

More or Less
BBC Radio 4
Tim Harford explains - and sometimes debunks - the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
Episodes
Mentioned books

Jun 22, 2018 • 9min
How many words do you need to speak a language?
Ein Bier bitte? Loyal listener David made a new year's resolution to learn German. Three years later, that's about as far as he's got. Keen to have something to aim for, he asked More or Less how many words you really need to know in order to speak a language. Reporter Beth Sagar-Fenton finds out with help from Professor Stuart Webb, and puts Tim through his paces to find out how big his own English vocabulary is. (Image: The World surrounded by Flags. Credit: Shutterstock) Presenter: Tim Harford Reporter: Beth Sagar-Fenton Producer: Charlotte McDonald, Lizzy McNeill

Jun 15, 2018 • 9min
FIFA World Cup Extravaganza
The World Cup starts this week and the More or Less team is marking the event by looking at the data behind all the World Cups since 1966 (our data shows that this was the best world cup because England won). We’ll answer all football fans most burning questions; which World Cups have seen the most shots, fouls, dribbles and most importantly goals? Do the statistics back up the reputations of famous players like Pele, Cruyff, Maradona and Paul Gascoigne? And which of them actually committed the most fouls at one World Cup? Ben Carter talks to Author and Opta Sports football statistician Duncan Alexander about how the ‘beautiful game’ has changed…through numbers. (Picture: The World Cup, credit: Shutterstock)

Jun 10, 2018 • 15min
WS More or Less: How Many Animals are Born Every Day?
From penguins to nematodes, is it possible to count how many animals are born around the world every day?That’s the question one 10-year-old listener wants answered, and so reporter Kate Lamble sets off for the zoo to find out. Along the way, she discovers that very, very small animals are much more important than very, very big animals when it comes to the sums. (09.05) Artificial Intelligence or A.I. has been hailed as the answer to an easier life – but will it really make the world a better place, or just reinforce existing prejudices? Tim Harford speaks to author Meredith Broussard about ‘techno-chauvinism’.

Jun 8, 2018 • 24min
Infant Mortality, How to Reduce Exam Revision With Maths, London’s Murder Rate
(0.24) Infant mortality is on the rise in England and Wales – but is this change down to social issues such as obesity and deprivation, as claimed, or the way doctors count very premature babies? (9.45) A self-confessed lazy student wrote in to ask how he can minimise exam revision, while still ensuring a high chance of passing – we do the sums.(15.44) Do a billion birds really die each year by flying into buildings? We explain another zombie statistic which refuses to die. (18.40) It was reported earlier this year that London’s murder rate was higher than New York City’s – but how do the two cities compare now, and is there any value in these snapshot comparisons?

Jun 4, 2018 • 12min
Counting Rough Sleepers
How do you count the number of people sleeping rough? According to the latest official figures around 4700 people were sleeping in the streets in the autumn of 2017. And that got us thinking. These statistics aren’t just downloaded from some big database in the sky. They need – like any statistic – to be collected and calculated. So how is it done?

Jun 1, 2018 • 21min
The High Street, Home Births and Harry Potter Wizardry
Is WH Smith really the worst shop on the High Street?
Harry Potter fans want to know how many wizards there are – we try to work it out.
Is giving birth at home as safe as giving birth in hospital?(Photo: Mother and baby. Credit: Shutterstock)

May 28, 2018 • 11min
WS More or Less: Australia Calling
This week we tackle some of our listeners’ questions from Australia: do one in seven businessmen throw out their pants after wearing them once? This is a claim made by an expert talking about clothes waste – but what does it come from? Do horses kill more people than venomous animals? Australia is known for its dangerous wildlife, but how deadly is it for humans? Plus, a politician says lots of Australians have used cannabis – we take a look at the evidence.Presenter: Tim Harford
Producers: Charlotte McDonald and Sachin Croker(Picture: Male models in underwear follow a businessman. Credit: Getty's Images)

May 25, 2018 • 24min
Forecasting rain, teabags and voter ID trials
(00.28) Reading the BBC weather app – we explain the numbers on the forecast
(06:55) University of Oxford Admissions: how diverse is its intake?
(11:37) Voter idea trial at the local elections – counting those who were turned away from the polling station.
(15:46) How much tea do Brits drink? We investigate a regularly cited estimate
(20:06) Are pensioners richer than people of working age?

May 21, 2018 • 9min
WS More or Less: James Comey - Basketball Superstar?
Former FBI Director James Comey is very, very tall – over two metres tall, or 6’8” - and many media outlets commented on his height during his recent run-in with President Trump. But to what extent does being very tall improve your chances of becoming a professional basketball player?In this week’s programme Tim Harford looks at the likelihood that James Comey – or any very tall person - might make it as a pro in the NBA. He speaks to data scientist Seth Stephens-Davidowitz who has crunched the numbers on height and class to find out who is more likely to make it as a pro baller. Presenter: Tim Harford
Producer: Richard Fenton-Smith (Picture: Former FBI Director James Comey, Credit: Shutterstock)

May 18, 2018 • 24min
Poverty, Progress 8 and how green is grass?
(0.22) Are more children from working families in poverty?
(6.50) Progress 8 – explaining the new school league tables for England
(12.51) Can a garden product really make your grass 6 times greener?
(18.03) ‘Data is’ versus ‘data are’
(20.21) Royal Wedding economics


