

More or Less
BBC Radio 4
Tim Harford explains - and sometimes debunks - the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
Episodes
Mentioned books

May 9, 2016 • 9min
WS More or Less: Leicester City football fluke?
Lord Finkelstein, a political journalist, and James Yorke from Stats Bomb discuss Leicester City's Premier League win. Was it luck or skill? They dive into statistical models predicting sports outcomes and analyze the team's surprising victory.

May 6, 2016 • 28min
The most profitable product in history
The podcast explores the profitability of products throughout history, compares the iPhone to other contenders like Coca-Cola and Microsoft, discusses the implications of the EU referendum on trade, analyzes Leicester City's surprising Premier League victory, and addresses the lack of gender-specific data collection worldwide.

May 2, 2016 • 9min
WS More or Less: Simpson’s Paradox
Dutch statistician Casper Albers delves into the intriguing Simpson's Paradox, uncovering how aggregated data can lead to misleading conclusions. He explains the paradox using examples from university admissions and a choir competition, shedding light on gender bias in funding decisions for researchers in the Netherlands.

Apr 29, 2016 • 28min
EU Migration
Explore the discrepancies in EU migration statistics post-Brexit and the potential economic impacts of reducing migration. Learn about Sir Andrew Wiles' achievement in proving Fermat's Last Theorem. Delve into the rise in fire deaths and the relationship between budget cuts and fatalities. Uncover the complexities of Simpson's Paradox in gender bias at University of Berkeley.

Apr 25, 2016 • 9min
WS More or Less: Most Expensive Building
What is the most expensive “object” ever built? There are plans in the UK to build a brand new nuclear power station called Hinckley Point. The environmental charity Greenpeace have claimed it is set to be the most expensive object on Earth. But could it really cost more to build than the Great Pyramid of Giza? We take a look at some of the most costly building projects on the planet.

Apr 22, 2016 • 28min
Brexit numbers
Fraser Nelson and Chris Giles discuss the Treasury report on Brexit impact. They also delve into the costliest building projects, jury service odds in Scotland, life expectancy of popes, and the European Girls Maths Olympiad competition in Romania.

Apr 18, 2016 • 9min
WS More or Less: The life expectancy of a Pope
Statisticians analyze the life expectancy of popes, showing Pope Francis may have been too pessimistic. Investigating the alleged 'London Olympics curse' with 18 deaths since 2012 - from cancer to murder. Debunking myths about athlete mortality rates after the Olympics and comparing them to the general population.

Apr 15, 2016 • 28min
Celebrity deaths
The podcast discusses the analysis of celebrity deaths this year compared to previous years. It also covers the polling results on British Muslims' opinions, challenges in polling methods, migration statistics, and the European Girls Maths Olympiad. The focus is on increasing female participation in math competitions and the mentoring programs for students.

Apr 11, 2016 • 9min
WS More or Less: The story of average
Explore the historical origins of the concept of average, from its invention for navigation to its application in social and national statistics. Learn how astronomers in the 1600s began finding the average from observations of the skies. Discover how the 'Average Man' was born in the 1800s as the concept of average expanded to societal applications.

Apr 8, 2016 • 28min
Fathers and babies
Topics discussed include the challenges of low participation in shared parental leave, the concept of exponential love through math and music, the economic impact of EU membership on the UK, and the pitfalls of relying on averages in astronomical measurements.


