Stats + Stories

A journalist, statistician and sound engineer walk into a bar. Well, well, actually, to a studio to record a podcast. Comedians have been a source of great amusement and delight over generations. Popular comedians can earn a great deal from their live shows. In 2023 billboard reported that Kevin Hart earned 67, and a half 1 million dollars from 82 shows with 631,000 tickets sold. Comedies are also a popular genre for television and movies. One of the most successful shows, Seinfeld, created by Jerry Seinfeld and Larry David ran from 1989 to 1998. Have you ever noticed an echo of one of your favorite comedians from the past in the work of a comedian today that’s the topic of this week’s episode of Stats+Stories with guest Sachin Date. Sachin Date works for VitalEdge Technologies and has, over his career, worked in two research labs, three software companies including two product companies, and in a classroom. He has built and delivered all kinds of software including massively distributed discrete-time simulations, data science stacks, a new programming language, and dozens of mobile apps, including the world’s first Napster app for Blackberries. Along the way, Sachin taught 100 liberal arts majors how to program in BASIC and built a mobile applications practice from scratch.

Powerball, Mega Millions Cash for Life and more. Missouri offers many games of chance that have potential benefits for the players and guaranteed benefits for the State. In fact, the Missouri Lottery has contributed about 3 to 4% of the annual State funding for public education in the State of Missouri, more than 8 billion dollars to the State since 1986. These games describe the chances that a player will win a given game, often using calculations common in a probability class, such as permutations and combinations. So what happens if you check the calculations and you find that the calculations are not correct. A tale of lottery calculations, checked and fixed, is the focus of this episode of Stats and Stories. Dr. Matthew McIntosh is an Assistant Teaching Professor in the Department of Statistics at the University of Missouri. Before transitioning into academia, Dr. McIntosh spent nearly three decades in clinical research, bringing valuable real-world insights to his teaching and research. In the Spring of 2023, he developed the Keno Project, an initiative aimed at correcting the displayed odds of winning the Keno lottery game in state lotteries, with a focus on engaging undergraduate students in statistical research. The project's first manuscript has been accepted for publication in Significance magazine. His research interests include power analysis, sample size determination, and promoting undergraduate research in statistics. Dr. McIntosh’s recent publications in sample size calculations focus on multiple linear regression and multivariate one-sided hypothesis tests. In 2018, outside his university work, Dr. McIntosh created statisticsmatt, a YouTube channel that offers tutorials and educational content for both undergraduate and graduate statistics students.  Joseph is a senior studying Mechanical Engineering with a minor in Mathematics at the University of Missouri. Since his sophomore year, he has contributed to the Keno Project, using statistical models to derive accurate odds for the lottery game Keno, addressing discrepancies often found on state lottery playslips and websites. His work, which has been accepted for publication in Significance magazine, marks a key milestone in his academic journey. As an active member of the Mizzou Racing team, Joseph helps design and build a formula-style car from the ground up, gaining hands-on experience in motorsport engineering. This aligns with his goal of pursuing a career in motorsport, with the ultimate aim of working in Formula 1. He has also completed several engineering internships, honing his technical skills in various areas of the field.  Gary G. McIntosh, CLU has for the past 15 years of semi-retirement, has dedicated his efforts to establishing Allen County’s Your Community Foundation, where he currently serves as an active advisor. His team focuses on fostering community engagement and promoting growth through education and collaboration.He has held leadership roles in several organizations, including the Jaycees, Chamber of Commerce, and as both City and County Commissioner. He has also served as an at-large board member for School District 257 and as a trustee for Allen Community College.

How important is it for businesses to increase their profits each year or offer fair wages to workers of all types? How do you think businesses are doing in these areas or, even in other areas, such as operating in a way that is sustainable for the environment and the planet? A Gallup poll of more than 5700 people provided responses to these questions and it was natural to ask how these questions might be connected and whether the pattern of connection differed between groups. Using networks to understand the connection between opinions about how businesses function is the focus of this episode of Stats and Stories with guests Dr. Moinak Bhaduri and Bahareh Zahirodini. Dr. Moinak Bhaduri is an assistant professor at Bently University and studies spatio-temporal Poisson processes and others like the self-exciting Hawkes or log Dr. Gaussian Cox processes that are natural generalizations. His primary interest includes developing change-detection algorithms in systems modeled by these stochastic processes, especially through trend permutations. His research has found applications in computer science, finance, reliability and repairable systems, geoscience, and oceanography. Follow some of Moinak's work using the links below. Bahareh Zahirodini, MSBA, is a research assistant working alongside Dr. Moinak Bhaduri at the Department of Mathematical Sciences, Bentley University in Massachusetts. Her research interests lie in financial modeling with an emphasis on social issues. Bahareh served as a research and teaching assistant and as a trading room analyst at the Hughey Center for Financial Services at Bentley. (10/10/2024)

James J. Cochran is associate dean for research with the University of Alabama’s Culverhouse College. He is also professor of statistics and the Rogers-Spivey Research Fellow. Ryan McNeill is the London-based deputy editor for the Reuters global data team. During his more than 10 years at Reuters, he has worked on investigations revealing underground markets for adopted children, America’s failure to prepare for sea-level rise, failures by governments across the US to stop the spread of antibiotic resistant infections, the scale of Africa’s illicit gold flows to Dubai, how and where humans are raising the risk of zoonotic spillover around the globe, and ethnic cleansing in Sudan. In 2024, he was part of teams that won two Overseas Press Club of America Awards, using satellite imagery and remote sensing methods to document human rights violations – such as the burning of villages and documentation of mass graves in Darfur – and reveal how humans are raising the risk of another global pandemic.

A long pass down the sideline is caught in bounds. Or was it? The referees ruled it a catch, but the opposing team was unconvinced. In the NFL there's a way to challenge a referee call that comes with a potential risk which is the focus of this week's episode of Stats+Stories. Dr. Mike Orkin is a Professor of Statistics Emeritus at California State University, where he was a professor and chair of the statistics department for many years before becoming a consultant and a nationally known authority on probability and gambling games. Since then he has appeared in numerous forms of media ranging from CBS Evening News, NBC’s Dateline, a Google Tech Talk series as well as authored serval books.

Bo Li, is an associate professor in Sport Leadership and Management department. He teaches sport administration, sport marketing and sport public relations. His research has been mainly focused on sport digital media and branding. He has previously co-edited the book Sport and the Pandemic: Perspectives on Covid-19’s Impact on the Sport Industry, Sport Administration, and Governance and Administration of Global Sport Business. His research interests lie in the intersection of digital media, mass media, branding, and consumer behaviors. Specifically, my scholarship aims to advance our understanding of how various forms of media are used to connect with customers at different levels. He has authored over 40 peer-reviewed academic manuscripts. His works have been published in leading academic journals including Sport Management Review, Communication & Sport, Journal of Media, Culture, and Society, International Journal of Sport Marketing and Sponsorship, International Journal of Sport Communication, Sport Marketing Quarterly, International Journal of Sport Finance and Journal of Sport Media. (9/18/2024)

Wendy Martinez has been serving as the Director of the Mathematical Statistics Research Center at the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for six years. Prior to this, she served in several research positions throughout the Department of Defense. She held the position of Science and Technology Program Officer at the Office of Naval Research, where she established a research portfolio comprised of academia and industry performers developing data science products for the future Navy and Marine Corps. She was honored by the American Statistical Association when she received the ASA Founders Award at the JSM 2017 conference. Wendy is also proud and grateful to have been elected as the 2020 ASA President.

Sports generate a lot of data among them individual player metrics, team performance data, and specific game statistics. And there are a lot of tools to crunch all those numbers. Learning to use them can be a challenge and is the focus of many sport analytics classes offered in the United States. We hear about one professor’s approach to teaching sports stats in this episode of Stats and Stories, where we explore the statistics behind the stories with guest Mark Glickman. Glickman is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association, a Senior Lecturer on Statistics in the Harvard University Department of Statistics, and Senior Statistician at the Center for Healthcare Organization and Implementation Research. His research interests are primarily in the areas of statistical models for rating competitors in games and sports, and in statistical methods applied to problems in health services research. He served as an elected member of the American Statistical Association's Board of Directors as representative of the Council of Sections Governing Board from 2019 to 2021.

It’s that time of year again. The summer is still in full swing, but it’s time to get bookbags on backs and butts in seats to start the new school year. To celebrate we’re rolling out another Stats+Stories throwback episode where we are going to dip into the vault and highlight some great episodes you might have missed. From Mine Çetinkaya-Rundel talking about new ways to teach statistics, to Helaine Alessio on problems that come to online test proctoring and finally Dashiell Young-Saver who is Texas based high school stats teacher on a mission to get students excited about the subject. Thank you for listening and come back next week for a new episode of Stats+Stories about sports statistics and good luck to all of our academic audience members.

Dr. James Hanley is a professor of biostatistics in the Faculty of Medicine at McGill University. His work has received several awards including the Statistical Society of Canada Award for Impact of Applied and Collaborative Work and the Canadian Society of Epidemiology and Biostatistics: Lifetime Achievement Award.