The Loonie Hour cover image

The Loonie Hour

Latest episodes

undefined
Feb 10, 2023 • 60min

The Default Cycle Has Just Begun

A big Vancouver Real Estate Developer goes belly up on over $700M in debt. Is this the canary in the coal mine? The Bank of Canada admits they had to pause over extreme household indebtedness. The Fed says disinflation is underway. The yield curve is now the most inverted since the 1980's.Sign up for Shakepay with the promo code: LOONIEHOUR, and you’ll receive $10 after you buy your first $100 worth of bitcoin. https://shakepay.me/r/LOONIEHOURSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
undefined
Feb 3, 2023 • 1h 6min

What's Lurking in the Canadian Mortgage Market? With Guest Ron Butler

More rate hikes from the Fed, the ECB, and the Bank of England. Are markets overly optimistic about the future of interest rates? Is the Canadian housing market nearing a bottom? We have Ron Butler join us for a guest interview to discuss the good, the bad, and the ugly in the Canadian mortgage market. Sign up for Shakepay with the promo code: LOONIEHOUR, and you’ll receive $10 after you buy your first $100 worth of bitcoin. https://shakepay.me/r/LOONIEHOURSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
undefined
Jan 27, 2023 • 1h

The Bank of Canada Signals a Pause and Takes a Victory Lap

The Bank of Canada has raised interest rates another 25bps but has signalled they will pause and hold from here. What does this mean for housing and financial conditions? Is a soft landing achievable or wishful thinking? Consumer confidence is increasing but models suggest there is still near a 50/50 chance of a US recession this year. Sign up for Shakepay with the promo code: LOONIEHOUR, and you’ll receive $10 after you buy your first $100 worth of bitcoin. https://shakepay.me/r/LOONIEHOURSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
undefined
Jan 20, 2023 • 1h 7min

Is this the Last Interest Rate Hike From The Bank of Canada?

National house prices continued their slide in December and are now down 17% since peaking. Inflation continues to fall but businesses don't believe we will see 2% inflation anytime soon. Twinkie bets are out, the Bank of Canada is poised for a rate hike next week. Investors are lining up to withdraw nearly $20B worth of funds from private Real Estate.Sign up for Shakepay with the promo code: LOONIEHOUR, and you’ll receive $10 after you buy your first $100 worth of bitcoin. https://shakepay.me/r/LOONIEHOURSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
undefined
Jan 13, 2023 • 55min

The Wealth Effect Created One Third Of Inflation

CPI inflation in the US continues to decelerate, right in line with expectations. We discuss the market implications and guess where inflation could be later this year. Canadian Bank CEO's send out a warning to regulators over vulnerable borrowers. The Fed says rising house prices created a wealth effect that boosted inflation. Meanwhile, another central banker says it's not their job to fight climate change. Sign up for Shakepay with the promo code: LOONIEHOUR, and you’ll receive $10 after you buy your first $100 worth of bitcoin. https://shakepay.me/r/LOONIEHOURSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
undefined
Jan 6, 2023 • 57min

More than Half of Borrowers Went With a Variable Mortgage at The Peak of The Market

Toronto and Vancouver home sales fell nearly 50% in the month of December. The comps are going to look awful from now until March. Is the Fed looking in the rearview mirror? Why the jobs data is lagging and why it's possible inflation can come down quicker than we might expect. Another recession signal just flashed red. Sign up for Shakepay with the promo code: LOONIEHOUR, and you’ll receive $10 after you buy your first $100 worth of bitcoin. https://shakepay.me/r/LOONIEHOURSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
undefined
Dec 30, 2022 • 1h

Forecasting Another Year of Volatility in 2023

Liquidity is scarce to end the year. Stocks are down, bond yields are rising once again. Delinquencies are set to rise. The boys discuss the outlook for 2023 and provide some forecasts on possible scenarios.Sign up for Shakepay with the promo code: LOONIEHOUR, and you’ll receive $10 after you buy your first $100 worth of bitcoin. https://shakepay.me/r/LOONIEHOURRegister for Loonie Hour Social Hour/ Q&A January 4th: https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_d39wW5vlRAma-wXUWRvIMgSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
undefined
Dec 23, 2022 • 1h 1min

Canada Population Growth Hits 50 Year High As Recession Looms

Canada added over 800,000 people to the population, the largest increase going back to the 1970s. The economic machine that is immigrating people and selling them housing continues to churn. CPI inflation remains rather sticky, leaving the Bank of Canada with some difficult decisions in January. Stock market volatility remains elevated as recession risks remain firmly anchored. Sign up for Shakepay with the promo code: LOONIEHOUR, and you’ll receive $10 after you buy your first $100 worth of bitcoin. https://shakepay.me/r/LOONIEHOURSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
undefined
Dec 16, 2022 • 1h 8min

A Decade of Zero Returns for Passive Investors?

National home prices continue to slide lower, now down 16% since peaking in March. US headline inflation continues to move lower but the Fed ain't pivoting! More rate hikes from the US, Europe and England this week. Could passive investors see little to no returns for several decades?Sign up for Shakepay with the promo code: LOONIEHOUR, and you’ll receive $10 after you buy your first $100 worth of bitcoin. https://shakepay.me/r/LOONIEHOURSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
undefined
Dec 9, 2022 • 1h 5min

Interest Rates Have Likely Peaked, What's Next For the Canadian Economy?

The Bank of Canada raised rates another 50bps, however they are now signaling a pause is in order. What are the implications for markets moving forward? More stress in the housing market, government spending sprees, and the probabilities of a financial crisis. Sign up for Shakepay with the promo code: LOONIEHOUR, and you’ll receive $10 after you buy your first $100 worth of bitcoin. https://shakepay.me/r/LOONIEHOURSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode