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The Art of Value

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Oct 5, 2023 • 9min

Alibaba Stock News: Logistics Arm Cainiao to IPO! | BABA Stock

This Alibaba stock (BABA stock) news update looks closely at Alibaba's upcoming IPO of its significant logistics arm, Cainiao. See below timestamps: 00:00 The split-up of Alibaba and the Cainiao IPO 01:09 Latest disclosures on the Cainiao IPO - benefits of the IPO 03:59 A closer look at the Cainiao logistics business 06:31 Recent financial results and potential growth 07:48 First Alibaba IPO of more Related episodes: Alibaba Reveals Break-Up Plan! | Big BABA Stock Upside? https://youtu.be/spwgEGJlxmc Alibaba Update: Cloud Spinoff & More Coming https://youtu.be/KBQBNM_-icI The main investment brokerage I use to buy international stocks, and to hold cash, is Interactive Brokers (referral link): https://ibkr.com/referral/john5664 Using a referral link helps support the show, thanks! I use TIKR Terminal to help analyze great businesses, follow top investor portfolios, and help monitor my portfolio (referral link): http://tikr.com/theartofvalue Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This content is for education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and/or seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision.
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Oct 3, 2023 • 9min

Elon's BS & Charisma Talked Tesla Stock Way Up - Jeremy Grantham

I discuss part of the latest Jeremy Grantham interview, in which the billionaire value investor offers his thoughts on Tesla stock as an investment, Tesla the company, and Elon Musk as its leader. See below for timestamps: 00:00 Jeremy Grantham on Elon Musk and TSLA Stock 00:28 Grantham's Tesla stock loser story 02:05 A wonderful propagandist - manifesting Tesla from BS and charisma 03:05 Comparing Elon Musk to Ivar Kreuger, The Match King 06:42 Jim Chanos - shorting Tesla stock has not worked yet 07:38 Tesla kicking butts; will it continue? Related episodes: Jeremy Grantham: We're STILL in A Stock Market Super Bubble https://youtu.be/GQ_GxG2y8_U Previous Tesla: Tesla Stock News - Price & Margin Cuts! | TSLA Stock Update https://youtu.be/55gGV8McQFw I use TIKR Terminal to help analyze great businesses, follow top investor portfolios, and help monitor my portfolio (referral link): http://tikr.com/theartofvalue Using a referral link helps support the pod, thanks! The main investment brokerage I use to buy international stocks, and to hold cash at good interest rates, is Interactive Brokers (referral link): https://ibkr.com/referral/john5664 Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This content is for education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and/or seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision.
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Sep 28, 2023 • 14min

Jeremy Grantham: We're STILL in A Major Stock Market Bubble

I summarize and discuss the latest Jeremy Grantham interview, with The Compound and Friends, in which the billionaire investor and financial bubble historian again discussed the super-bubble he currently sees in the US stock market in 2023, and in global real estate markets. See timestamps below for sections: 00:00 Jeremy Grantham bubble historian or eager permabear? 01:41 Calling the exact bottom in 2009 02:25 Are we in a major stock market bubble? 03:40 The global real estate bubble 05:28 Grantham's investing strategy during the bubble 06:13 Shorting the Russell 2000  08:26 Long non-US equities 08:55 Is it different this time? 10:06 The biggest bubble in history 11:03 Could it be different because of the US tech megacaps? 13:09 The next 7 years Related episodes: Jeremy Grantham: Super Bubble Bursting, Recession Imminent https://youtu.be/ELQVtf5ZIeM Jeremy Grantham: AI Boom Pauses Super-Bubble Bust! https://youtu.be/ATP0GGON2B0 Referenced interview: The Bubble Hasn't Burst Yet I TCAF 110 @TheCompound https://youtu.be/aanwMfrSjP0 I use TIKR Terminal to help analyze great businesses, follow top investor portfolios, and help monitor my portfolio (referral link): http://tikr.com/theartofvalue Using a referral link helps support the pod, thanks! The main investment brokerage I use to buy international stocks, and to hold cash at good interest rates, is Interactive Brokers (referral link): https://ibkr.com/referral/john5664 Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This content is for education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and/or seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision.
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Sep 23, 2023 • 16min

Primer: Mark Leonard, Constellation Software & Topicus

Constellation software is a high-quality serial acquirer company with an incredible capital allocator Mark Leonard leading it. Constellation Software stock has produced excellent stock market returns for many years. This episode is a primer on Constellation Software, its legendary founder and President Mark Leonard, and its recent European spin-off Topicus. See timestamps below for specific sections: 00:00 Mark Leonard, Constellation Software and spin-off Topicus 00:33 Who is Mark Leonard? 00:51 Constellation Software stock returns over time (TSE: CSU) 02:02 The founding of Constellation Software 02:48 Influence of Mark Leonard's investing mentor Steve Scotchmer 04:39 The focus on Vertical Market Software businesses 05:48 Business attributes Leonard looks for when acquiring 07:13 Constellation Software, a super serial acquirer 08:32 Consistently high returns on capital 09:00 Superior capital allocation within a serial acquirer model 11:35 Holding company structure - many small parts, strong whole 12:22 The Topicus spinoff - Vertical Market Software in Europe 14:33 Topicus stock performance so far (CVE: $TOI) Related episodes: Mohnish Pabrai Talks Constellation Software & Mark Leonard https://youtu.be/xPI773-AE-I A Next Gen Warren Buffett? Tiny's Andrew Wilkinson https://youtu.be/-fs9P_phqfQ I use TIKR Terminal to help analyze great businesses, follow top investor portfolios, and help monitor my portfolio (referral link): http://tikr.com/theartofvalue Using a referral link helps support the pod, thanks! The main investment brokerage I use to buy international stocks, and to hold cash at good interest rates, is Interactive Brokers (referral link): https://ibkr.com/referral/john5664 Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This content is for education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and/or seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision.
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Sep 19, 2023 • 9min

Mohnish Pabrai: Why Tencent is Superior to Alibaba

In two of the latest Mohnish Pabrai interviews, the well known value investor and fund manager discussed why he thinks Tencent is a superior company to Alibaba, indicating that he thinks Tencent stock should perform better than Alibaba stock over the long term. Pabrai sold BABA stock and switched it for a stake in Tencent, via a company called Prosus. Pabrai provides a brief and partial Tencent stock analysis, comparing it with Alibaba. Timestamps 00:00 Mohnish Pabrai on Alibaba vs Tencent 00:33 Switching from BABA stock to Tencent, via Prosus 01:27 Tencent's Pony Ma, an extraordinary entrepreneur 02:32 Why BABA and Tencent investments haven't worked so far 03:56 BABA and the too hard pile 05:02 Tencent getting an easier ride: Pony Ma vs Jack Ma 06:23 Benefits of investing in smaller companies globally instead Related episodes: Guru Portfolios Q2 2023: Pabrai, Akre, Klarman, Gayner https://youtu.be/oxAXpnu3oXY Alibaba Earnings  - Return to Growth! | BABA Stock https://youtu.be/cxh_-fCWjxU Alibaba Stock: CEO Quits! George Soros Buys BABA Stock https://youtu.be/FbUoblWv50s Chris Mayer 100 Baggers: Stocks That Return 100 to 1! https://youtu.be/59CuGd2aAwg Investing Books mentioned: 100 Baggers: Stocks That Return 100-to-1 and How To Find Them, by Chris Mayer (referral link) https://amzn.to/44ZJk0f Investing for Growth: How to make money by only buying the best companies in the world, by Terry Smith (referral link) https://amzn.to/3EFZXmV Using a referral link helps support the pod, thanks! The main investment brokerage I use to buy international stocks, and to hold cash at good interest rates, is Interactive Brokers (referral link): https://ibkr.com/referral/john5664 I use TIKR Terminal to help analyze great businesses, follow top investor portfolios, and help monitor my portfolio (referral link): http://tikr.com/theartofvalue Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This content is for education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and/or seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision.
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Sep 13, 2023 • 13min

Alibaba Stock: CEO Quits! George Soros Buys BABA Stock

This Alibaba stock (BABA stock) update analyzes why Alibaba CEO Daniel Zhang has quit, just as he was about to transition to lead Alibaba Cloud ahead of its planned spinoff. Next we look at the news that the planned Freshippo IPO is being delayed, and the reason why. Finally, we examine the news that legendary investor George Soros has bought some BABA stock, and we look at which other super-investors currently own BABA stock. Timestamps 00:00 Three Alibaba news highlights 00:19 Alibaba CEO Daniel Zhang steps down 03:28 Zhang Leaving Alibaba but not really 06:03 Why is Freshippo IPO is being delayed 07:21 How the BABA stock price has reacted 08:22 Investor George Soros buys Alibaba stock 11:34 Other super-investors who own BABA stock Related episodes: Alibaba Earnings  - Return to Growth! | BABA Stock https://youtu.be/cxh_-fCWjxU Alibaba Reveals Break-Up Plan | Big BABA Stock Upside https://youtu.be/spwgEGJlxmc Alibaba Update: Cloud Spinoff & More Coming https://youtu.be/KBQBNM_-icI?si=8i7oVVANrZUH3yuI The main investment brokerage I use to buy international stocks, and to hold cash, is Interactive Brokers (referral link): https://ibkr.com/referral/john5664 Using a referral link helps support the show, thanks! I use TIKR Terminal to help analyze great businesses, follow top investor portfolios, and help monitor my portfolio (referral link): http://tikr.com/theartofvalue Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This content is for education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and/or seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision.
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Sep 10, 2023 • 7min

Jeremy Grantham: Super Bubble Bursting, Recession Imminent

I summarize and discuss the latest Jeremy Grantham interview, with Bloomberg Wealth's David Rubenstein, in which the billionaire veteran investor Grantham discussed the super bubble he currently sees deflating the US stock market. Grantham believes the deflating of the super bubble is now being prolonged by a new artificial intelligence (AI) mini bubble, but that the US stock market crash will continue, leading into a US economic recession lasting deep into 2024. Timestamps: 00:00 Jeremy Grantham interview intro 00:39 Grantham the financial doomsday oracle - predicting market bubbles 01:42 Deflating of the super bubble leading to recession 02:42 Learning to identify and resist a stock market bubble 04:11 2021 tech bubble: one of the great stock market bubbles 04:42 Will there be a US recession in 2023 or 2024? 05:51 AI bubble pausing the super-bubble bust  06:19 Will Jeremy Grantham be right or wrong? Related episodes Jeremy Grantham: AI Boom Pauses Super-Bubble Bust  https://youtu.be/ATP0GGON2B0 Investor Jeremy Grantham: Super Bubble Enters Final Phase https://youtu.be/tTFO3Qn5e20 Investor Seth Klarman on the Everything Bubble https://youtu.be/C4rs2M_lOKw Stan Druckenmiller Still Predicts Hard Landing Recession https://youtu.be/8Ue-etn4E74 The main investment brokerage I use to buy international stocks, and to hold cash, is Interactive Brokers (referral link): https://ibkr.com/referral/john5664 Using a referral link helps support the show, thanks! I use TIKR Terminal to help analyze great businesses, follow top investor portfolios, and help monitor my portfolio (referral link): http://tikr.com/theartofvalue Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This content is for education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and/or seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision.
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Sep 5, 2023 • 13min

Tesla Stock News Today - Big Price Cuts! | TSLA Stock Update

In TSLA stock news today, this update includes a look at recent Tesla stock price movements, a brief look at the new Tesla Model 3 update, and the significant price cuts to the Tesla Model S and Tesla Model X, as well as the surprise price cut to Tesla FSD! Timestamps 00:00 Tesla news intro 00:25 Tesla stock price update 02:49 New Tesla Model 3 update 05:08 Tesla car price cuts 05:50 Tesla FSD price cut 07:38 Are Tesla price cuts good for investors? 08:52 Chamath Palihapitiya's take on Tesla price cuts 10:57 Short seller Jim Chanos' take on Tesla price cuts 12:01 Final thoughts Related episodes: The Art of Value: Tesla Stock playlist https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrNjj1l3MS7UkaBPMBFJF26HHxpUgH9zQ&si=3vm88_m1NpQXt-yn The main investment brokerage I use to buy international stocks, and to hold cash, is Interactive Brokers (referral link): https://ibkr.com/referral/john5664 Using a referral link helps support the show, thanks! I use TIKR Terminal to help analyze great businesses, follow top investor portfolios, and help monitor my portfolio (referral link): http://tikr.com/theartofvalue Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This content is for education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and/or seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision.
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Sep 1, 2023 • 11min

Alibaba Stock Update & China Market Boost | BABA Stock

This Alibaba stock update includes a closer look at BABA stock in relation to the current Chinese economy and China stock market, including new Chinese government measures to support the stock market. I also compare the performance of BABA stock to younger megacap competitor PDD stock (PDD Holdings), which operates Pinduoduo and Temu. Timestamps 00:00 Alibaba stock update intro 00:20 China's measures to support the stock market 01:35 Is China uninvestable? 02:27 China's real estate market crisis 03:44 Positive Alibaba news - Alibaba Cloud AI development 06:56 Alibaba stock (BABA) performance 08:40 BABA stock vs PDD stock performance Related episodes: Alibaba Earnings  - Return to Growth! | BABA Stock https://youtu.be/cxh_-fCWjxU Alibaba Reveals Break-Up Plan | Big BABA Stock Upside https://youtu.be/spwgEGJlxmc?si=qaWComlNbSC2ZiIE Alibaba Update: Cloud Spinoff & More Coming https://youtu.be/KBQBNM_-icI?si=8i7oVVANrZUH3yuI China Stocks UNINVESTABLE or HISTORIC VALUE OPPORTUNITY https://youtu.be/qfrjfIEx1vw The main investment brokerage I use to buy international stocks, and to hold cash, is Interactive Brokers (referral link): https://ibkr.com/referral/john5664 Using a referral link helps support the show, thanks! I use TIKR Terminal to help analyze great businesses, follow top investor portfolios, and help monitor my portfolio (referral link): http://tikr.com/theartofvalue Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This content is for education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and/or seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision.
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Aug 27, 2023 • 15min

Alibaba Earnings - Return to Growth! | BABA Stock

This episode includes a summary and thoughts on the Alibaba June Quarter 2023 Results, in the context of the current China economic backdrop and the huge drop BABA stock has had since its peak in late 2020. Timestamps 00:00 Alibaba earnings in the China economic context 01:55 High level financial results - growth and efficiency 03:58 Cash flow and cash allocation 07:14 Individual business segments intro 07:30 Taobao and Tmall Group 08:51 Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group 09:32 Local Services Group 09:58 Cainiao Smart Logistics Network 10:38 Cloud Intelligence Group 11:44 Digital Media and Entertainment 12:25 All Others segment 12:45 Final thoughts on the Alibaba Results Related episodes: Alibaba Reveals Break-Up Plan | Big BABA Stock Upside? https://youtu.be/spwgEGJlxmc?si=JSvlBYfVY8eyWvL0 Alibaba Update: Cloud Spinoff & More Coming https://youtu.be/KBQBNM_-icI?si=8i7oVVANrZUH3yuI Alibaba Full Year Earnings Update | BABA Stock https://youtu.be/caAUsjmMGRw?si=sm-y8SCrGg4B6K9u The main investment brokerage I use to buy international stocks, and to hold cash, is Interactive Brokers (referral link): https://ibkr.com/referral/john5664 Using a referral link helps support the show, thanks! I use TIKR Terminal to help analyze great businesses, follow top investor portfolios, and help monitor my portfolio (referral link): http://tikr.com/theartofvalue Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This content is for education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and/or seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision.

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