FICC Focus

Global Credit Strategy head Noel Hebert and BI distressed credit analyst Philip Brendel discuss how March may buck 2023's credit rally. Then, they have an in-depth feature interview with Victor Khosla, Chief Investment Officer & Founder of Strategic Value Partners on maintaining an investment culture while experiencing significant growth and his views on the current opportunity set (6:38). Finally, BI bankruptcy litigation analyst Negisa Balluku and Bloomberg News' Eliza Ronalds-Hannon join them for a roundtable discussion of distressed topics, including J&J's and 3M's forays in Chapter 11, Revlon, Bed Bath & Beyond, FTX, and Cineworld (1:11:52).

FX Moment podcast, host Audrey Childe-Freeman, Bloomberg Intelligence chief G-10 FX strategist, reflects on how the G10 FX narrative has evolved over the past couple of months and how this has shaped dollar sentiment back to all bullish from all bearish. Identifying how the narrative evolves from here is the next key challenge when it comes to assessing the US dollar's likely near-term fortune, and data watching may become highly relevant again in the next few weeks in that respect.Bloomberg Intelligence's FX team expects a negative dollar story to return in the course of 2023, but it can't be a linear view and the US macro and yield trajectory must adjust back to more benign levels first.

Interest rates could remain higher than the previous few cycles, with an upward sloping yield curve by the end of 2024, Gregory Staples, DWS Investment Management’s head of fixed income in North America, says on this episode of Bloomberg Intelligence’s FICC Focus Podcast. In this Macro Matters edition, Chief US Interest Rate Strategist Ira Jersey is joined by Staples, who talks about his role at DWS and the variety of strategies he helps to manage. Among other topics, Staples discusses the differences in managing fixed income investments for insurance companies and mutual funds, his short- and longer-term view for markets, and what sectors may be at risk given DWS’ expectation for a midyear economic slowdown. In the Interest Rate Intro segment, BI Strategy Associate Will Hoffman asks Jersey about the average time it took the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates historically after reaching the peak. As a second question, Hoffman inquires about what factors tend to influence TIPS real yields. Listeners can hear more about this topic, which was covered in our Oct. 27 FICC Focus Podcast.

Fundamentally, Chinese equities stand out from global peers as the nation’s profit recession appears to be ending just as the rest of the world decelerates. In this month’s Emerging Market Lens & Look-Through edition of the FICC Focus podcast, Bloomberg Intelligence’s Chief EM Fixed Income Strategist Damian Sassower is joined by Dan Suzuki, Deputy Chief Investment Officer at Richard Bernstein Advisors, who shares his views on investor positioning and market valuations in a world of slower growth and declining profitability.

The scenario of an extreme market impact from zero days to expiration options may be overstated and Commodity Trading Advisors' positive beta to equity may be a near-term headwind for SPX. In this edition of the All Options Considered podcast on volatility, BI's Chief Global Derivatives Strategist Tanvir Sandhu is joined by Dean Curnutt, the CEO of Macro Risk Advisors. Points covered include key themes from the volatility markets year-to-date, 0DTE options, CTAs and VIX optionality.

Investment grade had a sustained good run in the past four months with spreads compressing all the way combined with bumper supply in the new year. How long will it sustain and are we due a correction if spreads are indeed rich? Please join Mahesh Bhimalingam, Chief European Credit Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence as he discusses the investment grade market with Heema Patel, Credit Strategy Associate at Bloomberg Intelligence.We discuss the place of high grade relative to rates as well as high yield, this year's record supply, valuations, upcoming ECB QT and its impact on high grade, along with high grade ratings and fundamentals in detail.

In this month's Masters of the Muniverse, Eric Kazatsky and co-host Karen Altamirano are joined by Adam Stern, the co-head of research at Breckinridge Capital Advisors. Breckinridge is a $42 billion asset manager and has long been considered one of the industry's firsts in muni ESG. Stern gives his take on the current state of Muniland, and if ESG investors are losing confidence in the designation and standards. muni ESG

The European high yield default rate remains at zero, and the proportion of stressed and distressed bonds continues to fall given a long rally. How long will it sustain and when do we see a default wave, if any? Please join Mahesh Bhimalingam, Chief European Credit Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence as he discussed the results of the 1Q23 High Yield Survey and comment on the market outlook and trends in a Q&A format with George Flynn, Head of Credit at Wisealpha Technologies.We discussed our 1Q23 survey publication covering investor positioning, sentiment, key return drivers, default view, supply forecast, relative by geography, rating and sectors in detail. We also addressed the macroeconomic outlook affecting high yield in the near and long term.

In our latest FX Moment Podcast, host Audrey Childe-Freeman, Bloomberg Intelligence (BI) Chief G10 FX Strategist, talks currency prospects with Mark Andersen, Global Head of Asset Allocation at UBS Wealth Management. In particular, Mark and Audrey discuss the US dollar outlook following the remarkably strong US January employment report and to what extent this data is a game changer, or not, for the currency prospects for the rest of the year.

Short maturity government bond yields in Europe and the US may move somewhat high in the near term, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. In this Macro Matters edition of the Bloomberg Intelligence FICC Focus podcast, Chief US Interest Rate Strategist Ira Jersey is joined by his European counterpart Huw Worthington to discuss the February meetings of the US, UK and European central banks and the corresponding rate markets. Jersey notes his view that the market still doesn’t think the Federal Reserve can remain on hold, even though Chairman Jerome Powell explicitly said the Fed wouldn’t cut. Worthington thinks short-term German yields are about 0.5% too low, but that the markets are broadly in a range near term. In the Interest Rate Intro segment, BI Strategy Associate Will Hoffman asks Jersey why he thinks the market doesn’t believe in the Fed’s resolve.To contact the reporter on this story: