Value Hive Podcast

Hey guys! This week we've got anonymous Twitter user Henry Rearden (@Integrity4Mkts) on the podcast. Henry is most-known for his viral short thesis on Carvana $CVNA. You can find his latest thoughts here.  However, this podcast goes beyond Henry's short CVNA thesis. We uncover an intelligent investor from humble beginnings. Someone on the hunt for mispriced securities with limited downside, wherever that takes him. Throughout the podcast we discuss the following topics:  Where to find ideas How to construct an investment thesis The dangers of overconfidence How Henry found the CVNA short thesis The power (and danger) of taking highly concentrated bets Focus on how much you can lose, not how much you can make And more! If you want to learn more about Henry, follow him on Twitter. Thanks again to Henry for offering an hour of his time.  Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Quartr Quartr is revolutionizing the way investors interact with IR departments, listen to conference calls, and conduct research. The best way to think of Quartr is like Spotify for investor conference calls. Quartr is 100% free and includes markets from 12+ countries (with plans to expand in the future!). Investors can easily request new companies, and Quartr is quick to add them. You can learn more about Quartr by visiting their site, Quartr.se If you're interested in changing the way you research companies, download the app today and give it a try on Apple and Android. Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls. And I know you will too. If you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.

Hey Guys! I started The Value Hive Podcast three years ago on the floor of my bedroom in my parents house. Today, I interviewed the iconic green cartoon chicken Doomberg. Lesson? Work hard and you too can interview cartoon chickens. This episode is a behind the scenes of what happens inside the hen house. Going from idea generation to the first draft, then to editing and publishing. How to use twitter to create demand. Why having a good enough title is is essential for crossing the chasm into virality, and lessons learned from starting Doomberg and what the future holds. [0:00] The Story behind Doomberg [4:50] The Story behind the Name and the iconic Chicken [6:20] The Five Pillars of a Business [9:20] Pillar #1: Brand [16:00] Struggles of Running a Newsletter [27:00] Crossing the Chasm into Virality [32:00] Idea Generation to First Draft [40:00] Editing the First Draft [48:30] Lessons Learned from Starting Doomberg [51:00] Demand Creation: Impressions. [1:03:00] Long/Short based on Doomberg Articles [1:09:40] Twitter Q&A: The Best Energy Policy in the World? [1:12:00] The Future of Doomberg [1:23:00] More from Doomberg and Closing Questions Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Quartr Quartr is revolutionizing the way investors interact with IR departments, listen to conference calls, and conduct research. The best way to think of Quartr is like Spotify for investor conference calls. Quartr is 100% free and includes markets from 12+ countries (with plans to expand in the future!). Investors can easily request new companies, and Quartr is quick to add them. You can learn more about Quartr by visiting their site, Quartr.se If you're interested in changing the way you research companies, download the app today and give it a try on Apple and Android. Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls. And I know you will too. If you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.

This week our guest is Paul Andreola. He is the publisher of SmallCap Discoveries and full-time microcap investor. Today, we discussed why illiquidity is a benefit, the advantages of being a CEO, his research process, immediate green and red flags, and how to spot the next $XPEL! [0:00] Introduction: The most difficult parts of micro-cap investing in the last two years. [1:40] Benefit of illiquidity [6:50] Being a CEO [11:00] What was the why for $XPEL? [12:50] How much of a cost burden is staying public? [15:40] Using the CANSLIM method with micro-caps. [23:00] Lessons from investing in Bowflex and Medifast ($MED). [27:33] Cheapies with a chance: Paul’s Process [28:41] Reading 10Ks [31:00] Capturing Inflection Points [35:00] Share Dilution [38:48] Immediate Red Flags [40:40] Immediate Green Flags [44:14] Cenco Tech [50:05] Acceleware [52:14] Inventronics (TSX:IVX) [56:14] PosaBit [59:14] Doing it all over it again [1:02:54] More from Paul and Closing Questions  Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Check out Paul on Twitter here and his website here. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Quartr Quartr is revolutionizing the way investors interact with IR departments, listen to conference calls, and conduct research. The best way to think of Quartr is like Spotify for investor conference calls. Quartr is 100% free and includes markets from 12+ countries (with plans to expand in the future!). Investors can easily request new companies, and Quartr is quick to add them. You can learn more about Quartr by visiting their site, Quartr.se If you're interested in changing the way you research companies, download the app today and give it a try on Apple and Android. Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls. And I know you will too. If you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.

This week we're continuing our Investor Audibles series with three Q1 2022 letters from the following investors/funds: Worm Capital (03:00 - 27:00) East 72 (28:00 - 61:00) Alluvial Fund (62:00 - 73:00) Please let me know what other letters you'd want to hear on future Investor Audible series episodes! Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Quartr Quartr is revolutionizing the way investors interact with IR departments, listen to conference calls, and engage in investment research. The best way to think of Quartr is like Spotify for investor conference calls. Quartr is 100% free and includes markets from 12+ countries (with plans to expand in the future!). Investors can easily request new companies, and Quartr is quick to add them. You can learn more about Quartr by visiting their site, Quartr.se If you're interested in changing the way you research companies, download the app today and give it a try on Apple and Android. Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.

Hey guys! This week we have value investor Christian Ryther from Curreen Capital. This is a gardening heavy episode. We focused on one of the most iconic Peter Lynch’s quotes: Watering the flowers, cutting the weeds. We discussed when to cut the weeds, what to do if a flower turns into a weed, accidentally cutting a flower, finding a better flower, the bullish thesis for Getbusy ($GETB), Christian’s Ideal Investments and how Christian finds ideas. Enjoy! [0:00] Watering the flowers, cutting the weeds. [10:00] When flowers turn to Weeds? American Outdoor ($AOUT) [15:00] When to cut the Weeds? [19:00] Accidentally cutting a Flower? [23:00] Possible Problems by Watering the Flowers. [27:00] Upside Downside: Small Asymmetry vs Big Asymmetry [36:20] Ryther’s Best Decisions [39:50] Getbusy ($GETB): Cash Cow, Grower and Moonshot [43:50] When liquidity becomes an issue? [51:50] What to do when you found a better flower? [56:50] Christian's Hunting Ground [58:50] The Ideal Investment [1:04:00] More from Ryther and Closing Questions If you like what you heard, follow Christian on Twitter (here) and check out his website (here).  Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Quartr Quartr is revolutionizing the way investors interact with IR departments, listen to conference calls, and engage in investment research. The best way to think of Quartr is like Spotify for investor conference calls. Quartr is 100% free and includes markets from 12+ countries (with plans to expand in the future!). Investors can easily request new companies, and Quartr is quick to add them. You can learn more about Quartr by visiting their site, Quartr.com If you're interested in changing the way you research companies, download the app today and give it a try on Apple and Android. Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.

Hey Guys! This week, we’re chatting all things Carvana ($CVNA) from a Twitter Spaces I organized on July 7, 2022. The goal was to figure the +20 billion dollar question… Will Carvana ($CVNA) survive? We discussed how much Carvana has in liquidity, what could cause Carvana to have a liquidity crunch, is the valuation attractive enough? Plus, we had amazing guests such as Henry Rearden (@integrity4mkts), @GuyDealership, and Marc Cohodes (@AlderLaneEggs). [0:00] Introduction [2:00]@WolfofMStreet bullish view [12:30] Bull Case: Carvana is not a fraud but falling used car prices are a big danger [21:00] @sixdegreestech take [24:00] How much liquidity does Carvana has? [29:00] What could make Carvana to have a liquidity crunch? [32:00] Valuation is not attractive yet: CVNA is not increasing and Inventory is increasing [43:00] Leverage + Garcia’s Management: Formula for disaster. [57:00] Henry’s Research [1:03:00] @GuyDealership insights Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Quartr Quartr is revolutionizing the way investors interact with IR departments, listen to conference calls, and engage in investment research. The best way to think of Quartr is like Spotify for investor conference calls. Quartr is 100% free and includes markets from 12+ countries (with plans to expand in the future!). Investors can easily request new companies, and Quartr is quick to add them. You can learn more about Quartr by visiting their site, Quartr.com If you're interested in changing the way you research companies, download the app today and give it a try on Apple and Android. Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.

Hey Guys! This week we return to the anonymous Twitter pool and today our guest is @chasingthevig. We discussed what really matters the most when investing in stock, the arrogance of conviction, his investment journey, what are thesis breakers , why the Industrials and Materials industries are his favorite and some special situations, his ideal longs and ideal shorts.the arrogance of conviction [0:00] What Matters Most when Investing in Stocks? [5:00] @chasingthevig’s Research Process [9:30] Covid Winners: What happened? [12:30] Arrogance of Conviction: Do you need conviction? [21:00] What are Thesis Breakers [27:00] @chasingthevig’s Financial Journey [31:00] Ideal Longs [34:04] Ideal Shorts [38:00] @chasingthevig’s Current Ideas [45:34] Estimating Exit Multiples [51:30] @chasingthevig’s Favorite Industries: Industrials and Materials [57:00] Variant Thesis: Micro Caps are not good Investments [1:03:00] More from @chasingthevig and Closing Questions Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Quartr Quartr is revolutionizing the way investors interact with IR departments, listen to conference calls, and engage in investment research. The best way to think of Quartr is like Spotify for investor conference calls. Quartr is 100% free and includes markets from 12+ countries (with plans to expand in the future!). Investors can easily request new companies, and Quartr is quick to add them. You can learn more about Quartr by visiting their site, Quartr.com If you're interested in changing the way you research companies, download the app today and give it a try on Apple and Android. Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.

Hey Guys! This week we have Eugene Ng. He is the founder of Vision Capital which invest in public and private markets. On this episode Eugene shares with us his New Death Experience, how he rediscover investing, how he constructs a portfolio, why he likes to invest in Zero to One businesses and he explains his six-part framework using DLocal ($DLO) as an example.  [0:00] Eugene’s Near Death Experience [5:50] Rediscovering Investing: Value to Growth [22:00] Can you really estimate earnings growth? [30:00] Increasing Prices [34:00] Eugene’s Six Part Framework: DLocal ($DLO) [44:00] DLocal: Take Rates a Race to the Bottom? [50:00] Portfolio Construction [54:00] Public and Private Investments [58:00] Zero to One Businesses [1:04:00] When to Sell? [01:13:00] Exciting Industries: Nuclear Fusion [1:6:00] More from Eugene and Closing Questions If you enjoyed this podcast, make sure to Follow Eugene on Twitter (here) and check out his Substack (here). Also, if you're interested, check out a copy of his book (here). I do not receive any kickbacks from book sales!! Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Quartr Quartr is revolutionizing the way investors interact with IR departments, listen to conference calls, and engage in investment research. The best way to think of Quartr is like Spotify for investor conference calls. Quartr is 100% free and includes markets from 12+ countries (with plans to expand in the future!). Investors can easily request new companies, and Quartr is quick to add them. You can learn more about Quartr by visiting their site, Quartr.se If you're interested in changing the way you research companies, download the app today and give it a try on Apple and Android. Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.

This week we're continuing our Investor Audibles series with three Q1 2022 letters from the following investors/funds: Andrew Rosenblum, Bonsai Partners (03:00 - 27:00) Roger Fan, RF Capital Management (28:00 - 36:00) Howard Marks, Oaktree Capital (37:00 - 66:00) Please let me know what other letters you'd want to hear on future Investor Audible series episodes! Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Quartr Quartr is revolutionizing the way investors interact with IR departments, listen to conference calls, and engage in investment research. The best way to think of Quartr is like Spotify for investor conference calls. Quartr is 100% free and includes markets from 12+ countries (with plans to expand in the future!). Investors can easily request new companies, and Quartr is quick to add them. You can learn more about Quartr by visiting their site, Quartr.se If you're interested in changing the way you research companies, download the app today and give it a try on Apple and Android. Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.

Hey Guys! This week we have Jay Singh III from specialsitsresearch.com. This episode is all about special situation and our guest Jay shares with us his investing journey and how he got to work in Goldman Sachs, why every investment is a factor bet, what is the Church of What is Known, why SPACs are one of the best opportunities to exist for the short side and the long side, what is the risk and reward for investing in the energy sector and how to screen for ideas. If you enjoyed this podcast, check out Jay on Twitter here. And make sure to read his research here. Check out the timestamp below:  [0:00] Every Investment is a Factor Bet [6:00] The Church of What is Working Now. [12:00] TAMs larger than the Gobal Economy [15:00] 33 Fintech SPAC Mergers [21:00] Jay Singh III Investment Journey [30:00] SPACs are One of the Best Opportunities to Exist [1:02:00] Using Screens to Find Idea [1:11:00] Investing in Energy [1:20:00] Closing Question and more from Jay Singh III Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Quartr Quartr is revolutionizing the way investors interact with IR departments, listen to conference calls, and engage in investment research. The best way to think of Quartr is like Spotify for investor conference calls. Quartr is 100% free and includes markets from 12+ countries (with plans to expand in the future!). Investors can easily request new companies, and Quartr is quick to add them. You can learn more about Quartr by visiting their site, Quartr.se If you're interested in changing the way you research companies, download the app today and give it a try on Apple and Android. Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.