This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Nate Silver gives a presentation on how gamblers think 19:25 Bestie Q&A with Nate Silver: building probabilistic models, getting blamed for Trump winning in 2016, polarization reality, 2022 midterms Follow Nate: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Adena Hefets breaks down the state of the US housing market in 2022 16:56 Bestie Q&A with Adena: differences between 2008 and 2022, housing market reaction time, chances of a collapse, and more 30:08 Adena does a Bestie Intro for herself! Follow Adena: https://twitter.com/adenahefets Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami! 0:00 David Sacks explains the origin of this panel on political discourse in America 2:56 Understanding the new political divide, how Trump's victory impacted discourse 12:37 Can mainstream media ever get back to relative neutrality? 29:15 Audience Q&A Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/ggreenwald https://twitter.com/mtaibbi Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner joins the show 1:00 All-In Summit recap and best moments 16:45 State of the markets, $ZM/$SNOW earnings, how much more uncertainty? 29:53 $SNAP drops after miscalculating earnings targets, understanding signs of a true bottom, the end of entitlement 51:10 Down market end game, investor decisions, reasons for optimism, quick reset potential 1:05:17 Sacks explains his concept for "default investable," Besties share thoughts on proactive layoffs and course correction 1:12:27 Addressing Uvalde, legislative disappointment, potential preventative solutions Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/altcap Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX https://investors.zoom.us/news-releases/news-release-details/zoom-video-communications-reports-financial-results-first https://investors.snowflake.com/news/news-details/2022/Snowflake-Reports-Financial-Results-for-the-First-Quarter-of-Fiscal-2023/default.aspx https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1529100065331200005 https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1529133144540078083 https://layoffs.fyi https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/24/snaps-down-32percent-and-its-dragging-other-stocks-down-with-it.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ https://nypost.com/2022/05/13/netflix-tells-woke-workers-to-quit-if-they-are-offended-culture-memo https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1525309091970699265 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1529119829080150016 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1528102541723979776 https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burn-multiple-51a7e43cb200 https://elections.bradyunited.org/take-action/nra-donations-116th-congress-senators https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_shootings_in_the_United_States#/media/File:Total_Deaths_in_US_Mass_Shootings_1982-2021.jpg https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1529843255176663040 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/01/business/coronavirus-gun-sales.html https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1529504198974263296

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist   0:00 Tim Urban gives a talk on political discourse in America and explains high-rung vs. low-rung thinking 26:20 The Besties and Keith Rabois join Tim Urban on stage for a roundtable discussion on cancel culture 51:23 Keith Rabois talks about taking a pause on new investments in 2022 and gives his take on other major VC players Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/waitbutwhy https://twitter.com/rabois Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This debate was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 David Sacks tees up the show: Debating the US intervention in Ukraine This debate was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami! 1:49 Opening statements from Glenn & Antonio 15:29 Debating US involvement, regime change motives, & more 32:01 Final word & wrap Follow the guests:   https://twitter.com/ggreenwald   https://twitter.com/antoniogm   Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Claire Cormier Thielke's AIS talk: "Tomorrowland: China Placemaking and the Future of Innovation" 17:40 Claire takes Q&A with the Besties + Ryan Petersen: Understanding the China/US rivalry 24:08 How the Evergrande debt situation impacts the greater Chinese real estate industry, China's still-nascent middle class, How China is subsidizing its negative birth rate 34:30 Ryan Petersen breaks down Flexport's business, the tumultuous past few years, and how DTC might be in major trouble 46:34 Asset-heavy play as a hedge against the popular trend of asset-light, velocity vs. speed, Flexport.org's humanitarian relief shipping, China's influence Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/clairethielke https://twitter.com/typesfast Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner break down the state and historical significance of 2022's market downturn 12:27 How VCs will handle capital commitments from LPs, underwriting startups in the new reality 24:14 Bull run mistakes, why VCs don't underwrite lower valuations, handling distributions 33:52 Gurley's take on WeCrashed & Super Pumped TV series, how sophisticated investors got "gaslit" by the market, influx of capital creating consumer-surplus businesses 47:54 Brad predicts the market for next year, Bill gives post-Benchmark plans Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

0:00 Bestie Guestie Elon Musk joins via Zoom at the All-In Summit! 0:43 Benchmarking Twitter's bot problem, thoughts on slights from the Biden Administration 13:26 Breaking down Tesla's 6+ businesses, comparing them to a traditional car company 21:42 Concerns around the Twitter deal, crypto payments on Twitter 30:19 Building vs. acquiring, early Tesla stories 39:52 SpaceX's grand vision and business model, nuclear fusion vs. solar 56:37 Moving from CA to TX, fixing California, macroeconomic takes 1:10:20 American exceptionalism, a new immigration strategy Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/elonmusk Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffec

0:00 Bestie catchup and Friedberg intros! 4:40 Breaking down current macro risks, Great Recession comparisons 31:55 How a historically large amount of dry powder is impacting VC firms as the market shifts, problems with mega funds 41:31 Tiger Global's historic loss and where they might have gone wrong; Sacks' gives his playbook for raising capital in a downturn 58:35 How startup employees can protect themselves in a down market, questions to ask and metrics to know while evaluating startups to work at 1:13:21 Psychological impact of investing after taking huge losses 1:29:00 Predictions on how the market shakes out Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/cullenroche/status/1524441227931774976 https://www.axios.com/2022/04/08/consumer-debt-soars-credit-cards https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/default.htm https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-12/musk-seeks-to-scrap-tesla-margin-loan-with-new-twitter-funding https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1523780820112007168 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf https://twitter.com/TheBenSchmark/status/1522669777478684672 https://twitter.com/AndrewE_Dunn/status/1523653942252826624 https://twitter.com/mattturck/status/1524773379416408064 https://twitter.com/jonsakoda/status/1522625236130144256 https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund/ https://twitter.com/ZoeSchiffer/status/1523017143939309568 https://twitter.com/BurryArchive/status/1524504399070081025 https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/05/04/dow-rallies-fed-ups-rates/9649150002/ https://twitter.com/Airbnb/status/1524379284260892674