RJ Bell's Dream Preview

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting for early this week. The guys are gearing up for the meat of the season. Best bets as always. Subscribe to the podcast.CBB Tues/Wed Preview Best Bets – Podcast SummaryPodcast: Need for Seeds College Basketball PodcastHosts: Griffin Warner & Big East BenWeek of February 4thGame Recaps & Betting InsightsWisconsin vs. Northwestern (1:17 - 2:01) Wisconsin trailed by 7 at halftime before Carter Gilmore (15 pts) led the comeback. Bet result: Wisconsin covered. Pittsburgh vs. Wake Forest (2:01 - 3:58) Wake hit a miracle three to cover late. Griffin’s record dropped to 10-4. Marquette vs. St. John’s (6:55 - 13:27) Marquette forced 25 UConn turnovers and lost—historic anomaly. St. John’s shoots just 24% from three in Big East play. Bets: Ben: Marquette ML | Griffin: St. John’s -2.5 Ole Miss vs. Kentucky (13:32 - 17:45) Kentucky’s volatility (win at Tenn, 3 losses in 4). Ole Miss defensive decline in SEC play. Both bet: Over 157 points. UCLA vs. Michigan State (17:45 - 22:04) Michigan State’s 17.4% turnover rate is a liability. UCLA’s strong home defense (8-4 ATS). Both bet: UCLA -2.5. Tennessee vs. Missouri (24:03 - 29:54) Missouri went from 0-18 in SEC last year to 6-2 this season. Tennessee’s Zakai Zeigler is questionable. Both bet: Missouri +6. Michigan vs. Oregon (29:56 - 33:34) Oregon struggles inside (156th in 2-pt defense). Michigan is 6th in 2-pt shooting (60%). Both bet: Michigan -9. Best Bets (19-10 YTD, 66%) Big East Ben: Northwestern -1.5 vs. USC Griffin Warner: UCLA -2.5 vs. Michigan State Promo Code: "HOOPS20" for 20% off picks at Pregame.com. Next Episode: Friday’s preview for Saturday games. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball weekend betting. The guys also give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL Super Bowl 59. The guys also discuss the NBA and give out some best bets. NFL Super Bowl Talk & Best Bets – Dream Podcast SummaryMarket & Betting Analysis (4:41 - 6:22)Kansas City Chiefs Favored Slightly Market Movement: The initial betting line moved in favor of the Kansas City Chiefs, increasing from -1 to -1.5. Betting Exchanges: Sharp bettors use betting exchanges that offer minimal vigorish (fees), leading to highly efficient lines. Coin Flip Betting Psychology: RJ Bell discusses the odds manipulation of coin flip bets, where sportsbooks adjust the vig (commission) to influence betting behavior. Super Bowl Betting Trends Overs & Unders: Books tend to post overs early, delaying under bets until late in the week. Prop Betting Manipulation: Fezzik and Seidenberg highlight how books heavily promote overs while limiting under bets, creating inefficiencies. Same-Game Parlays: Vegas books historically lagged behind but are now competing with online books like DraftKings. Game Recap & Player Analysis (8:13 - 12:17)Jalen Hurts & Eagles' Offense Best Performance of the Season? Analysts praise Jalen Hurts’ game, citing his highest Pro Football Focus (PFF) grade in two years. AJ Brown’s Impact: Brown is fully healthy, making the Eagles' passing game more dangerous. Eagles’ Passing Strategy: The team focuses targets on a few key players, increasing bet value for AJ Brown and Dallas Goedert props. Kansas City Chiefs' Super Bowl Experience Winning Close Games: The Chiefs are lauded for consistently outperforming expectations in high-pressure moments. Injury Updates: Travis Kelce appears compromised, reducing his betting value. Mahomes’ Running Trend: His rushing yardage prop increased significantly, but Fezzik believes it's inflated and expects regression. Team & Player Betting Insights (26:08 - 32:23)Super Bowl Matchup: Eagles vs. Chiefs Philly's Strengths: The Eagles have dominated, finishing 13-0 in their last games before the playoffs. Kansas City's Statistical Anomaly: Chiefs' net yards per play is negative, yet they keep winning. Experience Factor: Analysts believe Philly’s playoff experience makes them a better bet at +1.5 compared to Detroit at the same spread. Impact of 4th Down Conversions NFL Teams Are Going for It More: The rise in successful fourth-down conversions is changing how betting markets evaluate games. Coaches & Analytics Debate: Some argue that aggressive decisions backfire under playoff pressure. Injury Reports & Team Performance (59:25 - 1:02:39)Healthiest Teams Performed the Best The top 11 least-injured teams (Kansas City, Minnesota, Philly, etc.) exceeded win totals by 20+ games. The bottom 10 most-injured teams (Dallas, San Francisco, Cleveland, etc.) underperformed by 21+ games. Super Bowl Finalists: All four final teams (Philly, Kansas City, Buffalo, and Baltimore) ranked among the least injured. Prop Bets & Final Betting Advice (54:06 - 58:10)Best Bets AJ Brown Over 71.5 Receiving Yards (Fezzik): Fully healthy and the Eagles' primary receiver. Dallas Goedert Over 4.5 Receptions (Seidenberg): Chiefs struggle against tight ends, making this a valuable bet. Super Bowl Betting Strategy Track Early Odds: Sharp bettors shape lines by mid-week, with public money inflating player props. Wait for the Best Unders: Books post overs early but hold off on unders, making it valuable to wait. Final Thoughts Super Bowl Betting: The Eagles are undervalued despite strong metrics. Prop Strategy: Play AJ Brown and Dallas Goedert overs now before public money moves lines. NBA Insights: Ride the Clippers and fade the Warriors in upcoming games. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Wednesday betting. Mack and Munaf unveil a new segment for the podcast and give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 2025 PebbleBeach Pro-Am. -Discussing top 7 on odds board at Pebble -2 matchups -1 t10 -3 outrights -Sleeper, 2 lineups, scoring prediction, and best betAT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks SummaryHost: Will Doctor (0:15 - 0:28)Preview of the PGA Tour’s Pebble Beach Pro-Am.Event Overview (0:37 - 12:16) 80 players, 45 of the top 50. Scotty Scheffler returns, Rory McIlroy debuts in 2025. Pebble Beach & Spyglass Hills: Short courses, precision approach play key. No cut; all four rounds played at Pebble. Past Winners 2020: Nick Taylor (-19), 2021: Daniel Berger (-18), 2022: Tom Hoagie (-19), 2023: Justin Rose (-18), 2024: Wyndham Clark (-12, 54-hole event).Farmers Insurance Open Review (-5.3 units) Wins: Shane Lowry over J.J. Spaun, K.H. Lee over Wesley Bryan. Losses: Ludwig Aberg (win, top 10, over Sungjae Im all failed), Justin Rose missed cut, Daniel Berger top 20 loss. Wesley Bryan & YouTube Golf Controversy (12:16 - 15:56) Bet K.H. Lee over Bryan, citing poor ball striking & focus on YouTube. Bryan responded: "Hopefully the few dollars was worth the disparagement of the YouTube community." Doctor dismissed YouTube golf as irrelevant, doubling down on support for traditional pro golf. Key Player Picks & Odds 🏆 Scotty Scheffler (+525) – Elite approach play, strong Pebble history (Bet to win). ❌ Rory McIlroy (+1200) – Poor putting at Pebble (Pass). 💡 Justin Thomas (+1600) – Improved putting, strong iron play (Top 5 bet). ❌ Colin Morikawa (+1600) – Recent illness, limited Pebble experience (Pass). ❌ Ludwig Aberg (+1800) – Putting concerns (Pass). ❌ Hideki Matsuyama (+2200) – Struggles at Pebble (Pass). ❌ Sungjae Im (+2800) – Trending up, but weak Pebble history (Pass). Best Bets & Matchups ✅ Shane Lowry over Tony Finau (-120) – Lowry solid, Finau missed cuts & just had a baby. ✅ Rasmus Højgaard over Tony Finau (-112) – Elite DP World Tour talent. ✅ Tom Kim top 10 (+450) – Excellent approach stats, new putter confidence. 🏆 Gary Woodland to win (+17500) – Past U.S. Open champ at Pebble. Fantasy & DFS Lineups DraftKings: Justin Thomas, McNealy, Kim, MacIntyre, Bhatia, Woodland. PGA Tour Fantasy: Scheffler, Kim, Woodland, MacIntyre, Bhatia, McNealy. Final Predictions Winning Score: -16 Best Bet: Scotty Scheffler Top 5 (+125) Next Week: Phoenix Open Preview. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting for Wednesday. The guys preview the 5 biggest games and give out best bets. The podcast boasts a 65% win rate on best bets (17-9 record), with both hosts discussing five key matchups, statistics, and betting strategies.Game Analysis & Best Bets 1. Alabama at Mississippi State (3:30 - 7:05) Mississippi State is a one-point favorite. Total set at 166. Key analysis: Alabama is coming off strong wins against Kentucky, Vanderbilt, and LSU. Mississippi State plays a more controlled tempo (77th in offensive possession length, 176th in tempo). Big East Ben’s play: Under 166 total points. Mississippi State will slow the pace and force Alabama into contested threes. Griffin Warner's play: Mississippi State -1 due to their depth and physicality. 2. Wisconsin at Maryland (7:07 - 12:07) Maryland is favored by 4 points. Total at 154. Key analysis: Wisconsin excels at getting to the foul line (85% free-throw shooting, best in the country). Maryland ranks 32nd nationally in avoiding fouls, making it difficult for Wisconsin to exploit this strength. Both analysts agree: Maryland -4. Griffin Warner also leans under 154, citing Maryland's defensive pressure. 3. Xavier at Creighton (12:09 - 16:11) Creighton is favored by 6 points. Total at 142. Key analysis: Xavier is relying on 3-pointers (38% shooting), but Creighton is elite at limiting foul shots and running teams off the 3-point line. Creighton has won five straight, but the schedule hasn’t been difficult. Big East Ben’s play: Creighton -6 because of their defensive ability. Griffin Warner agrees: Creighton -6, noting Xavier might struggle in Omaha. 4. St. Mary’s at Santa Clara (16:13 - 21:55) St. Mary’s is a 4-point favorite. Total at 139.5. Key analysis: Santa Clara has strong wins over Gonzaga and Washington State. St. Mary’s is 8-0 in conference play but hasn’t faced tough competition yet. Both analysts favor Santa Clara: Big East Ben: Santa Clara +4, citing their defensive size to disrupt St. Mary’s. Griffin Warner agrees, arguing St. Mary’s hasn’t been tested. 5. Texas at Mississippi (Ole Miss) (21:57 - 31:04) Ole Miss is favored by 6.5 points. Total at 140.5. Key analysis: Texas is coming off a dramatic comeback win over Texas A&M but looked shaky throughout. Ole Miss has lost three straight and is in desperation mode. Big East Ben’s play: Under 140.5 due to strong Ole Miss defense. Griffin Warner’s play: Ole Miss -6.5, noting Chris Beard’s revenge angle after being fired by Texas. Best Bets Recap Big East Ben’s Best Bet (31:07 - 32:07): West Virginia +7.5 vs. Houston WVU thrives at home against top-ranked teams. Griffin Warner’s Best Bet (32:07 - 33:18): Furman +1 vs. Samford Furman’s new arena, shooting ability, and home-court advantage give them the edge. Final Thoughts The hosts emphasize sticking to betting principles and avoiding recency bias. A promo code "KEY30" is offered for discounts on betting packages. Next podcast episode: A deep dive into Saturday’s college basketball slate. Key Takeaways🏀 Alabama vs. Mississippi State:Mississippi State's defense will slow Alabama, leading to an under play (166 total points).🏀 Wisconsin vs. Maryland:Maryland’s home advantage and discipline will be the difference (-4 pick).🏀 Xavier vs. Creighton:Creighton’s defense on the perimeter makes them the right pick at -6.🏀 St. Mary’s vs. Santa Clara:Santa Clara’s underrated defense and home edge justify a bet on +4.🏀 Texas vs. Ole Miss:Ole Miss’ strong defense and Texas' recent struggles lead to an under play (140.5 total points).🔥 Best Bets:✅ West Virginia +7.5 vs. Houston (Big East Ben)✅ Furman +1 vs. Samford (Griffin Warner) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB vetting for this weekend. They guys cover the 5 biggest games and give out best bets. 🕒 Timeline Breakdown and Analysis 0:14 - 1:40 | Introduction Griffin welcomes listeners, humorously highlights Big East Ben’s wardrobe choices, and updates the audience on the hosts’ betting records: Griffin: 8-4 Ben: 7-5 Combined success rate: 62.5% (15-9). Announces plans to preview five games for January 25th and promises best bets at the end. 1:42 - 2:54 | Kansas vs. Houston Ben reflects on his recent successful bet on Kansas unders. Kansas projected as a rare home underdog (+1.5) against Houston. Key Statistics: Houston: Offensive efficiency drops on the road (3rd to 84th nationally); 3-point shooting declines from 43% to 30%. Kansas: Improves at home, offensive efficiency jumps from 174th to 27th. Ben recommends under 129 points, emphasizing Kansas' consistent unders (15-2 this season). 7:57 - 12:23 | Tennessee vs. Auburn Injury news: J’Nai Broome of Auburn is a game-time decision. His absence would significantly impact Auburn's chances. Discussion of Tennessee's struggles: 0-3 ATS in SEC road games. Strong defense but susceptible to high-performing shooters like Todd Bedford. Predictions: Ben favors Auburn at home. Griffin leans towards unders, citing Tennessee’s defensive focus and potential blowout dynamics. 14:04 - 19:19 | Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Vanderbilt’s home performance highlighted (win over Tennessee), but concerns about inconsistency arise. Griffin: Observes Kentucky’s reliance on 3-point shooting and struggles in unconventional venues like Vanderbilt's gym. Ben backs Kentucky -3.5, while Griffin cautiously leans Vanderbilt, anticipating crowd challenges for Kentucky. 19:21 - 24:24 | UConn vs. Xavier Xavier as a 1-point favorite with a total of 145 points. UConn’s recent decline without key player Liam McNeely (1-4 ATS). Griffin and Ben jointly back Xavier, citing momentum and strong home support. 24:29 - 26:45 | Providence vs. Georgetown Providence favored by 1.5 points against struggling Georgetown. Ben critiques Georgetown’s recent six-game losing streak and backs Providence, expecting a decisive home win fueled by fan enthusiasm. 🎯 Key Player and Team Insights Kansas: Stellar defensive consistency at home; unders are a reliable bet. Houston: Vulnerable on the road, significant drop in offensive efficiency. Auburn: Success heavily tied to J’Nai Broome’s availability. Tennessee: Elite 3-point defense but struggles on the road in SEC play. Xavier: Home-court advantage and momentum make them strong contenders. Providence: Hosts a demoralized Georgetown team; significant fan support expected. 📊 Player & Team Statistics Kansas Unders: 15-2 this season. Houston Away Performance: 3rd to 84th offensive efficiency. 3-point shooting: 43% → 30%. Vanderbilt ATS: 1-4 in their last five games. UConn Without McNeely: 1-4 ATS in recent games. 💡 Key Quotes and Context Griffin Warner: "Kansas unders dominate this season. It’s hard to go against a 15-2 trend." (2:09) Analysis: Highlights Kansas’ defensive consistency, making unders a staple. Big East Ben: "Tennessee’s 3-point defense is great, but the jungle at Auburn is relentless." (11:06) Insight: Points to Auburn’s dominant home atmosphere as a decisive factor. Dan Hurley (quoted by Griffin): "Don’t turn your back on me. I’m the best fing coach in this whole fing sport." (20:10) Commentary: Adds drama to UConn’s current struggles and the coach’s bold statements.✅ Best Bets Kansas Under 129. Xavier -1 (Double best bet from both hosts). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dive into the thrilling world of AFC and NFC Championship player props! Discussions revolve around key players like Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, and Austin Ekeler, with smart betting strategies highlighted. The hosts share insights on touchdown prop bets, emphasizing under-the-radar picks that could surprise. With a mix of statistical analysis and personal anecdotes, they navigate the highs and lows of betting, all while keeping it light and engaging. It's a perfect blend of information and entertainment for sports enthusiasts!

The hosts dive deep into the AFC and NFC Championship games, highlighting betting strategies and team dynamics. Lamar Jackson's playoff struggles and the Ravens' recent downgrades spark lively debate. There's an intriguing look at the Washington Commanders' unexpected success and the Philadelphia Eagles' standout fourth-quarter performances. The discussion blends humor with serious analysis around player injuries and their impact on betting outcomes. Plus, insights into college football trends and the significance of the playoffs offer a comprehensive look at this thrilling sports season.

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Wednesday betting. The guys are on a heater right now and offer up best bets.Key Analysis1. Player and Team Analysis Kevin Durant and Phoenix Suns: Durant's influence on the Suns was highlighted, noting their poor performance (1-9) without him and improvement with his return (20-12 record). A trade involving Nick Richards was analyzed, viewed as a move for better rim protection. The Suns’ strategy revolves around building a team capable of playoff success. Golden State Warriors: McKenzie emphasized the Warriors’ decline, evidenced by their worst home loss in history (85-125 against Phoenix). He questioned Steph Curry's current approach and leadership amid the team's struggles. LeBron James and Lakers: James’ waning dominance was noted, with the Lakers struggling to stay competitive in the Western Conference despite his legendary status. Dallas Mavericks: Kyrie Irving’s return was discussed in relation to Luka Dončić's injury absence, framing Dallas as an average team in transition. Minnesota Timberwolves: Their consistent defense and playoff potential were emphasized. With Rudy Gobert anchoring the defense, the team was expected to handle Dallas effectively. 2. Statistical Insights The Phoenix Suns acquired future draft picks, signaling intent to trade for high-impact players like Jimmy Butler. Betting trends revealed that large favorites (10+ points) win 58% of the time in January. Minnesota’s defensive rating of 108 and +2 net rating highlighted their balanced playstyle. Cleveland Cavaliers’ dominance against strong teams (15-3 ATS) contrasted with their average performance against weaker teams. 3. Betting Recommendations Best Bet: Suns (-10) against the Brooklyn Nets, capitalizing on Brooklyn’s tanking trajectory and Phoenix's need to assert dominance. Celtics-Clippers Under 217: The slow pace and strong defense of both teams were decisive factors. Timberwolves (-2) against Mavericks: Minnesota's consistent defensive efforts offered strong value. 4. Speaker Insights McKenzie Rivers: Focused on statistical depth and betting strategies, including market inefficiencies and historical trends. Munaf Manji: Provided narrative context, connected stats to betting decisions, and discussed team dynamics. Key Quotes (with timestamps) Durant’s Impact (3:34-7:02): "They’re 1-9 without Durant...he’s essential for their playoff aspirations." Warriors’ Struggles (7:03-10:41): "Steph Curry passing off to Moody and Looney instead of asserting dominance—it’s disappointing." Suns’ Strategy (10:42-12:16): "Trading picks for near-term gains indicates a win-now approach." Betting Trends (41:49): "Favorites by 10+ are 58% ATS in January; Suns should cover against a depleted Nets team." Key Points🟠 Generational Shift: Players like Durant, Curry, and LeBron are overshadowed by rising stars like Jayson Tatum and Anthony Edwards.🟠 Phoenix Suns’ Moves: The addition of Nick Richards and draft picks positions them for a playoff run or major trade.🟠 Warriors’ Decline: Poor performances raise questions about Curry's ability to lead as before.🟠 Defensive Metrics Matter: Teams like Minnesota and Boston maintain strong defensive ratings, crucial for betting strategies.🟠 Trade Deadline Speculations: The Suns and Mavericks are likely to make significant moves, impacting playoff dynamics.🟠 Betting Strategies: High spreads, player absence trends, and defensive efficiency guide decisions.🟠 Clippers’ Rotation Issues: Kawhi Leonard’s absence complicates their ability to compete against top teams like Boston.🟠 Houston Rockets’ Surge: Exceeding expectations with disciplined defense.🟠 Brooklyn Nets’ Tanking: Significant losses post-trade indicate low morale and poor performance.🟠 Cavs’ Consistency: Dominating against strong teams but struggling against weaker ones. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices