

More or Less
BBC Radio 4
Tim Harford explains - and sometimes debunks - the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
Episodes
Mentioned books

Feb 10, 2012 • 10min
Measuring famine
How do you measure a famine? Following the UN’s recent announcement that famine conditions have ended in Somalia, More or Less explores what the definition of a famine is – and how definite a definition it is. Tim Harford hears from Grainne Moloney, head of the UN’s Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit and Professor Stephen Devereux from the Institute of Development Studies. Also in the programme: Muhammed Ali’s boxing trainer, Angelo Dundee, was arguably one of sport’s greatest behind-the-scenes figures. But did he really deliberately tear Ali’s boxing glove to win the star crucial recovery time in his 1963 fight against Sir Henry Cooper? Tim Harford gets out his stopwatch for a simple exercise in counting. This programme was originally broadcast on the BBC World Service.

Feb 3, 2012 • 9min
More alive than dead?
Debunking the myth that there are more people alive today than have ever lived, investigating Arthur C Clarke's claim about 30 ghosts per person, and questioning Michelle Obama's reported $50,000 lingerie shopping spree.

Jan 27, 2012 • 10min
Sizing up cities
Dr Chris Smith from the group of Cambridge University researchers, the Naked Scientists, discusses the difficulty in determining the world's biggest cities and their populations. He also delves into whether the world has become heavier or lighter since the industrial revolution, providing intriguing insights and answers.

Jan 20, 2012 • 10min
Climate bet; Africa Cup of Nations
A four-year bet about global warming between two scientists is settled. In 2008, after there had been no new record for the global average temperature set since 1998, David Whitehouse and James Annan disagreed over whether there would be a new record by 2011. As the UK Meteorological Office publishes the figures for the past year, presenter Tim Harford brings the two scientists together. Who has won, and does the victory tell us anything about global warming? Plus, Peter Stott from the Met Office tells us how the world’s temperature is measured. Also in the programme: sports statistician Robert Mastrodomenico attempts to predict the results of the 2012 Africa Cup of Nations football tournament. Will his numerical analysis impress the BBC’s African football expert Farayi Mungazi? This programme was originally broadcast on the BBC World Service.

Jan 14, 2012 • 9min
Chavez's cancer claims
Dr. Eduardo Cazap discusses President Chavez's claims of cancer technology. Are there more Malawian doctors in Manchester than in Malawi? Insights on the impact of professional migration on countries.

Jan 13, 2012 • 28min
High speed rail
High Speed rail - Tim Harford speaks to railway consultant Chris Stokes and Alison Munro from HS2 Ltd. He investigates the different measures of the rise in executive pay with Steve Tatton from Income Data Services and Sarah Wilson from research group Manifest. And resolves a four year-old bet on climate change between climate scientist James Annan and astrophysicist David Whitehouse and Wesley Stephenson looks behind the figures for youth unemployment in Spain.

Jan 6, 2012 • 28min
Using statistics in court
Explore how statistics are used in court cases, the pitfalls of probability in legal contexts, the concept of infinity and its applications, detailed statistical analysis in value calculations, randomness in lottery numbers, and humorous marital disputes based on probability comparisons.

Dec 30, 2011 • 28min
2011 in numbers
A guide to interesting, informative or just plain idiosyncratic numbers of the year. Plus, does probability really exist?
Contributors: David Spiegelhalter, Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at Cambridge University; Owen Spottiswoode, Fullfact.org; Tracey Brown from Sense about Science; Jil Matheson, UK Statistics Authority; George Monbiot; Sir Mark Walport, Director of the Wellcome Trust; Money Box presenter Paul Lewis; Sports Statistician, Robert Mastrodomenico; Dr Linda Yeuh Economics Correspondent at Bloomberg; Stand up Mathematician Matt Parker

Dec 23, 2011 • 30min
Who are the 1% and the 99%?
Economist Tim Harford and experts delve into income inequality, CEO pay, and wealth transfer dynamics. David Spiegelhalter shares his risky TV appearance, while magicians and mathematicians discuss card tricks and the magic of maths.

Dec 16, 2011 • 29min
Higgs boson statistics
In the week scientists at the Large Hadron Collider announced that the most coveted prize in particle physics - the Higgs boson - may have been found, Tim Harford hears that the statistical significance is being mis-reported. Plus, the difficulties of cornering a market (especially when the commodity is a 1980s plastic doll). And, Tim Harford talks to author Keith Devlin about how Fibonacci revolutionised trade by introducing medieval businessmen to simple arithmetic.


