On The Brink with Castle Island

Nic and Matt cover the week's deals and news. In this episode: Bitcoin full node count Celo and the viability of seigniorage shares stablecoins Telegram winding down their TON project Why we think the SAFT window of opportunity is closed Why the SAFT is just ICOs in a suit Why the next global monetary asset will never be massively premined and disproportionately owned by VC funds How the success of Bitcoin drove VC funds crazy Stablecoins pass $10B ErisX announces Ethereum physically settled futures How futures contracts would handle contested hard forks The importance of JPM banking Coinbase and Gemini Our retrospective on the halving What we're reading and listening to this week Why we don't believe in space mining

Peer to peer marketplaces are a wealth of data on genuine demand for Bitcoin – but not in the way you might think. As it turns out, a large fraction of the volume in these markets relates to complex, multi-step trades designed to use Bitcoin as a bridge currency to move fiat-denominated remittances, especially into countries like Venezuela. Matt Ahlborg, data scientist and creator of UsefulTulips.org, has done great work compiling this data and engaging with these traders to determine what exactly is happening on these opaque marketplaces, and what Bitcoin is being used for. In this episode we cover: How Matt went from working in the Navy to pursuing a career in Bitcoin data science Why p2p exchange volume is more reliable What a massive blackout in Venezuela tells us about foreign exchange flows in Latin America How exactly Bitcoin works as a bridge currency on p2p exchanges The under-reported role of Chinese exporters in Venezuela on LocalBitcoins Matt's investigation into how Argentine capital controls are driving p2p Bitcoin volumes Why Bitcoin still dominates in p2p markets rather than stablecoins Why p2p volumes are likely significantly larger than the reported numbers

In this episode, we talk to Patrick Dugan, coiner of the term 'crypto-dollarization'. Patrick has a wealth of knowledge regarding stablecoins and the prospects for public blockchains to carry fiat-denominated value. Covered in this episode: His formative experiences living under capital controls in Argentina How Patrick's time in LatAm taught him about dollarization Political drivers of the dollar's predominance in LATAM How Patrick realized that crypto-dollarization would be important Patrick's experiences working for the Omni Layer Foundation Patrick's analysis of the earliest stablecoins like BitUSD, Nubits, and Tether (Omni) Patrick's analysis of the stablecoin models which are most likely to succeed long-term Likely geopolitical effects of crypto-dollarization

Matt and Nic review the top stories of the week in the cryptoasset industry. This week's topics include: Renowned commodities investor Paul Tudor Jones announces his intent to trade Bitcoin and releases a Bitcoin thesis NEAR protocol gets funded Are fair launches dead? The under-appreciated merit of PoW issuance Libra's new CEO hire Wyoming's Special-Purpose Depository Institution legislation The privacy-auditability tradeoff in blockchains Whether the growth of stablecoins threatens the security model of public blockchains Thoughts on the imminent halving Our guess of who the next high profile hedge fund investor will be to flip bullish on Bitcoin

The question of Tether's influence on crypto markets has long vexed practitioners and academics. In a widely-publicized 2018 paper, academics Griffin and Shams allege that Tether was being issued collusively, effectively increasing the price of Bitcoin beyond its natural level. To learn how Tether behaves like a currency board, and to assess the veracity of the Griffin & Shams hypothesis in light of new data, we brought Ganesh Viswanath-Natraj on to the show. Ganesh is an Assistant Professor of Finance at Warwick Business School, covering international finance and macroeconomics, with a focus on foreign exchange derivatives, market microstructure and cryptocurrencies. Find the full text of the paper here, and follow Ganesh's work on his personal website.

Marcos Veremis, Managing Director at Evanston Capital Management joins the show. In this episode we discuss: Marcos' time at Cambridge Associates and how he came to lead cryptoasset research at the firm His perspectives on the various investment theses that are gaining traction with institutional allocators Fund structure, strategy and other crypto-fund considerations To learn more about Evanston Capital Management visit their website

Matt and Nic review the top stories of the week in the cryptoasset industry. This week's topics include: Deals of the week The SEC's court battle against the SAFT on two fronts Ebang's IPO announcement a16z Crypto's new fund FTX's entry into the US Telegram's new offer to investors Brian Quintenz leaves the CFTC

Moiz Kohari, the co-founder and CEO of Manetu, a company building a Consumer Privacy Management (CPM) platform for enterprises to manage personally identifiable information (PII) joins the show. In this episode we discuss: Moiz's recent experience contracting COVID-19 His motivation to start Manetu after holding high profile roles at State Street, London Stock Exchange and Novell Data privacy and the challenges enterprises face complying with upcoming regulations The state of blockchain and cryptoasset projects at large financial firms Learn more about Manetu at www.manetu.com

Peter Johnson, Head of Fintech and Crypto Investing at Jump Capital joins the show. In this episode we discuss: Peter's fintech thesis and the categories that he is most excited about Jump Trading's crypto journey and how Jump Capital works with the core trading business Cryptoasset market infrastructure and the categories that need to exist in order for this industry to thrive Learn more about Jump Capital at www.jumpcap.com and follow Peter @TheChicagoVC

Matt and Nic review the top stories of the week in the cryptoasset industry. This week's topics include: Deals of the week Our changing view of the halving Renaissance Technologies' announcement that they have the capacity to trade Bitcoin Our reaction to Mark Andreessen's "It's Time To Build" The dForce hack Ripple's lawsuit against Youtube Nic's defense of Coors Light