Futures Edge Show: Finance Unfiltered with Jim Iuorio and Bob Iaccino

Haynow Media
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Sep 10, 2024 • 48min

Decoding Market Signals: Nvidia, NASDAQ, and the Fed’s Influence on Trading Decisions with Mike Arnold

The significance of technical analysis in deciphering market trends and making well-informed trading decisions is paramount. In this month’s technical analysis segment on the Futures Edge show, Mike Arnold of Path Trading Partners returns to emphasize the value of trading based on patterns and signals rather than speculative predictions. Joining hosts Jim Iuorio and Bob Iaccino, he delves into the technical charts of Nvidia, assessing the stock’s performance and future trajectory. Together, they scrutinize the Federal Reserve’s trading activities, expressing doubts about the system’s inherent fairness. The discussion extends to the NASDAQ’s technical levels, where they pinpoint key support and resistance thresholds, signaling potential market shifts. They also highlight the performance of the equal-weighted S&P 500 ETF, evaluating its influence on broader market trends. Additionally, the episode offers insights into natural gas, identifying possible trading opportunities through a technical lens, while the hosts examine gold’s behavior as a safe-haven asset during periods of market uncertainty. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Italian Culture 06:24 Analyzing the Technical Charts of Nvidia 09:06 The Impact of Inflation, Interest Rates, and Government Policies on the Stock Market 13:54 The Importance of Technical Analysis in Trading 24:56 Trading Activities of the Federal Reserve 27:23 Performance of the Equal-Weighted S&P 500 ETF 29:05 Outlook for Gold 31:35 Trading Based on Patterns and Signals 48:01 Appreciation for Audience Support and Independent Opinions This episode is in partnership with Hardcore Italians (Discount Code: FUTURESEDGESHOWFINANCEUNFILTERED) https://www.hardcoreitalians.com/FUTURESEDGESHOWFINANCEUNFILTERED Follow Along for more from the Futures Edge: Bob on Twitter: https://twitter.com/bob_iaccino Jim on Twitter: https://twitter.com/jimiuorio Bob on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/bob-iaccino/ Jim on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-iuorio/ Newsletter: https://substack.com/@moneymarketsmayhem YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@futuresedgepodcast?sub_confirmation=1
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Sep 3, 2024 • 1h

Navigating the Investment Landscape: Election Impact, Inflation, and the Gold vs. Bitcoin Debate with Bob Elliott

Bob Elliott, CIO of Unlimited Funds, joins hosts Jim Iuorio and Bob Iaccino to explore the potential economic ramifications of the upcoming election. The discussion navigates inflation, asset prices, and the comparative roles of gold and Bitcoin. Bob presents contrasting perspectives on Bitcoin’s legitimacy and gold’s enduring value amid high debt levels, while offering insights into Treasury operations, inflation debates, and the impact of different administrations on fiscal policy and market dynamics. The conversation explores potential currency issues, debt impacts on monetary policy, and comparisons with Japan’s debt management strategy. Bob also provides insights into the commercial real estate market, highlighting its stability and the financial system’s resilience.  Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer 01:01 Introducing the Guest 03:08 The Value of Dogs vs. Cats 05:05 The Impact of the Election on the Economy 08:26 The Value of Gold vs. Bitcoin 14:08 The Potential Scenarios of the Election 19:10 The Intrinsic Value of Bitcoin 23:20 Discussion on Bitcoin as a Ponzi Scheme 26:47 Bob's Approach to Bitcoin Trading 27:27 Bitcoin and CIA Conspiracy 28:37 The Dollar Milkshake Theory and Gold 29:23 The Possibility of Losing Reserve Status for the US Dollar 30:45 The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy and Rate Cuts 33:11 Investment Opportunities in Commodities and Gold 36:30 The Containment of Risks in Commercial Real Estate 38:16 The Long-Term Danger of Government Debt 41:12 The Unrealistic Expectations for AI and Earnings Growth 48:52 The Current Macroeconomic Environment This episode is in partnership with Hardcore Italians (Discount Code: FUTURESEDGESHOWFINANCEUNFILTERED) https://www.hardcoreitalians.com/ Follow Along for more from the Futures Edge: Bob on Twitter: https://twitter.com/bob_iaccino Jim on Twitter: https://twitter.com/jimiuorio Bob on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/bob-iaccino/ Jim on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-iuorio/ Newsletter: https://substack.com/@moneymarketsmayhem YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@futuresedgepodcast?sub_confirmation=1
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Aug 27, 2024 • 50min

Power Shifts: Election 2024 and the Future of Energy with Doomberg

What influence will the upcoming election have on energy policy? In this episode, Doomberg, the renowned yet anonymous expert in energy, finance, and the broader economic landscape, explores the complexities of climate change, the efficacy of hybrid electric vehicles, and the challenges surrounding battery technology. Joining podcast hosts Jim Iuorio and Bob Iaccino, Doomberg explores the market dynamics of renewable energy, the critical implications of carbon emissions, and the geopolitical maneuvers of China. The discussion highlights the significance of domestic manufacturing and the potential of nuclear energy as a pivotal solution. They also address widespread misconceptions about nuclear waste and the safety of nuclear power. The conversation emphasizes the need for more robust energy policies and the importance of informed science-based decisions. Chapters 00:00 The Impact of the Upcoming Election on Energy Policy 02:06 The Superiority of Hybrid Electric Vehicles 08:04 The Challenges of Battery Technology 19:42 The Global Carbon Emission Equation 23:58 The Role of Energy in Standard of Living and Social Upheaval 26:03 Addressing Pollution and Carbon Emissions 30:32 The Importance of Domestic Manufacturing 42:35 The Potential of Nuclear Power 46:38 Dispelling Misconceptions about Nuclear Waste and Safety Learn more from Doomberg: https://newsletter.doomberg.com/ Follow Along for more from the Futures Edge: Bob on Twitter: https://twitter.com/bob_iaccino Jim on Twitter: https://twitter.com/jimiuorio Bob on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/bob-iaccino/ Jim on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-iuorio/ Newsletter: https://substack.com/@moneymarketsmayhem YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@futuresedgepodcast?sub_confirmation=1 This episode is in partnership with Hardcore Italians (Discount Code: FUTURESEDGESHOWFINANCEUNFILTERED) https://www.hardcoreitalians.com/
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Aug 20, 2024 • 57min

Living Authentically: Finding Purpose and Fulfillment with Devin Martin

Prioritizing self-reflection and personal development is key to living authentically and finding purpose and fulfillment in life. Devin Martin, an executive life coach, shares his journey of discovering his natural role as a coach and helping others align their lives with their values. He joins podcast hosts Jim Iuorio and Bob Iaccino to discuss topics such as trauma, mental health, and the role of rituals in daily life. Devin provides insights on how to regulate the nervous system, find joy in physical activities, and create meaningful rituals that don't involve alcohol. He emphasizes the need to test one's limits and explore new experiences, but also highlights the importance of doing so in a safe and controlled manner. The discussion also touches on the challenges of living a double life and the impact of societal expectations on personal fulfillment including the transition from living for others to living for oneself.  Learn more about Devin Martin: https://www.lifestyleintegrity.com/ Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Setting the Tone 02:51 Transitioning from Lost to Found 05:08 Living a Double Life and Finding Authenticity 07:30 The Immigrant Work Ethic and Finding Purpose 09:16 The Challenge of Transitioning to Self-Fulfillment 11:33 Exploring Personal Wants and Needs 13:15 The Selfish Pursuit of Purpose 18:13 The Desire to Be Important and Contributing to Something Greater 20:27 The Benefits of Being Deeply Selfish 23:37 The Value of Simplicity and Downsizing 25:58 The Transition from Parenting to Self-Fulfillment 27:47 Psychedelics and Self-Discovery 30:08 Finding Comfort Zones and Mental Ease 35:54 Regulating the Nervous System and Turning On/Off 39:33 Avoiding Numbing Behaviors and Creating Meaningful Rituals 44:12 Releasing Trauma through Breathing Exercises 48:29 Connecting with Nature and Grounding 51:31 The Impact of Alcohol on Well-Being More from Futures Edge: Twitter: https://twitter.com/bob_iaccino Twitter: https://twitter.com/jimiuorio LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/bob-iaccino/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-iuorio/ Newsletter: https://substack.com/@moneymarketsmayhem Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/@futuresedgepodcast?sub_confirmation=1 Contact: haley@haynowmedia.com
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Aug 10, 2024 • 54min

Why Technical Analysis Matters in a Volatile Market

With so much volatility in the stock market, technical analysis is essential in understanding market movements and making informed decisions. Mike Arnold of Path Trading Partners returns for this monthly technical analysis segment on the Futures Edge show to discuss the idea of an emergency rate cut and the possibility of a recession. He looks into the technical analysis of the S&P, NASDAQ, and Russell indices, discussing critical support and resistance levels and potential patterns.  They cover topics such as the rotation trade between the Nasdaq and the Russell, the outlook for gold, and the chart analysis of Pfizer. Jim and Bob touch on the possibility of government intervention to prop up the market before the election. They also touch on the role of government in healthcare and the importance of independent journalism. Takeaways Sell-offs in the market can be beneficial in weeding out weak companies and creating opportunities for stronger ones. Government intervention to prop up the market before the election is a possibility. Gold is seen as a defensive asset and has long-term bullish potential. Short-term levels to watch are $23.75 and $28, with a potential pullback to the $23-23.15 range. Pfizer is viewed as a defensive stock that could survive an upswing. Key support levels to watch are $28 and $27.60. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Discussion on Recent Volatility 06:14 The Importance of Sell-Offs and Pruning in the Market 08:27 Technical Analysis of the S&P, NASDAQ, and Russell Indices 21:00 Government Intervention and the Election's Impact on the Market 28:11 The Rotation Trade: Nasdaq vs. Russell 33:46 Gold Outlook: Short-term Levels and Long-term Potential 44:24 Chart Analysis: Pfizer as a Defensive Stock 46:03 The Role of Government in Healthcare 50:29 Appreciation for Independent Journalism and Honest Opinions
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Aug 6, 2024 • 53min

Protecting Capital During Market Downturns with Bill Baruch

Understanding market trends empowers investors to make strategic, data-driven decisions. By staying informed, investors can identify profit opportunities and foresee risks, allowing for proactive portfolio adjustments to mitigate potential losses. Bill Baruch (⁠@bill_baruch⁠), President and Founder of Blue Line Futures, joins podcast hosts Jim Iuorio and Bob Iaccino to stress the importance of capital preservation during market downturns and the benefits of compounding gains over time. He also highlights the attractiveness of fixed-income investments and the need for innovative investment strategies. The discussion covers tech earnings, market rotation, small-cap performance, and the outlook for chip stocks. They also explore strategies for outperforming the S&P, the role of bond funds, the impact of interest rates, and gold’s performance Takeaways Tech earnings have been mixed, with some companies missing expectations and causing market volatility. The rotation in the market, particularly the move from large-cap tech stocks to small caps, has been significant. Protecting capital during market downturns is crucial for long-term success. Fixed income investments can be attractive in the current market environment. Thinking outside the box and considering alternative investment strategies can lead to better outcomes. Investing in a bond fund can be a good alternative to keeping money in a money market account, especially during periods of interest rate cuts. Managing duration properly is key to achieving good performance in bond funds. Gold prices can be influenced by factors such as economic data from China, the strength of the Japanese yen, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. Personal health and diet choices can have a significant impact on energy levels and overall well-being. Investors should stay informed about market trends and consider different investment strategies to achieve their financial goals. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Tech Earnings 01:22 The Rotation in the Market 04:04 The Performance of Small Caps 07:02 Outlook for Chip Stocks 11:44 Signs of Reversal in the Trade 14:08 Market Sell-Off and Buying Opportunities 21:49 Importance of Protecting Capital 25:18 Thinking Outside the Box in Investment Strategies 26:55 Outperforming the S&P with Lower Drawdowns 28:07 The Role of Bond Funds in Portfolios 29:35 Understanding the Impact of Interest Rates 35:16 Analyzing Gold's Performance 45:00 The Importance of Personal Health and Diet Choices 50:15 Staying Informed and Considering Different Investment Strategies
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Jul 29, 2024 • 56min

Unmasking Misinformation: Rudy Havenstein on Finance, Politics, and Conspiracy Theories

Rudy Havenstein, an anonymous yet consequential Internet personality, is celebrated for his incisive commentary on finance, economics, and politics. Known for his humorous yet insightful tweets, Rudy has established himself as a respected voice through his Substack, “A Havenstein Moment.” Joining podcast hosts Jim Iuorio and Bob Iaccino, Rudy delves into conspiracy theories, including speculations about Joe Biden’s health and the attempted assassination of Donald Trump. They explore the influence and misinformation spread by financial and political influencers, touching on government spending cuts, social media dynamics, the 2020 election, and the Federal Reserve’s role in wealth inequality and economic policies. The discussion highlights the challenges of political discourse, spending cuts, and the contentious nature of future elections. Takeaways The conversation highlights the prevalence of conspiracy theories and the tendency for some to believe in them. There is speculation about Joe Biden's health and whether he is alive or dead, with the hosts discussing the possibility of a double secret reverse conspiracy. They also discuss the events surrounding the attempted assassination of Donald Trump and raise questions about the competence of the Secret Service. The conversation touches on the influence of financial and political influencers and the need to fact-check the information they provide. The conversation highlights the lack of discussion on government spending cuts in political conversations, with a focus on the difficulty of identifying specific areas to cut. The hosts and guest discuss the dynamics of social media interactions and the polarization between different political ideologies. They explore the concept of a stolen election and the difference between the lack of evidence and the lack of credible evidence. The conversation delves into the role of the Federal Reserve and its impact on wealth inequality and economic policies. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Background 03:24 Conspiracy Theories: Joe Biden's Health 09:47 Conspiracy Theories: Attempted Assassination of Donald Trump 15:40 Influence of Financial and Political Influencers 31:29 Government Spending Cuts 38:38 Social Media Interactions 44:14 The 2020 Election 56:56 The Role of the Federal Reserve
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Jul 22, 2024 • 50min

Trump vs. Biden: Inflation, Spending, and Market Implications

Renowned financial writer Jared Dillian, the editor and publisher of the esteemed market newsletter “Daily Dirtnap,” returns to analyze the market’s reactions to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump and to speculate on the potential ramifications had the outcome been different. Dillian joins podcast hosts Jim Iuorio and Bob Iaccino to scrutinize governmental failures, particularly the Secret Service’s response to the incident, alongside the Federal Reserve’s actions and forthcoming monetary policies. Dillian forecasts rate cuts and anticipates a potential rate cut cycle. The discussion further explores the inflationary spending policies of both Trump and Biden, emphasizing the likelihood of more significant inflation under Biden’s administration. Investment opportunities are highlighted, such as gold, silver, Bitcoin, and long-dated S&P puts. The conversation extends to various pertinent topics, including JD Vance as a potential VP pick, his political alignment, Jared’s innovative ‘awesome portfolio’ investment strategy, student debt, homeownership, and the bond market. This comprehensive dialogue offers valuable insights into personal finance and sophisticated investment strategies. Takeaways -The 'awesome portfolio' investment strategy suggests allocating 20% to stocks, bonds, cash, gold, and real estate. -The yield curve inversion is an indicator of a potential recession, and a steepening yield curve may precede a recession. -Societal pressure to conform to certain expectations, such as owning a house or attending college, can lead to financial decisions that may not be in one's best interest. -Jared Dillian has a new book coming out called 'Night Moves,' which is a collection of short stories. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Book Recommendations 03:10 Government Incompetence and the Secret Service 06:04 Federal Reserve Predictions and Monetary Policy 09:14 Comparing Trump and Biden's Spending Policies 13:49 Investment Opportunities in Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin 17:50 Mispriced Securities and Options Trading Strategies 20:25 Impact of Regulation and Government Spending on the Treasury Market 25:20 J.D. Vance: An Inspirational Candidate 28:16 JD Vance's Political Alignment and Comparison to Trump 33:47 The Impact of Student Debt and Lack of Financial Education 44:12 The Yield Curve and its Relationship to Recessions 48:16 Upcoming Book: 'Night Moves' by Jared Dillian
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Jul 15, 2024 • 56min

Flaws in the U.S. Education System with Dr. Keri D. Ingraham

The promotion of free market principles in education and the elimination of political indoctrination are essential for the future of our country. It is no secret that the American education system has flaws in teacher selection, training, and accountability. Dr. Keri D. Ingraham, Senior Fellow & Director, American Center for Transforming Education, Discovery Institute, discusses their mission to reform K-12 education and reform and empower parents by providing school choice to improve education outcomes. The conversation touches on the rise of micro-schools as an alternative to traditional public schools, the pushback from teacher unions, and the importance of reading and critical thinking in education. She also discusses the role of the federal government in education and the need to shrink its footprint. Learn more about donating to the Discovery Institute: https://www.discovery.org/education/donate/ The mission of Discovery Institute’s American Center for Transforming Education is to work with state government policymakers, parents, educators, business leaders, and other education stakeholders to transform our nation’s education system. We advocate for policies that empower parents, allow for innovation, and equip students with the skills, knowledge, and character necessary to thrive as citizens in their communities and as contributors to our increasingly competitive economy. Takeaways -The Discovery Institute focuses on K-12 education and aims to empower parents with education freedom and parental rights. -Micro schools have emerged as an alternative to traditional public schools, offering a more personalized and effective learning experience. -Teacher unions pose a significant challenge to education reform, as they prioritize their own interests over the needs of students and parents. -Reading and critical thinking are crucial skills that need to be emphasized in education, as they lay the foundation for academic success and independent thought. -Teacher unions often prioritize the interests of teachers over the quality of education. Empowering parents and providing school choice can lead to improved education outcomes. -The federal government's role in education should be reduced to allow for more state-level control. -Supporting organizations like the Discovery Institute can help drive education reform. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Overview of the Discovery Institute 01:09 Focus on Education Freedom and Parental Rights 02:16 The Rise of Micro Schools 04:10 Challenges from Teacher Unions 06:19 The Importance of Reading and Critical Thinking 09:29 Promoting Free Market Principles in Education 11:04 Eliminating Political Indoctrination in Schools 14:52 Discussion on Bernie Sanders and Socialist Policies 31:13 Flaws in the American Education System 36:28 Empowering Parents and School Choice 42:10 Reducing the Federal Government's Role in Education 50:28 Potential Leaders in the Conservative Movement 54:47 Supporting Education Reform Organizations
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Jul 8, 2024 • 51min

Analyzing the Market Using Indicators and Moving Averages with Mike Arnold

Mike Arnold (⁠⁠⁠@mgarnold⁠⁠⁠) of Path Trading Partners returns for this monthly technical analysis segment on the Futures Edge show with hosts Jim Iuorio (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@jimiuorio⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) and Bob Iaccino (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@Bob_Iaccino⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) to discuss the current state of the stock market and the factors that have been driving its rally. Mike breaks down the specifics of his “rotation zone” and his “harmonics” that he uses in all his analysis. He weighs in on a potential for a market correction and also discusses the impact of different political administrations on the market, with a focus on President Trump's economic policies. The conversation touches on the global perception of the United States, the state of the dollar, and the future of gold. They conclude with a discussion on crude oil and its recent price action. Takeaways: -The stock market has been rallying due to factors such as excess liquidity, the AI boom, and the belief that the Fed will intervene to support the market. -There is a potential for a market correction, but it is uncertain when and how significant it will be. -The outcome of the upcoming US presidential election could have an impact on the market, with some predicting a sell-off if Trump is re-elected. -The hosts also discuss crude oil and its recent price action, as well as the impact of Hurricane Barrel on Mexico's oil production. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Technical Difficulties 02:59 Factors Driving the Stock Market Rally 06:00 Analyzing the Market Using Indicators and Moving Averages 12:53 The Potential Impact of the US Presidential Election on the Market 30:29 Analyzing the Potential Breakout of the Russell Index 32:19 The Global Perception of the United States and the Dollar 37:01 The Future of Gold and the Potential for a Rally 46:31 Crude Oil and the Impact of Hurricane Barrel on Mexico's Oil Production Produced by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Haynow Media

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