

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Benjamin Felix, Cameron Passmore, and Dan Bortolotti
A weekly reality check on sensible investing and financial decision-making, from three Canadians. Hosted by Benjamin Felix, Cameron Passmore, and Dan Bortolotti, Portfolio Managers at PWL Capital.
Episodes
Mentioned books

Jan 23, 2020 • 51min
Sustainable Investing, Retiring on Index Funds, and Fee Location (EP.82)
Welcome to this week's episode of the Rational Reminder! Today, we get stuck into a commonly asked about investment topic – socially responsible or sustainable investing. The show kicks off with Cameron sharing some fantastic insights he gained from a book he recently finished, The Undoing Project. We then delve into the CalPERS story that was in the spotlight at the end of 2019. After that, we move the planning portion of our show, where we tackle the topic of sustainable investing. Many prominent Canadian pension funds have said that sustainability will be a core part of their investing going forward. We explore why sustainable investing has to mean lower returns, how this kind of investing effects social change, and what the amount you need to give up to feel good about your investments is. We also look at the subjectivity of ESG ratings and how this relates to your values. Ultimately, sustainable investing is about balancing the continuum of views and values, how closely they can be matched, and how you can do that in a diversified way. The sustainable label may not meet your expectations of sustainability which is why finding the balance can prove to be challenging. We round off the show by sharing our thoughts on how to restructure your portfolio when it comes time to live off of it. You don't want to miss out on this interesting show, so tune in today! Key Points From This Episode: A book Cameron recently finished and how he applies these lessons to his work. [0:01:08.0] More about the CalPERS story that broke in December 2019. [0:05:50.0] Insights into active managers and actively managed funds. [0:07:40.0] Vanguard is the first asset manager to surpass the six trillion-dollar mark and other stats. [0:10:30.0] Portfolio topic: The growth of socially responsible investing in North America. [0:12:10.0] The main considerations to account for when looking at socially responsible investing. [0:14:09.0] Two main sustainable investing strategies: negative screening and ESG integration. [0:15:01.0] The relationship between ESG and expected returns when controlling for common risk factors. [0:17:13.0] The importance of ESG risk factor – where does the negative premium come from? [0:19:45.0] Differences between exclusion and investor tastes and their influence on expected returns. [0:21:40.0] Why the dispersion of preferences in the ESG industry is so important. [0:25:14.0] Does sustainable investing lead to positive social returns? [0:27:05.0] Two ways the lack of diversification of ESG investing hurts investors. [0:30:25.0] Understanding the trade-off between values: do all companies use the same ESG filters? [0:31:42.0] The two major problems of not having consistent ESG rating metrics. [0:33:54.0] Two things to consider when the time comes to live off of your portfolio. [0:36:47.0] Deciding how to change your asset allocation and figuring your safe spending rate. [0:39:05.0] Why selling shares rather than receiving dividends does not make you worse off. [0:42:23.0] Final thoughts on spending income and dividends. [0:45:06.0] 'Bad advice of the week'. [0:46:03.0]

Jan 16, 2020 • 37min
Death and Marriage: The Legal Side of Financial Planning (in Ontario) with Kim Melanson (EP.81)
On today's show, we are joined by Kim Melanson who is a local lawyer in Ottawa. The bulk of the conversation is spent on the particulars of drafting a will and the considerations that have to go into this process. Kim also reminds just how important it is to have an up to date will, something many of us have heard but many of us do not act on! She talks about good times to update your documents and the ins and outs of naming guardians and executors before discussing inheritances, donations, and probate. We then turn to a few different types of wills, namely mutual will, mirror wills, and dual wills. Kim weighs in on the topic of 'will kits' and services that make the writing of a will appear a little easier. We also talk about some common errors that are made in the realm of estate planning before turning our attention to family law. Kim answers our questions common-law relationships, domestic contracts, divisions of assets and more, so for all of this from a true expert on Ontario legal matters, be sure to listen in with us today on the Rational Reminder Podcast! Key Points From This Episode: An important legal disclaimer about today's show. [0:02:21.9] What happens if you die in Ontario without a will? [0:03:13.6] Reasons that every adult needs to have a will. [0:05:34.7] How often to update a will throughout the course a lifetime. [0:07:32.7] Best practices for the naming guardians and executors. [0:08:34.6] Kim's recommendations for allocation of inheritances, donations, and probate. [0:14:14.4] Understanding dual wills, how they work and when they make sense. [0:19:14.3] Considering the use of 'will kits' and where these services might fall short. [0:21:39.6] Mutual and mirror wills; managing and policing of these documents. [0:23:19.1] Common and important errors made in estate planning. [0:25:19.4] The definition of a common-law relationship in Ontario. [0:26:50.6] Approaching the conversation and weighing the utility of domestic contracts. [0:30:48.6] The Family Law Act ruling on the division of assets; exclusions and subtractions. [0:34:54.4] Kim's own definition of success and her hopes for a positive impact. [0:36:36.2]

Jan 9, 2020 • 59min
A Planning Checklist, Portfolio Concentration, and Leverage (EP.80)
For our very first episode of 2020, we kick things off with some quick updates before sharing Cameron's ten best financial planning strategies for the new year. After laying out some statistics about the great asset class returns that 2019 saw, we get into the wonderful listener questions we have been receiving over the break. Our first topic is about buying versus leasing cars, and Ben shares his thoughts on some of the reasons he recently converted to leasing. Our second question is about using credit to invest in a TFSA and acts as a great segue into our main topic for today's show: implementing leverage in an investment portfolio. We discover some fascinating outputs given by a Monte Carlo simulation that compares the reliability of expected returns between diversified and concentrated investment portfolios. Surprisingly, the concentrated portfolio, while unpredictable, actually produces higher returns, even in its worst iterations. We start to think of concentrated portfolios as just another form of leveraging after comparing IUSV to VLUE ETFs, and then move on to the idea of time diversification as it relates to implementing leveraging in Lifecycle investing. As always, we end off with our bad advice of the week, with the 60/40 stocks and bonds model taking centre stage, so hop on and join us for the ride! Key Points From This Episode: Different corporate cultures and the value of instilling one in your workplace. [0:05:55.0] A top ten list of strategies for financial planning in 2020. [0:08:48.0] Asset class returns from 2019 which were very high across the board. [0:15:34.0] Market unpredictability and why to buy a second-hand car but lease a new one. [0:19:18.0] When to use your unsecured line of credit to invest in a tax-free savings account. [0:22:49.0] Three things that structure a belief: values, biases, and models. [0:24:51.0] Ben's model and expected returns of diversified vs concentrated portfolios. [0:27:49.0] When concentrated portfolios work well: if high performing stocks are chosen. [0:34:01.0] Ways to achieve higher factor exposure with IUSV vs VLUE ETFs. [0:35:47.0] How unexplained portions of returns are the costs of leveraging via concentration. [0:40:40.0] Why investing using leverage creates 'time diversification' and higher yields. [0:42:47.0] Ways for young people to leverage their savings: concentration, derivatives, etc. [0:42:47.0] Time decay on leveraged ETFs and other reasons for leveraging not being a joke. [0:50:52.0] Why ditching a 60/40 portfolio denies market efficiency by increasing risk. [0:55:36.0] And much more!

Jan 2, 2020 • 52min
Financial Theory in Practice: Gaining Insight from Models with Marlena Lee (EP.79)
Today on the show we welcome the Head of Investment Solutions at Dimensional Fund Advisors, Marlena Lee. Marlena has a Ph.D. from the University of Chicago where she served as the TA to Eugene F. Fama. She has been at Dimensional for 11 years where a big part of her role is communicating what their research team is doing for the advisors and clients who are using their products. In this fascinating episode, we discuss and define models, factors, and the importance of understanding the risks involved with any investment decision. We talk about the many different reasons why stocks have different returns, and what the research says about underperformance and our expectation of positive premiums. Marlena has some interesting perspectives on whether risk or behavior drives higher returns, and shares some of her biggest lessons gained from working with Eugene Fama, and Dimensional Fund Advisors. Key Points from This Episode: The uses and limitations of models when making investment decisions. [0:02:30.0] Understanding the concept of 'factors' and why the word is evolving. [0:04:35.0] Why Dimensional doesn't combine Price-to-Book with price sales and cashflows. [0:13:10.0] Marlena's thoughts on whether risk or behavior drives higher returns. [0:15:15.0] The theoretical rationale for why we expect the value premium to be positive. [0:21:00.0] The role of company size in identifying differences in expected returns. [0:25:10.0] The split between dividend income and capital gains: What is the trade-off? [0:27:40.0] How to choose which Factor Model to use for your investing decisions. [0:31:15.0] The good arguments for owning bonds in your portfolio as a young investor. [0:35:00.0] Risk factors and equities when it comes to fixed-income and bonds versus stocks. [0:38:00.0] Questions investors should be asking about fees, risk, and portfolio worth. [0:41:48.0] Evidence that investors can use Yield Curve Inversions to time the market. [0:43:33.0] Marlena shares her most fascinating research topics and economic debates. [0:43:33.0] Marlena shares her biggest lessons gained from working with Eugene Fama. [0:48:13.0]

Dec 26, 2019 • 56min
2019 Retrospective: A Review and Discussion of the Year's Guest Episodes (EP.78)
As we see 2019 out and enter a new decade, we thought it only fitting to do a round-up of some of our shows this year. While we had 26 guests throughout the year, we chose 14 that best captured the sensible investing and education-focused spirit of our show. Some of the guests we have included on this special episode include Rob Carrick, from The Global Mail and leading authority on Canadian personal finance, Alexandra McQueen, a teacher at York University, who offers an explanation on the difference between financial economics and financial planning and Jonathan Clements, who explains why the hardest part of investing is keeping it simple. We also share clips about nipping overconfidence in the bud with Daniel Crosby and the next grand challenge of investing with Dave Nadig. This is just a snapshot of some of the incredibly generous people who have joined us this year. We hope that this show has contributed in some way to educating and helping investors make informed decisions and we are excited for what's on the horizon. Happy New Year from all of us here at The Rational Reminder! Key Points From This Episode: Rob Carrick's insights into whether Canadians have a good relationship with money. [0:04:02.0] Moira Somers' tips on lifestyle changes to decrease financial stress. [0:07:51.3] Why 'debunking the nonsense' of financial advice is so important to Barry Ritholz. [0:10:23.0] The difference between financial economics and financial planning. [0:13:10.0] Discover the importance of having a clear belief system when it comes to investing. [0:16:51.0] Criteria other than performance to use to choose a quant fund according to Wes Gray. [0:19:47.0] Why the most difficult part of investing is trusting in simplicity. [0:23:14.0] Learn what has surprised David Butler the most about working with academics. [0:28:56.0] Ben explaining discount rates and factors to his mom. [0:31:58.0] All factors will underperform at some stage so embracing volatility is key. [0:40:14.0] What Jill Schlesinger has found the most common investment blind spots to be. [0:42:54.0] A look at what adverse selection means and how it applies to DIY investors. [0:44:40.0] Find out why Daniel Crosby calls overconfidence the 'granddaddy' of investment biases.[0:46:17.0] Even though investing is 'solved,' that does not mean people are good investors. [0:44:40.0]

Dec 19, 2019 • 34min
The Ins and Outs of Estate Planning: Making the Right Arrangements with the Blunt Bean Counter (EP.77)
On today's episode, we are joined by Mark Goodfield of The Blunt Bean Counter blog to talk about estate planning and wills. Mark is a partner at BDO Canada, a national accounting firm and has created a wealth of content on investing, tax and the relationship between the two. He provides full-service wealth management, but does not advise on nor manage investments. Estate planning is a difficult task because you are confronted with your mortality, but it is hugely important because without a clear-cut plan, those left behind will have to deal with many complications in the midst of grieving. Mark has seen these complications with some of his own clients and the negative effects it has had on them. Along with conventional estate planning, such as drawing up a will, Mark also strongly advises transparency about your finances both with your partner and your children. This will not only ensure that there are no surprises, but also allow them to gain a level of financial literacy to deal with money, if they currently do not have that responsibility. He believes that people are not open enough when talking about money, which has implications long after they are gone. While estate planning is largely to do with finances and assets, Mark does not believe that money automatically correlates with success. This is why it is equally important to consider the legacy you leave behind in other ways, such as strong relationships and giving time to good causes. For this and much more, join us today! Key Points From This Episode: What it entails being the executor of an estate. [0:02:47.0] The implications of dying intestate. [0:04:32.0] Why it is important to disclose assets liable to probate tax. [0:07:27.0] Ensure that both spouses are relatively financially literate. [0:08:40.0] Why you should involve your adult children in financial conversations. [0:11:07.0] The two ways of consolidating your investment holdings [0:12:23.0] The tax, legal and personal implications of giving up ownership. [0:17:03.0] The distinction between known and presumed inheritance. [0:20:11.0] How to deal with potential uneven distribution in an estate. [0:23:23.0] When it makes sense to hire a corporate executor [0:25:49.0] The five ways that success is not always linked to money [0:27:06.0] How Mark has defined his own personal success [0:29:55.0] And much more! https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/77

5 snips
Dec 12, 2019 • 35min
Risk Parity, Rental Properties, and the Smith Maneuver (EP.76)
Welcome to another episode of the Rational Reminder Podcast. We kick off the show today with some great listener feedback before diving into the content of a new podcast by Dr. Laurie Santos called The Happiness Lab. In a recent episode of her show, she gets into the idea of human adaptability to fortuitous or catastrophic events. Our capacity to regulate back to a default state has big implications for dreams of greater happiness through wealth acquisition. Next, we move on to three great listener questions, which by the way will be replacing the investment topic segment of the show from now on. We answer questions about the merit of Ray Dalio's all-weather portfolio, fall back rules for prospective rental property owners, and whether the Smith Manoeuvre is a good move for high-income earners. Next up you'll hear some fascinating statistics about residential property value in relation to homeownership and income in Canada. Rob Carrick's article about how tax-free savings accounts are the greatest Canadian financial success story of the century comes under our scrutiny after that. Finally, we end off with our bad advice for the week, in which we discuss the recent protest by investor advocates to speed up the banning process for early withdrawal fee-charging mutual funds. Tune in for your weekly reality check on sensible investing and financial decision-making for Canadians! Key Points From This Episode: Three great reviews from our listeners on iTunes. [0:00:15.0] Human adaptability and how bad we are at predicting our future emotions. [0:03:45.0] Expected returns concerning risk parity and factor investing approaches. [0:06:32.0] Cap rates, leverage, and asset-specific risk regarding investing in real estate. [0:14:02.0] The benefits of the Smith Manoeuvre for those willing to be leveraged investors. [0:20:10.0] Lifecycle investing and why young people should invest in stocks with leverage. [0:23:59.0] Homeownership, income, and residential property value statistics in Canada. [0:25:30.0] Different house prices for middle-income earners across Canada. [0:29:25.0] Statistics about TSFAs such as who has one versus who has an RRB. [0:30:53.0] How to use TSFAs in connection with other investments. [0:32:18.0] Rules and cautions about TSFAs such as why not to pick stocks in one. [0:32:38.0] Good reasons to use TSFAs such as when one has a low income and is young. [0:32:38.0] Why not to buy mutual funds that charge investors early withdrawal fees. [0:38:33.0] And much more! https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/76

11 snips
Dec 5, 2019 • 41min
Money & Behaviour: Understanding Investing from a Psychological Perspective with Daniel Crosby (EP.75)
On today's episode, we have Dr. Daniel Crosby joining us for an insightful discussion about the psychology behind investing behaviour. Dr. Crosby is a behavioural finance expert and asset manager who applies his study of market psychology to help people better understand the financial decisions they make and to shed some new light on our ability to be rational. We talk about the inevitability of our emotions and how they impact our actions, but also how they might be leveraged for positive outcomes. As far as behavioural biases are concerned, overconfidence is by far the biggest threat to our investment success, but on the flip side, Dr. Cosby shares why, outside of investing, this trait can serve us really well. We enquire about his thoughts on how wealth changes people's behaviour, on whether the FIRE Movement has some credibility to it, and he explains why having a strong theoretical underpinning is necessary when making decisions based on empirical data. Join us for some more science-based investment advice! Key Points From This Episode: The rationality of people and the possibility of leveraging emotion in finance. [0:02:26.0] Research that shows why you should work with a financial professional. [0:06:46.0] Behavioural biases and overconfidence as the most dangerous one. [0:11:05.0] Avoiding overconfidence by understanding that investment rules are different. [0:13:47.0] The extent to which people's behaviour is affected by those around them. [0:17:58.0] How significant changes in net worth changes a person's investment traits. [0:25:36.0] Thoughts on the FIRE Movement and how investors should look at risk. [0:28:06.0] Behavioural and risk-based factors and the necessity of a theoretical underpinning. [0:37:06.0] And much more!

Nov 28, 2019 • 52min
Playing with FIRE, Having a Belief System, and Term Life Insurance (EP.74)
Thanks for joining us for another episode of the Rational Reminder Podcast. We are proud to say that last week's show received our highest amount of downloads yet, with 10 000 in its first week, so a big thank you to our listeners for that. We begin our discussion this week with some takeaways from the Playing With FIRE documentary about doing affordable things that feel good as a way of cutting costs. Next, we dive into some caller questions, discussing whether putting a downpayment on a rental property as a way of parking cash until you have enough to scale up to a bigger property would be a good idea. We also discuss whether it would make sense to invest in an individual Canadian bank stock based purely on the track record of our banks, which brings up some interesting points about how stocks work. We then dive into our main topic by beginning with some pointers on choosing the best belief system to evaluate investment strategies from, comparing our 5-Factor model with the Quality model and Jim Simons's too. This leads into a deep dive we take into the legitimacy of the definition of quality given by a variety of American and Canadian funds. We share our main takeaways from this discussion with you which should prove very useful. Our planning advice for the week is around getting insurance for income replacement in retirement. Finally, we make a lot of good out of some bad bank advice by drawing from our recent research into reverse mortgages and annuities, so don't miss out on this one! Key Points From This Episode: Lessons for cutting spending in the Playing with FIRE [0:05:30.0] Whether a rental property is a good hedge against rising real estate prices. [0:12:15.0] The effect that leverage would have on equity through market fluctuation. [0:13:50.0] How stock returns work and why not to invest in individual Canadian banks. [0:15:47.0] The challenge of choosing a belief system to evaluate investment strategies. [0:18:43.0] An explanation of the Market Efficiency model. [0:23:12.0] Using Occam's Razor to compare the 5-Factor model to the Quality model. [0:23:27.0] Assess products using US-listed funds, quantitative implementation, and more. [0:26:19.0] Evaluating different funds' definitions of quality. [0:28:03.0] The clause about defensive positions which ruins VFVA and VVL products. [0:29:25.0] Why VLUE and QUAL funds have unreliable outcomes due to low holdings. [0:30:15.0] Fidelity FQAL is a waste of basis points due to insignificant factors loaded. [0:33:45.0] Why Fidelity FDVV shouldn't use investment as a filter. [0:34:49.0] The main takeaways from Ben's reading of the funds: read beyond the title. [0:36:33.0] Many value factor funds are actually actively managed. [0:37:14.0] What to do as far as getting insurance for income replacement in retirement. [0:38:09.0] Retirement variables such as a mortgage payment or spouse declining to work. [0:41:20.0] Why one should discount aggressive investments when choosing insurance. [0:47:08.0] How reverse mortgages and annuities can stretch out a portfolio. [0:48:01.0] And much more!

Nov 21, 2019 • 41min
Finance for Physicians: Personal Finance for High Income Earners with the Loonie Doctor (EP.73)
In today's episode, we are joined by an exciting guest, The Loonie Doctor, of The Loonie Doctor blog to talk about his work not only on physician finance but also on holistic wealth. A physician by training, The Loonie Doctor has scaled back his practice to put more work into the blog and financial education. He masterfully balances precise technical advice on topics like tax alongside 'softer' aspects of money, such as how it affects relationships and other aspects of human capital. These insights are useful for many, but particularly for physicians who often to do not talk about money because of the nature of the work they do. The Loonie Doctor believes that in not talking about finance, it adversely affects physicians' ability to perform at their peak. Finance, however, is not the only marker of wealth and The Loonie Doctor offers a holistic wealth framework in which wealth can be measured in a variety of ways. He also provides a host of other insights, such as advice for DIY investors, how to avoid social pressure around spending and much more. For all this, join us today! Key Points From This Episode: Some of The Loonie Doctor's background and what lead him to starting the blog. [0:02:20.0] The two big reasons that it is important for physicians to talk to one another about money. [0:03:47.0] Wealth must be looked at holistically as it includes financial, human, economic and social capital. [0:06:15.0] How individual spending decisions compound and have a larger economic effect. [0:08:10.0] What can be done to build a healthy career that inspires and adds value to your life. [0:11:16.0] Which factors to account for when making long-term insurance decisions. [0:13:13.0] Reasons why whole-life insurance should not be a catch-all financial plan. [0:17:06.0] How to avoid social pressure and spending large amounts of money. [0:19:51.0] Financial decisions should be understood in relation to non-monetary value they add. [0:22:48.0] How The Loonie Doctor uses evidence effectively in investment decisions. [0:26:30.0] How to make the decision between DIY investing or using a financial planner. [00:29:16] Some of the lessons that The Loonie Doctor has learned having seen so much death. [00:34:28] Insights into The Loonie Doctor's framework about asset location. [00:38:36]


