
RJ Bell's Dream Preview
Winning sports picks from Las Vegas. Everything you need for free on the biggest games each week from Pregame.com's Wiseguy Roundtable. Alongside your host RJ Bell, we have professional bettor Steve Fezzik, plus more of the biggest names from the world of sports betting.
Latest episodes

Feb 26, 2025 • 40min
CBB Wednesday Preview + Best Bets !!
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting. The guys cover the days biggest games and give out best bets. Condensed Summary of CBB POD 2/25/25: College Basketball PodcastIntroduction (0:15 - 2:04)Griffin Warner kicks off the episode, touting the podcast’s 23-17 (58%) best bet record and plugging a Pregame.com promo code. He previews five key games and a sleeper team segment, reflecting on recent losses like Texas A&M’s home woes and Nevada’s injuries: "It’s hard to know what’s going to happen on the injury front."Season Reflection (2:05 - 3:00)Co-host Big East Ben is pumped for conference tournaments: "I’m ready for the conference tournaments to start." Warner picks the American conference for his dark horse, joking, "I only pick the most patriotic of all leagues."Maryland vs. Michigan State Preview (3:01 - 10:04)Big East Ben lauds Michigan State’s 3-0 run against tough foes: "Michigan State’s tough to fade now." Warner flags Michigan’s thin frontcourt. Ben touts Maryland’s 8-1 surge—"Probably the hottest team in the Big Ten"—and 10-4 ATS home mark, picking Maryland -3.5. Warner agrees, citing coaching pedigree.Vanderbilt vs. Texas A&M Preview (10:06 - 14:03)Ben rues missing Vanderbilt’s upset over Ole Miss but backs Texas A&M, highlighting their #1 offensive rebounding (42%) vs. Vanderbilt’s 134th rank. Warner likes Vanderbilt’s road grit and Texas A&M’s defensive lapses, taking +7.5.Ole Miss vs. Auburn Preview (14:04 - 22:01)Warner reminisces about Marshall Henderson’s flair. Ben picks Ole Miss +12.5, noting Auburn’s recent ATS struggles: "Auburn thinks they’re the greatest thing since sliced bread." Warner opts for over 153.5, citing Ole Miss’s fight.Texas vs. Arkansas Preview (22:03 - 24:35)Ben mocks Caleb Grill’s wild shots: "All Caleb Grill does is shoot up horrible threes." He picks under 148, pointing to both teams’ two-point reliance and Arkansas’s 20th-ranked defense. Warner concurs, seeing bubble tension keeping scores low.Utah State vs. Boise State Preview (24:36 - 30:18)Ben notes Craig Smith’s midseason exit as a blow to Utah State. He picks Boise State -3.5, citing their 9-3 ATS home record and rebounding edge (2nd defensively). Warner agrees, nodding to Mountain West home strength.Dark Horse Segment: American Conference (30:21 - 32:33)Warner taps Wichita State, riding a six-game win streak: "They’re winners of six in a row... pretty good chance they’re in the middle of the pack." Ben picks UAB, praising their form and coach Andy Kennedy’s savvy.Best Bets Segment (32:33 - 36:32)Ben selects Oregon State -2.5, touting their 14-2 ATS home record: "That’s 88%." Warner takes Oklahoma +2, skeptical of Kentucky’s road shooting: "Kentucky’s one of those teams that goes on the road, shoots a lot of threes."Closing Remarks (36:33 - 36:34)Ben wraps up, urging listeners to follow on social media and teasing Friday’s show. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 26, 2025 • 42min
NBA Dream Pod Wednesday + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA basketball betting. The guys cover the days biggest games and give out best bets. Summary of NBA Podcast Episode NBAPOD22525"I Got Five On It": Sacramento Kings
Mackenzie Rivers (2:25): Picks Kings, win total 41.5: "Are they going to be above 500?" Notes 16-9 record under Doug Christie, 29-28 overall.
Munaf Manji (3:21): Predicts under 41.5, citing tough schedule (2nd hardest): "Throwing stuff at the wall and hoping that it sticks."
Mackenzie Rivers (6:07): Agrees: "They have to win... against a 55% win-rate schedule." Suggests -500 odds they miss playoffs.
Analysis: Kings’ future questioned due to coaching turnover and Levine’s $48M contract.
Game Previews76ers vs. Knicks
Munaf Manji (9:52): Knicks -9.5, Embiid out, Sixers on 8-game skid.
Mackenzie Rivers (12:34): Favors Knicks: "Motivated favorite." Adjusts Embiid’s value to 3.5 points.
Stats: Sixers 10-17 on road, 3-8 in division.
Rockets vs. Spurs
Mackenzie Rivers (18:46): Rockets -8.5, a best bet: "I have the number being closer to 11 and a half."
Munaf Manji (21:43): Notes Rockets’ 18-9 home record, Spurs struggling without Wembanyama.
Celtics vs. Pistons
Munaf Manji (23:56): Pistons +4, on 7-game win streak. Celtics on back-to-back.
Mackenzie Rivers (25:22): "Pistons... upgraded them eight points." Line fair.
Munaf Manji (26:17): Leans Pistons.
Joel Embiid’s Future
Mackenzie Rivers (15:57): Advocates keeping Embiid: "Start your conversation of championship viability with a guy like Joel Embiid."
Discussion: Debate on if he’s played his last Sixers game.
Best Bets
Mackenzie Rivers (33:23): Rockets -8.5, Blazers -5.5.
Munaf Manji (35:48): Thunder -16.5, citing Nets’ injuries.
Pregame.com Contest
Munaf Manji (29:41): "$500 cash for first place." Promo code FASTBREAK20 for 20% off. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 22, 2025 • 38min
NBA Saturday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA betting for Saturday. The guys also give out best bets. 🏀 NBA Saturday Preview & Best Bets: Detailed Summary
This podcast episode, hosted by Munaf Manji and featuring NBA analyst Mackenzie Rivers, dives into the final stretch of the NBA regular season. They discuss injury updates, team performances, betting insights, and predictions for key games. The conversation follows the timeline of upcoming matchups while providing in-depth player analysis and betting tips.🎙️ Detailed Breakdown with Timestamps and Quotes
🔥 Victor Wembanyama's Injury (0:11 - 8:33)
Munaf Manji (0:11 - 2:55): Opens with the unfortunate news that Victor Wembanyama of the San Antonio Spurs will miss the remainder of the season due to an isolated blood clot. Despite the setback, there is optimism that Wembanyama will recover in time for next season.
Mackenzie Rivers (2:56 - 6:28): Celebrates Wembanyama's second-year dominance, calling him possibly the best second-year player ever. He cites Dunks and Threes stats, placing him third in estimated plus-minus (+5.3) behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (+9) and Nikola Jokić (+8.7). Despite the injury, Mackenzie highlights his defensive impact, especially since the Spurs rank near the bottom defensively without him.
Injury Concerns (6:29 - 8:33): Both hosts express concerns about the severity of Wembanyama’s condition, drawing parallels to cases like Chris Bosh and Mirza Teletović, whose careers were affected by blood clots.
📉 San Antonio Spurs Analysis & Betting Outlook (8:34 - 11:39)
The Spurs’ record is currently 24-29. Munaf predicts a 35.5-win total for the season.
Mackenzie predicts the Spurs will finish under 35 wins due to their poor defense and the loss of Wembanyama’s presence in the frontcourt.
The injury also voids Wembanyama’s Defensive Player of the Year eligibility, with Jaren Jackson Jr. becoming the new favorite at -130.
🏆 Debate on Game Requirements for Awards (11:40 - 14:17)
The hosts debate whether the 65-game requirement for award eligibility is fair.
Mackenzie argues that it's arbitrary and penalizes players who suffer legitimate injuries, mentioning Joel Embiid’s rookie season as a precedent where fewer games cost him Rookie of the Year.
📊 Game Previews and Betting Insights🔹 Phoenix Suns vs. Chicago Bulls (14:18 - 18:14)
The Suns are -3.5 favorites. Concerns about their locker room issues are discussed, referencing reports of a toxic environment.
Mackenzie bets on the Bulls’ team total under 117.5, citing their offensive struggles post-Zach LaVine trade and the Suns' defense holding steady around the 14th rank overall.
🔹 Brooklyn Nets vs. Philadelphia 76ers (21:12 - 23:06)
The 76ers are -9.5 favorites. The Nets boast a top-ranked defense in recent weeks despite being offensively weak.
Mackenzie leans toward the under 213.5 points total due to Philadelphia’s inconsistencies and Brooklyn’s scoring issues.
🔹 Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets (27:28 - 32:03)
The Nuggets are -6.5 favorites. Both hosts agree that Denver will cover the spread, especially considering:
Luka Dončić’s poor conditioning and injury struggles.
The Lakers’ defense being significantly worse without Anthony Davis.
Nikola Jokić likely dominating in the post against a weak Lakers frontcourt.
📈 Player & Team Statistics
Victor Wembanyama:
Estimated Plus-Minus: +5.3 (3rd in the league).
Defensive Player of the Year odds before injury: -2000 to -3000.
San Antonio Spurs:
Current Record: 24-29.
Defensive Rating: 2nd worst over the last 10 games without Wembanyama.
Chicago Bulls (Post-LaVine Trade):
Offensive percentile rankings:
52% (immediately after the trade).
Dropped to 21% and then 15% in subsequent games.
Denver Nuggets vs. Lakers:
Nuggets are 9-1 straight up and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Lakers.
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Feb 21, 2025 • 35min
CBB Weekend Preview + Best Bets !!
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk all the big games for this weekend. The guys also give out best bets. College Basketball Weekend Preview: Best Bets and Game AnalysisIntroduction to the Podcast:Griffin Warner and Big East Ben kick off the episode by reviewing their recent successes in college basketball betting. The podcast's betting record stands at 61%, with Warner at 63% and Ben at 58%. They discuss their experiences with past bets, including a close call with the Syracuse Orange and a win with Wisconsin over Illinois.Personal Updates and Humor:
Big East Ben shares he's in Mystic, Connecticut, for a baby shower, humorously reviewing Mystic Pizza as cafeteria-level pizza (3.9/10).
Griffin Warner, based in Dallas, Texas, recounts a challenging night involving burst pipes and fire alarms due to freezing temperatures, yet he perseveres to record the podcast.
Game Previews and Betting Picks:1. Kentucky vs. Alabama (SEC Matchup)
Current Line: Alabama -8.5, Total Points 177.5
Big East Ben: Alabama has struggled defensively, losing two games in a row. He bets on the over, citing both teams’ offensive prowess and Alabama's defensive lapses.
Griffin Warner: Warner agrees with the over, questioning Alabama's recent defensive form but acknowledging their efficient offense.
2. Tennessee at Texas A&M (SEC Matchup)
Current Line: Tennessee -1.5, Total Points 131.5
Big East Ben: He backs Texas A&M, citing their strong home record (9-3 ATS) and Tennessee’s inconsistent play, especially on the road.
Griffin Warner: Warner agrees with the A&M pick, doubting Tennessee’s ability to win on the road. He supports Texas A&M as home underdogs, despite their poor offensive metrics.
3. Illinois at Duke (Neutral Site at Madison Square Garden)
Current Line: Duke -9.5, Total Points 152.5
Big East Ben: He picks Illinois to cover, believing they can slow the game down despite injuries and health concerns.
Griffin Warner: Warner favors the under, suggesting Illinois’ style will keep the score low, and doubts Duke's dominance against a team like Illinois.
4. Iowa State at Houston (Big 12 Matchup)
Current Line: Houston -9.5, Total Points 133.5
Big East Ben: Ben supports Iowa State, citing their strong players and good form. He feels the point spread is too high.
Griffin Warner: Warner recalls Iowa State's strong tournament performance and supports them to keep it close. He prefers first-half unders and feels the spread might not hold up late.
5. Gonzaga vs. St. Mary’s (WCC Game)
Current Line: Gonzaga -4.5, Total Points 143.5
Big East Ben: He acknowledges Gonzaga's strong rating but points to St. Mary's solid conference play and close game with Gonzaga earlier. He thinks St. Mary's can cover.
Griffin Warner: Warner agrees with Ben’s take, noting that Gonzaga struggles at a high tempo and should respect St. Mary’s ability to handle foul trouble in a close game.
Best Bets:
Griffin Warner’s Best Bet: Warner picks Texas A&M as home underdogs against Tennessee, citing Tennessee’s struggles on the road.
Big East Ben’s Best Bet: Ben favors Nevada -1.5 over Boise State, pointing out Nevada's size and athleticism, despite their disappointing season.
Promo Code and Closing:The episode concludes with Warner offering listeners a 20% discount using the code "BUBBLE 20" at Pregame.com for all basketball-related purchases. The hosts also acknowledge Marquette 84's father's team, the Notre Dame Crystal Ray Panthers, with an impressive 19-1 record.Summary:The podcast provides valuable insights into five key college basketball games, with detailed analysis and betting picks from both hosts. Their personal reflections, humor, and sharp betting predictions offer a comprehensive preview for bettors and fans alike. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 20, 2025 • 1h 4min
Dream Podcast - Futurific NBA, NFL, NHL & MLB !!
Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things ports this week. The guys get into the NBA and plenty of future wagers in major sports. Don't miss this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 19, 2025 • 48min
Mexico Open Picks and Predictions
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Mexico Open. -Discussing top 8 on odds board -1 p2p -3 outrights -Sleeper, 2 FRP, 2 lineups -Scoring -Best Bet For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @ drmedia59Genesis Invitational Recap🏆 Winner: Ludwig Aberg (-12) – Overcame an illness and dominated with 19 birdies and 2 eagles.🥈 Runner-Up: Maverick McNeely (-11) – Led for most of Sunday but stumbled late.🥉 Tied for Third: Scottie Scheffler & Patrick Rodgers (-9)Biggest Betting Mistakes from Genesis🚫 Fading Scottie Scheffler & Maverick McNeely – Both were elite ball strikers in peak form.✅ Correctly fading Adam Scott (T-37) – Poor putting cost him.Mexico Open 2024 Betting Picks & PredictionsKey Course Fit Factors at Vidanta Vallarta✅ Elite Driving – Distance & accuracy matter.✅ Long Iron Precision – Scoring depends on strong approach play.✅ Putting on Paspalum Greens – Players with a history of success on this surface gain an edge.Top Picks & Betting Insights1️⃣ Akshay Bhatia (14-1) – Best coastal course golfer. Pick to win outright.2️⃣ Steven Jaeger (30-1) – Top 20 in 3 straight Mexico Open appearances. Second outright pick.3️⃣ Ricky Castillo (100-1) – Corn Fairy Tour graduate, T-15 at Torrey Pines. Longshot sleeper pick.Best Prop Bets & Sleeper Picks⭐ Taylor Moore Top 20 (+170) – Strong driver & putter, two top-10s in last four starts.🔹 Aldrich Potgieter Top 20 (+320) – One of the best young drivers on Tour.First-Round Leader Bets🎯 Alex Smalley (+500 to Top 10 after Round 1) – Strong opening rounds & early tee time advantage.🎯 Chris Gotterup (+700 to Top 10 after Round 1) – Perfect course fit for his aggressive driving.DFS & Fantasy Golf Picks💰 DraftKings DFS Picks (50K Budget)✅ Akshay Bhatia (10.7K)✅ Taylor Moore (9K)✅ Jake Knapp (8.6K)✅ Aldrich Potgieter (7.3K)✅ Ricky Castillo (7.2K)✅ Chris Gotterup (7.2K)🔥 PGA Tour Fantasy Picks
Captain: Akshay Bhatia
Starters: Steven Jaeger, Ricky Castillo, Taylor Moore
Bench: Jake Knapp, Aldrich Potgieter
Final Predictions🏆 Winning Score: -21💎 Best Bet: Akshay Bhatia Top 10 (+200)The Mexico Open 2024 offers excellent betting and DFS opportunities for PGA Tour fans. With sharp picks and expert insights, this breakdown helps maximize value for betting, fantasy, and DFS lineups.🔔 Next Up: Cognizant Classic Preview!
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Feb 18, 2025 • 42min
CBB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets !!
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball Tuesday betting. Ben and Griffin both give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 15, 2025 • 41min
CBB Weekend Preview + Best Bets !!
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB weekend betting. The guys also give out best bets and preview the biggest games. CBB Weekend Preview + Best Bets (February 14, 2025) – Summary
Introduction (0:14 - 1:31)Host Griffin Warner and co-host Big East Ben introduce the latest episode of the Need for Seeds College Basketball Podcast, presented by Pregame.com. They reflect on last week's best bets, with Big East Ben going 0-2, though their season record remains strong (22-13, 63% overall). Ben's personal record is 11-7 (61%), while Griffin leads at 11-6 (65%). They discuss key takeaways from the UCLA vs. Illinois game and Creighton's struggles, including Liam McNeely's 38-point, 10-rebound performance.Discussion on UConn & Creighton (1:32 - 4:57)Big East Ben criticizes UConn’s play, suggesting they might suffer an early tournament exit due to turnover issues and poor defensive matchups. He also slams Alex Karaban, calling him the worst preseason All-American of all time.Warner counters, noting UConn’s late-season peaks, improved health, and their win at Creighton, despite foul trouble and injuries. However, both hosts agree UConn’s success is unsustainable if they rely on two players.Game Previews & Best BetsWisconsin vs. Purdue (6:11 - 8:56)
Wisconsin is 9-2 against the spread (ATS) on the road and leads the Big Ten in three-point shooting.
Purdue relies on interior scoring (highest two-point FG distribution in Big Ten).
Defensive battle: Purdue has the 2nd-best defense, Wisconsin 3rd-best in Big Ten.
Big East Ben’s pick: Under 149.5 points due to defensive dominance.
Griffin Warner’s pick: Purdue -5, citing their dominance at home.
Boise State vs. San Diego State (8:56 - 14:54)
San Diego State is 2-8 ATS at home and struggles defensively without fouling (304th in free throw rate).
Boise State is #2 in Mountain West in free throw attempts and shoots 75-76% from the line.
Big East Ben’s pick: Boise State +1.5, citing their free-throw advantage and rebounding.
Griffin Warner’s pick: San Diego State -1.5, believing their home-court respect will hold.
Houston vs. Arizona (14:55 - 19:14)
Arizona relies on inside scoring (43rd in two-point FG %) but struggles with three-point shooting (276th in the nation).
Houston has the 3rd-best two-point defense in the country and forces turnovers.
Big East Ben’s pick: Houston -1.5, citing defensive edge and rebounding.
Griffin Warner’s pick: Arizona +1.5, trusting their home-court strength.
Michigan State vs. Illinois (20:20 - 23:40)
Illinois lost by 2 at Michigan State earlier despite their best player fouling out in 8 minutes.
Michigan State lacks shooting and struggles against zone defenses.
Big East Ben’s pick: Illinois -6, predicting a dominant win.
Griffin Warner’s pick: Illinois -6, doubting Michigan State’s resilience.
Auburn vs. Alabama (23:41 - 30:26)
Alabama is a 2.5-point home favorite, but Auburn is statistically the most talented team.
Auburn's top-ranked offense faces Alabama’s No. 2-ranked offense (KenPom ratings).
Big East Ben’s pick: Under 172.5, expecting tight defense in a high-stakes game.
Griffin Warner’s pick: Alabama -2.5, trusting their home advantage.
Best Bets & Promo Code (30:27 - 37:08)
Big East Ben’s Best Bet: SMU -7.5 vs. Wake Forest (SMU dominates weak ACC teams at home).
Griffin Warner’s Best Bet: Furman -2 vs. UNC Greensboro (Furman undervalued in the market).
Promo Code: Slam25 for $25 off a college basketball season subscription at Pregame.com.
Final ThoughtsThe episode wraps with banter about betting, personal life, and college basketball trends. They remind listeners to tune in as March Madness approaches and encourage responsible betting. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 13, 2025 • 2h 1min
Dream Podcast - Super Bowl Aftermath !
RJ Bell. Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the aftermath of Super Bowl LIX. Fezzik also gives out a best bet. Super Bowl Aftermath – Key Insights from Dream PodcastSuper Bowl Recap & Betting Perspective
Eagles Were the Better Team (Scott Seidenberg, 1:47-2:02), but Chiefs were favored due to Mahomes/Reid playoff success.
First Betting Move Favored Chiefs (Steve Fezzik, 2:09-2:12). Bettors backed them based on reputation, not season performance.
Key Stats & Game Impact
Chiefs Lost 17 Points to Turnovers (Mackenzie Rivers, 8:03-8:09), their worst in 33 games.
Chiefs Didn’t Cross Midfield in First 8 Drives (Steve Fezzik, 7:50-8:03).
Eagles Had 16 Pressures, 6 Sacks Without Blitzing (Scott Seidenberg, 32:33-32:38).
Post-Super Bowl Betting Adjustments
Eagles Should Have Been -4 in a Rematch (Steve Fezzik, 3:02-3:17).
Future Super Bowl Odds: Eagles +600, Chiefs/Bills +700 (Scott Seidenberg, 33:15-33:18).
Fezzik Bet Ravens to Be #1 Seed due to an easier schedule (33:19-33:35).
Mahomes' Legacy & Historical Comparisons
Mahomes Played His Worst Super Bowl (Mackenzie Rivers, 11:24-11:37).
Super Bowl Winners Usually Have Hall of Fame QBs (RJ Bell, 24:54-25:10), with few exceptions like Nick Foles.
Vegas Market Trends
Super Bowl Weekend Had Low Hotel Rates (Steve Fezzik, 42:39-43:45), indicating a hangover from last year’s Vegas Super Bowl.
Betting Handle Was Down 20% (Mackenzie Rivers, 44:38-44:49).
Future Predictions & Betting Angles
Eagles Favored to Repeat (Scott Seidenberg, 18:13-18:24).
Long-Shot Super Bowl Picks: 49ers at 15-1 (Seidenberg, 46:33-46:36), Rams as a dark horse (RJ Bell, 39:12-39:17).
Mahomes vs. Allen Debate
Seidenberg Picked Allen for His Versatility (1:00:30-1:01:14).
Fezzik & Rivers Backed Mahomes for Playoff Success (1:02:16-1:02:47).
Mahomes Is 7-for-7 in Playoff Comebacks (Mackenzie Rivers, 1:02:16-1:02:47).
The discussion highlighted the Eagles’ dominance, Kansas City’s struggles, and future betting opportunities while debating Mahomes’ place in history. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 12, 2025 • 46min
The Genesis Invitational Predictions
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Genesis Invitational -Top names on odds board matchups outrights -Sleeper, FRP, lineups, scoring -Best bet For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Course Conditions & Challenges (3:00 - 7:30)
Weather forecast: Rain expected Wednesday through Friday with constant breeze, making the course even tougher.
Course setup: Narrow fairways, deep rough, and small greens.
Player reaction: Ben Griffin posted a video on social media showing how deadly the rough is.
Difficulty level: Similar to U.S. Open conditions, making precision a necessity.
Review of Week 6 – Waste Management Phoenix Open (7:30 - 15:45)Thomas Detry's Victory
Detry (Belgium) won his first PGA Tour event after 68 starts.
Opened at 90-1 odds.
Winning Score: -18 (Rounds: 66, 64, 65, 65).
Beat Michael Kim & Daniel Berger by four strokes.
Fended off Jordan Spieth, Scottie Scheffler, and Rasmus Højgaard in the final round.
Key Moments
Detry birdied the final four holes.
Crucial shot on 16th hole ("Ferrari shot") almost broke the flagstick.
Competitors Berger & Højgaard faltered on 16, missing long.
Bets Review
Lost 5.1 units on the week, down 30.8 on the season.
Kurt Kitayama (66-1) & Gary Woodland (115-1) failed to cash.
Scotty Scheffler (+320 to lead after round 1) lost due to double bogey on 12.
One winning bet: Rico Hoey over Thriston Lawrence (-106).
Live Bet Disaster
Tom Kim at 8-1 at the halfway mark (Saturday morning) was a terrible bet.
He fell apart, finishing T44 after shooting +3 over the last 36 holes.
Genesis Invitational Betting Picks (15:45 - 54:41)Top 6 Players on the Odds BoardScottie Scheffler (5-1)
T25 at Phoenix Open.
Concerns: Short game struggles, bad track record at Torrey Pines.
Verdict: PASS.
Rory McIlroy (7.5-1)
Recent win at Pebble Beach.
Strong history at Torrey Pines (never worse than T16).
Bet: Rory McIlroy over Scheffler (+125 at Caesars).
Collin Morikawa (16-1)
Leads PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Total.
Greens in Regulation & Birdie Leader.
Bet: Outright winner at 16-1 (BetOnline).
Justin Thomas (18-1)
Great recent form but bad record at Torrey Pines.
Verdict: PASS.
Hideki Matsuyama (25-1)
Driving accuracy struggles.
Verdict: PASS.
Ludvig Åberg (25-1)
Sick at Farmers, withdrew at Pebble Beach.
Lost strokes on driving accuracy & short game.
Verdict: PASS.
Matchups
Rory McIlroy over Scottie Scheffler (+125)
Sepp Straka over Sam Burns (-115)
Burns has lost strokes in driving accuracy for 4 straight events.Will Zalatoris over Maverick McNealy (+117)Zalatoris has three top-13s in four starts at Torrey Pines.Harris English over Byeong Hun An (+127)English won Farmers at Torrey Pines, while An has never finished better than 62nd there.Top 20 FinishesTaylor Pendrith (+130)
Back-to-back top 10s at Torrey Pines.Tony Finau (+150)
Elite iron player, great history at Torrey Pines.Outright Winners
Collin Morikawa (16-1)
Rasmus Højgaard (40-1)
5-time DP World Tour winner.
Great driving accuracy, elite iron play.
Sleeper Pick
Adam Scott to Top 20 (+210)
T10 at 2021 Farmers, solo 2nd in 2019.
Four top-35 finishes at Torrey Pines.
First-Round BetsRory McIlroy to Top 10 after Round 1 (+120)
Consistently strong opening rounds.Rasmus Højgaard to Top 10 after Round 1 (+275)
Second on Tour in first-round scoring.DFS LineupsDraftKings
Morikawa ($10K)
Pendrith ($8K)
Højgaard ($8.3K)
Zalatoris ($7.9K)
Adam Scott ($7.5K)
Justin Rose ($6.4K)
PGA Tour Fantasy
Starters: McIlroy, Morikawa (Captain), Højgaard, Pendrith
Bench: Zalatoris, Finau
Final Predictions
Winning Score: -10
Best Bet: Collin Morikawa Top 10 (+150). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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