RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell, AJ Hoffman, Scott Seidenberg, Mackenzie Rivers and Steve Fezzik break down all the March Madness Friday games. The guys give out a ton of bets to consider for the first round.The document provides a detailed breakdown of the NCAA March Madness Friday games, focusing on betting insights and team matchups. Analysts RJ Bell, AJ Hoffman, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers discuss various teams' strengths, weaknesses, and betting angles.Key Takeaways: Bracket Picks: RJ Bell and AJ Hoffman discuss the best value for Final Four picks, leaning towards teams like Auburn and Houston. Game Previews: They analyze matchups such as Baylor vs. Mississippi State, UCLA vs. Utah State, and Alabama vs. Robert Morris, providing insights on spreads, totals, and best bets. Betting Strategies: The analysts highlight key trends like historical success of certain seeds, KenPom rankings, and conference performances. Team Strengths & Weaknesses: Factors such as three-point defense, pace, coaching experience, and recent form are discussed. Underdog Considerations: They evaluate whether lower-seeded teams like Liberty or Lipscomb have upset potential. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Dave Essler, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk CBB March madness Thursday games. The guys break down each game for the Thursday games and offer up a lot of bets.March Madness 2024 is here, bringing excitement and betting opportunities for college basketball fans. The Dream Podcast - CBB Madness All Thursday Games Preview delivers expert analysis, betting trends, and top picks from RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg, McKenzie Rivers, and Dave Essler. They break down key matchups, historical betting insights, and market adjustments to help bettors maximize their profits. One major takeaway is the value in understanding public betting trends. With ESPN and other platforms now showing bracket selections, bettors can identify contrarian opportunities and gain an edge. RJ Bell introduces his Dream Bracket system, offering a chalky bracket for small pools and a long-shot bracket for riskier plays. Steve Fezzik discusses first-half unders, a historically profitable strategy in March Madness, particularly in early round games. Data from Scott Seidenberg supports this, showing first-half unders in the first round have hit at a 56-39-1 rate over the past three tournaments. Several key matchups are analyzed, starting with Louisville vs. Creighton, where Dave Essler backs Louisville -2.5 due to Creighton’s turnover struggles. Fezzik recommends the first-half under due to the early start time and potential slow pace. In Purdue vs. High Point, Fezzik takes High Point +9, citing Purdue’s history of tournament struggles and the fatigue factor for Big Ten teams. In Wisconsin vs. Montana, Essler bets Wisconsin First Half -9.5, emphasizing their faster pace and offensive explosiveness. Montana’s potential altitude advantage is acknowledged but considered insufficient to overcome Wisconsin’s strength. Houston vs. SIU Edwardsville presents a massive 1 vs. 16 mismatch. Fezzik continues his strategy of betting heavy favorites on the moneyline, as number one seeds laying 23 or more points have a 155-2 straight-up record. He takes Houston ML at -8000 while also recommending SIU team total under 48.5. Auburn vs. Alabama State follows a similar pattern, with Essler betting Alabama State team total under 59.5, citing Auburn’s elite defense. Texas A&M vs. Yale is identified as a potential upset, with both Essler and Fezzik taking Yale +7.5. They argue that A&M lacks offensive firepower, making it difficult for them to build a lead. Yale’s ability to control tempo and limit turnovers makes them a strong underdog play. Michigan vs. UC San Diego is discussed, with RJ Bell pointing out that Michigan’s spread suggests the teams are evenly matched despite Michigan’s size advantage. Fezzik warns of Big Ten fatigue and leans towards San Diego. UCLA vs. Utah State sees a split opinion. Essler takes Utah State +5.5, citing their ability to shoot over UCLA’s defense. However, Fezzik warns that the Mountain West Conference has a terrible track record in March Madness, with a 32 percent ATS record since 2001. Several key betting trends are also highlighted. Fezzik notes that every NIT game total has moved up by 2 to 5 points before tip-off due to public money, indicating a potential fade opportunity. He also emphasizes that sharp bettors grab the best early lines, while public bettors often get worse closing numbers. Other trends include the struggles of Big Ten teams due to travel fatigue and the historically poor performance of Mountain West teams. Final betting recommendations include Yale +7.5, Utah State +5.5, Wisconsin First Half -9.5, first-half unders, and a Houston and Auburn moneyline parlay. March Madness is a prime opportunity for betting, and understanding market movements, historical trends, and expert insights can give bettors an advantage. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Valspar Championship, plus anoutright winner for the Porsche Singapore Classic. -Top 7 on odds board discussion -1 matchup -2 p2p -3 outrights (70/1, 80/1, 110/1) -Sleeper -FRP -2 lineups, scoring, best bet -Porsche Singapore outright For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @ drmedia59 The Valspar Championship at Copperhead Course in Innisbrook, Florida, features a competitive field of 25 of the world’s top 50 golfers. The tournament is known for its demanding layout, particularly the final stretch, called the Snake Pit, which plays over par and requires precision. Last year’s winner, Peter Malnati, took the title at 12 under, while past winners like Taylor Moore and Sam Burns have also thrived under similar conditions. This year’s field includes major names like Justin Thomas, Tommy Fleetwood, Xander Schauffele, Sepp Straka, Shane Lowry, Corey Conners, and Will Zalatoris, all looking to capture the title. Rory McIlroy enters the tournament fresh off a win at The Players Championship, where he staged a comeback and secured his 28th PGA Tour victory in a three-hole playoff against J.J. Spaun.Key betting insights for the Valspar Championship include outright picks, matchups, and placement bets. Among the favorites, Corey Conners stands out as a strong option for a Top 20 finish (+115, MGM), given his excellent form and consistent iron play. Lucas Glover, a five-time PGA Tour winner, is an attractive outright pick at 70-1, with a history of strong finishes at Copperhead and an improving putter. Taylor Moore, the 2023 Valspar champion, is listed at 80-1 and has found accuracy off the tee again. Ryan Gerard, another dark horse at 110-1, has shown promise in previous tournaments, particularly with his putting. A top sleeper pick is Kaito Onishi, available at 10-1 for a Top 40 finish. Onishi played at Innisbrook during his junior career and could surprise the field.The best matchup bet for this tournament is Bud Cauley over Sam Stevens (-110). Cauley has been showing steady improvement, finishing T-6 at The Players, while Stevens has been struggling with iron play and putting. Another key first-round bet is Chandler Phillips to finish in the Top 10 after Round 1 (+650, MGM). Phillips has been opening tournaments well, including a T-3 finish at last year’s Valspar. Fantasy lineups for DraftKings and PGA Tour Fantasy focus on players who excel in ball striking and accuracy, including Corey Conners, Lucas Glover, Taylor Moore, Bud Cauley, Adam Schenk, and Kaito Onishi. These selections are based on recent performance trends and their suitability for the Copperhead Course.In addition to the Valspar Championship, the DP World Tour’s Porsche Singapore Classic presents another betting opportunity. Rising Chinese star Ding Winyi, available at 40-1, has recorded four Top 25 finishes in ten DP World Tour starts. At just 20 years old, Winyi has already won the 2024 Asia Pacific Amateur Championship and is quickly establishing himself as a contender.The winning score prediction for the Valspar Championship is 15 under, given favorable weather conditions. The best bet for the event is Lucas Glover to finish in the Top 10 (+320, MGM), as he has a proven record of strong performances at Copperhead and is in excellent form. This preview covers all aspects of the Valspar Championship and Porsche Singapore Classic, from outright winners and sleeper picks to fantasy golf strategies and best bets for the week. Tune in next week for a preview of the Houston Open, where top players, including Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler, will compete for another major title. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben dive into the NCAA Tournament's West Region, highlighting exciting matchups with Florida and UConn. They discuss potential upsets, particularly focusing on Oklahoma and Drake's slow play against Missouri. The hosts speculate on UNC Wilmington's underdog potential against Texas Tech, while Arkansas and Kansas promise a thrilling face-off. With expert stats and betting insights, they make bold predictions and offer listeners double best bets to kick off March Madness.

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for the new upcoming season. The MLB Season Preview Podcast, hosted by Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner, covers key storylines, stat leader predictions, and awards markets for the 2025 MLB season. The episode begins with a recap of the Dodgers’ 4-1 victory over the Cubs in the Tokyo Series, marking the official season opener. Munaf and Griffin discuss Yankees’ ace Gerrit Cole missing the season due to Tommy John surgery, making Max Fried’s signing more valuable. Griffin speculates on the Yankees potentially trading for Sandy Alcantara to reinforce their rotation.The hosts analyze the strikeout leader market, with Griffin emphasizing the importance of volume and durability. Paul Skenes is the favorite but may face inning limits. Zach Wheeler (20-1) emerges as a strong contender due to his fastball velocity and workload. Munaf highlights Garrett Crochet (+750) as a breakout candidate for the Red Sox, though Griffin expresses caution. Luis Castillo (66-1) and Robbie Ray (40-1) are considered longshots.For saves leader, Emmanuel Clase (7-1) is a top contender, given the Guardians' ability to play close games. Josh Hader (10-1) intrigues Munaf as Houston’s full-time closer. Mason Miller (14-1) could be a trade target, while Tanner Scott (33-1) is dismissed due to the Dodgers’ bullpen committee.The wins leader discussion highlights Zach Wheeler (10-1) and Tariq Skubal (10-1) as co-favorites. Munaf considers Blake Snell (22-1) as a workhorse for the Dodgers and suggests Hunter Brown (50-1) as a potential ace for Houston. Griffin sees Logan Gilbert and George Kirby (50-1) as interesting options in the Mariners’ rotation.For home run leader, Aaron Judge (4-1) and Shohei Ohtani (6-1) top the odds. Griffin questions Fernando Tatis Jr. (20-1) being highly rated despite inconsistency. Munaf backs Juan Soto (28-1), believing he will thrive in New York. Gunnar Henderson, Jose Ramirez (40-1), and Rafael Devers (55-1) are mentioned as longshots.The Cy Young discussion features Paul Skenes (3-1) as a favorite, but Griffin warns of injury risk. He sees Zach Wheeler and Corbin Burnes (12-1) as strong candidates. Munaf takes a longshot bet on Walker Buehler (90-1), citing his strong postseason form and fresh start in Boston.For MVP, Ohtani (+170) and Judge (+310) lead the markets. Griffin highlights Ronald Acuña Jr. (16-1) but is concerned about his injury history. Munaf supports Juan Soto (5-1) for his elite plate discipline in New York. Griffin also likes Jackson Chourio (33-1) as an emerging star for Milwaukee. In the AL MVP race, Griffin prefers Jose Ramirez (16-1) and Julio Rodríguez (20-1), citing J-Rod’s injury-affected 2024 season. Munaf backs Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (17-1), believing he is playing for a major contract.The episode concludes with best bets: Griffin selects Emmanuel Clase (6-1) as AL saves leader, while Munaf picks Walker Buehler (90-1) to win AL Cy Young. The podcast previews upcoming division breakdowns and continued analysis throughout the 2025 season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Join the spirited conversation as the hosts delve into the South Region of the NCAA Tournament, highlighting teams like San Diego State and North Carolina. They explore the critical role of tempo and defense in matchups, emphasizing the contrasting styles of these two powerhouses. Alabama State’s surprising tournament bid raises eyebrows as skepticism surrounds their competition abilities. With a blend of humor and betting insights, the hosts offer keen strategies for fans navigating March Madness.

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk NCAA March Madness tournament. The guys talk through the entire MIDWEST Region and give out best bets. In this episode of the Need for Seeds College Basketball Podcast, hosts Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down the Midwest Region of the NCAA Tournament, discussing team performances, player statistics, tournament seeding controversies, and betting insights.A major topic is North Carolina’s controversial inclusion in the tournament despite a 1-12 record in Quad 1 games. The hosts criticize the selection committee, particularly chairman Bubba Cunningham, who received a $104,000 bonus for UNC’s entry. They argue against expanding the tournament and question Oklahoma’s No. 9 seed placement after late-season struggles.Game previews begin with Houston vs. SIUE, a matchup expected to be lopsided in Houston’s favor. Gonzaga, ranked ninth in KenPom, is a 6.5-point favorite over Georgia, which has struggled on the road. Big East Ben selects Gonzaga -6.5 as his best bet, citing superior bigs and Georgia’s inconsistency.Clemson is favored by 7.5 against McNeese State, which lacks structure and defensive discipline. The hosts predict Clemson will advance. Purdue faces High Point as an 8-point favorite, with debates over whether High Point can pull an upset, though Purdue is ultimately picked to move on.Xavier and Texas meet in a First Four game, where Xavier is favored by 2.5. The hosts discuss the game’s high-scoring nature and take over 149.5 points. They predict the First Four winner will beat Illinois, which is considered too high-variance.Kentucky is favored by 10.5 against Troy, which struggles with turnovers (ranked 333rd nationally). Ben backs Kentucky to cover, while Warner leans toward Troy keeping it close. UCLA, a 4.5-point favorite against Utah State, is scrutinized for its defensive struggles. Warner selects Utah State +4.5 as his best bet, believing UCLA’s transition to the Big Ten has exposed weaknesses.Tennessee is a 19-point favorite against Wofford, which relies heavily on three-pointers. The hosts expect Tennessee to dominate and suggest betting under 134 total points.Final best bets: Big East Ben takes Gonzaga -6.5, and Griffin Warner backs Utah State +4.5. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

SleepyJ and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things NBA for Monday. The guys preview 4 of the biggest games and discuss title picks and so much more. SleepyJ hosts this episode of the NBA Dream Pod, filling in for Munaf Manji, who is away. Joined by NBA betting expert Mackenzie Rivers, they discuss key matchups, player performances, betting angles, and the state of the league. They begin with Stephen Curry’s historic milestone of 4,004 three-pointers, well ahead of James Harden’s 3,131. Mackenzie believes breaking this record is unlikely, as Curry’s unique playing style and long career make him an outlier. SleepyJ argues that the NBA would need a fundamental shift to produce another three-point specialist at Curry’s level.Discussion shifts to the state of the NBA, with declining viewership and concerns over player workloads. Bill Simmons has criticized NBA leadership, and both hosts suggest possible changes: reducing the season to 60 games, eliminating Christmas games, and modifying the All-Star format into a global tournament like the NHL’s. Mackenzie highlights that while NBA TV contracts remain lucrative ($80 billion over 10 years), engagement is significantly lower than the NFL’s.They preview four key games. In the Nuggets vs. Warriors, Golden State is favored at -5 (total 236.5). With Jokic, Murray, and Curry expected to play, Mackenzie takes Denver +5, citing their 8-0 straight-up record vs. Golden State. SleepyJ agrees and also likes the under 236.5, expecting a slower-paced contest. The Heat vs. Knicks sees New York favored at -7.5 (total 212.5), with Jalen Brunson out for one to two weeks. Mackenzie’s best bet is Bam Adebayo under 18.5 points, as Miami’s offense struggles. SleepyJ leans toward the first quarter under, expecting a slow start from Miami. In discussing New York’s win total, Mackenzie sets the Knicks over/under at 51.5, and SleepyJ takes the over, noting their defensive depth and favorable schedule.The Pacers vs. Timberwolves features Minnesota as -7 favorites (total 229.5), with Pascal Siakam out. Mackenzie backs Minnesota -7, believing they are surging. A deeper discussion follows on Anthony Edwards’ place in the league, where Mackenzie ranks him seventh, while SleepyJ believes Edwards is entering playoff takeover mode.In the Grizzlies vs. Kings, Sacramento is favored -2 (total 239.5) with Ja Morant out. Mackenzie takes the over, predicting a fast-paced contest. SleepyJ goes with Memphis +2, believing they can win without Ja.Finally, they reveal their title predictions. Mackenzie picks an OKC Thunder vs. Boston Celtics Finals, but his long-shot bets include Milwaukee (50-1) and the Clippers (80-1), citing Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kawhi Leonard as proven playoff performers. SleepyJ takes a Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Los Angeles Lakers Finals, envisioning the ultimate storyline of LeBron James facing his former team. He believes the Cavs are built like a championship team and that LeBron would struggle deep in the playoffs.The episode ends with a 20% discount code “TANK20” for betting picks at Pregame.com. SleepyJ, battling illness, thanks listeners and signs off, promising more episodes with the full team soon. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk all things basketball and nfl free agency. NFL Free Agency and Team Moves Quarterback Transactions Geno Smith was traded from Seattle Seahawks to Las Vegas Raiders in exchange for a 2025 third-round pick​. Sam Darnold signed a three-year, $100 million deal with the Seattle Seahawks​. Discussion on whether Geno Smith or Darnold is a better asset, considering the trade-off of a third-round pick​. Major Free Agency Signings Davante Adams joined the Rams after being released by the Jets, leaving Cooper Kupp without a team​. Other notable available free agents: Amari Cooper, Stefon Diggs, Aaron Rodgers, Keenan Allen, and Russell Wilson​. Josh Palmer signed a three-year, $36 million contract with the Buffalo Bills, while the Chargers opted not to re-sign him despite having ample cap space​. Team Strategy and Spending Analysis High-spending teams often struggle: Historically, top-2 spenders in free agency have underperformed against the spread (ATS)​. Houston Texans' veteran approach: Compared to the Bills, they are taking a more conservative approach to free agency​. Kansas City Chiefs' offseason strategy: Signed a veteran Pittsburgh tackle while franchising guard Trey Smith, aiming to protect Patrick Mahomes​. March Madness Insights and Betting StrategiesScott Seidenberg’s NCAA Tournament SystemScott outlines a systematic approach to picking March Madness winners: 96% of national champions since 2001 had a top 21 KenPom offense. 91% of champions had a top 31 KenPom defense. Guard play and three-point shooting are critical factors​. The four top teams based on the model: Duke, Auburn, Houston, and Florida​. Houston is favored to win the championship due to their elite three-point shooting (4th in the nation) and senior leadership​. Game Flow and Betting Tips First-half unders are effective in early tournament games due to tight play and conservative approaches​. Second-half overs are valuable, as teams foul aggressively to stay in the game​. If a favorite is down 14 points with three minutes to go, bet the over, as the game will extend due to intentional fouls​.Teams with Favorable Betting Trends Oklahoma City Thunder tend to score significantly more in the second half​. The Cleveland Cavaliers' high clutch rating suggests they may be overrated, making them a good team to fade in betting​. Key Quotes and Analysis1. Steve Fezzik on Betting Trends (58:02 - 58:23)“If you bet every favorite, I think they cover 53.5%... No wonder I had a bad year.” Analysis: Fezzik highlights that favorites outperformed underdogs last year, making it difficult for bettors who prefer dogs and unders​.2. RJ Bell on Houston's Free Agency Strategy (59:10 - 59:36)“Whenever you go for a veteran, like the Bills did with Von Miller and Diggs... it hardly ever works.” Analysis: RJ critiques the Texans’ reliance on veteran free agents, implying that big free agency spending often leads to diminishing returns​. 3. Scott Seidenberg on March Madness Strategy (1:26:34 - 1:27:43)“Give me the guard play. Give me the three-point shooting. Houston, the national champs at +750.” Analysis: Scott backs Houston for the NCAA title, citing elite guard play and three-point efficiency as historical indicators of championship success​.Final ThoughtsThis episode provides an in-depth breakdown of free agency, betting strategies, and March Madness analysis. The NFL free agency recap covers major trades, available players, and team-building strategies. March Madness insights focus on statistical indicators of success, betting angles, and team performance trends. The betting discussion gives listeners practical strategies for capitalizing on trends in both football and basketball. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk cbb betting for Wednesday. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices