The supply chain disruption from COVID, and the imperialist ambitions of Vladimir Putin have demonstrated, more than ever, the need for nations – or at least neighbouring groups of friendly nations – to be self sufficient in food and energy. Will we find the world returning to a spit between the West, autocracies and developing nations? Can each group survive without the others? Prof Steve Keen tells Phil Dobbie that we will still be reliant on autocratic regimes for mineral resources, and the world really needs to come together to tackle climate change. Even if that’s a pipedream we at last need a plan for how we manage the world’s resources and ensure we have a reliable source of food and energy, without kowtowing to despotic regimes. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Property expert Russell Quirk maintains that housing will always be a good investment and prices will, in the long run, always go up. Perhaps this year inflation will rise faster, so in real terms prices may dip, but in the long run, he reckons, the direction will always be north. Prof Steve Keen on the other hand, maintains that, at some point, things will rapidly head south. Why? Because banks are offering loans through the creation of new money, which makes it easier for them to meet consumer demand, irrespective of how realistic house prices are. And they get locked into a feedback loop, where valuations are based on previous valuations. Your house is worth more because all the other houses around you are worth more. This, recons Steve, will come unstuck, possibly in a big way. He says we don’t accept it because it’s not happened in recent history. Just as we didn’t expect a pandemic because we hadn’t seen one like it for 100 years. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The UK the Chancellor’s wife Akshata Murty was in the news a couple of weeks ago when it was revealed that she was claiming non-domicile status in the UK, so most of her income from her shareholding in dad’s company in India could be taxed over there at a much lower rate. The issue for many was that she wasn’t paying her fair share of tax. But does her wealth present a bigger problem. This week Phil Dobbie asks Prof Steve Keen whether Akshata Murty is an example of the rentier class, who make money from having money. And does that necessarily mean the money is used less well than if it was in the hands of good old-fashioned capitalists? Or is it all just a bit of jealousy, because we don’t have wealthy parents? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Economists like to think that there’s an equilibrium that the economy is either briefly moving away from or heading back to, and it’s all explained in those simple models we did at school. Those were mostly microeconomic models, of course, that are somehow magically interpreted at the mac level. Or there are more complex mathematical models that reflect only a tiny slice of the bigger picture. But didn’t Sonnenschein–Mantel–Debreu theorem debunk that? This week Prof Steve Keen tells Phil Dobbie that even their work ignored a fundamental feedback loop which clearly demonstrates that equilibrium is fantasy land.  Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The inflation genie is out of the bottle. Can we get it back in there before it does too much damage? Central banks are trying to tackle it by racing each other to put up interest rates, possibly to levels we haven’t seen in years, despite the fact we’re all leveraged to the hilt with our mortgages. Can that be done without causing a recession? More to the point, does monetary policy actually do what central bankers think it will? On this week’s Debunking Economics podcast Steve Keen tells Phil Dobbie that its up to governments, not banks, to bring inflation down. Instead, it seems, everyone is doing exactly the wrong thing! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Energy prices are going through the roof. They were before Ukraine erupted, but with Russia the world’s second biggest producer of natural gas, and Iran in third place, it seems we are destined to get our gas from trouble spots, and pay for the price for it. But Steve Keen says we have to get used to the idea that resources are no longer plentiful and rising prices from scarcity are becoming a fact of life. Phil Dobbie asks if there is anything that can be done to prevent an energy crisis akin to what we experienced in the seventies. The difference then, of course, that the issue was relatively short term. Now, its part of a major transition, escalated by COVID and geopolitics. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The EU has talked about issuing new bonds to protect its eastern borders against Russia and to prepare Europe for a future without reliance on Russian oil and gas. Normally bonds are issued by individual countries. If the ECB felt the need to intervene it would buy up those bonds, normally proportional to the size of the member countries. Even during the pandemic, their pandemic emergency purchase program saw them buying up sovereign bonds from member countries. Could this time be different?Is there a Europe wide need that could see the EU operating a centralised budget to, for example, fund a European army? Well, they have already started down that track with the issuance of green bonds this year. How does it work? How does it create a budget through debt issuance, and see that money move to suppliers in individual European nations? The answer is, its complicated but not insurmountable. The question is, is a centralised EU budget, supplementing each countries own budgets, a good thing or a bad thing?Phil Dobbie talks to Prof Steve Keen about what could be a new direction for the EU, where it wields money for pan-European spending projects. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The war in Ukraine looks set to continue for a long time. A 90 minute high-level meeting between the two parties, mediated in Turkey, got nowhere today.  Meanwhile, the west is imposing more and more sanctions on Russia. Putin spoke calmy at a press conference today about how they will manage these increasing constraints on trade and finance, making out it wasn’t really a big deal. So will they make their way through it, or will these sanctions be the nail in the coffin for Putin’s plan? Or will they just make him more resolute? Will he start to attract the support from his people that Hitler gathered between the two world wars? Phil Dobbie talks to Prof Steve Keen, asking whether we are taking the right approach on this. Whatever the outcome, Steve reckons we should prepare for more unrest in the future, as demand for minerals heightens and the world is split between those with them, and those without them. Could this resource split and an increasing sense of protectionism become a deadly combination? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Most people agree that Rishi Sunak is crazy to introduce new taxes on the British public when inflation is compromising living standards and the Bank of England is lifting rates and pushing up the cost of mortgages. Now a war in Europe is pushing the cost of fuel ever higher. But the Chancellors argument is that the government has to pay back the money it borrowed during the pandemic. If it did, it would take decades. But, as Steve Keen explains in this week’s podcast, Modern Monetary Theory suggests the money doesn’t need to be paid back, and tax is really on a mechanism for controlling the money supply. Phil Dobbie looks at some of the crazy taxes that have been introduced, many to do with changing behaviour or distributing wealth. Both noble aims, but the execution might have left something to be desired. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It seems Putin will not be satisfied until he has a puppet leader installed in Ukraine to replace what he’s called their Nazi leader – he’s Jewish by the way. This week Phil Dobbie talks to Steve Keen about Russia’s motivations for the invasion. None of them justify the action, but a bit of history helps explain the animosity between the east and the west. Meanwhile, the approach of sanctions will hurt countries depend on Russian resources, and will they have any impact on the crazed Russian leader? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.