Full article: https://kyla.substack.com/p/the-fedco... Publishing day form: https://forms.gle/DAgonsNLm12B7P1z5

The Fed raised rates by 75 bps today in order to battle inflation. They're likely going to keep on raising rates. They're going restrictive mode, nearing that meaning that they're willing to take on quite a bit of economic weakness in order to slow the economy down, which is their way of managing inflation.

https://kyla.substack.com/p/the-economic-kingdom

Full write up: https://kyla.substack.com/p/the-ether... Blog: https://kyla.substack.com  Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kylascanlon/  TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kylascan?Twitter: https://twitter.com/kylascan  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kylascan/?h...   All materials in these videos are used for educational purposes and fall within the guidelines of fair use. No copyright infringement intended. If you are or represent the copyright owner of materials used in this video and have a problem with the use of said material, please send me an email, kyla.scanlon@outlook.com  DISCLAIMER: This video does not provide investment or economic advice and is not professional advice (legal, accounting, tax).  The owner of this content is not an investment advisor.  Discussion of any securities, trading, or markets is incidental and solely for entertainment purposes.  Nothing herein shall constitute a recommendation, investment advice, or an opinion on suitability.  The information in this video is provided as of the date of its initial release.  The owner of this video expressly disclaims all representations or warranties of accuracy.  The owner of this video claims all intellectual property rights, including copyrights, of and related to, this video.

There’s an energy crisis going on. I am going to talk about how we got here, what’s going on right now, and some ideas for what the future could look like. As always, I try to remove all sensationalism in my work, so if you’re looking for straightforward analysis and synthesis on this situation, that’s what this is. Blog: https://kyla.substack.com   Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kylascanlon/   TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kylascan?  Twitter: https://twitter.com/kylascan   Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kylascan/?h...    All materials in these videos are used for educational purposes and fall within the guidelines of fair use. No copyright infringement intended. If you are or represent the copyright owner of materials used in this video and have a problem with the use of said material, please send me an email, kyla.scanlon@outlook.com   DISCLAIMER: This video does not provide investment or economic advice and is not professional advice (legal, accounting, tax).  The owner of this content is not an investment advisor.  Discussion of any securities, trading, or markets is incidental and solely for entertainment purposes.  Nothing herein shall constitute a recommendation, investment advice, or an opinion on suitability.  The information in this video is provided as of the date of its initial release.  The owner of this video expressly disclaims all representations or warranties of accuracy.  The owner of this video claims all intellectual property rights, including copyrights, of and related to, this video.

I truly think the Fed is doing the best they can with the tools that they do have - but as I and many others have written about before, their best might not be good enough here. I think using the labor market as a tool is of course an economic necessity for what they can do - but it’s a tool that has long lasting morale consequences and enhances distrust in a world that is increasingly losing trust in everything. Full piece: https://kyla.substack.com/p/getting-p... All materials in these videos are used for educational purposes and fall within the guidelines of fair use. No copyright infringement intended. If you are or represent the copyright owner of materials used in this video and have a problem with the use of said material, please send me an email, kyla.scanlon@outlook.com DISCLAIMER: This video does not provide investment or economic advice and is not professional advice (legal, accounting, tax).  The owner of this content is not an investment advisor.  Discussion of any securities, trading, or markets is incidental and solely for entertainment purposes.  Nothing herein shall constitute a recommendation, investment advice, or an opinion on suitability.  The information in this video is provided as of the date of its initial release.  The owner of this video expressly disclaims all representations or warranties of accuracy.  The owner of this video claims all intellectual property rights, including copyrights, of and related to, this video.

There is a gap between expectations and reality, which creates the perfect storm for Very Big Takes. Supply side information issues compounded by ‘printing’ too many takes has created a hypertakeflationary environment. full piece: https://kyla.substack.com/p/hypertake... All materials in these videos are used for educational purposes and fall within the guidelines of fair use. No copyright infringement intended. If you are or represent the copyright owner of materials used in this video and have a problem with the use of said material, please send me an email, kyla.scanlon@outlook.com   DISCLAIMER: This video does not provide investment or economic advice and is not professional advice (legal, accounting, tax).  The owner of this content is not an investment advisor.  Discussion of any securities, trading, or markets is incidental and solely for entertainment purposes.  Nothing herein shall constitute a recommendation, investment advice, or an opinion on suitability.  The information in this video is provided as of the date of its initial release.  The owner of this video expressly disclaims all representations or warranties of accuracy.  The owner of this video claims all intellectual property rights, including copyrights, of and related to, this video.

Inflation being 0% in July doesn’t diminish that pain and worry that so many are experiencing. There is still a long way to go. But even marginal improvements can tip the dominoes in a better direction - which should help shape expectations to be more positive, and the compounding impact of that is a good thing. Full article: https://kyla.substack.com/p/the-infla...Fast Company: https://www.fastcompany.com/90765511/... All materials in these videos are used for educational purposes and fall within the guidelines of fair use. No copyright infringement intended. If you are or represent the copyright owner of materials used in this video and have a problem with the use of said material, please send me an email, kyla.scanlon@outlook.com   DISCLAIMER: This video does not provide investment or economic advice and is not professional advice (legal, accounting, tax).  The owner of this content is not an investment advisor.  Discussion of any securities, trading, or markets is incidental and solely for entertainment purposes.  Nothing herein shall constitute a recommendation, investment advice, or an opinion on suitability.  The information in this video is provided as of the date of its initial release.  The owner of this video expressly disclaims all representations or warranties of accuracy.  The owner of this video claims all intellectual property rights, including copyrights, of and related to, this video.

The algorithmic money faucet does not like detail, but that is what this economy *requires*. Things are bad, things are good, and it’s important to understand where and why both are happening versus saying that Everything is Actually Hell.  Nuance is required, especially as we navigate the next few months of a Fast and Furious Fed, who is hellbent on fighting inflation.  The way that we think about the economy and markets might have to evolve as the economy and markets evolve   Full article: https://kyla.substack.com/p/how-the-algorithmic-money-faucet  NYT: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/04/opinion/us-economy-recession-federal-reserve.html  Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-08-03/-jobful-vibecession-will-keep-workers-on-the-payroll All materials in these videos are used for educational purposes and fall within the guidelines of fair use. No copyright infringement intended. If you are or represent the copyright owner of materials used in this video and have a problem with the use of said material, please send me an email, kyla.scanlon@outlook.com   DISCLAIMER: This video does not provide investment or economic advice and is not professional advice (legal, accounting, tax).  The owner of this content is not an investment advisor.  Discussion of any securities, trading, or markets is incidental and solely for entertainment purposes.  Nothing herein shall constitute a recommendation, investment advice, or an opinion on suitability.  The information in this video is provided as of the date of its initial release.  The owner of this video expressly disclaims all representations or warranties of accuracy.  The owner of this video claims all intellectual property rights, including copyrights, of and related to, this video.

Grief and love are the same emotion, expressed differently. We are living in a world of increasing differentials, where our base case is becoming less probable, and we are having to build out new models of thinking. That is exciting but scary - we might be all experiencing the derivative of the ‘same thing’ as our economic world changes around us but it shows up for all us differently. And that is important to remember. Full article: https://kyla.substack.com/p/the-semantics-of-a-recession Full article 2: https://kyla.substack.com/p/the-changing-economic-regime DISCLAIMER: This video does not provide investment or economic advice and is not professional advice (legal, accounting, tax).  The owner of this content is not an investment advisor.  Discussion of any securities, trading, or markets is incidental and solely for entertainment purposes.  Nothing herein shall constitute a recommendation, investment advice, or an opinion on suitability.  The information in this video is provided as of the date of its initial release.  The owner of this video expressly disclaims all representations or warranties of accuracy.  The owner of this video claims all intellectual property rights, including copyrights, of and related to, this video.