic takes 1:10:20 American exceptionalism, a new immigration strategy Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/elonmusk Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffec

0:00 Bestie catchup and Friedberg intros! 4:40 Breaking down current macro risks, Great Recession comparisons 31:55 How a historically large amount of dry powder is impacting VC firms as the market shifts, problems with mega funds 41:31 Tiger Global's historic loss and where they might have gone wrong; Sacks' gives his playbook for raising capital in a downturn 58:35 How startup employees can protect themselves in a down market, questions to ask and metrics to know while evaluating startups to work at 1:13:21 Psychological impact of investing after taking huge losses 1:29:00 Predictions on how the market shakes out Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/cullenroche/status/1524441227931774976 https://www.axios.com/2022/04/08/consumer-debt-soars-credit-cards https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/default.htm https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-12/musk-seeks-to-scrap-tesla-margin-loan-with-new-twitter-funding https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1523780820112007168 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf https://twitter.com/TheBenSchmark/status/1522669777478684672 https://twitter.com/AndrewE_Dunn/status/1523653942252826624 https://twitter.com/mattturck/status/1524773379416408064 https://twitter.com/jonsakoda/status/1522625236130144256 https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund/ https://twitter.com/ZoeSchiffer/status/1523017143939309568 https://twitter.com/BurryArchive/status/1524504399070081025 https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/05/04/dow-rallies-fed-ups-rates/9649150002/ https://twitter.com/Airbnb/status/1524379284260892674

0:00 Amy Howe (@AHoweBlogger) & Tom Goldstein (@SCOTUSblog) join the show to break down the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade 28:07 Potential downstream impacts from the precedent of overturning Roe v. Wade 43:03 How will the leaked draft impact the Supreme Court going forward? Should there be age limits for SC justices? 1:05:09 Analyzing the path forward Follow Amy and Tom: https://twitter.com/AHoweBlogger https://twitter.com/SCOTUSblog Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21835435-scotus-initial-draft https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep410/usrep410113/usrep410113.pdf https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/505/833/case.pdf https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/05/04/abortion-supreme-court-confirmation-hearings https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump_Supreme_Court_candidates https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/19pdf/17-1618_hfci.pdf https://www.wsj.com/articles/abortion-and-the-supreme-court-dobbs-v-jackson-mississippi-john-roberts-11651009292 https://beyer.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=5330 https://www.law.nyu.edu/sites/default/files/ECM_PRO_059254.pdf https://news.gallup.com/poll/350486/record-high-support-same-sex-marriage.aspx https://news.gallup.com/poll/1576/abortion.aspx  

0:00 Bestie intros 4:32 Understanding VC fund metrics that matter, state of private markets 29:37 Recession possibilities, Q1 negative growth 44:56 Student loan forgiveness, fixing the underlying system, solutions 1:09:52 Archegos founder Bill Hwang arrested and charged with fraud and racketeering 1:19:08 New Disinformation Governance Board 1:30:23 Predictions for Elon's Twitter vision, policing speech on social media using existing case law Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter https://twitter.com/jasongoepfert/status/1520040516955643905 https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-economy-gdp-growth-q1-11651108351 https://twitter.com/lizannsonders/status/1520021943621140483 https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1489128016508719104 https://educationdata.org/wp-content/uploads/78/historical-cost-of-tuition-and-fees-room-and-board.webp https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/04/should-biden-forgive-student-loan-debt/629700/ https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2022-70 https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-immigration-media-europe-misinformation-4e873389889bb1d9e2ad8659d9975e9d https://www.dhs.gov/ntas/advisory/national-terrorism-advisory-system-bulletin-february-07-2022 https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/01/us/politics/russia-2016-election-facebook.html https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1519073003933515776

0:00 Bestie Intros + a new Bestie Guestie! 4:37 Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong reflects on his "mission-focused company" blog post, work culture in tech/Silicon Valley, realigning culture at Coinbase 26:25 Crypto regulation and adoption 46:37 Brian's takes on different types of stablecoins 51:14 Netflix's major headwinds Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://blog.coinbase.com/coinbase-is-a-mission-focused-company-af882df8804 https://www.theverge.com/2021/5/12/22433437/apple-hire-antonio-garcia-martinez-out-petition-investigation https://www.theverge.com/2021/5/20/22446059/apple-employees-palestinians-support-internal-letter-tim-cook https://www.theverge.com/2021/6/4/22491629/apple-employees-push-back-return-office-internal-letter-tim-cook https://www.wsj.com/articles/revolt-in-disneys-florida-kingdom-ron-desantis-bob-chapek-11650578648 https://variety.com/2021/film/news/dave-chappelle-netflix-ted-sarandos-i-screwed-up-1235093098/ https://sacks.substack.com/p/your-startup-is-a-movement?s=r https://twitter.com/brian_armstrong/status/1435439291715358721 https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/03/09/fact-sheet-president-biden-to-sign-executive-order-on-ensuring-responsible-innovation-in-digital-assets/ https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/howey-test.asp https://www.wsj.com/articles/crypto-thieves-get-bolder-by-the-heist-stealing-record-amounts-11650582598 https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/06/axie-infinity-creator-raises-150m-round-to-compensate-victims-of-625m-ronin-hack/ https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1402030233319088139 https://nypost.com/2022/04/21/ex-mcdonalds-ceo-rensi-companies-have-no-business-in-politics/ https://www.pbs.org/newshour/arts/netflix-loses-200000-subscribers-projects-even-deeper-losses-this-spring https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NFLX:NASDAQ https://ycharts.com/companies/NFLX/market_cap https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-20/ackman-loses-more-than-430-million-on-three-month-netflix-bet https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1516600269899026432 https://summit.allinpodcast.co/

*** PRODUCER'S NOTE: This is part two of E76. If you want to hear the besties break down Elon vs. Twitter, check out the previous episode.     0:00 Surprise part two! 1:03 Friedberg breaks down the global food crisis and predicts China's grand plan 9:27 Inflation: 8.5% CPI in March, potential causes, what the rest of 2022 might look like 18:22 Understanding French election results so far 23:08 All-In Summit update and preview Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://thediplomat.com/2022/02/what-does-chinas-horn-of-africa-envoy-mean-for-its-non-intervention-principle/ https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3169076/china-unites-somalia-against-growing-taiwanese-somaliland-ties https://allafrica.com/stories/202203190144.html https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3170851/ukraine-invasion-china-braces-effects-global-fertiliser https://www.economist.com/china/2022/04/09/when-china-worries-about-food-the-world-pays https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3173619/china-didnt-hoard-grains-stockpiling-ensure-domestic-food https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-inflation-consumer-price-index-march-2022-11649725215 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1485696010290491393 https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/13/world/europe/le-pen-nato-russia-germany.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/visa-mastercard-fees-will-hurt-consumers-sen-dick-durbin-says-11650046879 https://summit.allinpodcast.co/

0:00 Jason's new skincare routine, Sacks' Good Friday portfolio update, Bestie intros 3:12 Breaking down Elon's offer to buy Twitter and take it private: poison pills, board responsibility and more 30:50 Core issues of Elon vs. Twitter, analyzing reactions, breaking down Twitter's revenue per employee 43:10 Free speech and Twitter, predictions for how this saga ends, business film recommendations Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1514564966564651008 https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/twitter-adopts-limited-duration-shareholder-rights-plan-enabling-all-shareholders-to-realize-full-value-of-company-301526627.html https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revlon,_Inc._v._MacAndrews_%26_Forbes_Holdings,_Inc. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001418091/000110465922045641/tm2212748d1_sc13da.htm https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TWTR:NYSE https://twitter.com/DefiantLs/status/1514738236207337477 https://twitter.com/jeffjarvis/status/1514578609754812419 https://twitter.com/maxboot/status/1514570168730636290 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/DefiantLs/status/1514738236207337477 https://twitter.com/auronmacintyre/status/1514653963408318474 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ATVI:NASDAQ

0:00 Jason's big night out, bestie intros, All-In Summit update and more 8:01 Layoffs and shutdowns: Fast, Better.com, GoPuff; Chamath gives a macro- and micro- overview for startups 14:09 Preventing layoffs, culpability in Fast's shutdown, VC diligence strategy, VC/founder model 41:51 Elon buys a 9% stake in Twitter and joins the board: what does this mean for Twitter, free speech online, evolution of deplatforming 1:03:24 Food shortage update, ideal US objectives going forward Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/live-fast-die-young-behind-the-fall-of-a-one-click-wonder https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/08/better-com-cto-steps-down-agrees-to-voluntary-separation-in-wake-of-mass-layoffs https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/06/better-com-offering-employees-60-days-severance-losing-tens-of-millions-per-month-per-sources https://www.theinformation.com/articles/gopuff-plans-hundreds-of-layoffs-to-cut-40-million-in-costs https://articles.sequoiacap.com/rip-good-times https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-saas-board-meeting https://medium.com/craft-ventures/blitzfail-how-not-to-go-off-the-rails-24ccaf92c410 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-04/musk-takes-9-2-stake-in-twitter-after-questioning-platform https://twitter.com/paraga/status/1511320953598357505 https://twitter.com/jack/status/1511329369473564677 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1507259709224632344 https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1511360061670662149 https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1511674851202945024 https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/06/tech/pinterest-climate-change-misinformation-policy/index.html https://gro-intelligence.com/insights/gro-predicts-us-corn-stocks-will-drop-sharply-in-2022-23 https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/the-state-department-failed-to-prevent-the-war-will-it-now-prevent-the-peace

0:00 Sacks' DC trip and foreign policy speaking gig 5:50 Yield curve inversion, breaking down the current state of the markets, understanding the labor market through birth rate and immigration 26:16 How the US can fix its current economic issues, reframing high-skilled immigration 48:54 SEC's new proposed rules around SPACs and climate disclosures for public companies: how will both markets be impacted? 1:10:29 Meta used a GOP firm to run a smear campaign against TikTok in the US: dirty, necessary, or both? 1:19:03 Food shortage update 1:24:33 Sacks and Jason reflect on Biden's inflammatory comments on Putin Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-doctrine/471525 https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/part-us-yield-curve-just-inverted-does-that-mean-recession-is-coming-2022-03-28 https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/dont-fear-the-yield-curve-reprise-20220325.htm https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/restoration-hardware-stock-price-ceo-warns-big-short-economy-inflation-2022-3 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PATH:NYSE https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/03/american-population-growth-rate-slow/629392 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/31/2-year-treasury-yield-tops-10-year-rate-a-yield-curve-inversion-that-could-signal-a-recession.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/joe-bidens-big-new-wealth-tax-white-house-budget-fy-2023-11648504962 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-28/manchin-pans-biden-s-proposed-tax-on-unrealized-gains-of-wealthy https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/democrats-go-directly-to-the-center https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-29/spacs-face-fresh-sec-legal-threat-for-overly-bullish-forecasts https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-05-27/spacs-can-take-away-the-insiders-advantage-in-ipos-and-markets https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-22/the-sec-will-regulate-climate https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/30/sec-targets-spacs-with-new-rules-about-forecasts-mergers.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/03/30/facebook-tiktok-targeted-victory/ https://www.agweek.com/news/ukraine-ag-production-could-drop-80-fertilizer-prices-to-cut-food-supply-long-term-uk-expert-says https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/03/wheat-in-2023.html https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2021/09/information-on-2021-cash-rents-with-implications-for-2022.html https://www.agweek.com/news/usda-nass-to-livestream-prospective-planting-report https://www.npr.org/2022/03/28/1089300515/biden-putin-remarks-regime-change https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/putin-s-approval-ratings-soar-amid-russia-s-war-in-ukraine/ar-AAVI29R