RJ Bell's Dream Preview

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA playoff betting for Tuesday and Wednesday. The guys are hot right now and offer up some best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday. The guys also give out best bets. he MLB Tuesday Preview & Best Bets podcast hosted by Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner delivers a game-by-game analysis of the 13 MLB matchups scheduled for Tuesday. The show opens with some light NBA draft lottery banter, but the bulk of the discussion is tightly focused on baseball betting strategies, player performance, and team trends, all based on currently available betting lines. In the Brewers versus Guardians game, both hosts express doubts over Quinn Priester's reliability as the Brewers have lost four straight games he's started, providing him minimal run support. Logan Allen's control issues are acknowledged, but the Guardians are still preferred as a slight home favorite. The Twins against the Orioles matchup sees both hosts backing the Twins, riding their eight-game win streak and taking advantage of Kade Povich’s continued struggles, especially at home. Munaf suggests taking the Twins team total over due to their potent offense. For the White Sox and Reds, Griffin leans toward the Reds’ offense prevailing, noting the White Sox’s dreadful 3-17 road record. Abbott’s limited innings aren't seen as problematic due to the White Sox’s overall weaknesses. In the Cardinals and Phillies clash, Sonny Gray’s consistency and St. Louis’ bullpen strength make them an appealing underdog, with both hosts preferring an under if the total reaches eight. The Rays versus Blue Jays game highlights the collapse of Tampa Bay's pitching, with Shane Boz’s recent blowups making the Blue Jays the favored side, especially with Jose Berrios pitching steadily at home. In the Pirates versus Mets game, both see little hope for the Pirates despite a recent managerial change, with Munaf favoring the Mets run line and team total over, given Kodai Senga’s strong stats. For Nationals versus Braves, the consensus is Braves team total over, citing Soroka's vulnerability and the Braves’ offensive firepower, though bullpen concerns persist. The Marlins against Cubs matchup leans strongly toward the Cubs, with their superior offense and Ben Brown’s solid form giving them a significant edge. The Rockies versus Rangers game reflects both hosts' disdain for the Rockies' 2-17 road record, suggesting Rangers -1.5 and under 8.5 as the play, with the Arlington ballpark playing pitcher-friendly. Royals versus Astros is a more cautious game, with both acknowledging Michael Wacha's solid form and Framber Valdez’s unpredictability when a favorite, but Munaf leans Astros at -140. The Angels versus Padres game is flagged as a potential upset, with Dylan Cease expected to regress after his long no-hit bid. Both hosts side with the Angels due to the risky price on the Padres. In the Yankees versus Mariners showdown, Griffin emphasizes Brian Wu’s 11-1 home record and favors Mariners as a home underdog while also suggesting the under, citing the ballpark's suppression of runs. Finally, the Diamondbacks versus Giants game is strongly supported by both as a Giants money line play, highlighting Robbie Ray's perfect 8-0 start record for the Giants. Brentt Fott’s last strong outing against the Dodgers is considered unsustainable in the pitcher-friendly Oracle Park, especially given the Giants’ ability to win division games at home. Best bets for the day are Griffin’s pick of Guardians ML at -120 and Munaf’s pick of Giants ML at -105. The overall tone reflects skepticism toward big favorites, leaning instead on undervalued home underdogs and carefully selected unders in specific matchups, especially where bullpen and venue factors suppress offense. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about players receiving threats, the Rockies ineptitude and other betting stories around Major League Baseball. In this episode of "The Inside Pitch" recorded on May 12, Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers discuss the controversy surrounding Lance McCullers Jr., his disastrous return, and the broader implications of gambling culture in MLB. McCullers, in his second start after a two-year injury hiatus, surrendered seven runs in a 10-run first inning against the Reds, registering just one out, giving up three hits, three walks, and one home run. Post-game, McCullers and his family received death threats, which Towers attributed to the toxic intersection of sports betting and fan entitlement. Towers emphasized that no athlete intentionally underperforms and that threatening players over wagers is unacceptable. Seidenberg concurred, adding that the accessibility of players via social media exacerbates the issue. McCullers expressed frustration, noting he only wants to perform for the Astros while ensuring his family's safety. Shifting focus to live betting strategies, Seidenberg recounted betting the Astros team total over 3.5 runs during the blowout, leveraging the assumption that weak bullpen arms would enter early. Towers supported this approach, explaining that such scenarios often lead to high-scoring games due to less effective relievers being used and pitchers potentially experimenting with pitches under low-pressure conditions. They dissected Brady Singer’s outing, noting he stuck to his sinker-slider mix, throwing 30 sinkers, 15 sliders, and four cutters, struggling post the 45-minute delay. The discussion broadened to emphasize that blowouts offer learning opportunities for pitchers, enabling them to test pitches in-game situations they'd avoid in tighter contests. Attention turned to the Rockies' collapse, particularly their 21-0 loss to the Padres, followed by Bud Black’s firing. Towers criticized the Rockies' misuse of pitchers, particularly exposing young arms like Blaylock to overwhelming situations, likely contributing to organizational dysfunction. Betting-wise, the Rockies were highlighted as historically profitable to fade, with 30 of their 33 losses by multiple runs and a 5-29 record in first-five innings. Seidenberg recommended automatic daily run line fades against the Rockies. Broader betting trends were analyzed, including the Mets' 29-12 first-five innings under record and the Royals' similar 30-12 mark. The Mariners surprisingly leaned to the over. The conversation shifted to player performance futures. Kyle Schwarber’s 46-game on-base streak, 14 home runs, and .404 OBP were celebrated, with Seidenberg suggesting profitable betting strategies targeting Schwarber to reach base safely in his first plate appearance using various app markets. Josh Towers and Seidenberg also agreed that Freddie Freeman’s .367 average and league-best OPS made him undervalued at +1100 for the NL MVP, criticizing how consistently elite players are often overlooked in futures markets. In Cy Young discussions, Wheeler was favored in the NL at +700 due to his 58 innings, 2.95 ERA, and 0.91 WHIP, while Skubal and Eovaldi were highlighted in the AL. Hunter Brown was noted as a legitimate contender, given his cleaned-up mechanics and plus stuff. The Rookie of the Year race saw Jacob Wilson as AL favorite, while Luis Angel Acuna led the NL despite modest power numbers, with Towers skeptical of his long-term viability. They concluded by discussing rookie dark horses and emphasized the difficulty pitchers face sustaining excellence across a full season, all while promoting Pregame.com’s latest offers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner go through the entire MLB Friday betting card. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA playoff betting for Friday and Saturday. 🎯 Conclusion In a spirited and analytical exchange, Munaf and Mackenzie unpack the drama of the 2025 NBA Playoffs. The Celtics struggle despite statistical dominance, while the Knicks capitalize on late-game composure. The Cavs face serious injury woes, giving Indiana an edge. Oklahoma City looks mature beyond their years, asserting dominance over the defending champion Nuggets. Meanwhile, the Warriors aim to survive without Steph Curry, but their championship pedigree and Jimmy Butler’s leadership offer hope. Betting-wise, both hosts agree: Celtics in Game 3 and Knicks team total under are smart plays, while cautious optimism surrounds the Warriors if Curry returns for Game 4. 🏀 Celtics' Late Game Collapse: Despite dominating most of the game, Boston has suffered two fourth-quarter meltdowns, attributed to poor shot selection and crowd pressure (3:12–7:36). 📉 Knicks 4Q Dominance: With a +51.2 net rating in 4th quarters, New York’s defense and clutch play—highlighted by Mikal Bridges’ stops—have flipped the series narrative (7:36–9:37). 💥 Boston’s Home vs. Road Split: Celtics are stronger away (22–9) than at home (23–16), possibly due to crowd pressure and racial tensions in Boston (3:12–7:36, 49:24–53:12). 📊 Cavs Shooting Slump: Cleveland’s Game 1 and 2 ranked among their worst shooting nights of the season, highlighting their vulnerability without Mobley, Garland, and Hunter (13:20–15:57). ⚡ Indiana’s Consistency: Pacers are maintaining fast pace and elite 4th quarter defense, thriving despite Cleveland’s presumed superior roster (15:57–19:08). 🔥 Thunder’s Ascent: OKC dismantled the Nuggets with 149 points in Game 2, showing maturity and depth. They are now betting favorites to win the title at +130 (19:08–21:16). 🔍 Jokic’s Burden: Jokic must carry Denver both offensively and defensively, with little help when facing elite defenders like Dort and Holmgren (43:18–46:42). 🧠 Warriors’ Resilience: Despite Curry’s injury, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield, and Jimmy Butler’s leadership inspire hope. Betting value lies in Warriors at +160 (28:17–34:49). 📉 Celtics ATS Trends: 16–6 ATS off a loss in playoffs; Celtics often bounce back defensively, suggesting Knicks team total under 99.5 is strong bet (54:42–56:07). 💸 Betting Picks: Best bets include Celtics -5 and Knicks team total under 99.5 for Game 3; lean to Pacers +3 and under 233.5 in OKC-Den game (38:12–43:18). Intro and Playoff Excitement (0:09–1:04): Munaf sets the stage for a wild playoff ride and introduces Mackenzie as the go-to NBA expert. Playoff Quality Debate (1:05–1:32): Mack questions if exciting finishes mask poor play; both agree it's not the best basketball. Celtics-Knicks Breakdown (1:33–7:36): Celtics collapse despite leads, missing 14 straight shots in Game 2. Knicks get credit for clutch defense, especially Bridges. Fourth Quarter Metrics (7:36–9:37): Knicks have an insane +51.2 net rating in Q4; their defense is elite, while Celtics falter in clutch. Series Odds Debate (9:37–11:39): Despite being down 0-2, Boston still favored slightly. Mack uses binomial distribution to argue Celtics still have edge. Knicks Depth vs. Boston Regression (11:39–13:19): Role players shine at home; Knicks haven’t peaked yet offensively. Cavs-Pacers Health Issues (13:20–15:57): Cleveland missing Mobley, Garland, Hunter; poor shooting exacerbates issues. Indiana’s Identity & Edge (15:57–19:08): Pacers' pace and 4Q net rating rank top-5; they're capitalizing on Cleveland's woes. Thunder Blowout Analysis (19:08–21:16): OKC validated by 149-point game; Jokic can’t do it alone. Steph Curry’s Injury Impact (22:29–28:17): Estimated as a 6-point line impact; market could shift significantly if he returns earlier than expected. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL trades and NBA playoffs this week. The guys are gearing up for the NFL schedule release and much more. 🎯 Conclusion RJ Bell and team offered sharp betting insights, statistical breakdowns, and humorous banter, focusing on NFL draft value and NBA playoff oddities. The panel agreed that Pittsburgh handled the George Pickens trade shrewdly by getting more value than expected, despite timing concerns. On the NBA front, a historic streak of road underdog wins has defined the second round, challenging long-standing beliefs about home-court advantage and playoff pressure. The Celtics' shooting woes and strategic rigidity have cost them dearly against the Knicks, while OKC's strength despite a Game 1 collapse was highlighted. Steph Curry’s injury impacts the Warriors’ odds substantially. Boston remains the favorite to bounce back based on statistical modeling, despite being down 0-2. 📉 George Pickens Trade: Traded to Cowboys for a 2026 3rd-round pick; Steelers gain slight value in draft capital (19:30–21:32). 📊 Draft Value Math: Using Jimmy Johnson and updated charts, Pickens' current estimated redraft value (~25th pick) was worth ~265 points; Steelers got ~450 value (20:43–21:32). 🧠 Tomlin vs. Pickens Behavior: Despite his talent, Pickens' maturity issues led Pittsburgh to deal him, believing the return justified the risk offload (12:08–14:12). 📉 Team WR Strategy: Steelers consistently draft talented WRs with red flags, benefit early, then trade them pre-extension (15:27–18:41). 🔍 Series Price Analysis: Boston was -800 pre-series vs. Knicks and now even money down 0-2; rare statistical territory (51:15–52:03). 🔥 NBA Underdog Run: 7 consecutive road dog wins; all Game 1s in Round 2 won by road teams – first in 25+ years (25:40–26:31). 🧮 Pacers Clutch Dominance: Biggest gap between regular net rating and clutch performance; #1 in late-game efficiency (35:13–35:48). 📉 Boston’s 3PT Woes: Missed 45 threes in Game 1, 30 in Game 2; yet lost by 3 and 1, respectively (52:47–54:06). 📈 Betting Strategy: Zigzag pattern (betting prior game losers) is 25-13-1 ATS this playoffs; first-half lines adjusting accordingly (47:13–47:34). 🤕 Curry Injury Impact: With Curry out 3 games, Timberwolves shift from -175 to -185 in series despite losing Game 1 (1:14:04–1:14:21). Opening Notes and Best Bets: RJ praises Mackenzie’s research and offers promotions. Fezzik and Mackenzie give early best bets. Timberwolves series pick becomes Mackenzie’s official bet (0:05–0:47). Handicappers’ Performances: Shaker, Esler, and Fezzik highlight strong baseball and NBA records. Promotions include full-year picks (0:48–4:24). Secretariat Horse Race Talk: Engaging diversion into Secretariat's historic Belmont win and horse-racing analogies (2:28–4:32). Pickens Trade Breakdown: Steelers trade WR Pickens to Cowboys. RJ and panel dissect trade values and Steelers' WR draft history (8:49–22:31). NFL Rest Schedule Impact: Discusses how rest days and bye-week opponents influence full-season rather than single-game outcomes (24:06–25:39). NBA Road Dogs & Series Surprises: Thunder’s Game 2 win caps seven straight road dog victories. Unprecedented all-road team Game 1 wins in Round 2 (25:40–26:31). Cleveland vs. Pacers Breakdown: Injuries to Garland and Mobley hurt Cavs. Pacers excel in clutch. Mackenzie argues for continued Pacers value (32:40–37:29). Celtics’ Struggles vs Knicks: Boston down 0-2 despite high-quality shots. Missed threes, underwhelming home performance. Historical rarity (52:03–55:38). Betting Market Adjustments: Lines largely unchanged despite injuries and upsets, implying lingering belief in favorites. Fezzik calls Boston series win best bet (1:03:13–1:04:07). Western Conference Futures: Without Curry, Minnesota becomes series favorite. Market still favors favorites despite underdog success rate (1:14:04–1:17:47). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Will Doctor gets you ready for this weeks big golf event. Will goes through the odds board and offers up plenty of picks for this weeks signature PGA Tour event. Follow Will Doctor for the sharpest picks and best inside golf 🔑 Key Points 📌 Signature Event Critique: Will calls for expanding signature fields from 70 to 120 players and reinstating Friday cuts for more competitive drama. 📌 Course Layout: Wissahickon is 7,100 yards, par 70, featuring 118 bunkers and nine short par 4s—precision over power is key. 📌 Scheffler Dominance: Scotty Scheffler’s 31-under win at the Nelson set a tournament and PGA scoring record, gaining over 23 strokes tee-to-green. 📌 McIlroy Watch: Skipping McIlroy at +550 due to low odds and inconsistent tee shots, despite favorable soft course conditions. 📌 Morikawa Troubles: Out on Morikawa due to poor putting, short game struggles, and recent lack of clutch scoring. 📌 Oberg Analysis: At 18-1, the Swede shows promise on bentgrass but lacks elite approach metrics, especially under 100 yards. 📌 Thomas & Cantlay Caution: JT’s poor bentgrass record and Cantlay’s short game woes raise red flags, though both have strong wedge and tee stats. 📌 Top Picks: Jordan Spieth (35-1), Sam Stevens (125-1), and Michael Thorbjornsen (165-1) backed for outrights based on recent form and course fit. 📌 Sleeper Pick: Eric Cole to top 20 at +250 based on sharp iron play, bentgrass prowess, and recent accuracy uptick. 📌 Best Bet: Andrew Novak to top 20 at +160—praised for wedge play and strong putting on bentgrass greens. 📚 Summary [1:04–1:17] Opening Remarks – Will Doctor Will opens the podcast introducing Week 19 at the Truist Championship with high energy and an emphasis on informed PGA picks. [1:30–6:00] Signature Event Limitations Will critiques the limited 70-man field, suggesting it robs fans of the excitement from Friday cuts and excludes deserving recent winners like Carl Phillips, Nico Echeverria, and Johnny Vegas. [6:01–10:00] Scheffler Recap Scheffler's 31-under at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson was historic. Will skipped betting on him at 3-1, but he praised Scheffler’s dominance, especially tee-to-green. [10:01–13:00] Betting Review & Loss Summary A 1-unit loss in Week 18 despite Jaeger (top 10 after R1) cashing at 4-1. Other bets including Cam Davis and Rosenmuller underperformed. [13:01–17:00] Course Breakdown – Wissahickon Course is short but tricky, with small greens and 118 bunkers. Requires precise tee placement and strong wedge play. [17:01–26:00] Favorite Player Analysis McIlroy: Avoiding him at +550. Course conditions help, but form inconsistency is a concern. Morikawa: Poor putting and short game make him unreliable. Oberg: Excellent bentgrass putter, but shaky approach stats. Thomas: Great wedges but erratic driver and poor bentgrass history. [26:01–35:00] Mid-Tier Contenders Cantlay: Putting and iron play solid, but short game off—still a top-10 pick. Schauffele: Elite approach but weak wedges and putting—passed on at 20-1. Fleetwood: Accurate, great wedge/putter. Backed for top-10 at +188. [35:01–42:00] Outright Picks Jordan Spieth (35-1): Complete game peaking, strong bentgrass form. Sam Stevens (125-1): Excellent putter, rising iron play. Michael Thorby Olson (165-1): Three strong finishes recently, veteran caddie help. [42:01–45:00] Sleeper & Lineups Sleeper: Eric Cole (). Iron play and bentgrass stats impressive. DraftKings & PGA.com Lineups: Core includes Spieth, Fleetwood, Stevens, Novak, Cole, and Thorby Olson. [45:01–46:41] Score Prediction & Best Bet Winning score predicted at 19-under. Best bet: Andrew Novak to top 20 at +160 for his elite wedge play and bentgrass putting. information weekly @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Tuesday. The guys cover all the games an give out best bets. 📋 MLB Tuesday Preview: Detailed Game Breakdown and Betting Insights Hosts: Munaf Manji and Griffin WarnerRecording Date: Monday Night (for Tuesday’s MLB slate)Source: [RJ Bell's Dream Preview – MLB Edition] Munaf Manji welcomes listeners and sets the stage for a packed MLB Tuesday betting preview, noting some pitching matchups still undecided.Griffin Warner celebrates a recent best bet win, evening his record at 5–5. Munaf is currently 7–4 on the season. Griffin reflects on their recent run: 7–1 over the last four episodes (88%). Pitching Matchup: Tony Gonsolin (LAD) vs. Cal Quantrill (MIA) Money Line: Dodgers -260 / Marlins +231 Total: 9 with heavy VIG on the over Analysis: Gonsolin returns from injury (Tommy John), having gone 6 IP, 3 ER, 9 K in his last start (also vs. Marlins). Quantrill allowed 4 ER in 3.2 IP vs. Dodgers in his last outing. Lifetime vs. LAD: 1–7, 8.22 ERA (9 appearances). Dodgers expected to rake against Quantrill. Key Player Note: Dodgers’ Tommy Edman on IL (8 HR, 24 RBI pre-injury). Recommendation: Target Dodgers team total or full game over (9 or 9.5). Pitching Matchup: Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) vs. Lucas Giolito (BOS) Money Line: Rangers -116 / Red Sox +105 Total: 9 Eovaldi: 12 IP, 1 ER, 15 K, 1 BB over last two starts Dominant vs. LAD: 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 K Former Red Sox pitcher; familiarity with Fenway noted Giolito: Coming off injury; throwing only 91 mph Labeled a liability unless changeup is elite Red Sox broadcast hyped his return, but skepticism remains Griffin’s Take: Rangers suspect on offense (fired hitting coaches, waived Leody Taveras) Giolito's recent performance isn’t promising Leans: Red Sox as underdog or over Munaf’s Bet: Rangers 1st five innings money line Pitching Matchup: Zach Wheeler (PHI) vs. Drew Rasmussen (TB) Money Line: Phillies -116 / Rays +105 Total: 8 Zach Wheeler: Has allowed 2+ ER in every start after his opener Drew Rasmussen: Poor run support; team lost 4 of last 5 starts Insights: Phillies offense sluggish early Both teams may lean on bullpens Recommended Bet: Under 8 or 1st five under 4 Pitching Matchup: Michael King (SD) vs. Clark Schmidt (NYY) Money Line: Padres -109 / Yankees -101 Total: 8–8.5 Michael King: Former Yankee, familiar with stadium 3 ER over last 4 starts; includes CG shutout vs. Rockies Clark Schmidt: Moved from weekend start; less favorable matchup Questionable bullpen support for Yankees Recommendation: Munaf’s Best Bet: Padres money line (King’s form and Yankee familiarity) Pitching Matchup: Andrew Abbott (CIN) vs. Chris Sale (ATL) Money Line: Braves -212 / Reds +190 Total: 8 Key Points: Braves offense still underperforming; Acuña out Chris Sale: Solid at home; 10 K in last start vs. Rockies Abbott: Recent short starts (4 IP), Reds’ offense weak Bets Suggested: Over 8, Braves team total, or 1st 5 over Pitching Matchup: Justin Verlander (SF) vs. Colin Rea (CHC) Money Line: Cubs -140 / Giants +127 Total: TBD (pending Wrigley wind) Verlander: Last 3 starts: 6 IP each, 4 ER total, 4–6 K per game Rea: Career vs. SF: 1–3, 8.57 ERA Last start vs. SF: 4 IP, 10 ER Griffin’s View: Cubs’ offense strong; Pete Crow-Armstrong hot Giants' bullpen more reliable Pick: Giants money line +127 (Verlander advantage) Pitching Matchup: Sean Burke (CWS) vs. Seth Lugo (KC) Money Line: Royals -220 / White Sox +197 Total: 8.5 🎙️ 0:09–1:39 | Show Introduction and Betting Record Recap⚾ 1:39–6:05 | Dodgers @ Marlins⚾ 6:07–11:30 | Rangers @ Red Sox⚾ 11:31–15:53 | Phillies @ Rays⚾ 15:54–19:26 | Padres @ Yankees⚾ 19:26–23:17 | Reds @ Braves⚾ 23:17–27:05 | Giants @ Cubs⚾ 28:04–31:04 | White Sox @ Royals Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about the hottest teams in Baseball and scour the stats to find BEST BETS for tonight and beyond! 🧠 Key Points & Insights ⚾ Dodgers' Record: 23-11, top in MLB despite a Sunday night loss. Austin Riley’s two homers were decisive. 📈 Tigers' Run Differential: 13-3 at home, 22-13 overall. Managed by A.J. Hinch, praised for non-analytic, intuitive leadership. 📊 Player OPS Standouts: Torkelson (0.889), Carpenter (0.870), Baez (0.829), Torres (0.826), Greene (0.808). 🎯 Aaron Judge Triple Crown Watch: .423 AVG, tied for MLB RBI lead (33), 2nd in HR (11). Odds: +145 to win Triple Crown. 🏅 Alonso's MVP Campaign: 13 doubles, 344 AVG, 31 RBIs. Odds: +650. Noted shift in hitting approach improving contact. 📉 Soto's Output: Criticized as underperforming with repeated mentions of uncapitalized hard contact (113.4 mph EV). 🧮 Pitching Metrics: Yamamoto praised for 2.45 xERA, elite ground ball % (15th). Brown with 1.67 ERA, expected to regress. 🔢 Weather Impact: Wind and ballpark geometry (like Yankee Stadium) analyzed for home run probability adjustments. 📉 Betting Trends: Mondays yield 60.8% overs; best home teams: Dodgers (15-3), Mets (13-3), Tigers (13-3). 🎲 Best Bets Summary: Preferred Nerfys: Yankees-Padres, Cards-Pirates, Royals-White Sox. Fade Dodgers (bullpen day) after SNB. Summary Breakdown Intro & Dodgers Discussion (0:02–1:44) Seidenberg and Towers open with Cinco de Mayo reflections, pivoting to Dodgers' recent form. Dodgers: 23-11 record, top in MLB. Padres (22-11) and Giants (22-13) also praised. Detroit Tigers Rise (1:45–4:07) Towers praises Javi Baez’s resurgence (near-.300 AVG), OPS leaders include Torkelson and Carpenter. Pitching: Skubal (dominant), Mize (5-1), Flaherty (solid). Closer Tommy Kahnle: 1 ER in 12.2 IP, 5 saves. Cardinals & Central Teams (4:56–6:38) Cardinals swept 2 DHs but sit under .500; skepticism remains due to weak pitching and trade rumors (Nolan). Cubs seen as leaders; Reds potential dark horse with Francona mentioned as MoY candidate. Manager of the Year Futures (6:47–8:00) Hinch: AL favorite (+180), Council NL favorite (+160), Francona (+950). Towers values Hinch's preparation and "winning culture" ethos. Judge Triple Crown Analysis (10:05–13:34) Judge: 55/130 (.423); even 0-for-50 slump yields .306 AVG. Recalled near-miss in 2024, faded due to playoff pressure. Compared to Cabrera’s 2012 campaign; lauded for consistent mechanics and mentality. Pete Alonso: MVP Candidacy (17:06–20:26) Alonso’s evolution from HR-focused to gap-to-gap hitter detailed. 344 AVG, 31 RBIs, only 8 HRs; significant reduction in K rate. Towers applauds offseason work and underdog mindset. Soto’s Performance Breakdown (22:48–26:18) Two near-HRs vs. wall in last game; 113.4 EV, robbed once. Needs to stay back and use opposite field. Ex-Yankee Stadium habits analyzed as possible cause of pull-happy tendencies. Advanced Stats: wOBA and xBA (26:18–30:31) Overperformers: Baez (0.364 wOBA vs. 0.294 xwOBA). Underperformers: Salvy Perez (.294 → .412 xwOBA), Andrew Vaughn (expected to rise). Torres, Peterson noted for looming correction. Pitcher Evaluations (31:13–34:38) Hunter Brown: 1.67 ERA, 3.02 xERA, minimal HRs. Yamamoto: 2.45 xERA, elite command; likened to Van Gogh. Logan Webb, Tim Hill, and Seawald discussed for GB/FB tendencies. Betting Angles and Nerfy Focus (40:00–59:13) Monday = best over day (60.8%), Friday next; Wednesday = top under day. Dodgers fade after SNB recommended; under 5.5 team total. Top Nerfy plays: Yankees-Padres, Cardinals-Pirates, White Sox-Royals. Ryan Nelson’s volatility noted; avoided Nerfy on Mets game despite Griffin Canning’s strong record. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers get you up to speed with the NBA playoffs. The guys discuss the games on the Monday and Tuesday NBA playoff betting card. Best bets as always. NBA Monday–Tuesday Preview: Summary of Key Matchups & Bets In this episode, Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers preview the NBA conference semifinals, focusing on team trends, betting lines, and playoff adjustments. They analyze Knicks vs. Celtics, Nuggets vs. Thunder, Pacers vs. Cavs, and Warriors vs. Timberwolves, offering stats, predictions, and best bets, all while integrating injury updates and historical playoff data. 🟩 Knicks vs. Celtics Celtics are -800 favorites; swept Knicks 4–0 in regular season (3–1 ATS). Boston scored 118+ in all meetings; 3/4 went Over the total. Knicks too dependent on Jalen Brunson, who dominated 4th quarters. Munaf's concern: Knicks lack consistent secondary scorers like Towns or Anunoby. Total of 213 deemed too low given past matchups—both analysts prefer the Over. Betting angle: Knicks +9 and Over 213 (Munaf’s best bet: 1H Over 109). 🟦 Nuggets vs. Thunder Thunder are -700 series favorites; regular season was 2–2 (ATS & O/U). Mack says OKC’s defense & rest (8 days) give them a huge Game 1 edge. Historical stat: Teams off sweep vs. Game 7 foes = 12–3 ATS since 2002. Jokic needs historic effort (40+ points/game) to give Denver a chance. Caruso named best defender per EPM, anchors OKC’s perimeter defense. Thunder’s balance & defensive discipline suggest a potential quick series. Best bet (Mack): SGA to win WCF MVP at -165—called “an insult” to his value. 🟨 Pacers vs. Cavs Pacers stole Game 1; Cavs now -210 favorites to win series. Cavs shot 9/38 from 3, Mitchell went 1/11, Mobley passive (13 FGA). Garland’s toe injury limits offense—Mobley & Allen must dominate inside. Pacers’ system under Carlisle praised for pace & unselfish scoring. Regular season: Pacers won 4/5 meetings, Cavs 3–2 O/U. Munaf & Mack lean Pacers +9.5 and Over team total in Game 2. 🟥 Warriors vs. Timberwolves Timberwolves are -175 favorites; Warriors +154 to win series. GSW won 3 of 4 regular season games (3–1 ATS); 2–2 O/U. Mack says Warriors’ structured offense matches well vs. Wolves’ randomness. Anthony Edwards is dynamic but needs consistent help. Suggestion: Wait until after Game 1 to bet GSW at better odds (e.g., +370 after loss). Warriors' net rating post-All-Star = 3rd, behind only Celtics & Thunder. 🎯 Player Rankings (Best, Not Line Value) Jokic SGA Giannis Luka Tatum/Curry (tie) Final Insights Celtics & Thunder are deep, rested, and favored. Knicks, Nuggets need star turns from Brunson/Jokic. Pacers’ system and shooting create real upset potential. Warriors could exploit Timberwolves’ inexperience and make another deep run. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices