Oxide and Friends Twitter Space: March 21st, 2022Trolltron, Assemble!We’ve been holding a Twitter Space weekly on Mondays at 5p for about an hour. Even though it’s not (yet?) a feature of Twitter Spaces, we have been recording them all; here is the recording for our Twitter Space for March 21st, 2022.In addition to Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal, speakers on March 21st included Antranig Vartanian, Dan Cross, Ian, jasonbking, Jason Ozolins, Ken and Drew Vogel. (Did we miss your name and/or get it wrong? Drop a PR!)Some of the topics we hit on, in the order that we hit them:[@9:23](https://youtu.be/WrEef_bsWas?t=563) I was learning from people who were further down the track than I was Startups can have problems when founders fail to learn from the experiences of others[@12:43](https://youtu.be/WrEef_bsWas?t=763) Dan: hubris of youth is an age old problem, see middle ages nobilityFor some “child wonders”, their childhood is effectively sacrificed because their adulthood arrives too early[@16:22](https://youtu.be/WrEef_bsWas?t=982) When I went to school, there was a math prodigy.. Challenging operating system course[@25:44](https://youtu.be/WrEef_bsWas?t=1544) Ian: for early accelerated learners, the work is easy until it isn’t. They didn’t need to spend long hours studying, so they didn’t practice it. > You have to take that youthful ego, and gently massacre it. Then build them upThe Dropout series, premiered March 2022[@31:26](https://youtu.be/WrEef_bsWas?t=1886) Jason O: praising ability vs effort, negative effects[@34:55](https://youtu.be/WrEef_bsWas?t=2095) 30 under 30, and such thingsEmpathy, learning to compromise, learning from being a parent[@41:04](https://youtu.be/WrEef_bsWas?t=2464) How venture views human capital Student loans, (some predatory lenders)Does making a young person comfy lead to their best work?Taking a share of future earnings, kinda demotivating. Misaligned incentivesLambda school, coding bootcamps. Fixed costs and incoming sharing[@50:17](https://youtu.be/WrEef_bsWas?t=3017) Sourcing these kids? “You’re a baseball card for someone” story, why are these kids at this party??[@57:40](https://youtu.be/WrEef_bsWas?t=3460) Sometimes kids who are extremely comfortable aren’t terribly motivated to put in the hours[@59:25](https://youtu.be/WrEef_bsWas?t=3565) Drew: Income sharing and other schemes to pay for education Ken: doesn’t feel like kids would be set up for success[@1:04:07](https://youtu.be/WrEef_bsWas?t=3847) Background beef leading to this hairy scheme Some entrepreneurs have trouble seeing the role of luck in their successThiel Fellowship wikiIf we got something wrong or missed something, please file a PR! Our next Twitter space will likely be on Monday at 5p Pacific Time; stay tuned to our Twitter feeds for details. We’d love to have you join us, as we always love to hear from new speakers!

Oxide and Friends Twitter Space: March 14th, 2022UkraineWe’ve been holding a Twitter Space weekly on Mondays at 5p for about an hour. Even though it’s not (yet?) a feature of Twitter Spaces, we have been recording them all; here is the recording for our Twitter Space for March 14th, 2022.In addition to Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal, we were joined by special guest Andrey Akselrod.Some of the topics we hit on, in the order that we hit them:If you’re interested in donating to support Ukrainians, Andrey recommends Nova Ukraine[@1:52](https://youtu.be/EdJU8mSWzQk?t=112) Andrey introduces himself, background in computing[@11:20](https://youtu.be/EdJU8mSWzQk?t=68) Andrey talks about where he lived in Ukraine, DniproConfluence of culturesMoves to New York[@22:53](https://youtu.be/EdJU8mSWzQk?t=1373) Events of 2014, family and coworkers in Ukraine Crimea[@29:12](https://youtu.be/EdJU8mSWzQk?t=1752) Earlier disputed regions (Crimea, Donbas) and relations to current events Ukrainian national identity[@38:21](https://youtu.be/EdJU8mSWzQk?t=2301) Armed forces, self governance Business as usual, life goes on[@44:45](https://youtu.be/EdJU8mSWzQk?t=2685) Characterizing Ukraine as European democracy, and economic functions/trade Nuclear reactors[@49:12](https://youtu.be/EdJU8mSWzQk?t=2952) Invasion Leadership disconnect with reality[@1:02:28](https://youtu.be/EdJU8mSWzQk?t=3748) Family still in Dnipro Electronic communicationsKids understanding of what’s happening[@1:07:59](https://youtu.be/EdJU8mSWzQk?t=4079) How to help?[@1:16:50](https://youtu.be/EdJU8mSWzQk?t=4610) Andrey’s coworkers and team members remaining in Ukraine > Yes it’s war, but, the economy needs to continue to be healthy.[@1:21:24](https://youtu.be/EdJU8mSWzQk?t=4884) Where is this going?If we got something wrong or missed something, please file a PR! Our next Twitter space will likely be on Monday at 5p Pacific Time; stay tuned to our Twitter feeds for details. We’d love to have you join us, as we always love to hear from new speakers!

Oxide and Friends Twitter Space: March 7th, 2022The Future Of WorkWe’ve been holding a Twitter Space weekly on Mondays at 5p for about an hour. Even though it’s not (yet?) a feature of Twitter Spaces, we have been recording them all; here is the recording for our Twitter Space for March 7th, 2022.In addition to Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal, speakers on March 7th included Lucas Ives, Dan McDonald, Steve Tuck, Ian, Matt Campbell, MattSci, Jim Rybarski, Austin, Aaron Goldman, Jake Demarest-Mays, Jason Ozolins, Tom Lyon, Timon, Matthew Amdur, jasonbking, and Horace. (Did we miss your name and/or get it wrong? Drop a PR!)Some of the topics we hit on, in the order that we hit them:[@8:15](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=495) Lucas’ storyRemote before pandemic, comparisons[@16:29](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=989) Sidebar chat, backchannel[@22:49](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=1369) Pre-recorded talks, speaker commenting in chat engaging with questions Multitasking during meetings, different from in-person single-threaded meetingsRecording meetings for later reviewHolding onto a thought may detract from fully listening to another’s point[@34:40](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=2080) Oxide’s full team meetup, what did they focus on?[@38:01](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=2281) Austin’s remote experience[@44:30](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=2670) Dan’s question: remote employees “pilgrimage” back to home often, how often?[@50:23](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=3023) Disadvantages to full remote?[@56:15](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=3375) Jake’s experience, asynchronous work style Meetings as unprepared group think sessions, not valuable as decision makingRequests for discussion, as decision making tools[@1:02:29](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=3749) Jason: service delivery vs product delivery Class devision between “the desked” and “the un-desked”[@1:07:17](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=4037) Is “back to office” about command and control? Other factors: big tech companies receive substantial local subsidies[@1:14:00](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=4440) Timon on working in different timezones Recorded meetings/discussions as valuable contentPandemic boosted remote work tool quality[@1:23:32](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=5012) Difficulties with remote? Building rapport, judging emotions and nuanced communicationOrganic, unplanned communications with in-person office spaces (watercooler)[@1:33:24](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=5604) Matt: remote work as cost savings?Value of “down time” communication, unstructured[@1:43:50](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=6230) Starting career, making connections, in all-remote world[@1:47:58](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=6478) Future of remote work since pandemic[@1:51:30](https://youtu.be/GTluipbKeII?t=6690) Horace’s experience with remote workIf we got something wrong or missed something, please file a PR! Our next Twitter space will likely be on Monday at 5p Pacific Time; stay tuned to our Twitter feeds for details. We’d love to have you join us, as we always love to hear from new speakers!

Oxide and Friends Twitter Space: February 21st, 2022Engineering CultureWe’ve been holding a Twitter Space weekly on Mondays at 5p for about an hour. Even though it’s not (yet?) a feature of Twitter Spaces, we have been recording them all; here is the recording for our Twitter Space for February 21st, 2022.In addition to Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal, speakers on February 21st included Tom Lyon, Tom Killalea, Ian, Antranig Vartanian, Matt Campbell, Simeon Miteff, Matt Ranney and Aaron Hartwig. (Did we miss your name and/or get it wrong? Drop a PR!)Some of the topics we hit on, in the order that we hit them:Alex Heath’s tweet on FB meeting about updated values: “meta, metamates, me”[@4:44](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=284) Can an established company “change its values” in any sense?[@8:43](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=523) Draw the owl > Twilio CEO: Yes, it was a meme, but it’s a great representation of our job. > There is no instruction book and no one is going to tell us how to do our work. > It’s now woven into our culture and used as a cheeky, but encouraging reply to > those who email colleagues at Twilio asking how to do something.[@12:42](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=762) How do you establish engineering culture? Copy-paste values?[@20:44](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=1244) When are values set down in a company’s history? Amazon’s brand image, expanding beyond booksAssessing values when hiring[@27:51](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=1671) Principles vs values Principles are absolutes, cannot be taken too farValues are about relative importance, in balance with other valuesACM Code of EthicsRelative importance of values. Can some values be learned, while others cannot?[@45:11](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=2711) “Turn-around CEOs”, trying to change an established company culture[@47:39](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=2859) Sun culture, early days[@54:32](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=3272) Connection between values and business model Urgency in context, requires nuance[@1:03:37](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=3817) Values on the wall. When are values simply ignored? Jack Handey wiki, Deep Thoughts recurring SNL short sketches, eg Thanksgiving ~30secs“Sharpen fast”[@1:13:49](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=4429) What are the important things to get set early? Bryan and Adam on Joyent and Delphix[@1:22:05](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=4925) Matt Ranney on his time at Uber Trying to shape an established cultureLeadership’s values vs engineersBusiness ethics[@1:35:47](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=5747) GEThomas Gryta and Ted Mann (2020) Lights Out: Pride, Delusion, and the Fall of General Electric book[@1:37:03](https://youtu.be/w9MQJbC26h4?t=5823) Conclusions Adam: Get it right first, but it’s not a lost cause if you don’t.Bryan: Look for value alignment in organizations you might want to join, it’s tough to change course after the fact.Matt: generous compensation has an effect on how closely one cares to scrutinize their organization’s values ¯_(ツ)_/¯If we got something wrong or missed something, please file a PR! Our next Twitter space will likely be on Monday at 5p Pacific Time; stay tuned to our Twitter feeds for details. We’d love to have you join us, as we always love to hear from new speakers!

Oxide and Friends Twitter Space: February 14th, 2022Breakthroughs DelayedWe’ve been holding a Twitter Space weekly on Mondays at 5p for about an hour. Even though it’s not (yet?) a feature of Twitter Spaces, we have been recording them all; here is the recording for our Twitter Space for February 14th, 2022In addition to Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal, speakers on February 14th included Chris DiBona, Tom Lyon, Ian, MattSci, Jeff Nickoloff, Ahmed, Tim Burnham and vint serp. (Did we miss your name and/or get it wrong? Drop a PR!)Some of the topics we hit on, in the order that we hit them:Adam’s tweetSteven Johnson (2021) Extra Life: A Short History of Living Longer book[@6:00](https://youtu.be/MyGgkBxz-mg?t=360) Pasteurization 1850’s swill milk scandal wiki[@10:25](https://youtu.be/MyGgkBxz-mg?t=625) Automotive safety Three-point seat belt wikiWindshield safety glass wikiRalph Nader (1965) Unsafe at Any Speed book[@16:25](https://youtu.be/MyGgkBxz-mg?t=985) Bryan proposes a rubric, are multiple teams racing? Walter Isaacson (2021) The Code Breaker bookEdward Jenner, 1796 smallpox vaccine[@24:32](https://youtu.be/MyGgkBxz-mg?t=1472) DTrace Compact C Type Format CTF[@27:25](https://youtu.be/MyGgkBxz-mg?t=1645) Docker OverlayFSBryan’s Papers We Love talk on Jails and Zones video ~100mins1963 Honeywell H200 wikiBryan on harware virtualization history video ~10mins, also here[@37:22](https://youtu.be/MyGgkBxz-mg?t=2242) The Greate Stirrup Controversy wikiSteve Kemper (2005) Reinventing the Wheel: A Story of Genius, Innovation, and Grand Ambition bookJevons paradox wiki[@47:51](https://youtu.be/MyGgkBxz-mg?t=2871) Wikipedia Bryan gets worked up at a dinner partyCliff Clavin (Cheers character) wiki[@52:54](https://youtu.be/MyGgkBxz-mg?t=3174) Hello Chris Wordle trolling [@57:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MyGgkBxz-mg&t=3460s) Audio editing[@1:01:03](https://youtu.be/MyGgkBxz-mg?t=3663) JSON[@1:02:22](https://youtu.be/MyGgkBxz-mg?t=3742) Chris on HBO Silicon Valley[@1:07:05](https://youtu.be/MyGgkBxz-mg?t=4025) Antikythera mechanism wikiIf we got something wrong or missed something, please file a PR! Our next Twitter space will likely be on Monday at 5p Pacific Time; stay tuned to our Twitter feeds for details. We’d love to have you join us, as we always love to hear from new speakers!

Oxide and Friends Twitter Space: February 7th, 2022I Know This! (Purpose-built systems with general-purpose guts)We’ve been holding a Twitter Space weekly on Mondays at 5p for about an hour. Even though it’s not (yet?) a feature of Twitter Spaces, we have been recording them all; here is the recording for our Twitter Space for February 7th, 2022.In addition to Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal, speakers on February 7th included MattSci, Ian, Matt Ranney and Ken. (Did we miss your name and/or get it wrong? Drop a PR!)Some of the topics we hit on, in the order that we hit them:Calendly tweet context[@11:47](https://youtu.be/WsvJT6i_atw?t=707) Hacker News post[@18:15](https://youtu.be/WsvJT6i_atw?t=1095) James Garfield shooting[@21:29](https://youtu.be/WsvJT6i_atw?t=1289) Adam’s story about customers taking on heroic interventions themselves, learning the value of logging all commands, and digging through email chains for paydirt Developed “three strikes” rule, focus on fixing the proximate issues (and defer general health boosters for another time) so as not to lose the faith of the customer[@27:35](https://youtu.be/WsvJT6i_atw?t=1655) E-cache parity error[@33:38](https://youtu.be/WsvJT6i_atw?t=2018) Support personnel remaining calm in the face of unknown damage[@41:22](https://youtu.be/WsvJT6i_atw?t=2482) Outages, postmortem, software as a service and public cloud providers Vendor transparency or lack thereof[@48:28](https://youtu.be/WsvJT6i_atw?t=2908) Ken: transparency as part of legal compliance?MITRE CVE List of publicly disclosed cybersecurity vulnerabilities[@52:45](https://youtu.be/WsvJT6i_atw?t=3165) Adventures in shady pay to play industry events Fixed raffles[@1:01:30](https://youtu.be/WsvJT6i_atw?t=3690) “We never lost anyone’s data but it took some long vacations” Incident where someone corrupted kernel data structuresAdam pulls a fast onePaul Newman and Robert Redford in (1973) The Sting movieDifferent ways to structure support contractsmdb -kw, the w is load bearingIf we got something wrong or missed something, please file a PR! Our next Twitter space will likely be on Monday at 5p Pacific Time; stay tuned to our Twitter feeds for details. We’d love to have you join us, as we always love to hear from new speakers!

Oxide and Friends Twitter Space: January 24th, 2022Taxonomy of HypeWe’ve been holding a Twitter Space weekly on Mondays at 5p for about an hour. Even though it’s not (yet?) a feature of Twitter Spaces, we have been recording them all; here is the recording for our Twitter Space for January 24th, 2022.In addition to Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal, speakers on January 24th included MattSci, Todd Gamblin, Aaron Goldman and Tom Lyon. (Did we miss your name and/or get it wrong? Drop a PR!)Some of the topics we hit on, in the order that we hit them:The tweet about the topic: Johannes Klingebiel’s (2022) The five Levels of Hype taxonomy[@8:24](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=504) Roko’s Basilisk (slate.com)[@10:21](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=621) Cloud Computing[@12:09](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=729) Mobile, Wi-Fi (introduced in 1997) Adam broke his hand, but can still type dtrace with one hand[@15:14](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=914) Java Write once run anywhereCross platform graphical interfacesWindows NT[@17:47](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=1067) Storage technology DedupZFS copies setting and redundant_metadataInfiniBand, iSCSI Extensions for RDMA (iSER), SCSI RDMA Protocol (SRP)[@26:15](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=1575) 3D XPoint (Intel Optane) wikiHP Memristor FAQHP “The Machine” HP research’s pure hype marketing pitchThe (absolutely incredible) Star Trek crossover ad > I’m gonna provide you the emotion of a revolution, but not the technical detail to > support it, not yet, but it’s coming.[@31:02](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=1862) Segway (wiki) Dean Kamen wikiDecoder Ring podcast (June 2021) Who Killed the Segway? ~40mins slate.com, Apple podcasts2001 Good Morning America Segway unveiling, Diane Sawyer is underwhelmed > I’m tempted to say “that’s it??” (nervous laughter) > But that can’t be it!?[@34:29](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=2069) Maglev, Cold fusionWalter Isaacson (2021) The Code Breaker: Jennifer Doudna, Gene Editing, and the Future of the Human Race bookHuman Genome Project wikiHype booms and bustsTodd’s story on working on fusion at a national lab, and the nature of gaining funding for large projects[@45:30](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=2730) Rust[@48:43](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=2923) DTrace[@52:14](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=3134) Nanotechnology K. Eric Drexler wikiExpert Systems, AR/VR[@56:23](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=3383) Chatbots Dan Olson (Jan 2022) Line Goes Up - The Problem with NFTs ~2hr video (worth every minute)[@59:11](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=3551) Serverless Itanium IA-64, Very long instruction word VLIWFibre Channel over Ethernet FCoE, ATA over Ethernet AoE > A solution in search of a problem[@1:06:50](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=4010) Taligent wikiTom Hormby (2014) Pink: Apple’s First Stab at a Modern Operating System postBe Inc wikiBryan’s Be whiteboard story[@1:13:47](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=4427) Docker Monetizing open source[@1:20:28](https://youtu.be/qrWgmkBfn9s?t=4828) 5GIf we got something wrong or missed something, please file a PR! Our next Twitter space will likely be on Monday at 5p Pacific Time; stay tuned to our Twitter feeds for details. We’d love to have you join us, as we always love to hear from new speakers!

Oxide and Friends Twitter Space: January 10th, 2022Flying Blind with Peter RobisonWe’ve been holding a Twitter Space weekly on Mondays at 5p for about an hour. Even though it’s not (yet?) a feature of Twitter Spaces, we have been recording them all; here is the recording for our Twitter Space for January 10th, 2022.In addition to Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal, our special guest was Peter Robison.Other speakers on January 10th included MattSci and Simeon Miteff. (Did we miss your name and/or get it wrong? Drop a PR!)Some of the topics we hit on, in the order that we hit them:[@5:02](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=302) Peter on Japan Air Lines Flight 123Boeing 777 > Bryan: The things I am the most proud of are the things I’ve worked with other people on, > when a team does something that feels beyond an individual’s grasp.[@12:25](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=745) Peter’s history covering aerospace McDonnell Douglas[@15:53](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=953) Jack Welch, corporate culture Investors over customersJohn Godson 1975 The Rise and Fall of the DC-10 book[@24:12](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=1452) Questionable morals from execsJohn Newhouse 1982 The Sporty Game book[@27:41](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=1661) When did it become clear that the 737 MAX was problematic? Lion Air Flight 610Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System MCASEthiopian Airlines Flight 302Shifting blame, public messaging vs behind closed doors opinion forming[@36:31](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=2191) Why pilots had no training (or knowledge of) the MCAS system[@39:23](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=2363) Angle of Attack indicator[@48:48](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=2928) MCAS software, writing safety critical computer code [@53:19](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=3199) “Blood on the seats”[@58:48](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=3528) Matt asks about “fly-by-wire” and MCAS. “Optional” safety features[@1:08:04](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=4084) Testing safety, lack of technical scrutiny[@1:12:31](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=4351) Simeon asks about the FAA’s relationship with Boeing[@1:15:05](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=4505) Bryan: what are the lessons for other disciplines? Peter: Valuing employee views. Tolerating bad news.Adam: The engineering culture at Boeing was so arduous to build, and so quick to corrode[@1:18:39](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=4719) Matt: relationship to F-35? Military vs commercial[@1:23:23](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=5003) Gene Kim: CEO congressional testimony[@1:26:22](https://youtu.be/q6i9NPslfE4?t=5182) Passing certifications, alternatives to MCASIf we got something wrong or missed something, please file a PR! Our next Twitter space will likely be on Monday at 5p Pacific Time; stay tuned to our Twitter feeds for details. We’d love to have you join us, as we always love to hear from new speakers!

Oxide and Friends Twitter Space: January 3rd, 2022Predictions 2022We’ve been holding a Twitter Space weekly on Mondays at 5p for about an hour. Even though it’s not (yet?) a feature of Twitter Spaces, we have been recording them all; here is the recording for our Twitter Space for January 3rd, 2022.In addition to Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal, our special guest on January 3rd included was tech prediction expert and noted Red Sox fan Steven O’Grady.Below is a table of the oracles and their predictions: (If you made predictions, please submit a PR to add or clarify yours) Futurist  1 year  3 year  6 year  | @openlabbott 47:15 |  Discord are going to annoy their userbase.  |  We’ll finally get a RISC V server in a datacenter, in some shape or form.  |  Email goes the way of the landline. | @MattSci2 1:10:05 |  The framework laptop company will be unsuccessful. Existing laptops are not substantially different; with some retooling.  |  One major FPGA vendor will have a completely open toolchain for high end FPGAs.  |  At least 1 RISC-V supercomputer in the Top 500. | @tomk_ 1:16:45 |  At least one of the hyperscalers will become startlingly good at partnering.  |  Stablecoins will become regulated.  |  The biggest datacenter server provider (outside the hyperscalers) will be a company that hasn’t yet shipped its first server. | @tinco 1:18:57 |  Multiple companies will have demonstrated a AGI (one shot machine learning system). It’s not gonna be useful for anything, but I think the problem is less hard than many critics think it is and several companies/organizations are actually going to be showing the first versions of these systems.  |  Drones autonomously flying around private properties will be a common thing. Factory managers, powerlines inspectors, large building sites etc. will have commonly available and affordable options to inspect or patrol their properties.  |  Web3 will actually happen, but not in the way it’s currently being talked about. In 6 years time bots will have improved to the point that they can not be warded off the major platforms (or any platforms) and will make the web absolutely unusable due to them disrupting all established crowd funded moderation systems. A new paradigm will have to emerge that fundamentally changes how we use the web (thus web3), so that we can still derive value from it. | Ben Stoltz 1:24:40 |  Smart glasses become a viable alternative for computer monitors youtube. People who used to look away from their phones to have their own thoughts, and are now using smart glasses in real life situations, are subjected to an ads vs. attention “Tragedy of the commons”. As costs per unit decrease leading to ubiquity, this forces a modern-day “Highway Beautification Act” to legislate Ad Blocking.  |  A significant percentage of commercial office space will be converted to housing.  |  The best AIs have emotional problems. We don’t really know how they work. AI specialists are more therapists than programmers. | @kelseyhightower 1:29:30 |  This year will be more of the same, competition to define the new normal as the pandemic winds down.  |  Pandemic-era solutions will backfire; crypto-currencies will give governments an excuse to track all actual spending. “We will give you the transparency, but not the kind you wanted.”  |  Technology will be recognized as sovereignty like money and land used to be. Governments will be wary of using technology from weak allies or competitors. Local hardware manufacturing, growth of local university training, etc. Possibly manifesting as national protectionism, or a reprise of the space-race. Open source will be the default model. | @orangecms 1:53:45 |  a major OS from China emerges  |  high performance computing from Europe  |  ARM no longer as relevant | @ahl 1:58:00 |  web3 is done; we’re not talking about it, it’s not a thing, we don’t use the term and we only vaguely recall what it was supposed to mean.  |  Productivity per watt becomes a highly important metric in computing. Tools tell us about our power use. We spin workloads up and down depending on power cost and availability.  |  AWS offers RISC-V instance types. | @AaronDGoldman 1:07:14 |  Single-node computing: people will realize that that distributed computing has a lot of overhead and that one server can do a lot of work. This will lead people to people doing business analytics jobs by pulling all their data to a single a computer and doing the calculation, getting the result 100x faster than splitting data over many computers.  |  Microservices inlining: taking a lot of microservices and statically linking them together. This will enable calling functions without network overhead, making things run 100x faster.  |  We will start do scaling properly. Instead of thinking “how can I make this big data and scale up to infinity”, we will try to get the most out of single node. Only once a single node has been pushed to its limit will we scale up to first a rack, then a datacenter, and then the world. | @dancrossnyc 2:01:10 |  Major workplace changes due to the pandemic will amplify and accentuate the wealth gap and disparity. Only some industries are privileged enough to be able to work from home. This will create social problems.  |  Regulation of social media in the aftermath of widespread political unrest, particularly after the US 2024 political season.  |  The effects of climate change will be sufficiently apparent that people will get serious about retooling around compute and power efficiency. | @iangrunert 56:06 |  No one year prediction.  | CCPA copycat laws in other states, perhaps US federal legislation, plus changing global regulatory environment lead to GDPR-like protections to no longer be geo-fenced by bigger players. This’ll also have impacts on SaaS adoption - spreading data around makes right to amendment and right to deletion harder.  | RISC-V chip in mainstream phone (likely Samsung). Previously moving target, but longer upgrade times and slower pace of improvements will cause Samsung to chase RISC-V for high volume phones due to better unit economics. Will have prior experience in RISC-V fab for other applications. <...

Oxide and Friends Twitter Space: December 13th, 2021The Pragmatism of HubrisWe’ve been holding a Twitter Space weekly on Mondays at 5p for about an hour. Even though it’s not (yet?) a feature of Twitter Spaces, we have been recording them all; here is the recording for our Twitter Space for December 13th, 2021.In addition to Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal, speakers on December 13th included special guests Cliff Biffle and Steve Klabnik as well as Laura Abbott, Rick Altherr, James Tucker, Simeon Miteff and MattSci. (Did we miss your name and/or get it wrong? Drop a PR!)Some of the topics we hit on, in the order that we hit them:Hubris and Humility context tweetCliff’s written version of his Hubris talkHubris Fervently Anticipated Questions FAQ[@8:07](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=487) Prehistory of Hubris, Cliff’s storyProject Loon wiki[@14:23](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=863) Did Cliff know what he wanted to build at Oxide?Tock embedded OSQNX Unix-like real-time OS[@17:55](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=1075) Laura on evaluating existing OS options[@22:03](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=1323) Alignment of values and goals with other projects Bryan’s 2017 Platform as a Reflection of Values video ~30mins[@25:00](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=1500) Steve: convincing low-level people that they are allowed to have nice thingsRISC-V ROPI/RWPI Specification (Embedded PIC)Position-independent code wiki[@28:59](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=1739) Secure FPGAs?Laura Abbott’s Exploiting Undocumented Hardware Blocks in the LPC55S69 write-upAnd DEF CON talk with Rick Altherr[@32:20](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=1940) Early implementation, journal clubJonathan Shapiro 2003 Vulnerabilities in synchronous IPC designs paperHeiser and Elphinstone’s L4 Microkernels: The Lessons from 20 Years of Research and Deployment paper[@37:20](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=2240) Microkernels. MachL4 microkernel family wikiJochen LiedtkeBryan decides not to go to graduate schoolFuchsia OS[@51:09](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=3069) Origin of Humility. Debugging TockilatorSemihosting[@1:03:15](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=3795) Archive files, self-descriptive binaries, debugging[@1:10:33](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=4233) CORRECTION Windows does have a package manager: Windows Package Manager was released May 13, 2020[@1:14:15](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=4455) Build tools and build systems cargo xtask[@1:18:59](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=4739) DWARF Ada language[@1:25:01](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=5101) Tock: Rust kernel, C userspace IDLOzymandias[@1:32:28](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=5548) build.rs build scripts Simeon’s story, code generationSoftware-hardware codesign[@1:52:14](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=6734) Conway’s law[@1:54:30](https://youtu.be/cypmufnPfLw?t=6870) Diagnosing problems, failing tasks, formatting error messagesJoe Rozner and Rick Altherr getting Hubris and Humility running on a STM32, tweet from Dec 1, and video ~2hrsIf we got something wrong or missed something, please file a PR! Our next Twitter space will likely be on Monday at 5p Pacific Time; stay tuned to our Twitter feeds for details. We’d love to have you join us, as we always love to hear from new speakers!