Urban Forecast

Welcome to Urban Forecast! In this special episode, Oli and Jon answer questions submitted by listeners, diving into bold predictions about the future of cities by 2050. They discuss the impact of climate change, the role of autonomous vehicles, the transformation of urban spaces, and the fascinating potential of AI-powered digital twins. If you’ve ever wondered how technology, the environment, and urban living will collide over the next few decades, this is the episode for you.Key TakeawaysUrban populations are expanding rapidly, particularly in developing areas, placing major pressure on cities.Climate change and urban heat islands will drive significant challenges for cities by 2050.Autonomous vehicles could dramatically reduce the need for private car ownership and free up enormous amounts of space currently dedicated to parking.Redesigning freed-up urban space could lead to cooler, greener cities, mitigating the urban heat bubble effect.Rising sea levels pose a serious threat to low-lying cities like London, necessitating major engineering interventions such as larger flood barriers.Digital twins and AI will enable real-time management of city systems like flood defences and waste management.Predictive modelling using digital twins can help cities better prepare for extreme weather events.The key to sustainable urban futures lies in combining green infrastructure with advanced digital technologies.Best Moments"With any change, it happens slowly — and then very fast.""There's 34 square kilometres of London currently dedicated to parking — imagine what we could do with that space.""Introducing trees and green space can bring down urban temperatures by up to eight degrees — and that’s life-saving.""An AI-enabled digital twin doesn't just model the future — it reacts in real-time to help cities manage crises as they happen."VALUABLE RESOURCEShttps://www.ackroydlowrie.com/your-guide-to-delivering-co-living-developments-that-work EPISODES TO CHECK OUT NEXTThe Future of Sustainable Construction The Future of Sustainable Design ABOUT THE HOSTSJon Ackroyd and Oliver Lowrie, the visionary hosts of Urban Forecast, bring their expertise from leading their innovative practice, Ackroyd Lowrie. Known for pushing the boundaries in urban design, Jon and Oliver use their podcast to delve into the future of cities, sharing insights from their work on projects that emphasise sustainability, community, and transformative architecture. Through Urban Forecast, they engage listeners with discussions on how architecture and design shape urban living, aiming to inspire new ways of thinking about the spaces around us.CONNECT & CONTACTInstagramLinkedInEmail: info@ackroydlowrie.com

In this episode of Urban Forecast, we sit down with Alex Ely, Founding Director of Mæ to discuss the challenges and opportunities facing architects today. From navigating procurement hurdles to finding a unique voice in the industry, we explore how architects can build their profile beyond design. We delve into the social value of good architecture, the role of leadership, and why great design shouldn't be a luxury. Whether you're an architect, developer, or just interested in the built environment, this conversation offers a compelling insight into the future of the industry.Key TakeawaysBalancing Specialism and Profile – Architects must develop niche expertise while also building their public profile to remain competitive.Procurement Challenges – The procurement process is increasingly complex and often prioritises cost over quality, making it difficult to deliver the best design outcomes.The Social Value of Architecture – Good design impacts physical and mental health, educational outcomes, and community well-being.Finding an ‘Unfair’ Advantage – Success in architecture often comes from leveraging unique experiences, whether through policy, teaching, or even podcasting.Leadership in Architecture – Modern leadership is about nurturing talent, fostering collaboration, and creating a ‘team of teams’ approach.The Shift in Public Sector Work – Many tenders are unrealistic in budget, pushing small and mid-sized practices out of the market.Sustainable Design as a Priority – The long-term benefits of sustainable architecture, like Passive House standards, outweigh the initial investment.Making a Case for Better Fees – Architects must better articulate the value of their work to ensure fair compensation for their expertise.Best Moments"I think as architects, we all need to both develop specialisms but also build profile, which is beyond the actual design skills we have.""Procurement has become so complex and bureaucratic that it’s often a barrier to delivering good projects.""Good architecture isn’t just about aesthetics - it has a tangible impact on people’s health, well-being, and quality of life.""If you pay peanuts, you get monkeys. Procurement must recognise the real value of good design."VALUABLE RESOURCESJon Ackroyd - https://uk.linkedin.com/in/jonackroydOliver Lowrie - https://www.linkedin.com/in/oliver-lowrie/?original_referer=&originalSubdomain=ukEPISODES TO CHECK OUT NEXTThe Future of Sustainable Design with Kelly Alvarez DoranIs the Future of Housing Rental? With Michael Keaveney from Grainger PLCABOUT THE HOSTSJon Ackroyd and Oliver Lowrie, the visionary hosts of Urban Forecast, bring their expertise from leading their innovative practice, Ackroyd Lowrie. Known for pushing the boundaries in urban design, Jon and Oliver use their podcast to delve into the future of cities, sharing insights from their work on projects that emphasise sustainability, community, and transformative architecture. Through Urban Forecast, they engage listeners with discussions on how architecture and design shape urban living, aiming to inspire new ways of thinking about the spaces around us.CONNECT & CONTACTInstagram - https://www.instagram.com/ackroydlowrie/LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/ackroyd-lowrie/TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/discover/urbanforecastYoutube - https://www.youtube.com/@UrbanForecastEmail: info@ackroydlowrie.com

Are the UK’s building regulations stalling progress towards net zero? In this episode of Urban Forecast, we discuss how current policies and industry fears are limiting the use of sustainable materials like timber. From towering timber structures in Japan to the challenges of insuring low-carbon buildings in the UK, we explore whether regulation is holding back innovation in sustainable architecture.Key TakeawaysUK regulations restrict timber use – Anything above 18 metres eliminates timber as an option, limiting low-carbon building solutions.Global precedents exist – Countries like Japan build 40-storey timber buildings in earthquake zones, proving it’s possible.Insurance and mortgageability issues – Even when a building meets regulations, insurers and mortgage lenders may still refuse support.Grenfell’s legacy – While safety reforms were necessary, the reaction may have unfairly impacted timber as a building material.Embodied carbon matters – Reducing operational energy alone isn’t enough; the carbon cost of materials must be considered.Retrofit first – The best sustainability strategy is upgrading existing structures rather than defaulting to new builds.Timber can be a net carbon sink – Responsibly sourced timber absorbs more carbon than it emits, offering a sustainable alternative.Smarter design can reduce emissions – Combining minimal concrete with well-planned timber structures can significantly lower embodied carbon.Best Moments“Buildings going up in Japan that are like 40 storeys in timber, which has got earthquakes and all sorts of stuff we don’t have here.”“Retrofit first for me always makes sense.”“If your top floor is above 18 metres, timber’s gone. I don’t get it, I think it’s an overreaction.”“We have to learn from Grenfell, but also not learn the wrong things.”VALUABLE RESOURCESJon Ackroyd - https://uk.linkedin.com/in/jonackroydOliver Lowrie - https://www.linkedin.com/in/oliver-lowrie/?original_referer=&originalSubdomain=ukEPISODES TO CHECK OUT NEXTThe Future of Sustainable Design with Kelly Alvarez DoranIs the Future of Housing Rental? With Michael Keaveney from Grainger PLCABOUT THE HOSTSJon Ackroyd and Oliver Lowrie, the visionary hosts of Urban Forecast, bring their expertise from leading their innovative practice, Ackroyd Lowrie. Known for pushing the boundaries in urban design, Jon and Oliver use their podcast to delve into the future of cities, sharing insights from their work on projects that emphasise sustainability, community, and transformative architecture. Through Urban Forecast, they engage listeners with discussions on how architecture and design shape urban living, aiming to inspire new ways of thinking about the spaces around us.CONNECT & CONTACTInstagram - https://www.instagram.com/ackroydlowrie/LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/ackroyd-lowrie/TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/discover/urbanforecastYoutube - https://www.youtube.com/@UrbanForecastEmail: info@ackroydlowrie.com

In this insightful episode, we delve into the complexities of carbon emissions within the construction industry. Our guest, Gilbert Lennox King, CEO and co-founder of Construction Carbon, shares his mission to simplify carbon management for developers. We explore the crucial distinction between embodied and operational carbon, the drivers behind the growing focus on embodied carbon, and innovative financial incentives for sustainable development. Discover how Construction Carbon is helping developers and funders forecast, track, and reduce their carbon footprint, and gain valuable insights into the future of sustainable construction.  Key Takeaways● Embodied carbon refers to emissions from the materials and construction processes of a building, while operational carbon is associated with its energy use.  ● The importance of embodied carbon is growing as operational emissions decrease due to grid decarbonisation.  ● Construction Carbon aims to simplify carbon management for developers by providing tools to forecast, track, and reduce emissions.  ● Financial incentives, such as rebates on development loans, are being used to encourage developers to reduce embodied carbon.  ● The UK Net Zero Carbon Building Standard provides benchmarks and definitions for net zero carbon in construction and operation.  ● Measuring and verifying embodied carbon is becoming increasingly important for reporting to voluntary frameworks and for due diligence.  ● There are differing views on the role of timber in reducing embodied carbon, particularly regarding the accounting of carbon sequestration.  ● The industry is working towards better integration of various standards and data to improve building sustainability.  Best Moments● "It's not that complicated really."  ● "Sometimes it's not that nice to run your company either."  ● "We're on a mission to try and make carbon simpler for developers."  ● "You could build the most energy-efficient building in the world and fly in the materials from coal-fired factories and nobody would actually care about that upstream emissions, whereas now I think there's sort of broader recognition that you need to look at the whole life of a building."  VALUABLE RESOURCESJon Ackroyd - https://uk.linkedin.com/in/jonackroydOliver Lowrie - https://www.linkedin.com/in/oliver-lowrie/?original_referer=&originalSubdomain=ukEPISODES TO CHECK OUT NEXTThe Future of Sustainable Design with Kelly Alvarez DoranIs the Future of Housing Rental? With Michael Keaveney from Grainger PLCABOUT THE HOSTSJon Ackroyd and Oliver Lowrie, the visionary hosts of Urban Forecast, bring their expertise from leading their innovative practice, Ackroyd Lowrie. Known for pushing the boundaries in urban design, Jon and Oliver use their podcast to delve into the future of cities, sharing insights from their work on projects that emphasise sustainability, community, and transformative architecture. Through Urban Forecast, they engage listeners with discussions on how architecture and design shape urban living, aiming to inspire new ways of thinking about the spaces around us.CONNECT & CONTACTInstagram - https://www.instagram.com/ackroydlowrie/LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/ackroyd-lowrie/TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/discover/urbanforecastYoutube - https://www.youtube.com/@UrbanForecastEmail: info@ackroydlowrie.com

In this episode of Urban Forecast, we sit down with Kelly Alvarez Doran, Co-founder and CEO of Half Climate Design, to discuss the crucial role of embodied carbon in architecture. Kelly shares insights from his career, from working in mining to leading sustainable projects in Rwanda, exploring the choices architects make and their far-reaching impact. We dive into why current regulations are stifling low-carbon construction, how embodied and operational carbon should be viewed together, and what needs to change to make truly sustainable building practices mainstream.Key Takeaways1. Embodied vs. Operational Carbon – It is not an either-or debate. Both must be considered over a building’s lifetime.2. The Scale of Architectural Impact – A single design decision, such as a foundation for a residential project, can have the carbon equivalent of driving a car for 60 years.3. Lessons from Rwanda – Working in a context where materials are expensive but labour is abundant offers a completely different design approach, freeing architects to be more innovative.4. UK Regulations Are Holding Us Back – Post-Grenfell fire safety rules have inadvertently made it harder to use lower-carbon materials like timber, despite these materials not being involved in the disaster.5. Architects' Agency in Sustainability – While building regulations are restrictive, architects still have influence over material choices, and even small decisions can make a difference.6. The Role of Education – Training architects and builders to understand the full carbon impact of their decisions is crucial for real change.7. The Future of Sustainable Building – Countries like Denmark have embraced whole-life carbon policies, setting an example for others to follow.8. Rethinking Materials – The construction industry relies too heavily on high-carbon materials like aluminium when lower-impact alternatives exist.Best Moments1. "One design decision I made for a foundation had the same carbon impact as driving a car for 60 years."2. "Once you see embodied carbon, it is hard to unsee it."3. "The irony is that post-Grenfell regulations have made it harder to build with sustainable materials that were not even involved in the fire."4. "Architects are like chefs who do not think about the slaughterhouse – we specify materials without truly considering where they come from or their impact."VALUABLE RESOURCESAckroyd Lowrie - https://www.ackroydlowrie.comHalf Climate Design - https://halfclimatedesign.com/ Jon Ackroyd - https://uk.linkedin.com/in/jonackroydOliver Lowrie - https://www.linkedin.com/in/oliver-lowrie/?original_referer=&originalSubdomain=ukABOUT THE HOSTSJon Ackroyd and Oliver Lowrie, the visionary hosts of Urban Forecast, bring their expertise from leading their innovative practice, Ackroyd Lowrie. Known for pushing the boundaries in urban design, Jon and Oliver use their podcast to delve into the future of cities, sharing insights from their work on projects that emphasise sustainability, community, and transformative architecture. Through Urban Forecast, they engage listeners with discussions on how architecture and design shape urban living, aiming to inspire new ways of thinking about the spaces around us.CONNECT & CONTACTInstagram - https://www.instagram.com/ackroydlowrie/LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/ackroyd-lowrie/TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/discover/urbanforecastYoutube - https://www.youtube.com/@UrbanForecastEmail: info@ackroydlowrie.com

In this special episode of Urban Forecast Podcast, we’re diving into the buzz of MIPIM – the global real estate event in Cannes. We discuss why we attend, how it compares to UKREiiF, and the evolving landscape of networking in the industry. From the shifting presence of local authorities to the changing culture of the event, we explore whether MIPIM still holds the same influence post-COVID and amid economic pressures. Tune in for insights on the value of attending, the realities of costs, and the opportunities that make it a must-visit for many in the built environment.Key Takeaways1. MIPIM remains a key global networking event – It offers a chance to connect with real estate professionals, investors, and decision-makers in an international setting.2. The role of local authorities is shifting – Post-COVID and with financial pressures, fewer local councils attend, altering the traditional networking landscape.3. UKREiiF vs. MIPIM – UKREiiF provides strong UK-focused opportunities, but lacks the global investment presence and glamour of MIPIM.4. The cost of attending is significant – With tickets, accommodation, and travel, budgets can easily hit £10,000 for two people.5. The culture of MIPIM is evolving – While it has historically been male-dominated, there is increasing diversity in attendees.6. London has a strong presence – The London stand at MIPIM acts as a key hub for architects, developers, and planners.7. Beyond the Palais – Much of the real networking happens in the bars, restaurants, and informal gatherings around Cannes.8. RIBA offers discounted access for chartered practices – This can help ease the financial burden for first-time attendees.Best Moments💬 "MIPIM is about networking, bringing people together, and having ideas—it’s more than just an expo."💬 "There’s a perception of it being a ‘champagne-on-the-beach’ event, but in reality, it’s where big discussions about investment and development happen."💬 "UKREiiF is great, but it can feel like a holiday park in Butlins compared to the international scope of MIPIM."💬 "Whether you’re in the Palais or just at the bars and restaurants, the real value of MIPIM is in the people you meet."VALUABLE RESOURCESAckroyd Lowrie - https://www.ackroydlowrie.comMIPIM - https://www.mipim.com/en-gb.html#/EPISODES TO CHECK OUT NEXTHow ESG can make you money and help the planet with Andy Cox - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TqQWYGnAuYQIs the Future of Housing Rental? With Michael Keaveney from Grainger PLC - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2KUCVQHJ0HgABOUT THE HOSTSJon Ackroyd and Oliver Lowrie, the visionary hosts of Urban Forecast, bring their expertise from leading their innovative practice, Ackroyd Lowrie. Known for pushing the boundaries in urban design, Jon and Oliver use their podcast to delve into the future of cities, sharing insights from their work on projects that emphasise sustainability, community, and transformative architecture. Through Urban Forecast, they engage listeners with discussions on how architecture and design shape urban living, aiming to inspire new ways of thinking about the spaces around us.CONNECT & CONTACTInstagram - https://www.instagram.com/ackroydlowrie/LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/ackroyd-lowrie/Email: info@ackroydlowrie.com

RIBA is set to spend £85 million on refurbishing its London HQ - but could that money be better spent elsewhere? In this episode of Urban Forecast, we debate how those funds could be used to truly benefit the architectural profession. From AI’s impact on design to the need for research and development, we explore where investment could drive real industry change - rather than becoming a prestige project. Join us for an insightful discussion on how to build a better future for architects and the cities they shape.Key Takeaways:AI in Architecture – While AI presents opportunities, it also threatens to erode the traditional role of architects.RIBA’s Responsibility – The £85 million should be invested in initiatives that truly benefit architects rather than prestige projects.Incubation Spaces – Creating research and development hubs could drive innovation but would need to be commercially viable.Material Testing Facilities – Allocating funds to test new materials could help improve sustainability and safety in architecture.Supporting Young Architects – Financial backing for emerging talent and start-ups would strengthen the profession’s future.Industry Collaboration – A portion of the funds should go towards fostering stronger connections between architects, developers, and policymakers.Making Cities Better – Any investment should ultimately contribute to improving the built environment, aligning with RIBA’s core mission.The Grenfell Impact – The tragedy reshaped building regulations, yet timber, an inherently sustainable material, was banned while other riskier materials remained in use.Best Moments (Quotes):“What I don’t think it should be is a vanity project for RIBA. It needs to actually make a difference in building better cities.”“AI has the potential to reshape the profession, but could it also diminish the role of the architect?”“Grenfell was a concrete-frame building wrapped in plastic and metal, yet timber got banned. Where’s the logic in that?”“£85 million sounds like a lot, but when you break it down, it barely scratches the surface of what’s needed.”VALUABLE RESOURCESRiba £85m Proposal - https://www.architecture.com/knowledge-and-resources/knowledge-landing-page/riba-house-of-architecture-investment-plans-revealed#:~:text=The%20%C2%A385%20million%20proposal,more%20widely%20than%20ever%20beforeAckroyd Lowrie - https://www.ackroydlowrie.com/EPISODES TO CHECK OUT NEXTHow ESG can make you money and help the planet with Andy Cox - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TqQWYGnAuYQIs the Future of Housing Rental? With Michael Keaveney from Grainger PLC - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2KUCVQHJ0HgABOUT THE HOSTSJon Ackroyd and Oliver Lowrie, the visionary hosts of Urban Forecast, bring their expertise from leading their innovative practice, Ackroyd Lowrie. Known for pushing the boundaries in urban design, Jon and Oliver use their podcast to delve into the future of cities, sharing insights from their work on projects that emphasise sustainability, community, and transformative architecture. Through Urban Forecast, they engage listeners with discussions on how architecture and design shape urban living, aiming to inspire new ways of thinking about the spaces around us.CONNECT & CONTACTInstagram - https://www.instagram.com/ackroydlowrie/LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/ackroyd-lowrie/Email: info@ackroydlowrie.com

Is renting the future of housing in the UK? In this episode of Urban Forecast, we sit down with Michael Keaveney, Director of Land and Development at Grainger PLC, to explore the evolution of Build to Rent (BTR) and its impact on the housing market. From navigating planning challenges to the sustainability debate, Michael shares his insights on where the sector is heading, the role of investors, and whether BTR can truly help solve the UK’s housing crisis.We also discuss the 'Goldilocks zone' for BTR viability, why placemaking is critical to long-term success, and the policy changes that could make or break the industry’s growth. Whether you're an investor, developer, or simply interested in the future of housing, this episode is packed with valuable insights. Key Takeaways:Build to Rent is here to stay – BTR has grown significantly in recent years, but challenges remain in scaling it to meet demand.The ‘Goldilocks’ principle – BTR only works in locations where land costs and rental income align, making it viable in some areas but not others.Sustainability is a renter’s concern—up to a point – Operational energy costs matter, but embodied carbon remains low on the priority list for tenants.The importance of placemaking – BTR developments thrive when they integrate well with their surroundings and contribute to local communities.Policy and investment are crucial – Government subsidies, planning reform, and investor confidence all shape the future of the sector.COVID-19 accelerated the rise of BTR – Lockdowns highlighted the importance of quality rental housing with strong amenities.Tenant expectations are evolving – More renters are considering EPC ratings and total cost of living when choosing a home.Subsidy is essential for affordable housing – Without increased government support, BTR alone won’t solve the UK’s housing crisis.Best Moments (Quotes):“COVID-19 really proved the value of Build to Rent – people started to understand why quality rental housing matters.”“If you get placemaking wrong, your development won’t work – it has to feel like part of the community, not just a block of flats.”“The reality is, you can’t have subsidised housing without subsidy – social rent needs serious government support.”“There’s a ‘Goldilocks’ zone for Build to Rent – too expensive, and it doesn’t stack up. Too cheap, and it won’t get built.”VALUABLE RESOURCESAckroyd LowrieGrainger PLCEPISODES TO CHECK OUT NEXTModernise or Die: the hard truths about MMC and housing deliveryHow ESG can make you money and help the planet with Andy Cox ABOUT THE HOSTSJon Ackroyd and Oliver Lowrie, the visionary hosts of Urban Forecast, bring their expertise from leading their innovative practice, Ackroyd Lowrie. Known for pushing the boundaries in urban design, Jon and Oliver use their podcast to delve into the future of cities, sharing insights from their work on projects that emphasise sustainability, community, and transformative architecture. Through Urban Forecast, they engage listeners with discussions on how architecture and design shape urban living, aiming to inspire new ways of thinking about the spaces around us.CONNECT & CONTACTInstagramLinkedInEmail: info@ackroydlowrie.com

Join Andy Cox, Director and co-founder of Trigon, who brings his expertise in real estate and sustainable development to the conversation. He shares his unconventional journey from karaoke to construction and emphasizes that sustainability is essential, not optional. Explore the challenges of navigating increased regulations, the risk of stranded assets, and how developers are adapting to rising ESG expectations. Plus, hear predictions for the future of urban planning and housing in an ever-changing landscape.

Jay Morton, Director at Bell Phillips Architects and former political candidate, dives into the nexus of architecture and politics. He shares his unique path from biochemistry to advocacy, emphasizing architects as vital activists in shaping sustainable housing. The conversation explores the critical need for community engagement, local leadership's impact on urban development, and the ongoing challenges of retrofitting buildings. Morton also addresses the push for innovation amidst regulatory hurdles, highlighting the importance of a stable government vision in driving trust and effective project delivery.