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Moody's Talks - Emerging Markets Decoded

Latest episodes

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Mar 23, 2023 • 12min

Mark Zandi on Fed rate hike, banking stress, recession risks and implications for emerging markets

The chief economist of Moody’s Analytics joins host Shirin Mohammadi to discuss the US Federal Reserve’s recent rate decision and response to banking stress, recession risks and more. Speaker: Mark Zandi, Chief Economist, Moody’s AnalyticsHost: Shirin Mohammadi, VP – Senior Research Writer, Moody’s Investors Service
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Mar 17, 2023 • 14min

US bank failures have ripple effects worldwide

Moody’s analysts discuss recent developments in the US and European banking systems, the implications for monetary policy and potential spillovers to emerging markets across the globe. Speakers: Donald Robertson, AMD – Financial Institutions, Moody’s Investors Service; Nick Hill, MD – Financial Institutions, Moody’s Investors Service; Eugene Tarzimanov, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Scott Phillips, AMD – Global Emerging Markets, Moody’s Investors Service Hosts: Shirin Mohammadi, VP – Senior Research Writer, Moody’s Investors Service; Danielle Reed, VP – Senior Research Writer, Moody’s Investors Service For related research, visit the Global Banking System Outlook topic page. As financial pressures mount in a time of higher rates and slowing growth, Moody’s will continue to share our analysis of evolving trends and repercussions for banks around the world.
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Mar 8, 2023 • 19min

Islamic finance set to continue its steady expansion in 2023

In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Nitish Bhojnagarwala of the Financial Institutions team and special guest Sohail Ali of DLA Piper join host Scott Phillips to discuss the outlook for Islamic finance across emerging markets. Plus, they dive into the intersection of ESG and Islamic finance, and the risks associated with “green” sukuk issuance. Related research:Islamic finance sector will remain resilient despite tight global financial conditions
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Mar 6, 2023 • 13min

Will Nigeria’s presidential elections affect credit conditions for banks and the sovereign?

In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Ighosime Oyofo and Mik Kabeya of the Financial Institutions team and Lucie Villa of the Sovereign team join host Scott Phillips to discuss the credit implications of Nigeria’s presidential elections, with a focus on the banking system and the sovereign. Related researchGovernment of Nigeria: Election disputes will delay policies to address Nigeria's pressing credit challengesNaira redesign policy creates some operational challenges for Nigerian banks
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Feb 22, 2023 • 11min

Tight financing conditions will continue to challenge frontier markets' credit strength

In this episode of Moody's Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Scott Phillips of the Global Emerging Markets team joins host Shirin Mohammadi to discuss a recent turn of events for emerging market credit conditions, including some easing in financial conditions, with inflation, yields and spreads all lower than at the end of 2022, despite continued volatility. They explore what recent events mean for debt issuers in emerging and frontier economies and reveal which sovereigns are still at risk of default. Related Research:Tight financing conditions will continue challenging frontier markets' credit strength
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Feb 8, 2023 • 14min

Political unrest adds to credit pressures across Latin America

In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Jaime Reusche of the Sovereign team joins host Ariane Ortiz-Bollin to discuss the credit implications of political unrest in Peru, how it compares to recent events in Brazil and credit distress in Argentina. Plus, Valeria Azconegui of Moody’s Local shares insights from the ground.Related research:Government of Argentina: External market debt buyback amounts to a distressed exchangeGovernment of El Salvador: Second debt buyback amounts to a distressed e:xchange, small transaction amount illustrates liquidity stressGovernment of Brazil: Brazil's political polarization is credit negative
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Jan 25, 2023 • 17min

Despite mixed outlook, Middle East houses one of 2023’s few bright spots

In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Christian Fang and Alex Perjessy of the Sovereign team join host Shirin Mohammadi to discuss the outlook for sovereigns across the Middle East and North Africa. Plus, they explore how recent developments in Iran could affect the rest of the region.Related research:2023 outlook negative as inflation, high interest rates broadly raise credit risks2023 outlook positive as high oil prices bolster finances, provide space for reforms
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Jan 11, 2023 • 16min

Will China’s zero-covid policy reversal provide a boon to emerging markets in 2023?

In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Gene Fang of the Sovereign team joins host Scott Phillips to discuss the outlook for credit conditions in China as it lifts Covid restrictions and reopens its economy, with a special focus on regional and local governments, the property sector, as well as potential implications for other emerging markets. Related research:2023 outlook negative as debt, contingent liabilities build, land sales remain weakSustained slowdown in China will have large spillovers to the rest of APAC and beyondChina Property Focus: Supportive policies will take time to have an impact on sales   
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Dec 14, 2022 • 19min

Lower growth and higher rates will weigh on African issuers

In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, David Rogovic of the Sovereign team and Mik Kabeya of the Financial Institutions team join host Scott Phillips to discuss credit dynamics in Africa amid the US-Africa Leaders Summit in Washington DC. Plus, Matt Pirnie, Head of Ratings at GCR Ratings joins as a special guest to discuss the biggest risks and potential bright spots facing corporate issuers in Sub-Saharan Africa. 
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Nov 30, 2022 • 10min

Sustained growth slowdown in China would spill over to Asia-Pacific region and beyond

In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Deborah Tan of the Credit Strategy & Research team joins host Shirin Mohammadi to discuss what a sustained economic growth slowdown in China implies for the rest of the world, particularly the Asia-Pacific region and lower-income countries that rely on Chinese investment flows. 

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