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Risk Parity Radio

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Feb 18, 2021 • 19min

Episode 57: Mailbag Follies And An Analysis Of Managed Futures Fund DBMF (Part 2)

In this episode we discuss a "guest request" email I received and complete our analysis of the managed futures fund DBMF that we began in Episode 55. David Stein's Ten Questions to Master Investing:1.  What is it?2.  Is it an investment, a speculation, or a gamble?3.  What is the upside?4.  What is the downside?5.  Who is on the other side of the trade?6.  What is the investment vehicle?7.  What does it take to be successful?8.  Who is getting a cut?9.  How does it impact your portfolio?10.  Should you invest?Links:DBMF Summary Fact Sheet:  https://www.imgp.com/us/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/iM-DBi-Managed-Futures-Strategy-ETF-4Q20.pdfDBMF Semi-Annual Report:  https://www.imgp.com/us/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/IMDBIETF-Semiannual-f.pdfDBMF Prospectus:  https://www.imgp.com/us/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/im_dbi_etfs_prospectus.pdfAsset Correlation Matrix for DBMF:   https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/asset-correlations?s=y&symbols=DBMF%2C+VTI%2C+TLT%2C+GLD%2C+PDBC&timePeriod=2&tradingDays=60&months=36Support the show
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Feb 14, 2021 • 23min

Episode 56: Portfolio Reviews As Of February 12, 2021 With A Focus On The Golden Ratio Portfolio

This is our weekly portfolio review of the portfolios you can find at: https://www.riskparityradio.com/portfoliosWe also consider three variations of the Golden Ratio Portfolio and compare them with the Vanguard Wellington Fund.   For more on the Golden Ratio portfolio, check out Episodes 6 and 38.Portfoliovisualizer Analysis:  https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-asset-class-allocation?s=y&mode=1&timePeriod=2&startYear=1972&firstMonth=1&endYear=2021&lastMonth=12&calendarAligned=true&includeYTD=false&initialAmount=10000&annualOperation=0&annualAdjustment=0&inflationAdjusted=true&annualPercentage=0.0&frequency=4&rebalanceType=1&absoluteDeviation=5.0&relativeDeviation=25.0&benchmark=-1&benchmarkSymbol=VWELX&portfolioNames=true&portfolioName1=Golden+Ratio&portfolioName2=SHY+Variation&portfolioName3=Emerging+Markets+Variation&asset1=TotalStockMarket&allocation1_1=42&allocation1_2=42&allocation1_3=42&asset2=LongTreasury&allocation2_1=26&allocation2_2=26&allocation2_3=26&asset3=Gold&allocation3_1=16&allocation3_2=16&allocation3_3=16&asset4=REIT&allocation4_1=10&allocation4_3=8&asset5=TreasuryBills&allocation5_1=6&asset6=ShortTreasury&allocation6_2=16&asset7=TIPS&asset8=EmergingMarket&allocation8_3=8Support the show
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Feb 11, 2021 • 27min

Episode 55: Mailbag With Jason And Part One Of An Analysis Of Managed Futures Fund DBMF

In today's episode we answer some questions from Jason P. about setting up a risk-parity style portfolio at M1 and then follow up on our discussion of the Dragon Portfolio (Episode 53) with part one of an analysis of Managed Futures Fund DBMF.Modified Golden Ratio Portfolio With SHY:  Portfolio Visualizer Analysis (portfoliovisualizer.com) David Stein's Ten Questions to Master Investing:1.  What is it?2.  Is it an investment, a speculation, or a gamble?3.  What is the upside?4.  What is the downside?5.  Who is on the other side of the trade?6.  What is the investment vehicle?7.  What does it take to be successful?8.  Who is getting a cut?9.  How does it impact your portfolio?10.  Should you invest?DBMF Summary Fact Sheet:  https://www.imgp.com/us/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/iM-DBi-Managed-Futures-Strategy-ETF-4Q20.pdfDBMF Semi-Annual Report:  https://www.imgp.com/us/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/IMDBIETF-Semiannual-f.pdfDBMF Prospectus:  https://www.imgp.com/us/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/im_dbi_etfs_prospectus.pdfSupport the show
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Feb 7, 2021 • 21min

Episode 54: Portfolio Reviews As Of February 5, 2021 And A Comparison Of The Golden Butterfly With A David Swensen Portfolio

This is our weekly portfolio review of the portfolios you can find at: https://www.riskparityradio.com/portfoliosWe also compare the Golden Butterfly portfolio with a David Swensen portfolio.   For more on the Golden Butterfly, check out Episodes 4, 15, 17 and 36.Links:Swensen Portfolio:  https://portfoliocharts.com/portfolio/swensen-portfolio/Comparison Analysis:  https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-portfolio?s=y&timePeriod=2&startYear=1985&firstMonth=1&endYear=2021&lastMonth=12&calendarAligned=true&includeYTD=false&initialAmount=10000&annualOperation=0&annualAdjustment=0&inflationAdjusted=true&annualPercentage=0.0&frequency=4&rebalanceType=1&absoluteDeviation=5.0&relativeDeviation=25.0&reinvestDividends=true&showYield=false&showFactors=false&factorModel=3&portfolioNames=true&portfolioName1=Golden+Butterfly&portfolioName2=Swenson+Individual&portfolioName3=Portfolio+3&symbol1=VTI&allocation1_1=20&allocation1_2=30&symbol2=IJS&allocation2_1=20&symbol3=TLT&allocation3_1=20&symbol4=SHY&allocation4_1=20&symbol5=GLD&allocation5_1=20&symbol6=VGTSX&allocation6_2=15&symbol7=VEIEX&allocation7_2=5&symbol8=VNQ&allocation8_2=20&symbol9=IEF&allocation9_2=15&symbol10=TIP&allocation10_2=15Support the show
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Feb 3, 2021 • 30min

Episode 53: The Monthly Rant About Financial Mis-wisdom And An Introduction To The Dragon Portfolio

It's that time again!  This month's rant is dedicated to the memory of George Santayana, who said:  "Those who do not remember the past are condemned to repeat it."We also begin a discussion of  Chris Cole's "Dragon Portfolio." Links:"Hawk And Serpent" Paper from Artemis Capital:  https://artemiscm.docsend.com/view/taygkbnInterview of Chris Cole About the Dragon Portfolio:  https://youtu.be/SkfgEZtJ9LASupport the show
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Jan 31, 2021 • 28min

Episode 52: A Listener Question About A 457 And Our Portfolio Reviews As Of January 29, 2021

This is our weekly portfolio review of the sample portfolios you can find at: https://www.riskparityradio.com/portfoliosSince it is also the end of the month, we discuss distributions for the sample portfolios as well.We also tackle a listener question about constructing a risk-parity style portfolio with a limited set of options.To hear more about the Macro-Allocation Principle, listen to Episodes 7 and 37.Support the show
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Jan 27, 2021 • 26min

Episode 51: Listener Questions From Luke And Matt And On Building Your Fortress Of Solitude

In this episode we answer a question from Luke S. about the accumulation phase and one from Matt R. about the Experimental Portfolios.Links:Portfolio Charts Analyzer Tool:  https://portfoliocharts.com/portfolio/my-portfolio/Note that we used a 25% savings rate when we ran our calculations.The Fortress of Solitude Movie Clip (explicit):  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rJjKP8vYjpQSample Portfolios Page:  Portfolios | Risk Parity RadioSupport the show
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Jan 22, 2021 • 7min

Episode 50: Portfolio Reviews As Of January 22, 2021

This is our weekly portfolio review of the portfolios you can find at: https://www.riskparityradio.com/portfoliosSorry it's just a short one!Support the show
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Jan 20, 2021 • 26min

Episode 49: Listener Mailbag With Chris And Tommy And The Bias-Variance Tradeoff

Today we tackle two questions.  Chris wants to drawdown an inherited IRA.  Tommy wants to know about the use of correlations in Risk Parity analyses.Links:RPAR Managers Interview:  https://youtu.be/vCiPDIB6TWgBridgewater Strategy Paper (see page 8 for quadrant map):  http://sdcera.granicus.com/MetaViewer.php?view_id=4&clip_id=75&meta_id=9141Explanation of the Bias-Variance Tradeoff:  https://elitedatascience.com/bias-variance-tradeoffSupport the show
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Jan 17, 2021 • 28min

Episode 48: Portfolio Reviews As Of January 15, 2021 And A Focus On REBALANCING The Accelerated Permanent Portfolio

This is our weekly portfolio review of the portfolios you can find at: https://www.riskparityradio.com/portfoliosAdditional Links:Portfolio Visualizer Analysis of the Original and Accelerated Permanent Portfolios:  https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-portfolio?s=y&timePeriod=2&startYear=1985&firstMonth=1&endYear=2021&lastMonth=12&calendarAligned=true&includeYTD=false&initialAmount=10000&annualOperation=0&annualAdjustment=0&inflationAdjusted=true&annualPercentage=0.0&frequency=4&rebalanceType=5&absoluteDeviation=7.5&relativeDeviation=0.0&showYield=false&reinvestDividends=true&benchmark=VFINX&benchmarkSymbol=VTI&portfolioNames=true&portfolioName1=Accelerated+Permanent+Portfolio&portfolioName2=Permanent+Portfolio&portfolioName3=Portfolio+3&symbol1=UPRO&allocation1_1=25&symbol2=TMF&allocation2_1=27.5&symbol3=PFF&allocation3_1=25&symbol4=GLD&allocation4_1=22.5&allocation4_2=25&symbol5=IJS&symbol6=IEF&symbol7=SHY&allocation7_2=25&symbol8=VTI&allocation8_2=25&symbol9=TLT&allocation9_2=25Optimized Portfolios Site:   https://www.optimizedportfolio.com/category/leverage/Support the show

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