Artemis Live - Insurance-linked securities (ILS), catastrophe bonds (cat bonds), reinsurance

For this one of our sponsor showcase video interviews, for the upcoming Artemis ILS NYC 2022 conference (held April 22nd in New York City), we welcomed Tom Johansmeyer, Head of PCS, part of the Verisk group of companies, and our Headline sponsor for the event.  As ever, we’re looking at the development of the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market with one eye to the future, as is the way with Artemis’ ILS events.  To that end, Tom had some particularly interesting and highly relevant views to share on political violence and also cyber terrorism, two areas of the insurance and reinsurance market that are not yet staple perils for insurance-linked securities (ILS) investors, but that Tom believes could become so in time.  In particular, Tom believes that recent trends are driving increasing risks of political violence, unrest and also cyber attacks, making the development of additional risk capital sources and new risk transfer products to address these exposures increasingly important.

In this episode of the Artemis.bm podcast we review the record year of catastrophe bond issuance that was seen in 2021 and comment on the twenty-five year anniversary of a landmark transaction from late 1996. We also discuss the important role insurance-linked securities (ILS) play as a form of reinsurance capital structure, with the cat bond increasingly a key source of reinsurance, retrocession and importantly insurance capacity for a growing base of sponsors. We also summarise the changes we've made to help you track catastrophe bond and ILS market activity more accurately, explaining decisions taken to enhance our charts and data service for you. Finally, we look ahead to 2022 and discuss some of the potential catalysts that could turn this year into another record-setting one for the catastrophe bond market.

For our latest Artemis Live interview we wanted to understand how the industry loss from Hurricane Ida has been developing and explore the complexities in the reconstruction and recovery that could impact just how high the insurance and reinsurance market loss could rise.  Who better to do that with than executives from Property Claim Services (PCS), a division of Verisk, so we were joined by Tom Johansmeyer, Head of PCS and Ted Gregory, Director of Operations, PCS and ISO Claims Analytics for this video interview.  Estimates for the industry loss from Hurricane Ida still range from as low as $25 billion to as high as $40 billion, sometimes above, so it's clear at this stage there is no consensus.  In order for the market to really understand what’s going on, it’s important to look at the facts on the ground and the claims data flowing through the market from underwriting companies.  Hence, our discussion with PCS in this interview hopes to provide some more detail as to what's being seen on the ground in Louisiana, as well as further afield and how that will potentially influence the continued development of losses from Hurricane Ida.  Listen to this episode to learn more about the on-the-ground situation in Louisiana after Hurricane Ida, as well as to better understand some of the complexities that may drive loss creep and claims amplification.

Our latest Artemis Live video interview saw us exploring the importance of climate risk models in the management of portfolios of reinsurance and insurance-linked securities (ILS), with senior executives from Aeolus Capital Management.  Aeolus' Head of Research, Dr. Pete Dailey, and Partner, and Chief Analytics Officer Frank Fischer, joined us to discuss the importance of climate models in their work and how these tools are improving.  We also explored how Aeolus is leveraging climate modelling, data, and analytics, to inform its portfolio construction and management, asking Dailey and Fischer how they see the use of climate inputs to ILS decision-making evolving.  Taking into account climate change related factors in how reinsurance-related risks are modelled, assessed and selected for portfolios, is deeply integrated into the processes followed by Aeolus.  It's also critical to explain how climate is factored into decision-making, when it comes to having conversations with ILS investors, Dailey and Fischer explained.

Recently we hosted a live webcast in association with Genpact, on the use of technology within the reinsurance space and the importance of data. The insightful discussion explored the industry’s current use of technology and ability to adopt new processes, with a view to what this might mean for the future of the reinsurance market as it looks to progress and innovate. Our panellists for the webcast were from Genpact, Swiss Re, Google and Tremor Technologies and they all agreed that the reinsurance industry's data and tech maturity is increasing, but that there is a lot more to be done. “If I was to think about where the industry is and how it has leveraged the opportunities, I think it’s a little bit of a mixed bag, in my view,” said Sameer Dewan, Global Business and Digital Transformation Leader, Insurance, Genpact. One of the positives, according to Dewan, is that the reinsurance industry in particular has made great strides with its catastrophe risk modelling by leveraging new data sets extensively, and evolving its understanding of natural hazards. Dewan also noted that solid progress is being made around how the market manages its data and governance, although warned that there’s still a long way to go here. “What I mean by that, is it’s not just data within the organization that they have across multiple systems, both manual and some more automated processes, but also how data is managed in the ecosystem and how the data transfer plays out. I think that’s a huge opportunity,” he said. The second piece, he continued, is the under investment in reinsurance core technology. “There are technologies in play, but I don’t think they necessarily meet the needs of the complexities that we have to deal with today. A lot of the work is still performed manually. Having said that, I think we are at a tipping point,” said Dewan.

For our latest interview, we were joined by Tom Johansmeyer, Head of PCS to discuss the issue of cyber risk and ask the question, why isn't it a bigger exposure in the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market?  For almost a decade, the subject of cyber insurance-linked securities (ILS), cyber catastrophe bonds and the ILS fund market as provider of cyber reinsurance, has been a topic of conversation at industry events around the world, our own included.  But years later, the ILS market's ventures in cyber risk remain relatively limited, to some bespoke transactions and exposure picked up silently from other lines of business. Why is that?  Tom Johansmeyer and I explored some of the reasons behind this. Asking questions such as does the ILS market even want cyber risk? Is a lack of data, risk models and industry loss events still a limiting factor? How big an issue are ransomware losses right now? What could catalyse the need for more risk capital? And, why is cyber reinsurance and retro so dysfunctional right now.

We recently hosted a webcast in partnership with Vesttoo, where the discussion focused on innovative approaches to insurance and reinsurance linked investments.  Our expert panellists discussed opportunities for investors to access high frequency, low severity insurance asset classes.  Viewers heard how the market for insurance and reinsurance linked investments continues to develop, with new routes becoming available to help investors access what is an expanding asset class.  Also discussed, were thoughts around how innovative approaches, such as pooling or asset-based collateralization, can enable asset managers to buy into these risks, earning spread from the uncorrelated risk of non-catastrophe insurance and reinsurance premiums on top of current yields.  Our panel guests included: Yaniv Bertele, Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Vesttoo; Mattias Eng, Head of Insurance Solutions, Securis Investment Partners LLP; Hedwige Nuyens, Managing Director, International Banking Federation; and Sam Gaynor, Co-Head Financial Services Practice, Altamont Capital Partners.  Our industry experts agreed that the low volatility and projectable cash flows offered by high frequency, low severity perils in areas such as casualty insurance or reinsurance, are increasingly gaining attention from more experienced investors looking for relatively uncorrelated returns and higher yields.

We were recently joined by Christian Mumenthaler, Chief Executive Officer of one of the world's largest reinsurance company's Swiss Re, who discussed the state of the market, his outlook, the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market and what his priorities are for 2022 in this interview.  On reinsurance market pricing, Mumenthaler told us, "I’m really pleased that the industry overall has taken the right steps and we’re back into an acceptable area." But he warned of the need for rate adequacy to persist across reinsurance, saying that climate risks suggest further rate increases will be necessary.  Mumenthaler also explained how Swiss Re's alternative capital and insurance-linked securities (ILS) business is developing, highlighting the importance of this to the company.  He said that he expects more opportunities to deploy alternative capital overtime, with the capital markets an important partner for the reinsurance company he leads.  The Swiss Re CEO is bullish on opportunities for the capital markets to assist in narrowing natural catastrophe protection gaps and also to provide risk capital to support challenging areas of insurance coverage, such as event cancellation.

At our recent virtual ILS Asia 2021 conference we held a panel discussion focused on accessing new and diversifying sources of risk from the Asia region. Much of the ILS market is still focused on catastrophe risks, being the pre-dominant component of the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market. But increasingly there is appetite among investors for more, while insurers and reinsurers are keen to access efficient risk capital for a much broader set of risks. And that holds true in Asia Pacific as much as anywhere else. So, this panel discussion is focused on the opportunity in non-catastrophe risks in Asia, why ILS capital may be well suited to some of these and how the market can develop over-time into something attractive and diversifying, while making useful risk capital available to cedents. Speakers explained that some of the advantages of participating in non-cat ILS, for investors, includes being able to hedge some of the risk exposure linked with market risk and cat dominant portfolios. While also highlighting some unique challenges facing the region, including changing regulations and demographics which can differ from country-to-country. Speakers also acknowledged that there is a long-way to go for the Asian market to embrace ILS capital across the risk spectrum, but that opportunities exist to begin making headway.

Paul Schultz, CEO of Aon Securities, joined us for our recent ILS Asia 2021 conference and gave a keynote speech on ILS market developments across the Asia Pacific region. Schultz explained that while Singapore is now an active hub for catastrophe bonds and insurance-linked securities (ILS) and with Hong Kong primed to issue its first deal this year as well, regional sponsor participation can help to ensure their sustainability as ILS domiciles. For an ILS domicile to be successful, Schultz highlighted the need for a strong regulatory framework and also the need for strong regional service providers. Schultz explained that at Aon Securities, "We think that the growth over the last couple of years has been substantial and we’re excited about what that really means for the sustainability of Singapore and ultimately Hong Kong into the region.” “Hong Kong, we really believe will help facilitate bringing more Chinese issuers, or sponsors to market. We’re really excited about that. Obviously there’s been some coverage in the press already around some anticipated transactions that will be facilitated using Hong Kong. “We’re excited about that just being part of the industry. And, we believe that, again, over time, the flexibility that comes through either Singapore or soon to be Hong Kong, we think will actually enable future issuance in the region, and allow for future growth,” said Schultz.