Think Forward: Conversations with Futurists, Innovators and Big Thinkers

Steve Fisher
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Apr 14, 2024 • 7min

FIF Series EP 37 - Introducing the Futures Operating System

We introduce the Futures Operating System (FOS), a structured framework designed to embed futures thinking into organizational decision-making, strategy, and daily operations.• Most organizations struggle with foresight not from lack of good ideas but from having no system to apply them consistently• Three major roadblocks prevent effective foresight: treating it as an event rather than a system, lacking structured processes to turn insights into action, and allowing short-term pressures to override long-term thinking• A Futures Operating System is a structured, repeatable system that ensures signals from the future aren't just observed but acted upon• The FOS performs three key functions: integrating foresight into decision-making, providing continuous environmental scanning, and creating a repeatable foresight-to-action process• Organizations without structured foresight processes risk missing early signals of disruption, making reactionary decisions, and failing to identify hidden opportunities• Next episode will break down the six core components of the Futures Operating SystemLook at your own organization, team, or career. Where do future insights currently go? Do you have a structured foresight-to-action process in place? If not, where does futures thinking get lost?ORDER SUPERSHIFTS! bit.ly/supershifts 🎧 Listen Now On: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/think-forward-conversations-with-futurists-innovators-and-big-thinkers/id1736144515 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0IOn8PZCMMC04uixlATqoO Web: https://thinkforward.buzzsprout.com/ Thank you for joining me on this ongoing journey into the future. Until next time, stay curious, and always think forward.
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Apr 13, 2024 • 8min

FIF Series EP 36 - Turning Insights into Action - Applying Spectrum Foresight

We explore the critical applying phase of the Spectrum Foresight method, where theoretical futures thinking transforms into practical, actionable strategies for organizations and individuals. The episode reveals how to bridge the gap between foresight exercises and real-world decision-making through the structured Futures Action Framework.• Insights without action are merely speculation—foresight must lead to meaningful change• Three reasons foresight initiatives fail: the future-as-a-report trap, lack of decision-making links, and resistance to change• The Futures Action Framework provides a structured four-step process: extract insights, prioritize actions, embed in decision-making, create adaptive roadmaps• Using impact-urgency matrices helps sort insights into immediate actions, long-term strategies, and monitoring priorities• Making foresight a standing agenda item, creating foresight champions, and cross-checking decisions against future scenarios embeds futures thinking in organizations• Real-world application using AI workforce scenarios helps consulting firms proactively shape their talent strategies• Preparing for multiple futures turns uncertainty into strategic advantageJoin us next time as we introduce the Futures Operating System, a framework for embedding foresight into organizational DNA for long-term adaptability.ORDER SUPERSHIFTS! bit.ly/supershifts 🎧 Listen Now On: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/think-forward-conversations-with-futurists-innovators-and-big-thinkers/id1736144515 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0IOn8PZCMMC04uixlATqoO Web: https://thinkforward.buzzsprout.com/ Thank you for joining me on this ongoing journey into the future. Until next time, stay curious, and always think forward.
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Apr 13, 2024 • 15min

FIF Series EP 35 - Designing Distinct and Compelling Futures

The designing phase of the Spectrum Foresight Method helps us build usable, realistic scenarios that acknowledge how different groups experience the same future differently.• Traditional scenario planning methods oversimplify by forcing futures into singular narratives• Multiple futures exist simultaneously - what's transformation for one group is collapse for another• Spectrum Foresight designs layered, coexisting realities within the same world• The AI example: thriving startups, adapting professionals, and struggling content creators all in one future• Spectrum-Layered Analysis (SLA) examines futures across seven dimensions from visible events to underlying archetypes• Mapped scenarios help test strategies against different possibilities and develop adaptive approaches• Challenge yourself to design multiple overlapping experiences within the same worldIn our next episode, we'll explore how to move from scenario design to real-world action, applying foresight to decision-making, innovation, and strategy.ORDER SUPERSHIFTS! bit.ly/supershifts 🎧 Listen Now On: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/think-forward-conversations-with-futurists-innovators-and-big-thinkers/id1736144515 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0IOn8PZCMMC04uixlATqoO Web: https://thinkforward.buzzsprout.com/ Thank you for joining me on this ongoing journey into the future. Until next time, stay curious, and always think forward.
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Apr 12, 2024 • 7min

FIF Series EP 34 - Scoping and Sensing—Exploring the Foundations of Futures Work

We dive deep into the exploring phase of the Spectrum Foresight Method, a structured approach to navigating the future with clarity and strategic intent that involves casting a wide net to collect signals and map potential trajectories of change.• Exploring phase is about discovery, suspending judgment, and gathering diverse information before drawing conclusions• Three guiding principles: expanding awareness, divergent thinking, and systemic observation• Step one involves scanning for signals across technology, society, economics, environment, and politics (STEEP framework)• Key signal sources include startups, academic papers, cultural shifts, technology prototypes, and policy discussions• Step two focuses on mapping patterns and trends using tools like trend clusters and cross-impact analysis• Step three identifies emerging opportunities and threats through "what-if" scenarios• Step four involves sense checking and refinement by filtering what's relevant versus what's noise• Challenge: Take 10 minutes to find one weak signal of change in your industry and consider what bigger trends it might connect toIn our next episode, we'll move into the designing phase, where we start shaping future scenarios based on everything we've explored today.ORDER SUPERSHIFTS! bit.ly/supershifts 🎧 Listen Now On: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/think-forward-conversations-with-futurists-innovators-and-big-thinkers/id1736144515 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0IOn8PZCMMC04uixlATqoO Web: https://thinkforward.buzzsprout.com/ Thank you for joining me on this ongoing journey into the future. Until next time, stay curious, and always think forward.
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Apr 12, 2024 • 5min

FIF Series EP 33 - Navigating Complexity with the Spectrum Foresight Framework

We continue our journey into the Spectrum Foresight Method, breaking down the four-phase framework that helps individuals and organizations explore, design, and act on multiple possible futures.• The future is unpredictable and interconnected, making a structured approach essential for navigating uncertainty effectively• Phase 1 - Scoping: Defining what future to explore and setting boundaries for focused, actionable foresight work• Phase 2 - Sensing: Tracking early indicators of change through signal tracking, trend mapping, and expert input• Phase 3 - World Building and Scenario Design: Creating multiple plausible futures rather than predicting one outcome• Phase 4 - Strategic Action: Turning insights into practical decisions through planning, experimentation, and resilience building• Each phase builds on the previous one, creating a repeatable cycle of discovery, design, and action• Try this practical exercise: select a future challenge, identify three key uncertainties, and sketch two distinct scenariosJoin us next episode as we zoom in on the first phase—scoping and sensing—to learn how to set up your foresight work for success.ORDER SUPERSHIFTS! bit.ly/supershifts 🎧 Listen Now On: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/think-forward-conversations-with-futurists-innovators-and-big-thinkers/id1736144515 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0IOn8PZCMMC04uixlATqoO Web: https://thinkforward.buzzsprout.com/ Thank you for joining me on this ongoing journey into the future. Until next time, stay curious, and always think forward.
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Apr 11, 2024 • 6min

FIF Series EP 32 - Introduction to the Spectrum Foresight Method

The Spectrum Foresight Method equips individuals and organizations to navigate uncertainty by systematically exploring multiple possible futures instead of relying on traditional linear forecasting.• Conventional forecasting assumes linear progression based on past data, but real-world change is complex and nonlinear• The Spectrum Method offers a wide-angle lens to detect early signals, map scenarios, identify risks/opportunities, and create adaptable plans• Four interconnected phases: Exploring (discovery), Designing (creating scenarios), Applying (actionable strategy), and Integrating (embedding foresight)• Benefits include strategic clarity, proactive positioning, stronger decision-making, and enhanced innovation capabilities• Simple exercise to start: identify an area for future-readiness, create two different 5-year scenarios, and determine one action for each• Upcoming episodes will explore each phase in depth, including breaking down the framework, spotting signals, designing scenarios, and turning insights into strategyUntil next time, stay curious, challenge assumptions and, as always, think forward.ORDER SUPERSHIFTS! bit.ly/supershifts 🎧 Listen Now On: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/think-forward-conversations-with-futurists-innovators-and-big-thinkers/id1736144515 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0IOn8PZCMMC04uixlATqoO Web: https://thinkforward.buzzsprout.com/ Thank you for joining me on this ongoing journey into the future. Until next time, stay curious, and always think forward.
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Apr 11, 2024 • 5min

FIF Series EP 31 - Detecting Weak Signals to Anticipate SuperShifts

Weak signals, though subtle and easily overlooked, provide powerful early indicators of major shifts that can give you strategic advantage when recognized early. We explore practical techniques for detecting these signals and connecting them to broader transformations, setting the stage for our upcoming deep dive into the Spectrum Foresight Method.• Weak signals are subtle indicators suggesting major shifts could be emerging, like early whispers of the future • Historical examples include smartphones and remote work, where early detection provided significant advantages• Practical detection techniques include diverse scanning, listening to fringe communities, and tracking behavior changes• Keep a signals journal to record insights and regularly review for emerging patterns• Connect weak signals to identify broader super shifts, as seen in how AI, automation, and digital platforms have transformed work and society• The Spectrum Foresight Method will explore how to scope projects, sense signals, craft scenarios, and develop strategies• Challenge yourself to document three new weak signals over the next week and reflect on their implicationsStay curious, stay strategic, and as always, think forward.ORDER SUPERSHIFTS! bit.ly/supershifts 🎧 Listen Now On: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/think-forward-conversations-with-futurists-innovators-and-big-thinkers/id1736144515 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0IOn8PZCMMC04uixlATqoO Web: https://thinkforward.buzzsprout.com/ Thank you for joining me on this ongoing journey into the future. Until next time, stay curious, and always think forward.
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Apr 10, 2024 • 8min

FIF Series EP 30 - Reflection and Integrations with the Transform Model

We pause to reflect and deeply integrate the transformational principles from our Transform model, offering practical exercises to apply these concepts in personal and professional contexts.• Holistic Approaches: Seeing the bigger picture by connecting culture, economics, technology, and environment• Natural Transformations: Learning from nature's self-organization, emergence, and feedback loops• Positive Sum Outcomes: Creating shared value where all participants gain, not just some• Adaptability and Anti-fragility: Viewing disruptions as opportunities for growth, not just setbacks• Advanced Systems Thinking: Understanding complex interactions between interconnected components• Six-step guided exercise for applying these principles to a current challenge• Preview of upcoming Spectrum Foresight Method that builds on these foundational principlesFind us on all major podcast platforms, at www.thinkforwardshow.com, and on YouTube under Think Forward Show.ORDER SUPERSHIFTS! bit.ly/supershifts 🎧 Listen Now On: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/think-forward-conversations-with-futurists-innovators-and-big-thinkers/id1736144515 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0IOn8PZCMMC04uixlATqoO Web: https://thinkforward.buzzsprout.com/ Thank you for joining me on this ongoing journey into the future. Until next time, stay curious, and always think forward.
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Apr 10, 2024 • 7min

FIF Series EP 29 - Adaptability and Anti-Fragility

Adaptability and anti-fragility represent transformative approaches that go beyond resilience, allowing individuals and organizations to not just survive but thrive through disruption. Instead of merely bouncing back from challenges, anti-fragile systems actually gain strength through stressors and volatility, similar to how muscles grow stronger after workouts.• Anti-fragility transforms disruptions from threats into opportunities for growth• Advanced systems thinking helps recognize patterns and interconnections during periods of change• Slack exemplifies anti-fragility by pivoting from a failed gaming company to a successful communication platform• Netflix demonstrated anti-fragility by growing during the 2008 financial crisis while competitors struggled• Strategic experimentation, diversification, and decentralized decision-making are key strategies for building anti-fragility• Personal anti-fragility requires honest reflection on how we respond to disruptions• The goal isn't just bouncing back from challenges but "bouncing forward" to emerge strongerSubscribe and tune in to our next episode where we'll explore systems thinking even deeper, examining how to see the big picture and understand complex interactions.ORDER SUPERSHIFTS! bit.ly/supershifts 🎧 Listen Now On: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/think-forward-conversations-with-futurists-innovators-and-big-thinkers/id1736144515 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0IOn8PZCMMC04uixlATqoO Web: https://thinkforward.buzzsprout.com/ Thank you for joining me on this ongoing journey into the future. Until next time, stay curious, and always think forward.
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Apr 9, 2024 • 5min

FIF Series EP 28 - Integration of Natural Rules

We explore how the Transform model harnesses nature's proven methods for adapting to change, offering practical insights for thriving in unpredictability based on billions of years of natural experimentation.• Self-organization in nature demonstrates how simple rules lead to complex, adaptive systems without central control• Ant colonies exemplify self-organization through basic individual behaviors creating efficient collective intelligence• Practical application involves empowering teams with autonomy while maintaining clear shared goals• Emergence occurs when simple interactions create complex, unpredictable outcomes, like neurons creating consciousness• Netflix's evolution from DVDs to streaming exemplifies successful emergence through experimentation and pattern observation• Creating environments where ideas can collide safely encourages innovative solutions to emerge• Feedback loops in nature maintain balance, as seen in predator-prey relationships• Businesses thrive when incorporating continuous feedback into decision-making processes• Applying even one natural principle (self-organization, emergence, or feedback loops) to current challenges can transform outcomesPick just one natural principle—self-organization, emergence, or feedback loops—and apply it intentionally to a current challenge or project. Notice what changes.ORDER SUPERSHIFTS! bit.ly/supershifts 🎧 Listen Now On: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/think-forward-conversations-with-futurists-innovators-and-big-thinkers/id1736144515 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0IOn8PZCMMC04uixlATqoO Web: https://thinkforward.buzzsprout.com/ Thank you for joining me on this ongoing journey into the future. Until next time, stay curious, and always think forward.

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