The Breakdown

When everyone wrote their 2020 crypto prediction pieces, China featured prominently in everything from the exchange business to enterprise blockchain to the potential impact of a forthcoming digital yuan.  Coronavirus erased those issues from focus. On this episode of The Breakdown, @NLW is joined by Matthew Graham, CEO of Sino Global Capital. For the past 7 years, Matthew has lived in China and for the past several years, his exclusive focus has been on crypto and blockchain.  In this episode, they discuss: What Chinese crypto and blockchain investors were focused on before Coronavirus The shift in the crypto and blockchain narrative in China post-Libra  What living through the Coronavirus has actually been live (and how it differs from the media narrative in the US)  Why enterprise blockchain is poised to be one of the most dominant focuses for China-centric investors this year 

The full week's episode run in one long-run, long-chill, long-sleep episode: Monday | Caitlin Long on Coronavirus, Crypto Custody and Building a Bank Tuesday | 6 Explanations for Crypto’s Coronavirus Focus Wednesday | Is Bitcoin A Safe Haven or ‘Schmuck Insurance’? Thursday | A 101 Guide To Ethereum’s ProgPoW Controversy Friday | Understanding This Week’s Market Whiplash, Featuring Scott Melker

After weeks of not reacting to Coronavirus, the markets took a profound turn for the worse this week, leading ultimately to the fastest correction - i.e. loss of 10% - in recorded history.  In this episode of The Breakdown, @NLW is joined by crypto trader, DJ, and broad market thinker Scott Melker to discuss: What the crypto markets demonstrated this week What recent price action suggests about the bitcoin as a safe haven narrative Why it’s insane that just two weeks ago, despite tens (or hundreds) of millions of people being quarantined in the supply chain capital of the world, stock markets were printing all time highs How we went from those ATHs to the fastest correction (10% drop) in recorded history What the correction suggests for the fundamentals of our economy  Why central bankers have fewer options than ever to fight economic turmoil

Last Friday on Ethereum’s core developer call, the devs agreed to push forward a controversial anti-ASICs consensus algorithm switch known as ProgPoW.  The broader Ethereum community was not pleased, and has spent the last week debating both ProgPoW itself as well as the way decisions in the community get made.  In this 101-guide to the controversy, @nlw breaks down: What is ProgPoW The history of the debate Arguments for and against Who falls on what side and why  The implications of ProgPoW for DeFi

Bitcoin is having a terrible, horrible, no good very bad day. Many are using the dump - which from a timing perspective aligns with a broader market selloff among Coronavirus fears - as a way to diminish the “bitcoin as a safe haven” narrative.  In this episode, @nlw revisits that narrative and argues that it is uncomfortably bunched up with the uncorrelated asset narrative, or, as Chamath Palihapitiya calls it “schmuck insurance.” This episode also covers: Central bank digital currency (CBDC) news: Canada says it doesn’t see the need right now but that could change if private cryptos get more traction, while China’s work on a digital yuan is paused due to Coronavirus shutdowns.  The six year anniversary of Mt. Gox’s lost 750,000 BTC coming to light.

The spread of Coronavirus has dominated the news cycle across industries, but the discussion has been particularly fierce in both the finance and tech worlds, with crypto right in the lead.  For a month or more, prominent crypto voices have been discussing the event in terms of skepticism of reported government cases, questions of market impact, and plans for personal preparation.  I surveyed more than 1500 people on Crypto Twitter to ask why crypto was so interested in the Coronavirus.  These were their top answers.  This episode of The Breakdown also features an excerpt from Hidden Forces Ep 123: Market Nihilism: Price Discovery in a World Where Nothing Matters | Ben Hunt & Grant Williams 

An incredible amount of work has gone into convincing institutional investors that bitcoin and crypto should be on their radar. Now that many are convinced, however, they face some significant limitations in the infrastructure.  A new crypto bank out of Wyoming is designed to address those problems. Founded by Caitlin Long, Avanti is apply for a special purpose depository institution (SPDI) charter and already has 8 products in its pipeline not currently available to US investors.  In this interview, Caitlin and @nlw discuss: Why Avanti is needed Why Avanti will have 100% of assets in reserve at all times Why the right model for crypto custody is more akin to valeting a car than current financial market models  Why building a crypto bank is important in the context of macro market turmoil How Coronavirus is exposing pre-existing problems in the global economy

The full week's episode run in one long-run, long-chill, long-sleep episode: Monday | Off Tuesday | Is It Exploitation Season for DeFi? Wednesday | Chainlink's Sergey Nazarov on What DeFi Can Learn From Early Exchange Hacks Thursday | Why We Should Stop Thinking of ‘Crypto’ as a Single Industry Friday | Diagnosing the Dip: Why Today's Leading Exchanges Are Powerful, but Not Inevitable

After settling in to the $10,000 price level, BTC suddenly and rapidly dipped more than 5% in an hour on Wednesday. As the market discusses possible explanations, some floated the unexpected simultaneous downtime of Binance and Coinbase as a causal factor.  In this episode of The Breakdown, we discuss the power exchanges wield - both in terms of market liquidity as well as the ability to shape news cycles. The good news is that new funding for insurgent exchanges suggest that power today is not inevitable.  Lastly, we discuss the latest in central bank digital currencies, with Sweden launching an e-krona pilot; a former head of China’s national bank saying Coronavirus could accelerate efforts; and a new member of the Libra Association. 

The ‘crypto’ industry is having a hard time fitting everything that’s happening inside that one monolithic term. On this episode, @nlw looks at current news stories from across at least 5 different categories - DeFi, enterprise blockchain, central bank digital currencies, digital collectibles and bitcoin - to ask whether they really all belong lumped in in the same category.  The episode also looks at: Four reasons these increasingly different categories remain bunched together  Why turning other parts of the industry into an enemy is rewarded in the public sphere Why letting individual parts of the industry evolve individually is likely to bring more, not fewer resources into the space.