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Keep or Kut

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Apr 21, 2025 • 1h 4min

K ꓘ 164 - News and wOBA vs xwOBA Over-performers

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) haven't been able to link up for an episode in a few weeks, so they have some news to get through. After the news, they take a look at some players who are overperforming their xwOBAs.Timestamps6:25 - Head-to-Head Heroes is back! Chad goes with Bryce Harper for Week 1. Pete chose Pete Crow-Armstrong.19:05 - News begins! We start by discussing the Spencer Strider debut.24:30 - Triston Casas is starting to hit the ball a lot harder, but the results still aren't following. What do we do here?3o:52 - Luke Keaschall is up with the Twins and batting second in the lineup.35:13 - Chandler Simpson is up with the Rays and leadoff in his first game.41:40 - Conversations about wOBA vs xwOBA begin with a dissection of Salvador Perez.44:56 - Dylan Crews is showing signs of life48:57 - Brandon Lowe is looking pretty kuttable56:45 - Andrew Vaughn, Mike Trout, Yordan Alvarez, Adley Rutschman, Yainer Diaz, Willson Contreras, and Matt Olson round out the top 10 in players overperforming their xwOBA. What sticks out here?Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | RSSConnect: Twitter | keeporkut@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our Discord: https://pitcherlist.com/plus
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Apr 7, 2025 • 1h

K ꓘ 163 - Six Numbers We Find Interesting

TimestampsEp 1611:29 - .220: the combined batting average of players with ADP between 13 and 24 (second round) on NFBC.18:32 - 1.64 mph: Nolan Arenado's increase in average bat speed, plus some other bat speed gainers and losers.28:48 - 2: The number of games at Coors Field so far this year and why you shouldn't be scared to stream at Coors.35:32 - 47.1%: Christian Yelich's Hard-Hit rate.41:43 - .219: the combined batting average of all 1B so far this season.49:23 - .319: xwOBA for Mookie Betts.Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | RSSConnect: Twitter | keeporkut@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our Discord: https://pitcherlist.com/plus
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Mar 31, 2025 • 1h 4min

K ꓘ 162 - Hot Exit Velocity Starts

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) break down some of the hot starts in the opening days of baseball, particularly players who have been hitting the ball hard.Timestamps3:04 - Are homers up around baseball?10:22 - Going over some of the hardest-hit balls of the (very) young season so far. We start off with Jordan Walker.18:08 - Corbin Carroll has a new max EV. Not much to do here, but worth noting.20:15 - Eugenio Suárez had a monster season last year. Was it a mirage or is he just back to being a power stud?25:55 - Ryan Mountcastle has one of the hardest-hit balls this season. Breakout season incoming?30:58 - Oneil Cruz continues to hit the ball hard. Woopdiedoo.31:20 - Seiya Suzuki hit a 112.9 MPH double off of Merrill Kelly.32:50 - Like Cruz, Kyle Schwarber also continues to pound the baseball.34:00 - Derek Hill hit a ball pretty hard! Alright!36:28 - Randy Arozarena hit a laser against the Athletics. We share our thoughts on him this season.41:23 - Xander Bogaerts stunned a really hard-hit double. Is he in for a bounceback?47:52 - Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Fernando Tatis Jr, and Aaron Judge are all still good… confirmed!50:09 - Christian Walker is healthy! And still hitting the ball hard!51:37 - Tyler Soderstrom is off to a hot start. He hit the ball really hard last year and is picking up where he left off.55:23 - Will Jarren Duran be able to repeat what he did in 2024?Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | RSSConnect: Twitter | keeporkut@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our Discord: https://pitcherlist.com/plus
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Mar 24, 2025 • 1h 9min

K ꓘ 161 - Opening Week Adds and Drops

TimestampsEp 1617:42 - Looking at guys we have to make decisions to stash or cut, starting with Gerrit Cole14:33 - Three pitchers waiting on diagnoses - Shane McClanahan, Ryan Weathers, Jared Jones24:09 - Chad making calls on Jones, Parker Meadows, Francisco Alvarez, and Kyle Manzardo34:17 - What pickups are you interested in  for OF, with options like Jake McCarthy, Jesus Sanchez, Jacob Young, Brandon Marsh, Jesse Winker, Lars Nootbaar, etc. available.37:42 - Top bats being widely cut in Ottoneu: Noelvi Marte, Jace Jung, Thairo Estrada, Sean Murphy, Giancarlo Stanton, Chase DeLauter.43:13 - Guys being auctioned in Ottoneu leagues right now, with Tyler Freeman at the top of the list along with Zac Veen.51:44 - Behind them is Ben Rice followed by Victor Scott II and Dedniel Nunez1:00:02 - Closing it out with Brett Baty and a look at 2B.Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | RSSConnect: Twitter | keeporkut@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our Discord: https://pitcherlist.com/plus
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Mar 17, 2025 • 1h 13min

K ꓘ 160 - Auciton Prep & Listener Questions

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) discuss auction strategy and respond to listener questions.Timestamps2:20 - Jersey #60! Dallas Keuchel it is.3:53 - Chad breaks down his preparation for his upcoming auction. This comprehensive overview includes how Chad approaches things such as position scarcity, where he thinks his opponents will spend their money, why he felt like he had to commit an almost unlimited amount of money to Juan Soto, and all of the potential category combinations he could shoot for to be strong in based on what is available.32:00 - $29 Yoshinobu Yamamoto, $15 Carlos Rodón, $5 Brayan Bello. Guys like Aaron Nola and Zac Gallen went for around $15 after the Rodon purchase. Was this a botched strategy?39:15 - What do Pete and Chad think about the Rays’ Chandler Simpson?48:03 - Are you keeping Nick Pivetta in 12 team league at a 15th round value?53:46 - Would you keep $4 Chase Burns? $4 Cam Smith? $2 Spencer Jones? $2 Lazaro Montes?1:05:53 - What are Pete and Chad’s thoughts on allowing teams to add FAAB to trades?Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | RSSConnect: Twitter | keeporkut@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our Discord: https://pitcherlist.com/plus
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Feb 17, 2025 • 1h 9min

Early Draft Notes

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) are getting into draft season and have found some interesting trends in their early drafts. They take a look at some of what happened in the Keep or Kut Listener Leagues, as well as the FanGraphs Staff Ottoneu League,Timestamps5:11 - Guys you can get even after the auction is over.11:26 - Marcus Semien wasn’t as bad as you think.17:25 - Roki Sasaki and other high-priced pitchers in the Keep or Kut Listener 4x4: Zac Gallen, Gerrit Cole, Corbin Burnes, Luis Castillo24:01 - What signal do you get from how MLB teams spend on a player?28:45 - Zac Gallen the cheapest of the top tier FA and that feels wrong32:34 - Corbn Burnes going a full price tier above the rest of the arms?37:19 - OF was shallow, with Cody Bellinger, Jorge Soler, Randy Arozarena, Luis Robert, and Mike Trout most of the early names.45:12 - Tyler Soderstrom, Ottoneu H2H C and knowing your format53:20 - Interesting picks in the keep or kut listener fantrax leagues, including when to take prospects and closers getting pushed up Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | RSSConnect: Twitter | keeporkut@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our Discord: https://pitcherlist.com/plus
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Jan 20, 2025 • 1h 17min

K ꓘ 158 - Breaking Down Some Trades

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) examine some keeper league and Ottoneu trades that have taken place this offseason.Timestamps7:55 - 28th Round Jared Jones for 28th Round Byron Buxton11:45 - 7th Round Pick for a 28th Round Josh Lowe and an 11th Round Pick. Lowe or Tyler O’Neill? Lowe or Parker Meadows?22:55 - 24th Round Vinnie Pasquantino, 28th Round Hunter Brown, 28th Round Parker Meadows for 9th Round Mason Miller and 20th Round Anthony Santander. This dovetails into a conversation about potentially keeping Isaac Paredes for a 7th round pick.31:50 - $6 Kyle Bradish, $3 Edgar Quero, $5 Zack Gelof for $5 Gavin Williams. Anything noteworthy here?35:55 - $4 David Festa for a $4 Michael Toglia40:59 - $10 Alec Bohm, $6 Michael Busch, $3 Alec Burleson for $3 Liam Hendriks and $10 Shane McClanahan47:19 - $25 Christian Yelich and $7 Yainer Diaz for a $29 Logan Webb52:48 - Is Spencer Steer worth keeping at $11 in 4x4?59:59 - 1st Round Pick, 13th Round Pick for 13th Round Pick, 21st Round Pick, 28th Round Michael King, 28th Round Bryson Stott, 28th Round Michael Busch, 10th Round Oneil Cruz1:10:55 - Is a $3 Michael Kopech not worth holding on to in Ottoneu FGPT now that Tanner Scott is a Dodger?Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | RSSConnect: Twitter | keeporkut@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our Discord: https://pitcherlist.com/plus
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Jan 6, 2025 • 1h 12min

K ꓘ 157 - Potential 2026 Keepers Based on ADP

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) take a look at ADP and find players whose draft cost makes them already look like potential keepers for next year. We're not talking the rookies or injured players you expect, but players who we think the market is simply undervaluing and whose ADP will be much earlier in 2026. Timestamps5:35 - Pitchers whose new homes have impacted our thinking, including Garrett Crochet to Fenway and Corbin Burnes to the desert16:17 - Same, but for hitters, this time talking Josh Naylor, Teoscar Hernandez, and a tangent for Chad to gripe about his Guardians.22:07 - Looking at players whose ADP offers keeper value, starting with Bowden Francis29:05 - Chad isn’t telling you Luis L. Ortiz is an ace, but the price is free and the upside is real.36:16 - Jake McCarthy isn’t flashy but he projects to 10/30.44:56 - Jorge Soler going to the best power park of his career.53:57 - Brandon Lowe, as late as he is going, might be the best power source you can get at 2B.58:19 - Luis Garcia Jr. is the 7th 2B off the board and Chad still sees keeper value at that cost1:01:25 - Nolan Gorman will at least get PA, and remember how good he looked?1:05:04 - Chad is ready to talk more Isaac ParedesSubscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | RSSConnect: Twitter | keeporkut@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our Discord: https://pitcherlist.com/plus
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Dec 10, 2024 • 1h 8min

K ꓘ 156 - MLB Free Agency Updates & Wishes

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) discuss some of the signings that have taken place as well as their wishes for some of the other available free agents. 5:45 - Are the Blue Jays actually strugglign to lure free agents?8:25 - Willy Adames to the Giants20:32 - Yankees and Red Sox are in on Max Fried31:29 - The Guardians are bringing back Shane Bieber37:40 - Tyler O’Neill to the Orioles, so where does Anthony Santander end up?44:35 - Corbin Burnes will be the top free agent once Juan Soto signs.54:00 - Alex Bregman will almost certainly experience a park downgrade if he leaves Houston1:04:40 - Gleyber Torres is another free agent who could bring some punch to a new teamSubscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | RSSConnect: Twitter | keeporkut@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our Discord: https://pitcherlist.com/plus
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Nov 25, 2024 • 1h 5min

K ꓘ 155 - Keeper League Settings

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) break down some of their keeper league settings decisions, such as IL slots and the costs associated with keeping players added via FAAB. Chad also explains the different strategies he uses to make difficult keeper decisions.7:05 - What are the pros and cons of having your keeper league’s prospect draft before the draft/auction?18:00 - What is the appropriate number of IL spots for a keeper league?27:08 - Should a keeper league limit the amount of FAAB-pickups that can be kept?31:26 - Should FAAB keepers cost a last-round pick, or should they be a little more expensive?39:52 - How Chad ranks his keeper options53:40 - Is there ever a situation where you keep less than the maxmimum number of allowed keepers, even if the players you leave off technically have “value” at their cost?1:01:10 - How does the amount of allowed keepers affect Chad’s thought process when selecting his keepers?Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | RSSConnect: Twitter | keeporkut@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our Discord: https://pitcherlist.com/plus

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