Daniel Davis Deep Dive

Daniel Davis
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Mar 11, 2025 • 45min

BREAKING: Ukraine Agrees to 30 Day Ceasefire/WIll Russia?

The presentation covers breaking news from Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, where U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Mike Waltz met with Ukrainian representatives for over four hours. They announced that Ukraine has agreed to a ceasefire and immediate negotiations to end the war in a sustainable way. The U.S. credited Saudi Arabia for facilitating the discussions and expressed hope that Russia would accept the offer. As a result of Ukraine's commitment, the U.S. is lifting its pause on military aid and intelligence support to Ukraine.However, skepticism remains about Russia’s willingness to agree. Russian officials, including President Vladimir Putin and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, have consistently rejected ceasefires that do not come with a long-term peace agreement that meets their demands. The report suggests that Russia views ceasefires as opportunities for Ukraine to rearm rather than genuine steps toward peace.Complicating matters further, just before the talks, Ukraine launched a massive drone strike—the largest ever—against Russia, hitting targets in Moscow and other areas. The strike, which included civilian areas, is expected to provoke a strong Russian response rather than encourage negotiations. Reports indicate that Russian forces continue advancing into Ukrainian territory, particularly in the Sumy region, suggesting that Russia sees no incentive to pause its operations.The presentation concludes that unless Russia has a major change of strategy, it is unlikely to accept a ceasefire under current conditions. The upcoming visit of U.S. negotiator Steve Witkoff to Moscow is expected to be unproductive, as Russia maintains its position that it will not stop fighting until a formal, enforceable peace agreement is reached.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Mar 10, 2025 • 45min

LIVE from Russia: fmr CIA Analyst Larry Johnson

The presentation recounts a discussion with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, focusing on historical grievances, diplomacy, and ongoing tensions between Russia, Ukraine, and the West. Key points include:Lavrov’s Persona – He is described as a professional and unassuming diplomat with a good sense of humor, contrasting with more self-important Western figures.Historical Context & Trust Issues – Lavrov emphasized that Russia takes historical agreements seriously and views the West’s actions over the past 34 years as a series of betrayals, from NATO expansion to the Minsk agreements and the failed 2022 Istanbul peace talks.Russia’s Position on Peace Talks – Lavrov reiterated President Putin’s conditions for negotiations, which include Ukraine stopping military actions in Russian-claimed territories, renouncing NATO ambitions, holding new elections, and recognizing Russia’s territorial claims.Skepticism Toward Western Diplomacy – The Russians remain wary of Western promises and are cautiously optimistic about potential discussions with Trump, though they do not fully trust his public statements.Ukraine Conflict & NATO Presence – Lavrov firmly rejected NATO peacekeepers in Ukraine under any flag, warning that any such deployment would be unacceptable.Perceptions of U.S. Politics – Russian officials view American diplomacy as inconsistent and chaotic, pointing to figures like Lindsey Graham, who frequently change positions on Ukraine.Future Outlook – Unless Ukraine meets Russia’s conditions, Lavrov suggests that Russia will continue its military actions, believing Ukraine is incapable of stopping them.The overarching message is that Russia feels justified in its position, distrusts the West, and remains resolute in its demands while being open to negotiations under strict terms.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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9 snips
Mar 10, 2025 • 59min

NO Common Ground in U.S. Ukraine Peace Talks w/Col Jacques Baud

The presentation discusses a high-level diplomatic meeting in Saudi Arabia involving delegations from the United States, Ukraine, and Saudi officials. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is meeting with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, while U.S. Secretary Rubio is engaging with Saudi representatives. A joint meeting between the U.S. and Ukraine is also planned in Jeddah, though there are uncertainties about its purpose and expected outcomes.Key points include:US-Ukraine Negotiation Standoff: The U.S. reportedly wants Ukraine to consider negotiations with Russia, but Ukraine is reluctant, fearing it has no leverage and that any agreement would be on Russia's terms. Ukraine also has backing from the European Union in refusing talks.Diverging Interests: The Trump administration (post-January transition) sees the conflict as a liability inherited from Biden and wants to disengage. European leaders, however, have been deeply involved in supporting Ukraine from the start and find it difficult to reverse their position.Russia’s Perspective: Russia justifies its invasion as a protective measure for Russian-speaking populations in Ukraine, framing it as a continuation of its past interventions, such as in Georgia in 2008. It also claims NATO expansion and Ukraine’s 2021 decree to reclaim Crimea triggered the war.Western Narrative vs. Russian Narrative: The West portrays Russia’s actions as an expansionist attempt to restore Soviet-era influence, while Russia insists it is addressing the "root causes" of the conflict—mainly what it sees as aggression against Russian-speaking populations.Potential Outcomes: The discussion highlights a gap between expectations—Ukraine and the EU seeking a return to pre-2014 borders, while Russia insists on recognizing current territorial realities. The lack of alignment on peace terms makes meaningful negotiations difficult.The conversation emphasizes the challenges of diplomatic resolution, given the entrenched positions and geopolitical stakes for all parties involved.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Mar 10, 2025 • 46min

BREAKING: Ukraine Army Collapsing in Kursk / Russia Surrounds Ukrainian Soldiers

The presentation details a major shift in the battlefield situation in the Kursk incursion, a conflict that has been ongoing for seven months. It reports the collapse of Ukrainian defensive lines, with entire units retreating toward the city of Sudzha. Russian forces have made significant advances in multiple directions, capturing key settlements and cutting off Ukrainian supply lines.The discussion highlights how the Ukrainian incursion into Russian territory was initially seen as a strategic success to boost morale and divert Russian forces from the eastern front. However, Russia reportedly anticipated the move and allowed Ukrainian troops to enter a "cauldron" where they were gradually worn down through airstrikes, artillery, and direct engagements.A key moment in the collapse was a sophisticated Russian maneuver involving a gas pipeline. Russian troops moved through the pipeline undetected for 16 kilometers, emerging behind Ukrainian lines near Sudzha, causing panic and mass withdrawals. This maneuver, along with coordinated airstrikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure, showcased Russia's growing operational sophistication.The broader analysis argues that Russia’s primary goal is not territorial acquisition but the systematic destruction of Ukrainian forces, aligning with its stated objectives of "demilitarization and denazification." The speaker also notes that this strategy has allowed Russia to maintain pressure on multiple fronts without compromising its positions elsewhere.The presentation concludes by emphasizing that this operation demonstrates increasing Russian military competence, particularly in operational planning and execution, and suggests that Western observers should take note of these developments.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Mar 8, 2025 • 54min

Trump wants PEACE/ EU wants WAR

The presentation argues that President Trump is actively working to bring peace to the Russia-Ukraine war, while Europe and Ukraine claim to want peace but continue actions that sustain the conflict. Russia, meanwhile, is preparing for both peace and potential further war. The speaker emphasizes that Trump is focused on preventing escalation, particularly avoiding a broader war involving the U.S. and NATO.A key point is that Trump has halted intelligence sharing with Ukraine, which some critics, including John Bolton, view as a move favoring Russia. Trump, however, justifies this decision as a means to push Ukraine toward peace, suggesting that without U.S. support, Ukraine cannot sustain the fight. He is described as approaching the situation with a cost-benefit mindset, seeing continued U.S. support as both futile and potentially dangerous for global stability.The presentation critiques the Biden administration’s approach, arguing that its policy sought to weaken Russia at the cost of massive Ukrainian casualties and long-term European instability. The speaker suggests that Europe is unwilling to acknowledge reality—that Ukraine cannot win—and that European leaders, except figures like Viktor Orbán, are still pushing policies that have weakened their own military and economies.The discussion ends by questioning why the European Union is committing to further military spending ($800 billion in the "Rearm Europe" plan) when Russia did not pose a threat before the war. The speaker implies that Western support for Ukraine has provoked Russia rather than ensured European security, and that prolonging the war is detrimental to all parties involved.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Mar 7, 2025 • 43min

Russia Bombards Ukraine While Diplomats Timidly Ponder

The presentation discusses the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, highlighting the deteriorating situation for Ukraine as Russia continues its bombardment. It draws a comparison to the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, suggesting that Ukraine is facing a crisis of confidence while Russia grows more emboldened.Key points include:Western Diplomacy's Limitations: Western diplomats are seeking a favorable deal for Ukraine, but the speaker argues that such a deal does not exist.U.S. Stance Under Trump: Trump and his administration express frustration with Ukraine's leadership, with Trump stating it may be easier to negotiate with Russia. His team emphasizes the need for Ukraine to engage in negotiations rather than continuing a losing battle.Military Realities: The presentation claims Ukraine has suffered 30 months of losses despite receiving extensive Western military aid, making further support appear futile.Russia’s Resilience: Historical examples of Russian military endurance, including WWII, are cited to suggest that Russia will not stop until it achieves its objectives.Strategic Shift: The presentation argues that the West needs to recognize Russia’s determination and adjust its approach accordingly, instead of hoping for a Ukrainian military breakthrough.Overall, the presentation suggests that Ukraine is losing ground, Western efforts are ineffective, and Russia is poised to achieve its war goals through attrition and persistence.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Mar 7, 2025 • 47min

Another Meeting - NO Zelensky this time w/Matthew Hoh

The presentation discusses an upcoming meeting between U.S. and Ukrainian officials in Saudi Arabia, with a notable absence of President Zelensky. The conversation features Matt Hoh, a former Marine and State Department official, who provides insights into the geopolitical dynamics at play.Key points include:Trump's Perspective on Ukraine-Russia Negotiations: President Trump suggests that negotiating with Russia may be easier than dealing with Ukraine, as Russia holds the upper hand militarily and strategically.Ukraine’s Reluctance to Negotiate: Hoh argues that the Ukrainian government has much to lose from a peace deal, as it risks losing its political power and financial support from the U.S. and Western allies. He compares this situation to the Afghan government’s reliance on U.S. aid.Financial and Industrial Interests: The discussion highlights the role of major financial institutions like BlackRock and the military-industrial complex, which have vested interests in prolonging the war to maintain lucrative contracts.Zelensky’s Missed Opportunity: The conversation criticizes Zelensky for not embracing a strategic minerals deal with the U.S., which could have solidified U.S. investment and support in Ukraine.Withholding U.S. Military Aid: The U.S. administration, under Trump, has paused military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine, a move described as a strategic warning to push Ukraine toward negotiations.Overall, the presentation portrays the Ukraine conflict as influenced not just by military factors but also by financial and political interests, with Trump’s administration seeking to push for a settlement while navigating complex geopolitical stakes.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Mar 6, 2025 • 36min

LIVE from Russia: War Correspondent Johnny Miller

The presentation features journalist Johnny Miller discussing his views on the Ukraine-Russia war, media censorship, and Western policies. He argues that advocating for peace between Europe and Russia has become controversial due to widespread political repression. Miller criticizes NATO and Western governments for fueling the war rather than pursuing diplomatic solutions. He believes Ukraine is losing the conflict and that European interests are suffering.Miller, who has reported from various war zones, initially covered the war from Kyiv but later moved to Russian-controlled territories. He claims that Western media suppresses perspectives that critique NATO's role in the war and that journalists who do so face persecution. Due to his reporting, he sought political asylum in Russia, fearing arrest if he returned to the UK.Miller asserts that Crimea and other Russian-controlled regions are largely pro-Russian and that many residents prefer stability over returning to Ukrainian rule. He describes Russia as a relatively free society despite Western portrayals of it as an authoritarian state. He also suggests that Ukraine will eventually have to cede territory to achieve peace. Lastly, he emphasizes the difficulty of finding work as a journalist promoting better relations with Russia, given the dominant Western media narrative.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Mar 6, 2025 • 36min

The Cold Truth: Europe Seeks War w/Russia, not Peace Lt Col Daniel Davis

The presentation argues that while Western leaders claim to seek a "just and lasting peace" in the Russia-Ukraine war, their actions—such as increasing military aid and pushing for massive defense spending—suggest they are preparing for a larger war with Russia. The speaker highlights a growing ideological divide between the West and Russia regarding what peace actually means.Key points include:European Union leaders, including Ursula von der Leyen, have proposed an €800 billion defense plan to "rearm Europe" and strengthen Ukraine.Western leaders, including French President Emmanuel Macron, frame Russia as an ongoing threat, justifying further military escalation.The West's definition of peace seems to involve weakening Russia while strengthening Ukraine, which may prolong the conflict rather than resolve it.Russian officials, including Sergey Lavrov, claim they seek an end to the war but blame the West for fueling the conflict.The speaker critiques Western policymakers for ignoring historical lessons about war, suggesting their strategy could lead to an unwinnable, catastrophic conflict.He compares the current situation to Cold War-era military buildups, warning that continued escalation increases the risk of global war, including nuclear conflict.Overall, the presentation is highly critical of Western policies, portraying them as unrealistic and dangerous, potentially leading to an avoidable and devastating war.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Mar 5, 2025 • 44min

How Long Can Ukraine Last - Without US Military Aid & Intel?

The presentation discusses the impact of the U.S. halting military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine, raising concerns about how long the Ukrainian army can hold out. It highlights that without American support, Ukraine’s military situation could deteriorate rapidly, with estimates suggesting that it could buckle within four months. However, the speaker argues that this might be overly optimistic due to the crucial role of morale in warfare.Former President Trump is portrayed as eager to end the war, viewing it as unwinnable and a distraction from larger geopolitical priorities. His administration has paused aid, and there are no plans to resume it. Trump has engaged in discussions with both Ukraine and Russia, signaling a push toward negotiations. Ukrainian President Zelensky initially resisted but later sent a letter suggesting readiness for talks. However, his subsequent public statements indicated continued reliance on European support and a commitment to military resistance, leading to doubts about his sincerity.The speaker contends that Russia, seeing Ukraine’s declining resources and morale, has no incentive to negotiate and is likely to press forward militarily. European nations are mentioned as continuing to support Ukraine, though their contributions have been inconsistent. The argument concludes that prolonging the conflict without a viable path to victory only results in unnecessary casualties and that Ukraine should recognize when to negotiate rather than persist in a losing battle.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

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