MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast

The fight for the White House is over. The fight for your portfolio is just beginning. Now that Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, and Republicans may end up controlling both branches of Congress, markets are reacting swiftly and strongly – and new leaders (and laggards) are emerging. In this week’s MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast, Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, and Jeff Hirsch, Editor-in-Chief of The Stock Trader’s Almanac and Almanac Investor, explain what is happening, why it’s happening, and what you can do to adapt and profit as an investor.We start with a discussion of the just-completed election, including why we saw an effective “red sweep,” how betting markets “got things right” ahead of pollsters, and what that means for future election cycles. The conversation next covers the massive moves in equities, Treasury yields, the US dollar, gold, and Bitcoin – as well as why select market sectors and small cap stocks are cheering a Trump win. Jeff weighs in on what past presidential election cycles say about the likelihood of this post-election rally continuing into 2025, while Jim brings up the biggest fly in the ointment that could derail the bullish train.We then pivot to Fed policy and what to expect at the next few meetings...how the epic battle between Chairman Jay Powell and the bond market vigilantes will unfold...and what fixed-income strategies make the most sense for investors. Jeff also shares some of his favorite sectors and stocks, as well as which asset class he’s most bullish on in a new Trump administration. Lastly, Jim and Jeff preview they’ll cover at the 2024 MoneyShow Masters Symposium Sarasota, scheduled for Dec. 5-7 at the Hyatt Regency Sarasota. Click here to register: https://sarasotamms.com/?scode=061246

If you come across a rattlesnake in the woods, don’t pick it up. Sounds obvious, right? But many traders fail to understand how that principle applies to their “buys” and “sells.” So says John Carter – founder of Simpler Trading, long-time market educator, and author of Mastering the Trade – in this week’s MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast.We begin by discussing John’s quarter-century in the business, including how he got started trading, what important lesson he learned about asymmetrical risk early on, and why you can’t get trapped by “your own emotions or dopamine addictions” if you want to achieve long-term success. He then explains why having a “human AI-based community” behind you can help you “protect yourself from yourself” – not to mention stay focused on the most important trade, which is always the NEXT one. The conversation next pivots to a key mistake John sees traders making today and how to avoid it...why options trade “structuring” is so important...and what “final piece of the puzzle” you should learn to appreciate. Plus, he covers why and how you should stay away from those charting “rattlesnakes”!In the remainder of our conversation, John elaborates on his favorite trading tactic, the “Squeeze”...the impact 0DTE options are having on markets and how retail traders can adapt...and what he thinks about the stock market, interest rates, the bull run in gold, and the trading environment heading into the new year. Finally, John previews what he’ll talk about at the 2024 MoneyShow Masters Symposium Sarasota, scheduled for Dec. 5-7 at the Hyatt Regency Sarasota. Click here to register: https://sarasotamms.com/?scode=061246

Want to stay a step ahead of this stock market? Not just in the remainder of 2024, but 2025 as well? Then you should respect one market force, but not ignore another. That’s the guidance shared by Cameron Dawson, Chief Investment Officer of NewEdge Wealth, in this MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast segment recorded on-site at our Orlando conference.Our conversation begins with a recap of Cameron’s past work as a strategist and an industrials analyst, the latter of which she says “lends itself quite well to making predictions about the broader economy and markets.” On that score, she feels we have “whatever the opposite of a ‘toxic brew’ is” right now – with stimulative monetary and fiscal policy PLUS a relatively robust economy. Cameron notes that stock valuations are closing in on their post-Covid peaks, while credit spreads are falling toward their lowest since 2005. But she adds: “We just have to ask the question, ‘How long can it last?’”The conversation then pivots to the upcoming election and its implications for markets and the economy. She believes we could see a shakeup in the typical pre- and post-election trading pattern on Wall Street. And she offers one key piece of post-Election Day advice for investors. Next, we talk about alternative investments and what investors should keep in mind when getting involved with them. She also names an alternative asset class that looks particularly promising right now. Cameron later outlines the four major “quality” indicators she’s looking for in potential stock plays – as well as which final screen can keep you out of trouble in tough market years like 2022. We end with her revealing what to respect, and what not to ignore.The next chance to get guidance from experts like Cameron is our 2024 MoneyShow Masters Symposium Sarasota, scheduled for Dec. 5-7 at the Hyatt Regency Sarasota. Click here to register: https://sarasotamms.com/?scode=061246

Back into balance. That’s where the job market, U.S. inflation, and other key economic indicators are headed. And THAT has major 2025 implications – both for the underlying economy AND the stock market. Those were just a few of the key insights Alejandra Grindal, chief economist at Ned Davis Research, shared with me for this week’s MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast segment.We begin by putting the strong September labor market report into context. She discusses what it said about payrolls, wages, and earnings – along with what other reports have shown about consumer sentiment and spending, manufacturing, and inflation. Alejandra also covers their implications for Federal Reserve policy. The conversation then pivots to the international arena, with a particular focus on recent fiscal and monetary policy actions in Japan and China. Plus, we discuss the 2024 presidential election...what various voting outcomes could mean for markets...and where investors can find the greatest opportunities if her “base case” outlook for 2025 turns out to be as accurate as her base case outlook was for this year.Finally, Alejandra previews what she’ll talk about at the 2024 MoneyShow Masters Symposium Sarasota, scheduled for Dec. 5-7 at the Hyatt Regency Sarasota. Click here to register: https://sarasotamms.com/?scode=061246

We have not YET seen a recession in Canada or the U.S., at least from a “headline” GDP standpoint. But on a per-capita/ex-immigration basis, Canada is already there...and the U.S. may not be far behind. That’s what Dylan Smith, vice president and senior economist at Rosenberg Research, told me for this week’s MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast segment, recorded on-site at our recent Toronto conference.In Dylan’s view, stimulus checks from the U.S. government padded consumer spending during and after the pandemic. But the savings Americans accumulated have now been “spent down” – leaving spending from high-end consumers as one of the only supports left for the economy. Meanwhile, “distortions” and “false assumptions” about the strength of the labor market are concerning...and investors “don’t appreciate how much slack is opening up for the economy.” In Dylan’s take, central banks in both the U.S. and Canada will continue to cut interest rates well into next year to combat emerging weakness. But it may come too late for North America’s twin economic powerhouses.We then pivot to a discussion of what investors should do in response. Dylan reveals the one asset class he is a “perma-bull” on…which foreign markets look more attractive due to their undervaluation and secular growth outlook...and what to do if you’ve reaped big gains on tech stocks in a strong year for the Nasdaq. For more on-site insights from experts like Dylan, join us for the 2024 MoneyShow Orlando, scheduled for Oct. 17-19 at the Omni Orlando Resort at ChampionsGate. Click here to register: https://orlandomoneyshow.com/?scode=061246

What stocks should you buy? What sectors should you target? Ask 10 different experts and you might get 10 different answers. But Sam Stovall, Chief Investment Strategist at CFRA Research, likes to provide answers grounded in factual analysis, hard data, and historical patterns. And he joined me for an enlightening and actionable discussion on current market conditions and attractive investment opportunities for this MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast segment.We start by discussing the three primary forces that drove markets higher in Q3...and that will continue to influence them in Q4. They include Chinese economic stimulus, fading inflation pressures, and a Federal Reserve that has already cut interest rates once and will continue to cut over the next several months. He next discusses the 2024 presidential election, including what recent market performance says about the two candidates’ chances to win in November – and how stocks typically perform in the first year of a new presidential administration. Our conversation then pivots to which sectors should show the strongest earnings growth in the coming 12 months...when (and when not) to consider rotating out of leaders and in to laggards...as well as what top stocks in sectors like healthcare, industrials, and utilities look particularly attractive based on CFRA’s methodology.We start wrapping up by talking about what Sam expects the dollar, gold, and global stocks to do in the next few quarters, and what opportunities that will present to investors. Finally, he previews what he plans to discuss at the 2024 MoneyShow MoneyMasters Symposium Sarasota, scheduled for Dec. 5-7 at the Hyatt Regency Sarasota. Click here to register: https://sarasotamms.com/?scode=061246

You can tell a lot about the market by analyzing what sectors and stocks are leading...and what sectors and stocks are lagging. So, what message are the markets sending out NOW? What should investors consider buying...or selling...as we head into the fourth quarter of 2024? To get the answers to those questions, I invited Michael Gayed, editor of the Lead-Lag Report and host of the Lead-Lag Live Podcast, to join me for this week’s MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast segment.We begin by discussing the August selloff, the September rebound, and what the wild action says about markets moving forward. Michael lays out a skeptical case. He notes that smaller capitalization stocks are still lagging their bigger cap brethren, while sectors like utilities and asset classes like gold are leading the advance. That’s typically “defensive” action, indicating it’s premature to sound an all clear for stocks. He goes on to explain why investing is “always about probabilities” – and why it’s so important to pay attention to “disconnects and divergences” when deciding where and whether to commit your capital.Next, Michael explains which credit market indicator he’s closely watching for signs of renewed trouble. He also names the one currency market trend that could lead to future selling in markets – one that we just got a “preview” of in early August. As the conversation nears an end, we cover topics like China stimulus and what contrarian trades it could fuel...why he has liked gold for almost a year, and still does...and what more speculative subsector of healthcare he favors. Finally, Michael previews what he’ll talk about at the 2024 MoneyShow Orlando, scheduled for Oct. 17-19 at the Omni Orlando Resort at ChampionsGate. Click here to register: https://orlandomoneyshow.com/?scode=061246

More than $84 TRILLION in stocks, real estate, and other assets will gradually transfer from the portfolios of Baby Boomers to the Gen X, Millennial, and Gen Z generations. But with so much wealth being passed on – and so many NEW investment options available at the tap of a smartphone screen – how should younger investors adapt? What are today’s investing and trading platforms and providers doing to educate and empower them? And what do they need to know about new funds, alternatives, tools, research, and content available to them? I sat down with Stephen Sikes, Chief Operating Officer at Public, for a deep-dive discussion of those issues in this week’s MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast segment.Stephen begins by outlining how Public works, what the platform allows investors to do, and why he believes the firm “sits at the intersection” of multiple industry trends. He then outlines the big “narrative violation” that applies to the Millennial generation and Millennial investor. Contrary to what some think, they have actually grown their wealth dramatically in the last 15 years due to two primary driving forces and two secondary ones. We next discuss how today’s retail investors – particularly younger ones – approach the markets differently. He sees them learning in two ways, while also noting: “There has never been more information, more content, more research, more analysis, and better tools for retail investors to evaluate the markets.”Stephen further discusses the myriad new investment options people can choose from NOW versus in the PAST. That includes everything from fractional shares to retail-accessible alternative investments to tools that help make buying bonds more like buying stocks (or parking money in bank CDs). We also chat about the impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts on yield-seeking investors, and whether the recent market rotation out of Mag Seven names and into other stocks will last. Finally, he previewswhat he’ll cover at the 2024 MoneyShow Orlando., scheduled for Oct. 17-19 at the Omni Orlando Resort at ChampionsGate. Click here to register: https://orlandomoneyshow.com/?scode=061246

Gold is having a stellar 2024, up more than 25% recently to an all-time high above $2,600 an ounce. Silver is showing even larger gains. Investors can profit from a wide range of vehicles – including physical coins. But how do you get started? What’s different about buying physical metal versus trading gold or silver ETFs? What key forces are driving precious metals – and will they lead to more gains in the rest of the year and beyond? I sat down with Dana Samuelson, President of American Gold Exchange, at the 2024 MoneyShow Masters Symposium Las Vegas to discuss all of that, and more.Dana explains how one or two forces usually influence metals prices, but that several of them are “coming to bear at the same point in time” – and that’s why gold just hit an all-time high. Specifically, he discusses in detail the influence that government debt, interest rates, geopolitical conflicts, inflation concerns, and central bank buying are having on the market. Then he shares tips about investing in coins, including why analyzing premiums for vintage coins relative to benchmarks is so important. Finally, he explains how American Gold Exchange can help coin investors who are looking to participate in the market.

Both the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada have kicked off interest rate-cutting cycles. Both the U.S. and Canadian economies are facing questions about recession risk. And both U.S. and Canadian investors are wondering what’s next for stocks, real estate, currencies, and commodities. That’s why I sat down with Benjamin Tal, Deputy Chief Economist at CIBC Capital Markets, just ahead of our wildly successful 2024 MoneyShow Toronto conference. He covered all the bases for the benefit of investors in this week’s MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast segment.We begin with a discussion of Canada’s economy, and how Benjmain believes it’s already in a “per capita recession” – with immigration the big factor keeping GDP from looking worse. He next covers labor market conditions on both sides of the U.S./Canada border...the past, present, and future direction of interest rates...and whether our two economies are headed for a soft landing or not. Benjamin then discusses the “tale of two markets” in Canadian real estate, how the changing economic and rate environment will impact currencies and gold, and what the upcoming U.S. presidential election could mean for taxes, trade, and growth. Finally, he covers the one factor that could drive more cash OUT of one asset class and IN to another in Canada.If you missed our Toronto event, you can catch many more market experts like Benjamin at the 2024 MoneyShow Orlando. It’s scheduled for Oct. 17-19 at the Omni Orlando Resort at ChampionsGate. Click here to register: https://orlandomoneyshow.com/?scode=061246