Oil Markets

The aviation sector post-pandemic recovery was seen as a bright spot for regional oil demand this year. However, with uneven recovery within the industry and underwhelming performance in key markets such as China, the growth in demand is expected to ease in the coming months. This demand slowdown could potentially send the jet fuel market into turbulent skies ahead.  S&P Global Commodity Insights’ Asia oil news editor Neo Rong Wei discusses Asia's aviation recovery and its impact on jet fuel demand and cracks with associate editor Lee Shu Ling, who covers Asia jet fuel/kerosene markets and Platts Forward Curve associate editor Ernest Puey.

Exploring the soft gasoline market amidst high refinery production and rising inventories. Discussion on the impact of returning refinery utilization on oil product spectrum. Analysis of bearish sentiment in gasoline market due to strategic reserve releases and ample supply in various regions.

Canada’s Newfoundland and Labrador province is sitting on an estimated 124 billion barrels in offshore crude reserves with access to global export markets, but needs investors to bolster output. Pulling in investors will likely be difficult considering other offshore opportunities in the Americas, including Guyana and Brazil. Will Equinor Canada take an FID on its delayed Bay du Nord project? What is the potential of ExxonMobil’s Persephone prospect? Americas oil news director Jeff Mower and Canadian energy reporter Ashok Dutta discuss these questions and examine the potential of Canada’s offshore. Links:  Register for APPEC 2024  

Oil prices slumped after OPEC+ announced deals to ease voluntary crude output cuts in the last quarter of 2024 and extend group-wide production quotas into 2025. Market watchers are now closely monitoring quota compliance, global oil demand forecasts and non-OPEC+ supply growth. In this episode of the Oil Markets podcast, S&P Global Commodity Insights’ Rosemary Griffin, Payam Hashempour and Charlie Mitchell join Herman Wang to run through the key points of the group’s latest deals and the market reaction.   Links:Energy Security Sentinel™ Steady oil prices indicate uncertainty around OPEC+ plan to increase output in Q4 (subscriber content) OPEC+ extends voluntary cuts to September, sets phase-out schedule (subscriber content) Dated Brent - PCAAS00 Dubai Mo01 - PCAAT00

Mexico's presidential election on 2 June comes at a time of declining crude and natural gas production and uncertainty over the country's transition to cleaner fuels and more reliable power generation. If Claudia Sheinbaum wins, as is widely expected, will she continue Lopez Obrador's policy of restricting private sector involvement in Mexico's energy industry? Why has Mexico's crude oil production fallen to its lowest level in 40 years? Will Mexico continue to push to reduce its dependence on refined product imports? In this Oil Markets podcast episode, Jeff Mower, director of Americas oil news, is joined by energy reporter Sheky Espejo for a wide-ranging discussion on these topics and more.  

Pradeep Rajan, Asia Freight's associate editorial director, delves into the impact of West African naphtha flow from Dangote refinery on the clean tanker market, discussing ton-mile demand, pricing competitiveness, and product tanker supply dynamics.

As European refineries return from seasonal maintenance, ample prompt supply in the North Sea, Mediterranean and West African crude markets suggests that the demand side of the equation remains firmly in the red. Joel Hanley is joined by crude editors Sam Angell, George Delaney and Joey Daly to discuss the implications of a crude-saturated Atlantic basin for prices in the major oil markets west of Suez. Links: Dated Brent PCAAS00 WTI Midland CIF Rotterdam vs Fwd Dated Brent $/bbl WMCRB00 Bonny Light FOB Nigeria London vs WAF Dtd Strip AAGXL00 Azeri Light CIF Augusta vs BTC Dtd Strip AAHPM00 WTI Midland CIF Rotterdam crude differentials plunge to weakest value since October 2021 Nigeria Bonny Light crude value falls to 5-month low: Platts assessment

Diesel imports into Brazil have risen in recent months, but remains below a recent peak seen in January as the South American country deals with new payment terms for Russian barrels. Not only that, but Russian diesel supplies have tightened following drone attacks on Russian refineries by Ukraine. Will USGC refiners return to the #1 spot in supplying Brazilian diesel imports? What impact has this shift had on US diesel exports?  Jeff Mower, director of Americas oil news, discusses these topics and more with senior refinery editor Janet McGurty, Latin American refined products editor Maria Jimenez Moya, and US refined products editor Ben Peyton. Episode links: NEW Port Everglades CBOB differential to NYMEX RBOB APPNB00 NEW Port Everglades premium CBOB differential to NYMEX RBOB APPNJ00 NEW Tampa ULSD differential to NYMEX ULSD APPOI00 NEW Tampa Jet Fuel differential to NYMEX ULSD APPNU00

Exploring the impact of WTI Midland's inclusion in the Dated Brent benchmark on market dynamics, liquidity, and new market participants. Analysis of WTI Midland cargo quality, market evolution, and its significance in defining Dated Brent value. Discussion on global participation in oil market trade and the impact of Midland's inclusion on the Brent market landscape.

The spotlight on India's oil sector has never been stronger. India's role in global oil markets is set to expand at a fast pace until the end of the decade, making it the biggest center for demand growth, according to the IEA. Refining expansion remains a key priority, but with a tilt towards petrochemicals, and the country’s upstream strategy aims to realize the hydrocarbon potential of offshore regions.  While rising Russian oil flows and its impact on purchases from the Middle East is dominating the discussion on trade flows, rising oil prices is throwing up new challenges for the economy. In a wide-ranging discussion with Sambit Mohanty, Asia Energy Editor, Atul Arya, Chief Energy Strategist at S&P Global Commodity Insights, and Dharmakirti Joshi, Chief India Economist at CRISIL -- a unit of S&P Global -- share their views on the roadmap ahead for India's oil sector as the country is set to elect a new federal government.