The Property Nerds

The Property Nerds
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Mar 17, 2023 • 41min

How to find the ‘X Factor’ scenario for your borrowing capacity

With the ceiling to the Reserve Bank’s interest rate hike cycle still out of plain sight, data nerds Arjun Paliwal and Leigh Paliwal say it’s more important than ever for investors to be proactive in improving their financial positions. Arjun, founder of InvestorKit, and Leigh, director at Hills Finance, unpack the rising trend of refinancing among mortgage holders and present different financing strategies that can help investors continue scaling their portfolios despite the increasing pressure on borrowing capacity. They also warned against getting caught up with predictions in the market and instead urged market players to “focus on the chain of events” that can set up the stage for a forecasted scenario so they can accordingly improvise and adapt their strategies. Lastly, they talk about Australia’s ongoing infrastructure boom and explain its potential impact on the property market.
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Feb 17, 2023 • 25min

Which markets are overvalued and undervalued in 2023?

Data nerds Arjun Paliwal and Leigh Paliwal have cautioned investors against playing real estate roulette when choosing their next location. Arjun, founder of InvestorKit, and Leigh, director at Hills Finance, unpack the latest lending data and encourage investors to review their financial positions in the face of the Reserve Bank’s rapid rate hike cycle. As refinancing becomes a higher priority for Aussies who are coming off their fixed-rate contracts, the duo also looks at the possible options that are available for home owners and investors to buffer their mortgages. The duo also brings back their analysis of overvalued and undervalued markets before highlighting the significance of identifying locations that have “healthy” growth prospects.
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Jan 20, 2023 • 39min

Stop making a mountain out of the mortgage cliff

To get the ball rolling in 2023, data nerds Arjun Paliwal and Leigh Paliwal dissect the biggest trends in finance, policy and real estate to help investors charge ahead into the new year. Arjun, founder of InvestorKit, and Leigh, director at Hills Finance, debunk the gloomy narrative around the “mortgage cliff” and “mortgage prison” borrowers are said to face this year before enumerating the strategic ways borrowers can avoid finding themselves on the edge of this financial conundrum. They discuss the latest lending data, analyse why refinancing is becoming the new norm among mortgage holders and explain why it might be time to reevaluate your loan. The pair also touches on the latest inflation data and unpack what it means for the trajectory of the Reserve Bank’s rate hike this year. Finally, they talk about the newly rolled out NSW First Home Buyer Choice scheme and pore over the pros and cons of the policy.
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Dec 16, 2022 • 50min

7 trends savvy investors don’t want you to know for 2023

With Christmas just around the corner, data nerds Arjun Paliwal and Leigh Paliwal sit down to unpack what the latest lending stats tell us about the state of the Australian property market. Arjun, founder of InvestorKit, and Leigh, director at Hills Finance, give us the low-down on lending, reflecting on the consecutive cash rate rises and the flow of data that comes with it. Arjun visits the idea of what currently defines an undervalued property, before turning his attention to seven trends that are set to leave their mark on the market in 2023. From financial assistance sugar rushes to consumer sentiment and job market activity good old-fashioned supply and demand, Arjun and Leigh impart their own wisdom to listeners in this must-hear end-of-year episode.
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Nov 18, 2022 • 42min

Why it’s time to shop for a new mortgage

On the latest episode of The Property Nerds podcast, self-proclaimed data nerds Arjun Paliwal and Leigh Paliwal explain why it’s due time investors review their portfolios — and how they can start by shopping for a new mortgage. Arjun, head of research at InvestorKit, and Leigh, director of Hills Finance, look into the latest data on finance and lending before providing their expert take on why the Reserve Bank of Australia is at risk of overshooting its rate hike cycle. On the back of seven consecutive rate hikes, the duo also recommended property owners shop around for a new mortgage, with Leigh providing insider insights on how to get the best rates and what types of cost-cutting deals are currently on market. Arjun also explains how a lending and equity position review can help investors who are on a portfolio-scaling journey. Lastly, the mini brain trust unpacks the housing shortage that is happening across the country and talks about the factors that have brought on the supply squeeze.
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Oct 14, 2022 • 50min

3 is the magic number

On this episode of the Property Nerds, hosts Arjun and Leigh Paliwal sit down to discuss three major topics in the real estate industry. To begin with, they touch on the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest cash rate increase, what the decision spells for future plans, and how it has impacted borrowers. They then analyse the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ latest lending indicators and why the figures “make sense” when sentiment, borrowing capacity and other market factors are considered. They then reveal their must-buy locations around the country and relay what buyers should look for in prospective purchasing areas. In this episode, you will also hear: How your borrowing capacity can end up working against you Detriments of data weighting Understanding the best, middle, and worst-case scenarios
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Sep 16, 2022 • 46min

Stop viewing the property market as ‘feast or famine’

In this special episode, self-proclaimed data nerd Arjun Paliwal is joined by another self-labelled data geek, John Foong, to scrutinise what strategy works best in a market downturn. Arjun, head of research at InvestorKit, sits down with the chief revenue officer at Domain to peruse current market conditions and unpack why a “feast-or-famine” view of the real estate market can result in costly investing mistakes. Drawing from his extensive experience as an investor across different countries and his established career across several industries, John explains why optimising holding phases and taking advantage of buying windows no matter the phase of the market cycle ultimately trumps the timing-the-market investment strategy. The duo also give their predictions for the trends that emerged during the pandemic, such as the tree-change and sea-change trends and pore over the data points (both historical and present) to back their belief that the property market’s current downswing will not be as detrimental as pessimists paint it to be.
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Aug 19, 2022 • 40min

Let’s talk fundamentals — Why the market is far from weak

On the latest episode of The Property Nerds podcast, self-proclaimed data nerds Arjun Paliwal and Leigh Paliwal unpack the major housing market fundamentals and explain why the sky won’t fall on investors any time soon. Arjun, head of research at InvestorKit, and Leigh, director of Hills Finance, debunk the doom-and-gloom narrative parroted by the media by dissecting the different economic, financial, and social fundamentals that are keeping the market in a generally sound state. While they acknowledged that several markets had become weaker compared to last year, Arjun and Leigh provide their data-backed take on why they believe a market rebound is on the horizon in the near term and also share their predictions for market trends in the coming months. To find out more about the markets where the boom is not over yet, check out the 10 regions positioned for further growth.
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Jul 22, 2022 • 45min

Breaking down the 3 property pillars

As the Australian property market undergoes a significant period of change, self-professed data nerds Arjun Paliwal and Leigh Paliwal sit down to discuss and analyse the three core values of the industry: finance, policy and property. Arjun, founder of InvestorKit, and Leigh, director at Hills Finance, talk about the recent increases to the cash rate and discuss the recent forecasts on where this rate will sit come the end of the year. The pair encourage proactivity within Australian households when it comes to their finances, discussing the benefits of refinancing amongst a host of other financial adjustments that can be made. They also dive into the “horrible” changes to Queensland’s land tax before touching on the NSW decision to reform stamp duty offerings to first home buyers. In this episode, you will also hear: - Data analysis of the major market trends - Predictions on future market behaviour - Three big investment tips for the next six months
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Jun 17, 2022 • 50min

The real deal behind the rate hikes

As headlines herald the start of the great Australian property market correction, self-proclaimed data nerds Arjun Paliwal and Leigh Paliwal call on investors to hold their horses and examine the real deal behind the recent interest rate hikes. Arjun, head of research at InvestorKit, and Leigh, director of Hills Finance, explain why the RBA’s latest round of monetary policy tightening should be viewed as a “return to normal” and not the doom-and-gloom scenario as it’s popularly painted to be. With a persisting rental crisis becoming a more prominent issue across the capital market, the nerds also discuss the factors driving the housing supply crisis, lay out long-term and concrete solutions to address the problem, and call on the government and regulators to explore systematic changes that will create a sustainable property market both for investors and owner-occupiers. For a deeper look into the regions where the duo forecasts rental prices will surge, read here: 10 Aussie regions where rents are set to skyrocket.

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