FreightWaves NOW

A preliminary investigative report has been released by the National Transportation Safety Board regarding the fatal UPS MD-11 freighter crash in Louisville. The report cited fatigue cracks in the left-wing engine mount, which separated shortly after liftoff, leading UPS to continue grounding its remaining MD-11s per FAA guidelines, a situation explored further in "NTSB links fatigue cracks to fatal crash of UPS cargo jet - FreightWaves". The broadcast also covers Walmart’s impressive Q3 performance, which included a 27% jump in global e-commerce sales and a nearly 70% increase in sales for same-day delivery. Walmart continues to leverage its pickup and delivery options, asserting that it can now deliver to about 95% of U.S. households in under three hours, a popular expedited choice examined in "Walmart e-commerce sales rise 27% as shoppers opt for same-day delivery - FreightWaves". Finally, we review the delayed September employment report, which showed truck transportation jobs slid by one of the biggest drops seen in three years, contributing to a total transportation job decrease of 6,800. With job losses detailed in "Trucking employment down in Sept from August, mostly flat over 12 mos - FreightWaves," experts suggest we should expect continued drops in this sector as regulation continues to tighten up with drivers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The U.S. freight market is grappling with a massive security crisis as cargo theft surges 29% in Q3 driven by organized crime targeting electronics and high-value pharmaceuticals. We analyze how carriers must implement comprehensive security measures and establish clear policies to ensure truck cameras succeed in litigation, especially regarding how crucial video retention rules are. The logistics industry faces a dramatic regulatory shift as the FMCSA’s tighter bond enforcement looms over freight brokers in 2026, taking full effect on January 16, 2026. These new rules mandate immediate operating authority suspension for bond shortfalls and require BMC-85 trust funds to be solely cash or cash-equivalent assets, accelerating market consolidation among poorly capitalized 3PLs. Agricultural supply chains are under threat due to regulatory confusion, detailed in the crackdown on foreign truckers that threatens US farm labor, as states inadvertently pause CDL issuance for essential H-2A farm workers. Industry groups are urgently pushing the FMCSA to clarify this existing H-2A exemption and extend similar CDL exemptions to J-1 visa workers due to their vital seasonal role in custom harvesting. We also cover the operational crunch in air freight, as UPS compensates for lost use of grounded MD-11 cargo jets after the mandatory grounding of its MD-11 fleet following a deadly crash. UPS is mitigating this peak season capacity gap by wet leasing supplemental lift from partners like Cargojet and Amerijet, alongside reconfiguring its ground network. Finally, we discuss the major strategic footprint change as Maersk relocates its North American HQ to Charlotte, moving its headquarters from New Jersey to North Carolina. This relocation involves a $16 million investment and 500 new jobs, driven by Charlotte’s affordability and growing talent pool. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The NTSB released its findings about the container ship Dali crash from last year, determining that an improperly placed wire label caused the cargo vessel to lose power and drift out of control into the pier of Baltimore's Francis Scott Key Bridge, causing the collapse and the deaths of six construction workers. A.P. Moller-Maersk announced that it has selected Charlotte, North Carolina, as the new location for its North American headquarters, a move that comes after decades of having offices in New Jersey. The relocation of the North American HQ to Charlotte is expected to add 500 jobs, bringing the total Charlotte workforce to 1,300, and may earn the Copenhagen-based carrier an $8 million state grant if job creation and investment targets are met. Meanwhile, UPS is turning to an alternate playbook to compensate for the significant capacity being lost due to the grounding of its MD-11 freighter fleet. UPS is utilizing partner airlines and its ground network during the busy shipping period to make up for the loss, wet leasing several aircraft from carriers like Canada-based Cargojet, Amerijet, ABX Air, and Air Transport International, while consolidating flight routes and reconfiguring truck routes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dive into the proposed rail mega-merger of Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern, which Republican legislators warn threatens to raise consumer costs, reduce competition, and create "captive shippers". This controversial deal would combine systems controlling nearly 45% of all U.S. rail tonnage across 43 states, raising serious questions about long-term service reliability and inflationary pressure on American households. The trucking market remains in a recession due to a collapse in demand and a significant industrial recession, confirmed by indices like the SONAR Outbound Tender Volume Index (OTVI). Despite low demand, the market could face a radical supply shock if estimates hold true that new immigration enforcement targeting foreign-born drivers could remove 16%, or over 600,000, of the current driver population, potentially strengthening freight rates by late next year. We also examine the FMCSA’s new pilot program testing flexible sleeper berth split options, such as 6/4 and 5/5 hours, designed to provide more flexibility for truckers. Safety groups like OOIDA and the TCA are cautioning regulators about a high potential for driver coercion, insisting on strict safeguards and anonymous reporting methods to ensure that discretion belongs solely to the driver. Postmaster General David Steiner is driving a "U-turn" strategy at the USPS, re-emphasizing last-mile delivery services for big shippers like UPS and Amazon to grow revenue by leveraging the agency's unique national network]. While the goal is to stop revenue decline, critics worry this move risks cannibalizing USPS's own products and empowering competitors by handling the toughest delivery segment for them. We also briefly touch on the regulatory back-and-forth seen internationally, such as the now-suspended U.S. fees on Chinese ships, which analysts warned would ultimately burden U.S. agricultural exporters. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Learn how EV maker Harbinger secured significant capital and a key initial fleet order in Harbinger lands $160M Series C, inks initial FedEx deal for 53 electric trucks. The electric vehicle manufacturer raised $160 million in Series C funding, bringing its total to $358 million, and simultaneously received an initial order for 53 Class 5 and Class 6 electric vehicles from FedEx. Harbinger’s proprietary electric platform offers competitive acquisition costs and modular batteries, ranging from 140 to over 200 miles, positioning the company to lead the mass adoption of medium-duty electric trucks. Next, we dive into the contentious rail industry merger detailed in Rail merger could raise prices, hurt US ability to compete, say GOP legislators. Dozens of Republican state legislators have warned regulators that the proposed Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern rail mega-merger threatens to raise consumer costs on essential goods and hinder the competitive ability of U.S. companies. Legislators argue that the combined system would control nearly 45% of U.S. rail tonnage across 43 states, creating "captive shippers" and risking widespread service disruptions and supply chain instability. Finally, discover the major strategy shift at the national carrier, covered in US Postal Service makes U-turn on last-mile delivery. New Postmaster General David Steiner announced the U.S. Postal Service must grow revenue by leveraging its unique national network to provide last-mile delivery service for large shippers, reversing the strategy of his predecessor. This reversal has led to a tentative agreement with UPS for its budget Ground Saver service, although critics like parcel industry executives worry that offering last-mile services to competitors could cannibalize existing USPS parcel products. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Starting with tech rollouts, Trimble bets big on AI to fix trucking’s workflow bottlenecks. It debuted its new cloud-native, modular, AI-powered Transportation Management System (TMS), designed as a single intelligence center for enterprise operations. New AI agents, such as the Order Intake Agent, automate administrative tasks like data extraction from emails and PDFs, potentially eliminating manual review for up to 90% of standard orders. Efficiency is also the core strategy behind major network redesigns at FedEx, who is focused on prioritizing high-quality B2B business and sectors like high-tech freight and healthcare logistics, while using generative AI to predict classification codes to simplify cross-border trade execution. In contrast, global maritime operator CMA CGM profit collapses on ocean ‘slowdown’. reported a staggering 72.6% decline in net income, yet maintained volume growth (up 2.3%) due to its agility in redeploying assets to counter Red Sea disruptions and volatility. On the regulatory and legal front, a Delaware bankruptcy court approved Judge Oks Yellow Corp.’s final liquidation plan, clearing the path to distribute up to $700 million to creditors, crucially classifying employee claims for PTO and sick time as priority for payment. Meanwhile, truck safety advocates strongly oppose the FMCSA’s proposed pilot program, detailed in Safety group opposes extending truckers’ workday, which would allow truck drivers to pause their 14-hour on-duty window for up to three hours, arguing the agency should instead study detention time directly. Managing constant risk is essential, as evidenced by the U.S.-flag barge Brooklyn Bridge running aground in the Bahamas after a tow wire failed and subsequently being looted, highlighting the vulnerability of routine operations to external factors. The defining trait of a successful logistics operation today is agility built on automation; technology is no longer a differentiator but a necessary cost for maintaining margins and compliance. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A Delaware bankruptcy court has cleared the path for the final liquidation of Yellow Corp.'s estate, which will distribute as much as $700 million to creditors, but the order could face an appeal from Yellow’s largest equity holder, MFN Partners. We discuss the poor third-quarter results for ocean carrier CMA CGM, which saw group net income fall 72.6% year-over-year and revenue drop 11.3%. The carrier attributed this downturn to geopolitics, trade tensions in the U.S., and a corresponding slowdown in maritime activity, though it noted an improvement quarter-over-quarter after trade between the U.S. and China picked back up. Finally, truck safety advocates are strongly opposing the FMCSA’s proposed pilot program that would allow drivers to pause their 14-hour on-duty period for up to three hours, essentially extending the work window to 17 hours. While the FMCSA claims the allowance would mitigate excessive detention times and improve working conditions, Advocates for Highway and Auto Safety argue the initiative is dangerous and misguided. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The current intersection of federal regulation and enforcement is creating significant market risk, forcing carriers to exit and fundamentally tightening liability for both carriers and the shippers who hire them. The immediate shockwave comes from California, where the cancellation of 17,000 non-domiciled CDLs—over 9% of the state's for-hire carrier base—is expected to cause substantial capacity constraints and firm up outbound freight rates, signaling national enforcement scrutiny. This episode unpacks the crucial precedent set by California's AB5 enforcement action, which resulted in an $868,000 penalty against three companies, including shipper Costco and 3PL Ryder Last Mile. Ryder and Costco were found jointly liable with the carrier for exercising "direct or indirect control" over drivers, demonstrating that managing drivers like employees results in liability like an employer. We debate whether the current market slump is purely demand-driven or if regulatory fear is driving non-compliant carriers out, causing spot rates to slowly "melt up" despite weak volumes. Further regulatory focus is evident as the FMCSA launches a major study with 60 carriers to analyze the link between driver work schedules, hours-of-service, and crash risk, aiming to inform future HOS restrictions. Shifting focus to logistics investment, the USPS reported a massive $9 billion loss but is executing an urgent, long-term modernization push, including investing nearly $20 billion in automated sorters and new vehicles to attract parcel volume. Finally, we examine the unanimous industry consensus that autonomous trucking is inevitable, with the rapid "J-curve of adoption" expected to hit between 2035 and 2040 as labor and regulatory risks accelerate investment in driverless technology. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Three major companies—Mega Nice Trucking, Ryder Last Mile, and Costco Wholesale Corp—are facing what is likely the first significant enforcement action of California's AB5 regulation in the trucking industry, resulting in an $868,000 fine. The California Labor Commission cited the trio for contractor misclassification and resulting wage theft, finding that Ryder and Costco exercised both direct and indirect control over delivery drivers, thereby establishing a joint employer relationship with the carrier.  The trucking industry continues to monitor the fight over the Department of Transportation's non-domiciled Commercial Driver's License rules following the cancellation of 17,000 CDLs in California. Although California Governor Gavin Newsom and Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy are engaged in a heated public dispute over the cause, industry experts warn that the evolving enforcement signals new restrictions that will significantly impact carrier liability and freight capacity across the country, with analysts expecting more CDL cancellations in the near future.  A group of Attorneys General from nine states is urging the Surface Transportation Board to conduct a "thorough and exacting" review of the proposed merger between Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern. These AGs, representing GOP states, argue that the consolidation of rail services will compromise national security and stifle competition, leading to exacerbated existing problems such as higher costs and lower reliability for key strategic American industries. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The European Union is expected to revoke duty-free status for parcel imports through the elimination of the de minimis rule for small parcel imports, which is expected to be fully implemented by 2028. This significant policy change aims to level the playing field for European businesses and limit the influx of low-cost goods, especially considering that 91% of low-value shipments last year originated from China. We also track how global trade volatility and depressed freight rates have severely impacted ocean carriers, leading to Hapag-Lloyd's nine-month profits dropping nearly 50% from $1.83 billion down to $946 million. This decline occurred despite a 9% rise in transport volumes, demonstrating how upward cost pressures and start-up expenses related to the new Gemini Alliance are squeezing carrier margins. Finally, we analyze a proposed strategic pivot for UPS to stay competitive in the high-volume e-commerce space, focusing on a retooling of last-mile delivery. This unified strategy suggests using higher-cost Teamster drivers for the middle mile delivery to UPS Stores, allowing lower-cost independent gig workers to handle the final local delivery, which could drastically lower B2C costs and end the company’s reliance on the U.S. Postal Service. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices